According to the SRS, this is as lopsided as championship games get. The Patriots are 12.8 points better than average while the Ravens have an SRS of just +2.9; therefore, you’d put New England as 13-point favorites at home (in reality, they are 8-point favorites). I’ve been a Ravens skeptic for a couple of months [...]
FootballPerspective.com- Charles Woodson Returns To Oakland: Now Where Does He Rank? May 23, 2013Charles Woodson is back in Silver and Black. Woodson was drafted by Oakland with the 4th pick in the 1998 Draft and had a very good eight-year run with the Raiders. But he saw experienced even more success with the Packers, and the two biggest highlights of his career — winning the AP Defensive Player […]
- Wherefore Art Thou Fullback? May 22, 2013When you think of the fullback in today’s game, you probably think of a player like Vonta Leach, widely regarded as the best blocking back in the NFL. There are also the H-Back/receiving fullback types, like Marcel Reece or James Casey, and the rushing fullbacks like Le’Ron McClain, Jacob Hester, and Mike Tolbert. And it’s […]
- The Most Pass-Happy Coaches in NFL History May 21, 2013Yesterday, I looked at the most pass-happy active head coaches and offensive coordinators in the NFL. If you’ve been a loyal reader of my previous posts on Game Scripts, you understand the methodology I’ve used today to grade each coaches. The quick summary is I’ve come up with the term “Game Scripts” to determine the […]
- Which coaches are the most pass happy? May 20, 2013One reason I came up with the concept of Game Scripts was to identify the most pass-happy coaches. Remember, a team’s Game Script score is simply their average scoring differential over each second of every game. Last year, the Falcons were the most pass-happy team in the NFL after adjusting for Game Scripts; Atlanta had […]
- Fantasy Football: Yearly Trends in VBD (FBG) May 19, 2013Over at Footballguys.com, I analyzed how the fantasy value of quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends have changed since 1990. The NFL is a very different beast than it was 23 years ago, but you might be surprised to see what that means for fantasy football. To measure value, I examined the VBD curves […]
- Longest Streaks without a 1,000-yard rusher May 18, 2013Two weeks ago, I looked at the longest streaks where a team failed to have a player rush for 100 yards. Richie asked me if I could run the numbers on the longest streaks without a 1,000-yard rusher. The longest active streak in the NFL belongs to the Detroit Lions, who have not boasted a […]
- Examining Previous Eddie Lacy/Johnathan Franklin pairs May 17, 2013Green Bay didn’t use a first round pick on a running back, but the Packers did spend a second round pick on Alabama’s Eddie Lacy and a fourth round pick on UCLA’s Johnathan Franklin. How much weight should we put on draft status when one team drafts two running backs just a couple of rounds […]
- Are the Chiefs better than your average worst team? May 16, 2013How bad were the Chiefs last year? Kansas City went 2-14, tied for the worst record in the league with Jacksonville. Since the Chiefs faced an easier schedule, they received the first pick. With an Simple Rating System score of -14.0, Kansas City had the worst SRS rating in the league. They ranked 32nd in […]
- Quarterbacks Were Healthier Than Ever in 2012 May 15, 2013Twenty quarterbacks started all sixteen games last season: Eli Manning Tony Romo Andrew Luck Russell Wilson Peyton Manning Matthew Stafford Sam Bradford Aaron Rodgers Matt Schaub Ryan Tannehill Matt Ryan Christian Ponder Drew Brees Ryan Fitzpatrick Tom Brady Josh Freeman Cam Newton Philip Rivers Joe Flacco Andy Dalton Mark Sanchez started 15 games for the [. […]
- Placing Cecil Shorts’ Production in Context May 14, 2013One of the surprising success stories of the 2012 season was the breakout performance of second-year Jacksonville wide receiver Cecil Shorts. With a cap value of $729,000 in 2013, Shorts is probably the best value on the Jaguars roster. But he’s one of the more confusing players to project. The optimistic outlook on Shorts is […]
- Charles Woodson Returns To Oakland: Now Where Does He Rank? May 23, 2013