Bill Simmons wrote about LaDainian Tomlinson last month and called him the best fantasy football player of all-time. “Greatest ever” debates are always subjective, but at least when it comes to fantasy football, we can get pretty close to declaring a definitive answer. Joe Bryant’s landmark “Value Base Drafting” system explained that the “value of a player is determined not by the number of points he scores, but by how much he outscores his peers at his particular position.” Bryant came up with the concept of calculating a ‘VBD’ number for each player to measure their value.
A player’s VBD is easy to calculate. Each player’s VBD score is the difference between the amount of fantasy points he scored and the fantasy points scored by the worst starter (at his position) in your fantasy league. A player who scores fewer fantasy points than the worst starter has a VBD of 0. There is no standard scoring system for fantasy leagues, so a player’s fantasy points total will depend on the specific league’s scoring rules.1 And, of course, his VBD score will change depending on the number of starters at each position in the league.2
That said, once you pick a scoring system and a set of rules, it’s easy to calculate career VBD scores for every player since 19503. Let’s start with the quarterbacks:
Player | Years | POS | Teams | VBD | OVR RK | POS RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Manning | 1998--2010 | QB | clt | 1071 | 9 | 1 |
| Brett Favre | 1992--2010 | QB | atl-gnb-nyj-min | 1061 | 10 | 2 |
| Dan Marino | 1983--1999 | QB | mia | 988 | 14 | 3 |
| Fran Tarkenton | 1961--1978 | QB | min-nyg | 921 | 15 | 4 |
| Steve Young | 1985--1999 | QB | tam-sfo | 774 | 24 | 5 |
| Joe Montana | 1979--1994 | QB | sfo-kan | 727 | 33 | 6 |
| Randall Cunningham | 1985--2001 | QB | phi-min-dal-rav | 723 | 35 | 7 |
| Tom Brady | 2000--2011 | QB | nwe | 720 | 36 | 8 |
| Drew Brees | 2001--2011 | QB | sdg-nor | 688 | 38 | 9 |
| John Elway | 1983--1998 | QB | den | 660 | 40 | 10 |
| Roger Staubach | 1969--1979 | QB | dal | 630 | 44 | 11 |
| Johnny Unitas | 1956--1973 | QB | clt-sdg | 625 | 47 | 12 |
| Warren Moon | 1984--2000 | QB | oti-min-sea-kan | 592 | 57 | 13 |
| Ken Anderson | 1971--1986 | QB | cin | 539 | 74 | 14 |
| Sonny Jurgensen | 1957--1974 | QB | phi-was | 528 | 77 | 15 |
| Dan Fouts | 1973--1987 | QB | sdg | 526 | 78 | 16 |
| Daunte Culpepper | 1999--2009 | QB | min-mia-rai-det | 515 | 80 | 17 |
| Aaron Rodgers | 2005--2011 | QB | gnb | 507 | 83 | 18 |
| Tobin Rote | 1950--1964 | QB | gnb-det-sdg-den | 494 | 88 | 19 |
| Roman Gabriel | 1962--1977 | QB | ram-phi | 404 | 130 | 20 |
| Rich Gannon | 1988--2004 | QB | min-was-kan-rai | 396 | 135 | 21 |
| Kurt Warner | 1998--2009 | QB | ram-nyg-crd | 396 | 136 | 22 |
| Bobby Layne | 1950--1962 | QB | chi-nyy-det-pit | 385 | 140 | 23 |
| Y.A. Tittle | 1950--1964 | QB | bcl-sfo-nyg | 384 | 141 | 24 |
| Daryle Lamonica | 1963--1973 | QB | buf-rai | 368 | 153 | 25 |
No matter how many times I see it, it always surprises me to see Joe Montana rank so high in career VBD. I’ve long thought that his reputation as a winner and a clutch quarterback is a disservice to the man who was a legitimately dominant statistical quarterback in the regular season.
Next up: Running backs.
Player | Years | POS | Teams | VBD | OVR RK | POS RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaDainian Tomlinson | 2001--2011 | RB | sdg-nyj | 1443 | 2 | 1 |
| Marshall Faulk | 1994--2005 | RB | clt-ram | 1308 | 3 | 2 |
| Jim Brown | 1957--1965 | RB | cle | 1297 | 4 | 3 |
| Emmitt Smith | 1990--2004 | RB | dal-crd | 1286 | 5 | 4 |
| Walter Payton | 1975--1987 | RB | chi | 1236 | 6 | 5 |
| Barry Sanders | 1989--1998 | RB | det | 1157 | 7 | 6 |
| Curtis Martin | 1995--2005 | RB | nwe-nyj | 900 | 16 | 7 |
| Marcus Allen | 1982--1997 | RB | rai-kan | 846 | 18 | 8 |
| Ricky Watters | 1992--2001 | RB | sfo-phi-sea | 841 | 19 | 9 |
| Thurman Thomas | 1988--2000 | RB | buf-mia | 828 | 21 | 10 |
| Edgerrin James | 1999--2009 | RB | clt-crd-sea | 789 | 22 | 11 |
| Eric Dickerson | 1983--1993 | RB | ram-clt-rai-atl | 784 | 23 | 12 |
| Shaun Alexander | 2000--2008 | RB | sea-was | 759 | 27 | 13 |
| Tiki Barber | 1997--2006 | RB | nyg | 746 | 28 | 14 |
| Lenny Moore | 1956--1967 | RB | clt | 744 | 29 | 15 |
| Priest Holmes | 1998--2007 | RB | rav-kan | 735 | 31 | 16 |
| Chuck Foreman | 1973--1980 | RB | min-nwe | 667 | 39 | 17 |
| O.J. Simpson | 1969--1979 | RB | buf-sfo | 655 | 41 | 18 |
| Tony Dorsett | 1977--1988 | RB | dal-den | 632 | 43 | 19 |
| Ahman Green | 1998--2009 | RB | sea-gnb-htx | 610 | 51 | 20 |
| Terrell Davis | 1995--2001 | RB | den | 609 | 52 | 21 |
| Clinton Portis | 2002--2010 | RB | den-was | 602 | 53 | 22 |
| Roger Craig | 1983--1993 | RB | sfo-rai-min | 595 | 56 | 23 |
| Herschel Walker | 1986--1997 | RB | dal-min-phi-nyg | 575 | 61 | 24 |
| Leroy Kelly | 1964--1973 | RB | cle | 567 | 62 | 25 |
In 2000 and 2001, Marshall Faulk missed four total games when he was the most dominant fantasy force on the planet. Had he not missed those, he would have likely ended up with over 1400 points of VBD. The debate between Faulk and Tomlinson would be a good one, although Tomlinson would win out based on longevity. As far as peak, the edge goes to Faulk, who holds two of the top four seasons in FP/G history at the position. Although in recent history, perhaps the best peak belonged to Priest Holmes, who — if you include his 8-game season in 2004 — had three of the top seven seasons by FP/G among all running backs.
But even if Tomlinson is the top fantasy running back of all time, he’s got some pretty stiff competition at wide receiver:
Wide Receivers
Player | Years | POS | Teams | VBD | OVR RK | POS RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Rice | 1985--2004 | WR | sfo-rai-sea | 1819 | 1 | 1 |
| Randy Moss | 1998--2010 | WR | min-rai-nwe-oti | 1146 | 8 | 2 |
| Marvin Harrison | 1996--2008 | WR | clt | 1019 | 12 | 3 |
| Terrell Owens | 1996--2010 | WR | sfo-phi-dal-buf-cin | 1013 | 13 | 4 |
| Lance Alworth | 1962--1972 | WR | sdg-dal | 847 | 17 | 5 |
| Steve Largent | 1976--1989 | WR | sea | 834 | 20 | 6 |
| Cris Carter | 1987--2002 | WR | phi-min-mia | 771 | 25 | 7 |
| Torry Holt | 1999--2009 | WR | ram-jax | 739 | 30 | 8 |
| Don Maynard | 1958--1973 | WR | nyg-nyj-crd | 729 | 32 | 9 |
| Art Powell | 1960--1968 | WR | phi-nyj-rai-buf-min | 724 | 34 | 10 |
| Charley Taylor | 1964--1977 | WR | was | 688 | 37 | 11 |
| Tim Brown | 1988--2004 | WR | rai-tam | 651 | 42 | 12 |
| James Lofton | 1978--1993 | WR | gnb-rai-buf-phi-ram | 630 | 45 | 13 |
| Isaac Bruce | 1994--2009 | WR | ram-sfo | 629 | 46 | 14 |
| Raymond Berry | 1955--1967 | WR | clt | 619 | 48 | 15 |
| Bobby Mitchell | 1958--1968 | WR | cle-was | 618 | 49 | 16 |
| Larry Fitzgerald | 2004--2011 | WR | crd | 613 | 50 | 17 |
| Reggie Wayne | 2001--2011 | WR | clt | 600 | 55 | 18 |
| Sterling Sharpe | 1988--1994 | WR | gnb | 591 | 59 | 19 |
| Chad Ochocinco | 2001--2011 | WR | cin-nwe | 582 | 60 | 20 |
| Harold Carmichael | 1971--1984 | WR | phi-dal | 562 | 63 | 21 |
| Harold Jackson | 1969--1983 | WR | ram-phi-nwe-min-sea | 558 | 64 | 22 |
| Bob Hayes | 1965--1975 | WR | dal-sfo | 557 | 65 | 23 |
| Steve Smith | 2001--2011 | WR | car | 546 | 67 | 24 |
| Jimmy Smith | 1995--2005 | WR | dal-jax | 546 | 68 | 25 |
| Rod Smith | 1995--2006 | WR | den | 545 | 69 | 26 |
| Michael Irvin | 1988--1999 | WR | dal | 544 | 71 | 27 |
| Mark Clayton | 1983--1993 | WR | mia-gnb | 529 | 76 | 28 |
| Paul Warfield | 1964--1977 | WR | cle-mia | 497 | 85 | 29 |
| Cliff Branch | 1972--1984 | WR | rai | 496 | 86 | 30 |
| Ernest Givins | 1986--1995 | WR | oti-jax | 494 | 87 | 31 |
| Fred Biletnikoff | 1965--1978 | WR | rai | 494 | 89 | 32 |
| Lionel Taylor | 1960--1968 | WR | chi-den-oti | 489 | 90 | 33 |
| Hines Ward | 1998--2011 | WR | pit | 487 | 91 | 34 |
| Herman Moore | 1991--2001 | WR | det-nyg | 483 | 93 | 35 |
| Andre Rison | 1989--2000 | WR | clt-atl-cle-jax-gnb-kan-rai | 481 | 95 | 36 |
| Billy Howton | 1952--1963 | WR | gnb-cle-dal | 477 | 96 | 37 |
| Charley Hennigan | 1960--1966 | WR | oti | 474 | 97 | 38 |
| Gary Clark | 1985--1995 | WR | was-crd-mia | 473 | 98 | 39 |
| Andre Reed | 1985--2000 | WR | buf-was | 470 | 99 | 40 |
Jerry Rice’s dominance at the position is unmatched. Although what Tony Gonzalez has done at tight end is a pretty close second:
