Draft Pick Value Calculator

In this post, I introduced the Draft Pick Value Calculator. I will keep this page up to make it easy for users to access it at any time. I have also created a Jimmy Johnson Draft Value Calculator for those who would like to compare the values.


{ 3 comments… read them below or add one }

Bob April 29, 2013 at 11:25 am

This calculator says a “fair” trade for the #3 pick (OAK-MIA) would have been the 12th pick and the 57th pick (late 2nd round). In the history of football, there isn’t a single time where this would have had a close chance of being pulled off without the team with the 3rd pick dying of laughter. Miami had no chance of using their 54th, which still would have given Oakland the edge with this simulator. There’s no way a team would say “what, you’ll give me the 12th and 57th picks in the draft for #3 overall? Sounds like an even trade!” On the contrary, Oakland probably would have laughed at the Dolphins offer (12 & 42) if they didn’t have an empty cupboard and weren’t stuck in salary cap purgatory. How can you justify the values if they aren’t realistic for trading? No offense, but if a GM followed your simulated values, at least for this pick, they’d be fired. Time to rework the math.

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Chase Stuart April 29, 2013 at 11:29 am

Thanks for the comment, Bob. Going forward, I will do my best to ensure that Tyson Jackson, Vince Young, Braylon Edwards, Joey Harrington, Gerard Warren, Akili Smith, Andre Wadsworth, and Heath Shuler all play as GMs expected them to play.

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Anthony Casso February 5, 2014 at 3:31 pm

That’s not the point. I think the takeaway from this is the promise and potential of such a high pick is greater than its actual worth. That having been said there’s still no GM that would take that deal because no one wants to be known as the guy who traded Larry Fitzgerald, Barry Sanders, Matt Ryan or Andre Johnson for a pupu platter of picks. Nice to see you cherry picked all the busts :)

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