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2015 Game Scripts

This page contains the Game Scripts for every team in every game this season. There are 3600 seconds in every game (before overtime); the Game Script is the result when you sum the score margin during each of those seconds and divide by 3600; in other words, the Game Script reveals what the average margin was throughout each second of the game.

The table is fully sortable, but I’ve limited the search function to only the team column. You can type in your favorite team’s three letter code and see their results (and only their results) in each game this season (you can also type in their PFR code, if you know it. For Baltimore, type in “RAV” instead of “BAL”, as the latter will include every team (since it links to a page at PFR). The team, opponent, and boxscore columns all contain links to the appropriate pages at Pro-Football-Reference.com.

Take a look at the Dolphins/Texans, which produced the highest Game Script of the season so far. Miami won at home against Houston, 44-26, an 18-point margin of victory. The average lead for the Dolphins during every second of every game — the Game Script — was 25.9 points. Miami had 24 pass attempts against 35 runs, a 40.7% pass/run ratio. Meanwhile, the Texans had 53 passes and 25 runs, a 67.9% ratio. Please note that in some cases, the pass/run splits may be slightly off from the official results.

WkTeamH/ROppBoxscorePFPAMarginGame ScriptW/LPassRunP/R RatioOp_POp_ROpp_P/R Ratio
7MIAHOUBoxscore44261825.9Win243540.7%532567.9%
3ARISFOBoxscore4774024.3Win333747.1%212942%
14CARATLBoxscore3803824.1Win293247.5%461674.2%
1TEN@TAMBoxscore42142823.4Win183236%372658.7%
4ATLHOUBoxscore48212722.3Win293545.3%581777.3%
16HOU@TENBoxscore3462819.1Win274239.1%521182.5%
3BUF@MIABoxscore41142718.9Win293446%512071.8%
7OAK@SDGBoxscore3729818.5Win322655.2%592173.8%
3NWEJAXBoxscore51173417.7Win443257.9%352063.6%
8KANDETBoxscore45103517.6Win313249.2%441475.9%
17SEA@ARIBoxscore3663017.6Win333747.1%451377.6%
13CIN@CLEBoxscore3733417.5Win233341.1%411968.3%
1CIN@OAKBoxscore33132016.9Win343152.3%451673.8%
10KAN@DENBoxscore29131616.4Win333250.8%491675.4%
13SEA@MINBoxscore3873116Win303645.5%321666.7%
2PITSFOBoxscore43182515.9Win272551.9%513063%
14NYJTENBoxscore3082215.9Win373452.1%451377.6%
12DETPHIBoxscore45143115.7Win403057.1%332556.9%
16ARIGNBBoxscore3883015.7Win302653.6%382461.3%
5ARI@DETBoxscore42172515Win202544.4%711879.8%
12CAR@DALBoxscore33141914.8Win283643.8%421475%
11CARWASBoxscore44162814.8Win363848.6%351176.1%
16MINNYGBoxscore49173214.8Win284041.2%381966.7%
16NORJAXBoxscore38271114Win373551.4%371374%
2CLETENBoxscore28141414Win173036.2%443059.5%
10WASNORBoxscore47143313.9Win283147.5%302554.5%
7NOR@INDBoxscore2721613.7Win473656.6%481378.7%
15WASBUFBoxscore35251013.7Win292751.8%323150.8%
9NWEWASBoxscore27101713.7Win393751.3%411573.2%
8NWEMIABoxscore3672913.6Win402660.6%491280.3%
1KAN@HOUBoxscore2720713.5Win353252.2%522171.2%
17CARTAMBoxscore38102813.5Win313150%492269%
17WAS@DALBoxscore34231113.5Win273543.5%521478.8%
15STLTAMBoxscore3123813.2Win193336.5%502665.8%
3GNBKANBoxscore38281013.2Win363054.5%471872.3%
15NWETENBoxscore33161713Win372658.7%392066.1%
12CINSTLBoxscore3172412.7Win283147.5%541776.1%
15SDGMIABoxscore30141612.6Win373650.7%371966.1%
15DET@NORBoxscore3527812.4Win282354.9%531874.6%
11SEASFOBoxscore29131612.1Win314441.3%361669.2%
12HOUNORBoxscore2461812.1Win283842.4%46983.6%
4CAR@TAMBoxscore37231412.1Win243242.9%452960.8%
6MIA@TENBoxscore38102812.1Win313249.2%471872.3%
13DEN@SDGBoxscore1731412Win273940.9%392362.9%
4NYJ@MIABoxscore27141311.9Win294340.3%471181%