Tight Ends
Player | Years | POS | Teams | VBD | OVR RK | POS RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Gonzalez | 1997--2011 | TE | kan-atl | 1041 | 11 | 1 |
| Shannon Sharpe | 1990--2003 | TE | den-rav | 769 | 26 | 2 |
| Kellen Winslow | 1979--1987 | TE | sdg | 600 | 54 | 3 |
| Antonio Gates | 2003--2011 | TE | sdg | 592 | 58 | 4 |
| Todd Christensen | 1981--1988 | TE | rai-nyg | 552 | 66 | 5 |
| Ben Coates | 1991--2000 | TE | nwe-rav | 454 | 103 | 6 |
| Ozzie Newsome | 1978--1990 | TE | cle | 454 | 104 | 7 |
| Jason Witten | 2003--2011 | TE | dal | 453 | 105 | 8 |
| Dave Casper | 1974--1984 | TE | rai-oti-min | 421 | 119 | 9 |
| Keith Jackson | 1988--1996 | TE | phi-mia-gnb | 402 | 131 | 10 |
| Mike Ditka | 1961--1972 | TE | chi-phi-dal | 343 | 165 | 11 |
| Jerry Smith | 1965--1977 | TE | was | 335 | 174 | 12 |
| Jackie Smith | 1963--1977 | TE | crd-dal | 324 | 182 | 13 |
| Wesley Walls | 1989--2003 | TE | sfo-nor-car-gnb | 303 | 204 | 14 |
| John Mackey | 1963--1972 | TE | clt-sdg | 270 | 228 | 15 |
| Rich Caster | 1970--1981 | TE | nyj-oti-was-nor | 263 | 240 | 16 |
| Riley Odoms | 1972--1983 | TE | den | 253 | 248 | 17 |
| Mark Bavaro | 1985--1994 | TE | nyg-cle-phi | 244 | 258 | 18 |
| Mickey Shuler | 1978--1991 | TE | nyj-phi | 241 | 263 | 19 |
| Frank Wycheck | 1993--2003 | TE | was-oti | 241 | 264 | 20 |
| Bob Tucker | 1970--1980 | TE | nyg-min | 239 | 265 | 21 |
| Brent Jones | 1987--1997 | TE | sfo | 236 | 269 | 22 |
| Steve Jordan | 1982--1994 | TE | min | 226 | 276 | 23 |
| Billy Cannon | 1960--1970 | TE | oti-rai-kan | 224 | 282 | 24 |
| Ted Kwalick | 1969--1976 | TE | sfo-rai | 222 | 284 | 25 |
Let’s close with a look at the overall list:
Player | Years | POS | Teams | VBD | OVR RK | POS RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Rice | 1985--2004 | WR | sfo-rai-sea | 1819 | 1 | 1 |
| LaDainian Tomlinson | 2001--2011 | RB | sdg-nyj | 1443 | 2 | 1 |
| Marshall Faulk | 1994--2005 | RB | clt-ram | 1308 | 3 | 2 |
| Jim Brown | 1957--1965 | RB | cle | 1297 | 4 | 3 |
| Emmitt Smith | 1990--2004 | RB | dal-crd | 1286 | 5 | 4 |
| Walter Payton | 1975--1987 | RB | chi | 1236 | 6 | 5 |
| Barry Sanders | 1989--1998 | RB | det | 1157 | 7 | 6 |
| Randy Moss | 1998--2010 | WR | min-rai-nwe-oti | 1146 | 8 | 2 |
| Peyton Manning | 1998--2010 | QB | clt | 1071 | 9 | 1 |
| Brett Favre | 1992--2010 | QB | atl-gnb-nyj-min | 1061 | 10 | 2 |
| Tony Gonzalez | 1997--2011 | TE | kan-atl | 1041 | 11 | 1 |
| Marvin Harrison | 1996--2008 | WR | clt | 1019 | 12 | 3 |
| Terrell Owens | 1996--2010 | WR | sfo-phi-dal-buf-cin | 1013 | 13 | 4 |
| Dan Marino | 1983--1999 | QB | mia | 988 | 14 | 3 |
| Fran Tarkenton | 1961--1978 | QB | min-nyg | 921 | 15 | 4 |
| Curtis Martin | 1995--2005 | RB | nwe-nyj | 900 | 16 | 7 |
| Lance Alworth | 1962--1972 | WR | sdg-dal | 847 | 17 | 5 |
| Marcus Allen | 1982--1997 | RB | rai-kan | 846 | 18 | 8 |
| Ricky Watters | 1992--2001 | RB | sfo-phi-sea | 841 | 19 | 9 |
| Steve Largent | 1976--1989 | WR | sea | 834 | 20 | 6 |
| Thurman Thomas | 1988--2000 | RB | buf-mia | 828 | 21 | 10 |
| Edgerrin James | 1999--2009 | RB | clt-crd-sea | 789 | 22 | 11 |
| Eric Dickerson | 1983--1993 | RB | ram-clt-rai-atl | 784 | 23 | 12 |
| Steve Young | 1985--1999 | QB | tam-sfo | 774 | 24 | 5 |
| Cris Carter | 1987--2002 | WR | phi-min-mia | 771 | 25 | 7 |
| Shannon Sharpe | 1990--2003 | TE | den-rav | 769 | 26 | 2 |
| Shaun Alexander | 2000--2008 | RB | sea-was | 759 | 27 | 13 |
| Tiki Barber | 1997--2006 | RB | nyg | 746 | 28 | 14 |
| Lenny Moore | 1956--1967 | RB | clt | 744 | 29 | 15 |
| Torry Holt | 1999--2009 | WR | ram-jax | 739 | 30 | 8 |
| Priest Holmes | 1998--2007 | RB | rav-kan | 735 | 31 | 16 |
| Don Maynard | 1958--1973 | WR | nyg-nyj-crd | 729 | 32 | 9 |
| Joe Montana | 1979--1994 | QB | sfo-kan | 727 | 33 | 6 |
| Art Powell | 1960--1968 | WR | phi-nyj-rai-buf-min | 724 | 34 | 10 |
| Randall Cunningham | 1985--2001 | QB | phi-min-dal-rav | 723 | 35 | 7 |
| Tom Brady | 2000--2011 | QB | nwe | 720 | 36 | 8 |
| Charley Taylor | 1964--1977 | WR | was | 688 | 37 | 11 |
| Drew Brees | 2001--2011 | QB | sdg-nor | 688 | 38 | 9 |
| Chuck Foreman | 1973--1980 | RB | min-nwe | 667 | 39 | 17 |
| John Elway | 1983--1998 | QB | den | 660 | 40 | 10 |
| O.J. Simpson | 1969--1979 | RB | buf-sfo | 655 | 41 | 18 |
| Tim Brown | 1988--2004 | WR | rai-tam | 651 | 42 | 12 |
| Tony Dorsett | 1977--1988 | RB | dal-den | 632 | 43 | 19 |
| Roger Staubach | 1969--1979 | QB | dal | 630 | 44 | 11 |
| James Lofton | 1978--1993 | WR | gnb-rai-buf-phi-ram | 630 | 45 | 13 |
| Isaac Bruce | 1994--2009 | WR | ram-sfo | 629 | 46 | 14 |
| Johnny Unitas | 1956--1973 | QB | clt-sdg | 625 | 47 | 12 |
| Raymond Berry | 1955--1967 | WR | clt | 619 | 48 | 15 |
| Bobby Mitchell | 1958--1968 | WR | cle-was | 618 | 49 | 16 |
| Larry Fitzgerald | 2004--2011 | WR | crd | 613 | 50 | 17 |
| Ahman Green | 1998--2009 | RB | sea-gnb-htx | 610 | 51 | 20 |
| Terrell Davis | 1995--2001 | RB | den | 609 | 52 | 21 |
| Clinton Portis | 2002--2010 | RB | den-was | 602 | 53 | 22 |
| Kellen Winslow | 1979--1987 | TE | sdg | 600 | 54 | 3 |
| Reggie Wayne | 2001--2011 | WR | clt | 600 | 55 | 18 |
| Roger Craig | 1983--1993 | RB | sfo-rai-min | 595 | 56 | 23 |
| Warren Moon | 1984--2000 | QB | oti-min-sea-kan | 592 | 57 | 13 |
| Antonio Gates | 2003--2011 | TE | sdg | 592 | 58 | 4 |
| Sterling Sharpe | 1988--1994 | WR | gnb | 591 | 59 | 19 |
| Chad Ochocinco | 2001--2011 | WR | cin-nwe | 582 | 60 | 20 |
| Herschel Walker | 1986--1997 | RB | dal-min-phi-nyg | 575 | 61 | 24 |
