August 2012

The Greatest QB of All-Time IV, Part III: Playoff Results

August 31, 2012 G.O.A.T.

On Wednesday, I explained the methodology for grading each quarterback in each season. Yesterday, I came up with an all-time career list of the best quarterbacks based on their regular season play. Today, a look at playoff performances. Using the same formula, we can grade each quarterback in each game and adjust for era1. However, […]

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The Greatest QB of All-Time IV, Part II: Career Rankings

August 30, 2012 G.O.A.T.

Yesterday, I explained the methodology behind the formula involved in ranking every quarterback season in football history. Today, I’m going to present the career results. Converting season value to career value isn’t as simple as it might seem. Generally, we don’t want a player who was very good for 12 years to rank ahead of […]

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The Greatest QB of All-Time IV, Part I (Methodology)

August 29, 2012 G.O.A.T.

In 2006, I took a stab at ranking every quarterback in NFL history. Two years later, I acquired more data and made enough improvements to merit publishing an updated and more accurate list of the best quarterbacks the league has ever seen. In 2009, I tweaked the formula again, and published a set of career […]

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Ray Lewis and London Fletcher: incredible outliers or a signal of something more?

August 28, 2012 Defensive Players

In a year where offensive fireworks dominated the headlines, here’s a piece of trivia on the other side of the ball: 36-year-old London Fletcher led the league in tackles. Fletcher, like Ray Lewis, is past the point where he can be referred to by his name alone. Instead, both get the honorific “ageless” before their […]

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Russell Wilson continues the NFL’s rookie movement at quarterback

August 27, 2012 Passing

Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III were drafted as franchise saviors, and have been expected to start on opening day for months; more recently Brandon Weeden in Cleveland and Ryan Tannehill in Miami won starting jobs. Then, last night, Pete Carroll announced that Russell Wilson had beaten Matt Flynn in the Seahawks quarterback battle. Barring […]

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Trivia of the Day – Sunday, August 26th

August 26, 2012 Trivia

Yesterday’s trivia question centered on which team has won the most regular season games since 1970. Today we’ll shift to post-season results. Every NFL team has now won a playoff game, as the Houston Texans joined the club in January with a win over the Bengals in the wildcard round of the playoffs. That puts […]

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Trivia of the Day – Saturday, August 25th

August 25, 2012 Trivia

The Chicago Bears have won 712 regular season games, most in NFL history. Of course, the Bears even predate the “NFL”, having had their inaugural season as the Decatur Staleys in 1920. At the time, the Staleys, the Cardinals (playing in Chicago), and several since defunct franchises were playing in the American Professional Football Association. […]

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The best fantasy football players since 1950

August 24, 2012 Fantasy

Bill Simmons wrote about LaDainian Tomlinson last month and called him the best fantasy football player of all-time. “Greatest ever” debates are always subjective, but at least when it comes to fantasy football, we can get pretty close to declaring a definitive answer. Joe Bryant’s landmark “Value Base Drafting” system explained that the “value of […]

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Random Perspective On: The 2012 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

August 23, 2012 Coaches

Greg Schiano made an interesting comment the other day which went against conventional wisdom. “It’s a fine line between being a physical, aggressive football team and getting a flag. You gotta be careful. I don’t ever want to be the least penalized team in the league, because I don’t think you’re trying hard enough then…. […]

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August 22, 2012 Uncategorized

Here’s the short sell: If you are a serious fantasy football player, you’ll find that has more content and is more analytical than any other fantasy site. If you are a casual fantasy footballer, you’ll find that the tools available at Footballguys will make it easy for you to stay atop your league. Either […]

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Super Bowl champions and how they passed, ran and played defense

August 21, 2012 Defense

I broke down each of the NFL and AFL champions since 1950 into three categories: Pass Efficiency, measured by a modified version of ANY/A. The formula was (Passing Yards + 10*TD – 22.5*INT – Sack Yards)/(Pass Attempts + Sacks). This strikes a middle ground between traditional ANY/A and NY/A. Rushing Success, according to the following […]

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Random Perspective On: The 2012 New England Patriots

August 20, 2012 Fantasy

New England has had one of the most creative and flexible offenses for the last decade. From 2002 to 2011, the Patriots offense was always good but it was rarely predictable. On paper, the Patriots arguably have their best and deepest set of skill position players in franchise history. But with the addition of Brandon […]

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Trivia of the Day – Sunday, August 19th

August 19, 2012 Trivia

Pro Bowls aren’t a great measure of NFL ability, but they’re one of the few statistics that enable comparisons across positions. Ray Lewis has made 13 Pro Bowls in his 16-year career, and he can tie the NFL record if he makes another trip to Hawaii this season. Only two players in NFL history have […]

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Trivia of the Day – Saturday, August 18th

August 18, 2012 Trivia

Today’s trivia is Jeopardy-style, where you need to guess the question. The answer is: LaDainian Tomlinson (2006), Shaun Alexander (2005), Priest Holmes (2002), Marshall Faulk (2000 and 2001), Emmitt Smith (1995), Jerry Rice (1987), Marcus Allen (1982) and O.J. Simpson (1975). It may not be much help, but I’ve at least given you the years […]

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The Preseason is Meaningless

August 17, 2012 Rant

I have a love/hate relationship with the pre-season. After months without football, it’s hard not to get excited about the prospect of seeing live NFL games. But as soon as I start watching pre-season action, I usually wish I was doing just about anything else. But I keep watching. Maybe the better description is that […]

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Joe Namath has become football’s most misunderstood quarterback