12NYJMIABoxscore38201811.8Win383452.8%61987.1%
2ARI@CHIBoxscore48232511.6Win242846.2%342854.8%
13PITINDBoxscore45103511.5Win393254.9%391868.4%
7SEA@SFOBoxscore2031711.4Win294141.4%301566.7%
1BUFINDBoxscore27141311.3Win193634.5%511775%
10PITCLEBoxscore3092111.3Win382164.4%511478.5%
13ARI@STLBoxscore2732411.2Win433654.4%351570%
8OAKNYJBoxscore34201411.2Win362559%492170%
8DENGNBBoxscore29101911.1Win293446%251956.8%
17HOUJAXBoxscore3062411.1Win433158.1%401474.1%
11TAM@PHIBoxscore45172811.1Win304241.7%442861.1%
14SEA@BALBoxscore3562911Win333647.8%411474.5%
3NYGWASBoxscore32211110.7Win323150.8%502071.4%
3PHI@NYJBoxscore2417710.6Win293942.6%591678.7%
3SEACHIBoxscore2602610.6Win342954%192741.3%
2MINDETBoxscore26161010.4Win194131.7%551677.5%
14PIT@CINBoxscore33201310.2Win412859.4%401671.4%
15KAN@BALBoxscore34142010.2Win282850%471971.2%
15CIN@SFOBoxscore24141010.1Win253641%541776.1%
15MINCHIBoxscore38172110.1Win213537.5%422067.7%
3MINSDGBoxscore31141710.1Win243143.6%442861.1%
13DETGNBBoxscore2327-410.1Loss382560.3%392461.9%
14NWE@HOUBoxscore2762110Win333151.6%302257.7%
15ARI@PHIBoxscore4017239.9Win353947.3%432068.3%
2NWE@BUFBoxscore403289.8Win611580.3%372856.9%
4NYG@BUFBoxscore2410149.5Win362757.1%432563.2%
9CARGNBBoxscore372989.4Win303645.5%531973.6%
5GNBSTLBoxscore2410149.4Win322754.2%333647.8%
12WASNYGBoxscore201469.4Win293644.6%541380.6%
16STL@SEABoxscore231769.3Win233043.4%452069.2%
5NWE@DALBoxscore306249.3Win332358.9%422463.6%
7TAM@WASBoxscore3031-19.3Loss303050%411968.3%
6NORATLBoxscore3121109.2Win403255.6%491972.1%
17KANOAKBoxscore231768.9Win253939.1%391670.9%
7JAXBUFBoxscore343138.9Win313150%462763%
5KANCHIBoxscore1718-18.9Loss332556.9%462663.9%
8STLSFOBoxscore276218.9Win234135.9%442167.7%
11KAN@SDGBoxscore333308.8Win283048.3%332556.9%
15CAR@NYGBoxscore383538.8Win482863.2%462763%
9BUFMIABoxscore3317168.8Win153629.4%392263.9%
2WASSTLBoxscore2410148.7Win293644.6%331371.7%
10CHI@STLBoxscore3713248.5Win263741.3%372163.8%
7STLCLEBoxscore246188.5Win252649%412463.1%
14CLESFOBoxscore2410148.5Win334144.6%371768.5%
6PHINYGBoxscore277208.4Win393652%412364.1%
3OAK@CLEBoxscore272078.3Win323051.6%541479.4%
4GNB@SFOBoxscore173147.9Win353351.5%311863.3%
1NWEPITBoxscore282177.9Win342458.6%412562.1%
9CINCLEBoxscore3110217.7Win293743.9%361767.9%
4CINKANBoxscore3621157.6Win242648%502368.5%
6SFOBALBoxscore252057.6Win302554.5%532270.7%
3CIN@BALBoxscore282447.5Win343152.3%491774.2%
14NOR@TAMBoxscore241777.5Win433555.1%331963.5%
2NYJ@INDBoxscore207137.3Win352756.5%372460.7%
10MIN@OAKBoxscore3014167.1Win263344.1%451970.3%
12NWE@DENBoxscore2430-67.1Loss451673.8%453258.4%
6CIN@BUFBoxscore3421137.1Win332655.9%442365.7%
14JAXINDBoxscore5116357.1Win332854.1%462366.7%
14WAS@CHIBoxscore242136.9Win343350.7%342260.7%
16KANCLEBoxscore171346.9Win232646.9%323547.8%
11GNB@MINBoxscore3013176.8Win363451.4%441871%
2DAL@PHIBoxscore2010106.7Win373352.9%381670.4%
7CARPHIBoxscore2716116.7Win253343.1%513063%
5IND@HOUBoxscore272076.6Win292950%422860%
16WAS@PHIBoxscore3824146.6Win482565.8%611580.3%
1NYJCLEBoxscore3110216.5Win243640%352855.6%
17PIT@CLEBoxscore2812166.5Win361965.5%532369.7%
14GNBDALBoxscore287216.4Win374445.7%312060.8%
16IND@MIABoxscore181266.4Win312357.4%432563.2%
6MINKANBoxscore161066.3Win333548.5%391868.4%
8HOUTENBoxscore206146.3Win382362.3%382065.5%
15SEACLEBoxscore3013176.3Win323547.8%351767.3%
6GNBSDGBoxscore272076.2Win321765.3%682176.4%
5PHINORBoxscore3917226.1Win453457%482169.6%
6NYJWASBoxscore3420146.1Win264138.8%451772.6%
11ATLINDBoxscore2124-35.9Loss472466.2%342656.7%
4DENMINBoxscore232035.9Win292454.7%482169.6%
15GNB@OAKBoxscore3020105.8Win412859.4%502566.7%
