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Trindon Holliday’s perfect season: can he go 19-0?

Holliday went 11-0 with the Broncos in the regular season.

Holliday went 11-0 with the Broncos in the regular season.

I was going to save this post for later today if the Broncos won, but seeing as how Trindon Holliday just set a playoff record with the longest punt return touchdown in post-season history, the timing feels more appropriate now. Holliday was a sixth round pick of the Houston Texans in 2010. At 5-5, many viewed him too short to be effective in the NFL, but the Texans saw potential in him as returner (he led the SEC in punt return average in 2009 at LSU). Holliday didn’t make an instant impact, but the shortest player in the NFL in 25 years is trying to vault one of the biggest hurdles in the game: a 19-0 season.

Holliday led the NFL in punt return yards this season and finished the year 16-0. Wearing #16, Holliday gained 341 all-purpose yards in five games with Houston before the Texans decided that he wasn’t providing a big enough spark in the return game. The Broncos quickly scooped him up, and the Broncos finished the year 11-0. That gave Holliday a perfect 16-0 season. According to my data, no player has ever gone 19-0 in a season. Can Holliday become the first?

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Here are the selections:

Some quick thoughts: [continue reading…]

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I was on vacation last week, so I provided just a bare bones set of NFL playoff predictions. Technically, my picks went 4-0 on Wildcard Weekend, but that doesn’t count for much when you pick the favorite in every game. With a little more time on my hands, here’s an in-depth preview of Saturday’s games. Tomorrow I’ll be previewing Sunday’s action.

Baltimore Ravens (10-6) (+9.5) at Denver Broncos (13-3), Saturday 4:30PM ET

Manning looks for to win another Super Bowl

Manning points to his glove dealer.

Most of the signs in this game point squarely in the favor of Peyton Manning and the Broncos. Baltimore has wildly underachieved on the road the last few seasons, and in Denver does not seem like the optimal place for that trend to reverse itself. From 2002 to 2010, Manning went 8-0 against the Ravens, including a 2-0 mark in playoff games. If you double his numbers in those games (to approximate a 16-game season), Manning would have thrown for 4,044 yards and 28 touchdowns against just 12 interceptions, while averaging 7.8 Y/A and 7.9 AY/A to go with a 65.6% completion rate and a 97.7 passer rating. Manning was similarly lethal in Denver’s win over the Ravens in Baltimore earlier this year.
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Regular readers surely recall my “What are the Odds of That” post from this summer. In that article, I referenced an obscured Jacoby Jones stat: in 2011, he gained three times as many receiving yards against teams at the back end of the alphabet as he did against the teams he faced in the front of the alphabet. Then I asked, “what are the odds of that?”

This is a very good reason why it’s often inappropriate to apply standard significance tests to football statistics. Surely Jones’ splits would pass any standard significance test, signaling that his wild split was in fact “real” even though we know it wasn’t. With a large enough sample, you would expect to have false positives, which isn’t a knock on standard significant testing. If something is statistically significant at the 1% level, that doesn’t mean you shouldn’t expect to see a false positive if you have 100 different samples…

Some in the statistical community refer to this as the Wyatt Earp Effect. You’ve undoubtedly heard of Wyatt Earp, who is famous precisely because he survived a large number of duels. What are the odds of that? Well, it depends on your perspective. The odds that one person would survive a large number of duels? Given enough time, it becomes a statistical certainty that someone would do just that. Think back to the famous Warren Buffett debate on the efficient market hypothesis. Suppose that 225 million Americans partake in a single elimination national coin-flipping contest, with one coin flip per day. After 20 days, we would expect 215 people to successfully call their coin flips 20 times out of 20. But that doesn’t mean those 215 people are any better at calling coins than you or I am. The Wyatt Earp Effect, the National Coin Flipping Example, and my Splits Happen post all illustrate the same principle. Asking “what are the odds of that?” is often meaningless in retrospect. If you look at enough things, enough players’ splits, enough 4th quarter comeback opportunities, enough coin flips, or enough roulette wheel spins, you will see some things that seem absurdly unlikely.

In December, I highlighted Matt Schaub’s struggles in night games compared to day games as yet another example. Well now, Ray Rice is the latest protagonist in What are the Odds of That? In case you missed it, Rice fumbled twice in Baltimore’s playoff win over Indianapolis, with the Colts recovering both times. Rice has struggled with fumbles in the playoffs in the past, but he’s always been outstanding during the regular season at holding on to the ball. In 2012, he lost just one fumble — which went harmlessly out of bounds — giving him a clean record for the season. So what’s going on? Here’s what Bill Barnwell wrote earlier this week:
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Matt Ryan is about to throw a touchdown or an interception, depending upon the month

Matt Ryan is about to throw a touchdown or an interception, depending upon the month.

For the second time in three years, the Atlanta Falcons are the NFC’s number one seed. Just like in 2010, the Falcons started this season 13-2 but ended the year with only 11 Pythagorean wins. In 2010, Atlanta lost its first game to the #6 seed Packers, who sported the highest SRS of any NFC team in 2010. This year, Atlanta hosts the #6 seed Seahawks, who finished 2012 with highest SRS of any NFC team. History suggests that this is a difficult challenge for Atlanta, regardless of the Falcons’ lofty record.

One of the obvious topics the mainstream media has hit on this week has been Matt Ryan’s inability to win in the playoffs. As everyone knows, Atlanta is 0-3 in the playoffs in the Mike Smith/Matt Ryan era. As Ryan prepares for his fourth playoff start on Sunday, history offers some comfort: four other quarterbacks (since 1950) have been in exactly the same situation, entering their fourth playoff start with an 0-3 record. Those quarterbacks went 3-1 in their fourth game. Let’s stroll down memory lane.

  • At age 37, Y.A. Tittle and the New York Giants went to Soldier Field to battle the famed 1963 Bears. Tittle had gone 0-3 in his previous three NFL playoff games, and had lost his lone playoff game in the AAFC, too. In 1957, Tittle was on the wrong side of the most famous comeback in playoff history prior to Bills/Oilers. In that game, Tittle threw three touchdowns against the Lions as San Francisco opened up what looked to be an insurmountable 27-7 lead. But Tittle finished the day with three interceptions, and the Lions came back and won, 31-27. In 1961, Tittle was with the Giants, and was part of an embarassing 37-0 shutout on the quite literal frozen tundra of Lambeau Field. