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Vegas

Betting Bad: Thinking About Uncertainty in Prediction

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Prop Joe’s Favorite NFL Prop Bets

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Updated: Vegas Futures Wins Totals

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2014 MVP Odds and Historical QB MVP Performance

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Not-Entirely-Awful NFL Futures Bets

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The Smarter (Sigh) Football Betting Market

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Previewing the World Cup by NFL Divisions

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Vegas Has The Seahawks As the Best Team in 2014

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Comparing 2014 Vegas Projections to Estimated Wins

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Why is the Over/Under So Low In Super Bowl XLVIII?

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The 2013 Playoffs Were Not Very Random

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The Patriots are 10-3 But Just 6-7 Against the Spread

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New York Times: Post-Week 3, 2013

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Favored to win or lose every game?

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Longest streaks as an underdog

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Longest streaks as a favorite

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NFL Futures

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Implied SRS Ratings of each NFL Team

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Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bets

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Super Bowl History

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A guide to Saturday’s games

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