8CARINDBoxscore292635.8Win373551.4%493459%
9INDDENBoxscore272435.7Win374048.1%371472.5%
2TAM@NORBoxscore261975.7Win243540.7%422661.8%
9SDGCHIBoxscore1922-35.6Loss441969.8%412958.6%
10BUF@NYJBoxscore221755.5Win313249.2%352459.3%
3DALATLBoxscore2839-115.5Loss282157.1%373253.6%
9NYG@TAMBoxscore3218145.5Win403354.8%362361%
10ARI@SEABoxscore393275.5Win503360.2%341865.4%
17MIN@GNBBoxscore201375.4Win222645.8%492665.3%
9NYJJAXBoxscore282355.4Win362856.3%461970.8%
11HOUNYJBoxscore241775.4Win363848.6%422067.7%
13NYGNYJBoxscore2023-35.4Loss372460.7%532468.8%
12MIN@ATLBoxscore2010105.4Win283941.8%332457.9%
12BAL@CLEBoxscore332765.4Win342359.6%501873.5%
17DET@CHIBoxscore242045.4Win432167.2%272551.9%
13BUFHOUBoxscore302195.3Win223637.9%452663.4%
1SFOMINBoxscore203175.3Win273940.9%371768.5%
16CIN@DENBoxscore1720-35.2Loss373253.6%422166.7%
7ARIBALBoxscore261885.2Win312852.5%431672.9%
10CAR@TENBoxscore2710175.2Win313447.7%251956.8%
1ATLPHIBoxscore262425.2Win353550%521676.5%
11DAL@MIABoxscore2414105.2Win303844.1%271465.9%
3PIT@STLBoxscore12665.1Win342359.6%301862.5%
17BUFNYJBoxscore221755.1Win304341.1%381769.1%
2GNBSEABoxscore2717105.1Win352954.7%312654.4%
15DEN@PITBoxscore2734-75Loss462465.7%581777.3%
5BALCLEBoxscore3033-34.9Loss363153.7%552568.8%
11DEN@CHIBoxscore171524.9Win323547.8%342557.6%
15ATL@JAXBoxscore231764.9Win363352.2%402066.7%
4SEADETBoxscore131034.8Win323051.6%351866%
14STLDETBoxscore211474.8Win232944.2%502071.4%
1DET@SDGBoxscore2833-54.8Loss311666%443059.5%
2CINSDGBoxscore241954.7Win263443.3%312555.4%
11STL@BALBoxscore1316-34.6Loss272750%452861.6%
5TAMJAXBoxscore383174.5Win214034.4%391769.6%
16BALPITBoxscore201734.4Win423157.5%362064.3%
1ARINORBoxscore3119124.4Win322556.1%502071.4%
6DEN@CLEBoxscore262334.4Win483359.3%433356.6%
8TAM@ATLBoxscore232034.4Win313249.2%462564.8%
13TENJAXBoxscore423934.3Win333548.5%382065.5%
6SEACARBoxscore2327-44.2Loss342656.7%393354.2%
7KANPITBoxscore2313104.2Win342954%312456.4%
11NWEBUFBoxscore201374.2Win402264.5%383055.9%
17INDTENBoxscore302464.2Win393155.7%312753.4%
16NYJNWEBoxscore262064.2Win422760.9%332260%
14KANSDGBoxscore10374.2Win252550%481872.7%
2OAKBALBoxscore373344.1Win471971.2%442563.8%
1CAR@JAXBoxscore209114Win333548.5%452168.2%
17CINBALBoxscore241683.9Win302752.6%572173.1%
12SDG@JAXBoxscore312563.9Win452663.4%511972.9%
16SDG@OAKBoxscore2023-33.9Loss492467.1%412364.1%
4STL@ARIBoxscore242223.8Win252649%502170.4%
5SEA@CINBoxscore2427-33.8Loss262947.3%483160.8%
10PHIMIABoxscore1920-13.7Loss523559.8%392660%
6HOU@JAXBoxscore3120113.6Win373154.4%562172.7%
17PHI@NYGBoxscore353053.5Win392560.9%453655.6%
6NWE@INDBoxscore342773.5Win392560.9%532171.6%
14DENOAKBoxscore1215-33.5Loss562172.7%322259.3%
5SDGPITBoxscore2024-43.4Loss501972.5%282850%
2CARHOUBoxscore241773.4Win393354.2%572371.3%
8NORNYGBoxscore524933.4Win502665.8%442167.7%
9NORTENBoxscore2834-63.4Loss432662.3%392858.2%
15INDHOUBoxscore1016-63.3Loss351964.8%313745.6%
14ARIMINBoxscore232033.3Win372956.1%392461.9%
16DETSFOBoxscore3217153.2Win392759.1%362361%
13PHI@NWEBoxscore352873.2Win253343.1%612471.8%
14PHIBUFBoxscore232033.1Win393453.4%373253.6%
2JAXMIABoxscore232033.1Win333350%461674.2%
11DETOAKBoxscore181353Win393155.7%262056.5%
4WASPHIBoxscore232032.9Win463358.2%331766%
5NYGSFOBoxscore302732.8Win542172%372757.8%
3HOUTAMBoxscore199102.8Win404646.5%362064.3%
5TENBUFBoxscore1314-12.7Loss342854.8%222844%
1NYG@DALBoxscore2627-12.7Loss372460.7%452366.2%
13MIABALBoxscore151322.7Win202643.5%492665.3%
12INDTAMBoxscore2512132.7Win452663.4%412166.1%
3DEN@DETBoxscore2412122.7Win431969.4%481971.6%
12ARI@SFOBoxscore191362.7Win412958.6%381769.1%
13NORCARBoxscore3841-32.4Loss441475.9%423356%
6DETCHIBoxscore373432.3Win443158.7%423157.5%
17DENSDGBoxscore272072.2Win333250.8%382857.6%
10DAL@TAMBoxscore610-42.2Loss332161.1%402660.6%
8PITCINBoxscore1016-62.2Loss481971.6%412166.1%
7NYGDALBoxscore272072.2Win262551%284140.6%
9SFOATLBoxscore171612.1Win263940%471477%
4PITBALBoxscore2023-32.1Loss303347.6%383750.7%
5WAS@ATLBoxscore1925-62.1Loss332457.9%453258.4%
2KANDENBoxscore2431-72Loss292950%482268.6%
17MIANWEBoxscore2010101.9Win393453.4%272750%
2NYGATLBoxscore2024-41.8Loss422364.6%482268.6%
1GNB@CHIBoxscore312381.8Win233043.4%383353.5%
1DENBALBoxscore191361.8Win442563.8%342359.6%
9MINSTLBoxscore211831.8Win283544.4%343648.6%
10DET@GNBBoxscore181621.8Win382560.3%641878%
12OAK@TENBoxscore242131.7Win392957.4%391868.4%
11TEN@JAXBoxscore1319-61.7Loss392660%352360.3%
9PITOAKBoxscore383531.6Win513063%442563.8%
11ARICINBoxscore343131.6Win332556.9%432761.4%
13CHISFOBoxscore2026-61.5Loss324243.2%362361%
6ARI@PITBoxscore1325-121.5Loss461970.8%213239.6%
10NYGNWEBoxscore2627-11.4Loss472367.1%452366.2%
16BUFDALBoxscore166101.4Win214034.4%312555.4%
16CHI@TAMBoxscore262151.2Win283941.8%302455.6%
4JAX@INDBoxscore1316-31.2Loss512765.4%502368.5%
4CHIOAKBoxscore222021.2Win462862.2%352162.5%
8SEA@DALBoxscore131211.1Win303149.2%273047.4%
4SDGCLEBoxscore302731.1Win402165.6%452168.2%
1STLSEABoxscore343131Win292652.7%473259.5%
1WASMIABoxscore1017-71Loss323746.4%371867.3%
12PIT@SEABoxscore3039-90.9Loss611481.3%322655.2%
13OAKKANBoxscore2034-140.8Loss522468.4%262254.2%
10JAX@BALBoxscore222020.8Win482268.6%462168.7%
13TAMATLBoxscore231940.7Win283743.1%481872.7%
5DEN@OAKBoxscore161060.7Win371867.3%432563.2%
17STL@SFOBoxscore1619-30.7Loss363352.2%453159.2%
8SDG@BALBoxscore2629-30.6Loss382560.3%402462.5%
12GNBCHIBoxscore1317-40.6Loss452762.5%323051.6%
7NWENYJBoxscore302370.6Win57986.4%412958.6%
3IND@TENBoxscore353320.5Win332260%472763.5%
13WASDALBoxscore1619-30.5Loss342557.6%302455.6%
8MIN@CHIBoxscore232030.5Win312555.4%342557.6%
4DAL@NORBoxscore2026-60.5Loss292850.9%442563.8%
10CINHOUBoxscore610-40.4Loss412166.1%362559%
16CAR@ATLBoxscore1320-70.3Loss322061.5%322853.3%
8ARI@CLEBoxscore3420140.3Win393850.6%411869.5%
12BUF@KANBoxscore2230-80.2Loss392858.2%312753.4%
9DALPHIBoxscore2733-60.2Loss422959.2%373551.4%
7MIN@DETBoxscore281990.2Win383353.5%331766%
7ATL@TENBoxscore10730.1Win383155.1%361570.6%
17NOR@ATLBoxscore201730.1Win432266.2%372559.7%
3NOR@CARBoxscore2227-50.1Loss392263.9%323051.6%
14MIANYGBoxscore2431-70.1Loss422265.6%312951.7%
15DALNYJBoxscore1619-30Loss352162.5%412661.2%
15NYJ@DALBoxscore191630Win412661.2%352162.5%
14NYG@MIABoxscore31247-0.1Win312951.7%422265.6%
3CARNORBoxscore27225-0.1Win323051.6%392263.9%
17ATLNORBoxscore1720-3-0.1Loss372559.7%432266.2%
7TENATLBoxscore710-3-0.1Loss361570.6%383155.1%
7DETMINBoxscore1928-9-0.2Loss331766%383353.5%
9PHI@DALBoxscore33276-0.2Win373551.4%422959.2%
12KANBUFBoxscore30228-0.2Win312753.4%392858.2%
8CLEARIBoxscore2034-14-0.3Loss411869.5%393850.6%
16ATLCARBoxscore20137-0.3Win322853.3%322061.5%
10HOU@CINBoxscore1064-0.4Win362559%412166.1%
4NORDALBoxscore26206-0.5Win442563.8%292850.9%
8CHIMINBoxscore2023-3-0.5Loss342557.6%312555.4%
13DAL@WASBoxscore19163-0.5Win302455.6%342557.6%
3TENINDBoxscore3335-2-0.5Loss472763.5%332260%
7NYJ@NWEBoxscore2330-7-0.6Loss412958.6%57986.4%
12CHI@GNBBoxscore17134-0.6Win323051.6%452762.5%
8BALSDGBoxscore29263-0.6Win402462.5%382560.3%
17SFOSTLBoxscore19163-0.7Win453159.2%363352.2%
5OAKDENBoxscore1016-6-0.7Loss432563.2%371867.3%
13ATL@TAMBoxscore1923-4-0.7Loss481872.7%283743.1%
10BALJAXBoxscore2022-2-0.8Loss462168.7%482268.6%
13KAN@OAKBoxscore342014-0.8Win262254.2%522468.4%
12SEAPITBoxscore39309-0.9Win322655.2%611481.3%
1MIA@WASBoxscore17107-1Win371867.3%323746.4%
1SEA@STLBoxscore3134-3-1Loss473259.5%292652.7%
4CLE@SDGBoxscore2730-3-1.1Loss452168.2%402165.6%
8DALSEABoxscore1213-1-1.1Loss273047.4%303149.2%
4OAK@CHIBoxscore2022-2-1.2Loss352162.5%462862.2%
4INDJAXBoxscore16133-1.2Win502368.5%512765.4%
16TAMCHIBoxscore2126-5-1.2Loss302455.6%283941.8%
16DAL@BUFBoxscore616-10-1.4Loss312555.4%214034.4%
10NWE@NYGBoxscore27261-1.4Win452366.2%472367.1%
6PITARIBoxscore251312-1.5Win213239.6%461970.8%
13SFO@CHIBoxscore26206-1.5Win362361%324243.2%
11CIN@ARIBoxscore3134-3-1.6Loss432761.4%332556.9%
9OAK@PITBoxscore3538-3-1.6Loss442563.8%513063%
11JAXTENBoxscore19136-1.7Win352360.3%392660%
12TENOAKBoxscore2124-3-1.7Loss391868.4%392957.4%
10GNBDETBoxscore1618-2-1.8Loss641878%382560.3%
9STL@MINBoxscore1821-3-1.8Loss343648.6%283544.4%
1CHIGNBBoxscore2331-8-1.8Loss383353.5%233043.4%
1BAL@DENBoxscore1319-6-1.8Loss342359.6%442563.8%
2ATL@NYGBoxscore24204-1.8Win482268.6%422364.6%
17NWE@MIABoxscore1020-10-1.9Loss272750%393453.4%
2DEN@KANBoxscore31247-2Win482268.6%292950%
5ATLWASBoxscore25196-2.1Win453258.4%332457.9%
4BAL@PITBoxscore23203-2.1Win383750.7%303347.6%
9ATL@SFOBoxscore1617-1-2.1Loss471477%263940%
7DAL@NYGBoxscore2027-7-2.2Loss284140.6%262551%
8CIN@PITBoxscore16106-2.2Win412166.1%481971.6%
10TAMDALBoxscore1064-2.2Win402660.6%332161.1%
17SDG@DENBoxscore2027-7-2.2Loss382857.6%333250.8%
6CHI@DETBoxscore3437-3-2.3Loss423157.5%443158.7%
13CAR@NORBoxscore41383-2.4Win423356%441475.9%
12SFOARIBoxscore1319-6-2.7Loss381769.1%412958.6%
3DETDENBoxscore1224-12-2.7Loss481971.6%431969.4%
12TAM@INDBoxscore1225-13-2.7Loss412166.1%452663.4%
13BAL@MIABoxscore1315-2-2.7Loss492665.3%202643.5%
1DALNYGBoxscore27261-2.7Win452366.2%372460.7%
5BUF@TENBoxscore14131-2.7Win222844%342854.8%
3TAM@HOUBoxscore919-10-2.8Loss362064.3%404646.5%
5SFO@NYGBoxscore2730-3-2.8Loss372757.8%542172%
4PHI@WASBoxscore2023-3-2.9Loss331766%463358.2%
11OAK@DETBoxscore1318-5-3Loss262056.5%393155.7%
2MIA@JAXBoxscore2023-3-3.1Loss461674.2%333350%
14BUF@PHIBoxscore2023-3-3.1Loss373253.6%393453.4%
13NWEPHIBoxscore2835-7-3.2Loss612471.8%253343.1%
16SFO@DETBoxscore1732-15-3.2Loss362361%392759.1%
14MIN@ARIBoxscore2023-3-3.3Loss392461.9%372956.1%
15HOU@INDBoxscore16106-3.3Win313745.6%351964.8%
9TEN@NORBoxscore34286-3.4Win392858.2%432662.3%
8NYG@NORBoxscore4952-3-3.4Loss442167.7%502665.8%
2HOU@CARBoxscore1724-7-3.4Loss572371.3%393354.2%
5PIT@SDGBoxscore24204-3.4Win282850%501972.5%
14OAK@DENBoxscore15123-3.5Win322259.3%562172.7%
6INDNWEBoxscore2734-7-3.5Loss532171.6%392560.9%
17NYGPHIBoxscore3035-5-3.5Loss453655.6%392560.9%
6JAXHOUBoxscore2031-11-3.6Loss562172.7%373154.4%
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4ARISTLBoxscore2224-2-3.8Loss502170.4%252649%
16OAKSDGBoxscore23203-3.9Win412364.1%492467.1%
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17TEN@INDBoxscore2430-6-4.2Loss312753.4%393155.7%
11BUF@NWEBoxscore1320-7-4.2Loss383055.9%402264.5%
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6CLEDENBoxscore2326-3-4.4Loss433356.6%483359.3%
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16PIT@BALBoxscore1720-3-4.4Loss362064.3%423157.5%
5JAX@TAMBoxscore3138-7-4.5Loss391769.6%214034.4%
11BALSTLBoxscore16133-4.6Win452861.6%272750%
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15JAXATLBoxscore1723-6-4.9Loss402066.7%363352.2%
11CHIDENBoxscore1517-2-4.9Loss342557.6%323547.8%
5CLE@BALBoxscore33303-4.9Win552568.8%363153.7%
15PITDENBoxscore34277-5Win581777.3%462465.7%
2SEA@GNBBoxscore1727-10-5.1Loss312654.4%352954.7%
17NYJ@BUFBoxscore1722-5-5.1Loss381769.1%304341.1%