| Leroy Kelly | 1964--1973 | RB | cle | 567 | 62 | 25 |
| Harold Carmichael | 1971--1984 | WR | phi-dal | 562 | 63 | 21 |
| Harold Jackson | 1969--1983 | WR | ram-phi-nwe-min-sea | 558 | 64 | 22 |
| Bob Hayes | 1965--1975 | WR | dal-sfo | 557 | 65 | 23 |
| Todd Christensen | 1981--1988 | TE | rai-nyg | 552 | 66 | 5 |
| Steve Smith | 2001--2011 | WR | car | 546 | 67 | 24 |
| Jimmy Smith | 1995--2005 | WR | dal-jax | 546 | 68 | 25 |
| Rod Smith | 1995--2006 | WR | den | 545 | 69 | 26 |
| Eddie George | 1996--2004 | RB | oti-dal | 544 | 70 | 26 |
| Michael Irvin | 1988--1999 | WR | dal | 544 | 71 | 27 |
| Jim Taylor | 1958--1967 | RB | gnb-nor | 542 | 72 | 27 |
| Lydell Mitchell | 1972--1980 | RB | clt-sdg-ram | 540 | 73 | 28 |
| Ken Anderson | 1971--1986 | QB | cin | 539 | 74 | 14 |
| Maurice Jones-Drew | 2006--2011 | RB | jax | 531 | 75 | 29 |
| Mark Clayton | 1983--1993 | WR | mia-gnb | 529 | 76 | 28 |
| Sonny Jurgensen | 1957--1974 | QB | phi-was | 528 | 77 | 15 |
| Dan Fouts | 1973--1987 | QB | sdg | 526 | 78 | 16 |
| Ottis Anderson | 1979--1992 | RB | crd-nyg | 520 | 79 | 30 |
| Daunte Culpepper | 1999--2009 | QB | min-mia-rai-det | 515 | 80 | 17 |
| Brian Westbrook | 2002--2010 | RB | phi-sfo | 515 | 81 | 31 |
| Steven Jackson | 2004--2011 | RB | ram | 509 | 82 | 32 |
| Aaron Rodgers | 2005--2011 | QB | gnb | 507 | 83 | 18 |
| William Andrews | 1979--1986 | RB | atl | 499 | 84 | 33 |
| Paul Warfield | 1964--1977 | WR | cle-mia | 497 | 85 | 29 |
| Cliff Branch | 1972--1984 | WR | rai | 496 | 86 | 30 |
| Ernest Givins | 1986--1995 | WR | oti-jax | 494 | 87 | 31 |
| Tobin Rote | 1950--1964 | QB | gnb-det-sdg-den | 494 | 88 | 19 |
| Fred Biletnikoff | 1965--1978 | WR | rai | 494 | 89 | 32 |
| Lionel Taylor | 1960--1968 | WR | chi-den-oti | 489 | 90 | 33 |
| Hines Ward | 1998--2011 | WR | pit | 487 | 91 | 34 |
| Franco Harris | 1972--1984 | RB | pit-sea | 485 | 92 | 34 |
| Herman Moore | 1991--2001 | WR | det-nyg | 483 | 93 | 35 |
| Adrian Peterson | 2007--2011 | RB | min | 481 | 94 | 35 |
| Andre Rison | 1989--2000 | WR | clt-atl-cle-jax-gnb-kan-rai | 481 | 95 | 36 |
| Billy Howton | 1952--1963 | WR | gnb-cle-dal | 477 | 96 | 37 |
| Charley Hennigan | 1960--1966 | WR | oti | 474 | 97 | 38 |
| Gary Clark | 1985--1995 | WR | was-crd-mia | 473 | 98 | 39 |
| Andre Reed | 1985--2000 | WR | buf-was | 470 | 99 | 40 |
| Ricky Williams | 1999--2011 | RB | nor-mia-rav | 470 | 100 | 36 |
Obviously fantasy football wasn’t widespread at all in the ’50s or ’60s, and wasn’t even very popular during most of Rice’s prime. So on a realistic level, Tomlinson and Faulk are probably the best fantasy football players of all-time, just because of the recent boom in the popularity of fantasy football. But from a statistical perspective — as is often the case — there is no topping Jerry Rice.
- I’ve decided to use a blend of the most common scoring options: 1 point per 20 yards passing, 5 points per passing touchdown, -2 points per interception, 6 points for rushing/receiving touchdowns, 1 point per 10 yards rushing/receiving, 0.5 points per reception. [↩]
- Again, I’m using a blend here, but for baseline purposes I’m using QB12, RB24, WR32 and TE12, since the standard 12-team league starts 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2-3 WRs and 1 TE. [↩]
- I’ve pro-rated production for those players who were part of seasons when the NFL did not have a 16-game schedule; I also changed the baseline numbers depending on the number of teams in the league, as a baseline of QB12 doesn’t make sense for 1950, when there were only 12 teams. [↩]

{ 14 comments… read them below or add one }
The two things that struck me the most looking at these list were (a) how well Marcus Allen came out and (b) Daunte Culpepper is that high from basically four seasons.
(a) probably surprises me primarily because I was born in Colorado in ’85 and so grew up seeing Allen as a Chief before I started playing fantasy. That type of third-down/change-of-pace back didn’t usually have much value in those relatively pre-RBBC days. I obviously know about his time with the Raiders before that and that he had a few years of very high level production there, so it makes sense that such a peak with an extended career providing a little value almost every year adds up to a high ranking, but it’s still a surprise.
(b) is just impressive. Culpepper’s production, regardless of who really deserves the lion’s share of the credit for it, at his peak, was as good as anybody’s. His ’04 season was great fun to me, since in the leagues where I was playing at that point, he outscored Peyton Manning, which just seemed to annoy people for some reason. I just always found it amusing.
Marcus Allen didn’t really hace a “a few peak years”. The man was one of the best and most versatile RBs in the league for a solid decade, even if his carer stats look as though he started extremely well and then tapered off. the truth is, he wasn’t particularly well-liked whilst with the Raiders, and by the time he got on a team that would have given him the carries his talent demanded, he was too old for it. Allen was truly amazing to watch, and it’s a shame if some people think that his chief greatness (haha, see what I did there?) was longevity.
A. I did not say that he was only great for longevity. That’s a pure straw man.
B. I did not say he had “a few peak years.” If you’re going to put it in quotes, you need to actually quote it. What I said was that he had “a few years of very high level production,” which is entirely accurate. His actual production DID start extremely well and then drop off (It didn’t really “taper off”–it dropped suddenly in ’86, then took another small drop in ’87, then stayed relatively stable thereafter.), no matter whether his talent level was still the same or not. Particularly considering that we’re talking about an article about fantasy football, it does not add anything to his production if he had more talent than that.
He had 646 VBD per p-f-r (Which isn’t exactly the same as what Chase used here, but it is close enough for looking at the shape of a player’s fantasy career.) in his first four years, then 259 in the next 12 years (123 in the rest of his first decade in the league). That’s a really high four-year peak followed by a lot of years producing some but not a ton of value, which is exactly what I said before.
I’m surprised that Emmitt Smith didn’t come out #1 for RB. For many years, he was so annoying, because it seemed like he would have 2 TD’s by the end of the first quarter almost every week.
I noticed that your VBD numbers are different than on PFR. In fact, PFR shows Smith as slightly better in career VBD than LdT. Why is that? I see that you adjusted VBD for number of teams in the league, but wouldn’t that help Smith, since most of his career was in the 28 and 30-team NFL?
I used 0.5 PPR, which is what bumps LT and Faulk ahead of Smith.
Ah…that makes sense. I’ve never played PPR in a money league.
Ah, this is great! Your tables are coded in a way that makes it very easy to paste them into Excel or Calc. This is very handy, if you want to quickly play around with the numbers yourself.
Way to be userfriendly!
Of all the players listed, it was most surprising to me to see Tobin Rote listed. Was he the only QB to start and win an NFL and AFL championship? Regardless, he was an amazing player for his time — his career numbers were diminished some by his time with the CFL during his prime.
Great list- my only criticism is that the baseline seems to need adjusting as comparing the 32 WR skews the list too heavily in favor of elite wideouts.
