≡ Menu

Browns Continue To Lose … Against the Spread, Too

Cleveland is 0-14 this year, but that’s maybe not the saddest stat of the Browns season. Everyone expected Cleveland to be bad, but Cleveland has also been really bad relative to expectations. After losing against on Sunday to the Bills, and again failing to cover against the spread, the Browns are now just 2-12 against the spread this season.

Cleveland covered in games against the Dolphins and Titans early in the year, but the Browns have now failed to cover the spread in eight straight games. The graph below shows the number of points Cleveland was expected to lose by in black, and the actual points differential in orange. Since the Browns have been underdogs and lost every game, the range goes from 0 to -30:

If Cleveland can keep it up, the Browns will become the first team to go 2-14 against the spread since 1978, which is as far back as the PFR database goes:

TeamYearWLTATS %
TEN320141300.188
BAL320071300.188
NWE319811300.188
PIT319801300.188
CIN319871200.200
STL320111210.219
NYG320031210.219
OAK320031210.219
DAL319971210.219
HOU319941210.219
BAL319811210.219
SFO319781210.219
HOU21982700.222
HOU420131200.250
PHI420121200.250
TAM420111200.250
CAR420101200.250
JAX420081200.250
STL420021200.250
CIN420021200.250
ARI420001200.250
OAK419971200.250
CIN419911200.250
RAM419911200.250
NWE419901200.250
NYJ419891200.250
NOR419851200.250
ATL419841200.250
HOU419841200.250

As far as I can tell, only two teams since 1978 have had streaks of 10 straight losses against the spread, which Cleveland would match if they fail to cover in the final two games.

  • The 1981 Colts went 2-14, with wins in the season opener and season finale sandwiched around a 14-game losing streak. Baltimore failed to cover in their final 10 losses of the season, too. That was due to one of the worst defenses in NFL history. In that 10 game against-the-spread-losing-streak, Baltimore allowed 367 points… 101 more than any other team.
  • Three years later, the 1984 Oilers opened the season 0-10 with ten straight losses against the spread; Houston also failed to cover in the 1983 season finale, making this 11-game streak without covering or pushing the longest in the dataset.

The Browns have already become just the fourth team in NFL history to go 0-14, matching the 1976 Bucs, the 1980 Saints, and 2008 Lions.  The Bucs played during a 14-game season, of course, while the Saints finished 1-15 and the Lions became the first 0-16 team in NFL history.  That Detroit team seems poised to have some company, with the Chargers and Steelers being the final two opponents for the Browns this season.

  • Josh Sanford

    I know a lot ca change in a couple of weeks, but it does really seem like the Browns are going to lose all of their games. That is pretty terrible. It looks like they have lost 17 in a row now, and they have only won once in their last 25 games. Can that be? It’s no wonder Terrell Pryor has dissociative events* during the games. He’s trying to make it through the day.

    * According to Adam Jones

  • John

    The 1990 pats are the worst team I ever saw