3STLPITBoxscore612-6-5.1Loss301862.5%342359.6%
11MIADALBoxscore1424-10-5.2Loss271465.9%303844.1%
1PHI@ATLBoxscore2426-2-5.2Loss521676.5%353550%
10TENCARBoxscore1027-17-5.2Loss251956.8%313447.7%
7BAL@ARIBoxscore1826-8-5.2Loss431672.9%312852.5%
16DENCINBoxscore20173-5.2Win422166.7%373253.6%
1MIN@SFOBoxscore320-17-5.3Loss371768.5%273940.9%
13HOU@BUFBoxscore2130-9-5.3Loss452663.4%223637.9%
17CHIDETBoxscore2024-4-5.4Loss272551.9%432167.2%
12CLEBALBoxscore2733-6-5.4Loss501873.5%342359.6%
12ATLMINBoxscore1020-10-5.4Loss332457.9%283941.8%
13NYJ@NYGBoxscore23203-5.4Win532468.8%372460.7%
11NYJ@HOUBoxscore1724-7-5.4Loss422067.7%363848.6%
9JAX@NYJBoxscore2328-5-5.4Loss461970.8%362856.3%
17GNBMINBoxscore1320-7-5.4Loss492665.3%222645.8%
10SEAARIBoxscore3239-7-5.5Loss341865.4%503360.2%
9TAMNYGBoxscore1832-14-5.5Loss362361%403354.8%
3ATL@DALBoxscore392811-5.5Win373253.6%282157.1%
10NYJBUFBoxscore1722-5-5.5Loss352459.3%313249.2%
9CHI@SDGBoxscore22193-5.6Win412958.6%441969.8%
2NORTAMBoxscore1926-7-5.7Loss422661.8%243540.7%
9DEN@INDBoxscore2427-3-5.7Loss371472.5%374048.1%
8IND@CARBoxscore2629-3-5.8Loss493459%373551.4%
15OAKGNBBoxscore2030-10-5.8Loss502566.7%412859.4%
4MIN@DENBoxscore2023-3-5.9Loss482169.6%292454.7%
11IND@ATLBoxscore24213-5.9Win342656.7%472466.2%
6WAS@NYJBoxscore2034-14-6.1Loss451772.6%264138.8%
5NOR@PHIBoxscore1739-22-6.1Loss482169.6%453457%
6SDG@GNBBoxscore2027-7-6.2Loss682176.4%321765.3%
15CLE@SEABoxscore1330-17-6.3Loss351767.3%323547.8%
8TEN@HOUBoxscore620-14-6.3Loss382065.5%382362.3%
6KAN@MINBoxscore1016-6-6.3Loss391868.4%333548.5%
16MIAINDBoxscore1218-6-6.4Loss432563.2%312357.4%
14DAL@GNBBoxscore728-21-6.4Loss312060.8%374445.7%
17CLEPITBoxscore1228-16-6.5Loss532369.7%361965.5%
1CLE@NYJBoxscore1031-21-6.5Loss352855.6%243640%
16PHIWASBoxscore2438-14-6.6Loss611580.3%482565.8%
5HOUINDBoxscore2027-7-6.6Loss422860%292950%
7PHI@CARBoxscore1627-11-6.7Loss513063%253343.1%
2PHIDALBoxscore1020-10-6.7Loss381670.4%373352.9%
11MINGNBBoxscore1330-17-6.8Loss441871%363451.4%
16CLE@KANBoxscore1317-4-6.9Loss323547.8%232646.9%
14CHIWASBoxscore2124-3-6.9Loss342260.7%343350.7%
14IND@JAXBoxscore1651-35-7.1Loss462366.7%332854.1%
6BUFCINBoxscore2134-13-7.1Loss442365.7%332655.9%
12DENNWEBoxscore30246-7.1Win453258.4%451673.8%
10OAKMINBoxscore1430-16-7.1Loss451970.3%263344.1%
2INDNYJBoxscore720-13-7.3Loss372460.7%352756.5%
14TAMNORBoxscore1724-7-7.5Loss331963.5%433555.1%
3BALCINBoxscore2428-4-7.5Loss491774.2%343152.3%
6BAL@SFOBoxscore2025-5-7.6Loss532270.7%302554.5%
4KAN@CINBoxscore2136-15-7.6Loss502368.5%242648%
9CLE@CINBoxscore1031-21-7.7Loss361767.9%293743.9%
1PIT@NWEBoxscore2128-7-7.9Loss412562.1%342458.6%
4SFOGNBBoxscore317-14-7.9Loss311863.3%353351.5%
3CLEOAKBoxscore2027-7-8.3Loss541479.4%323051.6%
6NYG@PHIBoxscore727-20-8.4Loss412364.1%393652%
14SFO@CLEBoxscore1024-14-8.5Loss371768.5%334144.6%
7CLE@STLBoxscore624-18-8.5Loss412463.1%252649%
10STLCHIBoxscore1337-24-8.5Loss372163.8%263741.3%
2STL@WASBoxscore1024-14-8.7Loss331371.7%293644.6%
9MIA@BUFBoxscore1733-16-8.8Loss392263.9%153629.4%
15NYGCARBoxscore3538-3-8.8Loss462763%482863.2%
11SDGKANBoxscore333-30-8.8Loss332556.9%283048.3%
8SFO@STLBoxscore627-21-8.9Loss442167.7%234135.9%
5CHI@KANBoxscore18171-8.9Win462663.9%332556.9%
7BUF@JAXBoxscore3134-3-8.9Loss462763%313150%
17OAK@KANBoxscore1723-6-8.9Loss391670.9%253939.1%
6ATL@NORBoxscore2131-10-9.2Loss491972.1%403255.6%
7WASTAMBoxscore31301-9.3Win411968.3%303050%
5DALNWEBoxscore630-24-9.3Loss422463.6%332358.9%
16SEASTLBoxscore1723-6-9.3Loss452069.2%233043.4%
12NYG@WASBoxscore1420-6-9.4Loss541380.6%293644.6%
5STL@GNBBoxscore1024-14-9.4Loss333647.8%322754.2%