As an example, anyone who plays fantasy football would tell you that RB is the most valuable spot, and then QB before WR.
Sure, Rice obviously crushed all the WRs during his playing time, just as Moss has. But the guy with Jerry Rice would have had less of a shot of winning his championship than the guy with Barry Sanders, or even Steve Young, since WRs are Feast or famine week to week, while RBs and QBs are far more consistent every Sunday.
This list also doesn’t consider a flex spot; that might seem minor but it also means that you should be comparing RBs to some WRs.
Furthermore, as anecdotal evidence shows that even though Calvin Johnson and Randy Moss (of the Patriots and Vikings) were expected to put up “Rice” type domination on a year to year basis, experts would at best make them the 8th or 9th pick.
Also, PPR leagues are not the most popular and I recommend dropping that criterion altogether.
In my opinion, you should change the WR to 24 and review the results. Because WR is so inconsistent if you look at 32 WRs probably 20-30% of the top 32 week to week wouldn’t even be in a team’s lineup.
These are minor points, as I actually think other than the ridiculous over-valuation of WRs compared to other positions it is great to compare players of different eras.
Thanks for this list!
I am playing some “retro” fantasy football and this list will help a lot. We started in 1979 and are working our way forward, just about to start the 1992 season.
I would love to see a list like this that ranks players according to how many times they were fantasy studs, starts, and duds. A combination of that list with the list you have provided would make an even more accurate measure of who the best fantasy players of all time were.
How do you play “retro” fantasy football? Seems like you would already know to pick Dan Marino first in 1984, etc.
It’s actually a lot of fun. Yes, you know who will score the most points over the whole season, but there is still quite a bit of mystery from week to week since it is head to head. In fact, the team that got Marino in 1984 only finished 9-5 and lost in the first round of the playoffs. It is also a challenge to decide who will be the most valuable.
We also get 2 keepers so you have to keep an eye on the future as well. For example I just drafted Brett Favre for 1992, but he is only the 7th best QB that year, so I will probably not have a good year. But I am looking strong over then next several years with Favre as my QB.
There are no backups, no trading, and no free agent pickups. Who you draft is who you have for that year. If they got injured that season, you don’t get points during the games they miss. It’s a 14 game season using weeks 15 and 16 as the playoffs.
Anyway, it works well enough. And like I said, it is quite fun for me and the group that plays with me.
Do you guys go on your honor not to look at the weekly scores before the draft, to see which players are consistently the best?
Or does it just not matter, since scores are just high and low from week to week, and when you mix in ~10 players on a weekly roster, it would be impossible to maximize your score (plus the randomness of H2H schedules) enough to win all your games?
How often do you play each “week” from the past? And how do you announce the results? Does your commish just send out an e-mail summarizing the results, or is something done to make it more dramatic?
None of us are so into winning that we would spend as much time as that would take. But I imagine that it wouldn’t really matter for all of the reasons you suggest. The H2H schedules makes it really difficult to predict. I would think that you could gain at most 1 win a year by doing that. And don’t forget that the chances of you getting all 7 players you want in the draft is minimal.
I am the commish of that league and how often I do a week just depends on how much time I have. I rarely if ever do it during baseball or football season since we have current fantasy seasons going on at that time. But I try to get a few seasons completed from January through March when nothing is going on.
What is really fun about it is that our current fantasy league is done through espn, but officially it is done through excel sheets that I have made. I keep a very detailed history of our league on excel sheets also. We started the league in 2006, but my favorite players are from the 80′s and 90′s when I was a kid. I wanted, in particular, Barry Sanders to be apart of the history of our league, so this “retro” football counts as part of the history of our current league, so 2005 will be the last year we do it. That way, when I look at the all time stats sheet for our league, the likes of Barry, Jerry Rice, Joe Montana, and Dan Marino will be on that page.
As far as announcing the results, I just send an email out with the excel sheets of the standings, player stats, and week results when I am done with a particular week. Nothing too special. It’s just something fun to do during the hiatus between football and baseball that adds depth to our football league.
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