August 16, 2012 History

A couple of years ago, my colleague Jason Lisk explained why Joe Namath is a legitimate Hall of Famer. With each passing year, it seems as though Namath’s career gets more misunderstood, particularly by those who look at his career stats without context. One of the main pieces of evidence that sounds damning: among Hall […]

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Random Perspective On: The 2012 Oakland Raiders

August 15, 2012 Fantasy

Darren McFadden has missed games due to injury in each of his four seasons in the NFL. But he earns the label “injury prone” instead of “bust” thanks to his incredible production the past two years. In 2010 and 2011, McFadden totaled 2,432 yards from scrimmage and 15 touchdowns in 20 games while averaging 5.3 […]

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Random Perspective On: The 2012 Buffalo Bills

August 14, 2012 History

Twice in four years, the Buffalo Bills have teased their fans. In 2008, the Bills started 5-1, and Peter King named Trent Edwards his MVP after the first quarter of the season. Edwards had led fourth-quarter comebacks and game-winning drives in the second and third weeks of the year, and he ranked in the top-five […]

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Analyzing Drew Brees’ pursuit of Johnny Unitas’ legendary streak

August 13, 2012 History

Last year, I noted that Drew Brees had thrown a touchdown in 37 consecutive games and examined his chances of breaking the NFL record. The current mark is held by Johnny Unitas, who threw a touchdown in 47 consecutive games from 1956 to 1960. By the end of the 2011 season, Brees had upped his […]

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Trivia of the Day – Sunday, August 12th

August 12, 2012 History

In 1983, the Washington Redskins set an NFL record by scoring 541 points. Fifteen years later, the Minnesota Vikings broke that mark by going 15-1 and scoring 556 points. Then, in 2007, the New England Patriots topped Minnesota by going undefeated and scoring 589 points, the most in NFL history. Last year’s Green Bay Packers […]

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Trivia of the Day – Saturday, August 11th

August 11, 2012 Trivia

There’s only one team in NFL history that had a full lineup’s worth of Hall of Famers on the offensive line. In 1971, the Oakland Raiders incredibly rostered five offensive lineman who would one day wind up in Canton. Four were starters; the fifth was a reserve on the team who played one year with […]

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Expect more MJD-style holdouts in the future

August 10, 2012 Rookies

The Maurice Jones-Drew holdout is slightly different than the typical holdouts we see every summer. As a 27-year-old running back, Jones-Drew is seeking his last big contract. But with a new owner and regime in Jacksonville, management is understandably hesitant to give a large contract to a player who already has two years remaining on […]

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Random Perspective On: The 2012 Kansas City Chiefs

August 9, 2012 Random Perspective On

Kansas City didn’t send an offensive player to the Pro Bowl last year, and the Chiefs didn’t do so in 2009, either. But that doesn’t stop them from leading all teams in offensive Pro Bowlers over the last decade. Surprised? It’s been awhile, but the Chiefs ranked first in either points or yards in 2002, […]

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Random Perspective On: The 2012 New York Giants

August 8, 2012 Random Perspective On

The 2011 Giants were one of the more confusing teams in recent memory. Will this year’s the Giants play like the defending Super Bowl champions or the team that allowed more points than they scored last season? Jason Lisk points out that there’s a third option, and we should consider the 2011 Giants as a […]

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How often does the best rookie running back end up having the best career?

August 7, 2012 History

Yesterday, I looked at how frequently the highest drafted rookie running back ended leading his draft class in rushing yards. Today, we’ll examine how often the best rookie running back ends up being having the most career rushing yards among the members from his class. I performed this same exercise at wide receiver, and concluded […]

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Random Perspective On: The 2012 Cleveland Browns

August 6, 2012 History

Last month, I wondered whether previous Justin Blackmons — i.e., the first receiver selected in the draft — lived up to their lofty draft status. There have been 42 drafts since 1970, but only five times has the highest selected wideout gained the most receiving yards among all rookie receivers. The long-term odds were slightly […]

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Trivia of the Day – Sunday, August 5th

August 5, 2012 Receiving

There have been 105 teams to have at least two players gain 1,000 receiving yards in a season. It first happened in 1960 in the AFL, where wide receivers benefited by playing against lower quality of defensive backs and also a fourteen-game schedule (the NFL schedule switched from a 12 to 14 games the following […]

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Trivia of the Day – Saturday, August 4th

August 4, 2012 Rushing

Congratulations to the six members of the Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2012: Curtis Martin, Dermontti Dawson, Chris Doleman, Cortez Kennedy, Willie Roaf, Jack Butler Tonight, those six men will be inducted into the Hall of Fame, a must-see event for any football fan. You can also read the Hall of Fame Candidate […]

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RSP Writers Project: Questions and Answers

August 3, 2012 Strategy

Yesterday, I told you about the RSP Writers Project and showed you my roster. As a reminder, here’s the full 53-man team: QB1 Peyton Manning LDE1 Shea McClellin QB2 Colt McCoy LDE2 Cameron Heyward QB3 Nate Davis DT1 Phil Taylor RB1 Kendall Hunter DT2 Jared Crick RB2 Pierre Thomas DT3 Terrence Cody RB3 LaMichael James […]

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RSP Writers Project: My NFL Roster

August 2, 2012 Strategy

Matt Waldman is best known for his annual publication, The Rookie Scouting Portfolio, the most comprehensive evaluation of draft prospects at the skill positions I’ve ever seen. If you’re unfamiliar, you can view all of Matt’s work at his website, In addition to being a good friend, Waldman and I also work together at […]

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