9GNB@CARBoxscore2937-8-9.4Loss531973.6%303645.5%
4BUFNYGBoxscore1024-14-9.5Loss432563.2%362757.1%
2BUFNWEBoxscore3240-8-9.8Loss372856.9%611580.3%
15PHIARIBoxscore1740-23-9.9Loss432068.3%353947.3%
14HOUNWEBoxscore627-21-10Loss302257.7%333151.6%
13GNB@DETBoxscore27234-10.1Win392461.9%382560.3%
3SDG@MINBoxscore1431-17-10.1Loss442861.1%243143.6%
15CHI@MINBoxscore1738-21-10.1Loss422067.7%213537.5%
15SFOCINBoxscore1424-10-10.1Loss541776.1%253641%
15BALKANBoxscore1434-20-10.2Loss471971.2%282850%
14CINPITBoxscore2033-13-10.2Loss401671.4%412859.4%
2DET@MINBoxscore1626-10-10.4Loss551677.5%194131.7%
3CHI@SEABoxscore026-26-10.6Loss192741.3%342954%
3NYJPHIBoxscore1724-7-10.6Loss591678.7%293942.6%
3WAS@NYGBoxscore2132-11-10.7Loss502071.4%323150.8%
14BALSEABoxscore635-29-11Loss411474.5%333647.8%
11PHITAMBoxscore1745-28-11.1Loss442861.1%304241.7%
17JAX@HOUBoxscore630-24-11.1Loss401474.1%433158.1%
8GNB@DENBoxscore1029-19-11.1Loss251956.8%293446%
8NYJ@OAKBoxscore2034-14-11.2Loss492170%362559%
13STLARIBoxscore327-24-11.2Loss351570%433654.4%
10CLE@PITBoxscore930-21-11.3Loss511478.5%382164.4%
1IND@BUFBoxscore1427-13-11.3Loss511775%193634.5%
7SFOSEABoxscore320-17-11.4Loss301566.7%294141.4%
13IND@PITBoxscore1045-35-11.5Loss391868.4%393254.9%
2CHIARIBoxscore2348-25-11.6Loss342854.8%242846.2%
12MIA@NYJBoxscore2038-18-11.8Loss61987.1%383452.8%
4MIANYJBoxscore1427-13-11.9Loss471181%294340.3%
13SDGDENBoxscore317-14-12Loss392362.9%273940.9%
6TENMIABoxscore1038-28-12.1Loss471872.3%313249.2%
4TAMCARBoxscore2337-14-12.1Loss452960.8%243242.9%
12NOR@HOUBoxscore624-18-12.1Loss46983.6%283842.4%
11SFO@SEABoxscore1329-16-12.1Loss361669.2%314441.3%
15NORDETBoxscore2735-8-12.4Loss531874.6%282354.9%
15MIA@SDGBoxscore1430-16-12.6Loss371966.1%373650.7%
12STL@CINBoxscore731-24-12.7Loss541776.1%283147.5%
15TEN@NWEBoxscore1633-17-13Loss392066.1%372658.7%
3KAN@GNBBoxscore2838-10-13.2Loss471872.3%363054.5%
15TAM@STLBoxscore2331-8-13.2Loss502665.8%193336.5%
17DALWASBoxscore2334-11-13.5Loss521478.8%273543.5%
17TAM@CARBoxscore1038-28-13.5Loss492269%313150%
1HOUKANBoxscore2027-7-13.5Loss522171.2%353252.2%
8MIA@NWEBoxscore736-29-13.6Loss491280.3%402660.6%
9WAS@NWEBoxscore1027-17-13.7Loss411573.2%393751.3%
15BUF@WASBoxscore2535-10-13.7Loss323150.8%292751.8%
7INDNORBoxscore2127-6-13.7Loss481378.7%473656.6%
10NOR@WASBoxscore1447-33-13.9Loss302554.5%283147.5%
2TEN@CLEBoxscore1428-14-14Loss443059.5%173036.2%
16JAX@NORBoxscore2738-11-14Loss371374%373551.4%
16NYG@MINBoxscore1749-32-14.8Loss381966.7%284041.2%
11WAS@CARBoxscore1644-28-14.8Loss351176.1%363848.6%
12DALCARBoxscore1433-19-14.8Loss421475%283643.8%
5DETARIBoxscore1742-25-15Loss711879.8%202544.4%
16GNB@ARIBoxscore838-30-15.7Loss382461.3%302653.6%
12PHI@DETBoxscore1445-31-15.7Loss332556.9%403057.1%
14TEN@NYJBoxscore830-22-15.9Loss451377.6%373452.1%
2SFO@PITBoxscore1843-25-15.9Loss513063%272551.9%
13MINSEABoxscore738-31-16Loss321666.7%303645.5%
10DENKANBoxscore1329-16-16.4Loss491675.4%333250.8%
1OAKCINBoxscore1333-20-16.9Loss451673.8%343152.3%
13CLECINBoxscore337-34-17.5Loss411968.3%233341.1%
17ARISEABoxscore636-30-17.6Loss451377.6%333747.1%
8DET@KANBoxscore1045-35-17.6Loss441475.9%313249.2%
3JAX@NWEBoxscore1751-34-17.7Loss352063.6%443257.9%
7SDGOAKBoxscore2937-8-18.5Loss592173.8%322655.2%
3MIABUFBoxscore1441-27-18.9Loss512071.8%293446%
16TENHOUBoxscore634-28-19.1Loss521182.5%274239.1%
4HOU@ATLBoxscore2148-27-22.3Loss581777.3%293545.3%
1TAMTENBoxscore1442-28-23.4Loss372658.7%183236%
14ATL@CARBoxscore038-38-24.1Loss461674.2%293247.5%
3SFO@ARIBoxscore747-40-24.3Loss212942%333747.1%
7HOU@MIABoxscore2644-18-25.9Loss532567.9%243540.7%

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{ 12 comments }
  • Tom

    Thought it might be interesting to use the Game Scripts for predicting upcoming scores; I’ll be posting the results here in the comments section of this page. The numbers have only been adjusted for strength of opponent (HFA wasn’t factored in for the adjustment, but 2.5 points was used as HFA for the predicted spread).

    Some thoughts (see the picture for the numbers):

    1. From a betting perspective, the Game Scripts did a respectable job in a pretty tough week, getting 7 out of 13 correct (54%). Although “the right side is the winning side” as Chad Millman says in his Behind the Bets podcast, I still think the GS got it right picking Denver and New Orleans to cover against Indy and Tennessee. Not saying those games should have been blowouts, but I wouldn’t have picked either underdog to actually win.

    2. So, where did GS get it right and Vegas got it wrong? Atlanta @ SF. The Game Scripts had the Niners at +0.4, while Vegas had them as 6.5 dogs; SF ended up winning by a point.

    3. Where was the GS way off? The Eagles/Cowboys matchup. GS had the spread at ‘Boys -3.5, Vegas had +2.5. As we know, the Eagles won by 3. As mentioned, the Denver/Indy game was also a bit of a surprise, GS had Indy +7.9; Vegas was much closer at +3.5.

    Hope some of you find this interesting, let me know if the picture is useless…I’ll figure something else out. Thanks.

    • How are you calculating GS Spread? If I do average scripts the math doesn’t work out.

      • Tom

        UrinalMint –

        I’m also adjusting the Game Scripts for strength of opponent. So through Week 9, I’ve Arizona having an average Game Script of 7.3; after the strength of opponent adjustment, their Game Script is 5.9. Let me know if you’re getting a different number for Arizona; I’ll double check my numbers. Thanks!

  • Tom

    Table

  • Tom

    Below is a table with the Game Scripts picks for Week 10. The Vegas and GS spreads are all within about 3 points of each other, except for three games: DAL@TAM, KAN@DEN, and HOU@CIN. While the Game Scripts are predicting Kansas to lose, they should cover the spread; Dallas, however, is predicted to win the game outright. We’ll see what happens…

  • Tom

    Game Scripts did fairly well this week, going 8 for 14, 57%. It was particularly good at picking the underdogs for games with spreads of over a touchdown: DET, CHI and NYG. However, it did miss on last night’s HOU-CIN game (CIN -10.5). Will post the spreads for Week 11 tomorrow.

  • Tom

    Here are the results from Week 11…once again, the Game Scripts correctly picked 8 out of 14 games against the spread for 57%. Considering the best handicappers are somewhere in the 52%-60% range, I’d say the Game Scripts are doing fairly well (at least over the past three weeks). When I get some time, I’ll back track and get the results for the entire season (starting in Week 4 when he have enough data). If anyone’s reading this, have a great Thanksgiving!

  • Tom

    Results from Week 12 are below. Using the Game Scripts to pick games this week gave us 9 out of 16 correct against the spread; we’re now 32 for 57 (56%) since Week 9. Not too shabby…

  • Tom

    Results from Week 13. The Game Scripts turned it up a notch (just one notch) by winning 10 out of 16 games, or 63%; since Week 9, the “GS Method” is averaging 58%. Again, the GS spreads were pretty much in line with the Vegas spread: the correlation is 0.90, the standard deviation of the differences between the Vegas and GS spreads is +/- 2.3.

  • Tom

    Results from Week 14. Game Scripts are holding steady, winning 8 games this week. Since Week 9, we’ve to a winning percentage of 56%. If you’d wagered $10 on every game, you’d be up $64.50…yippee!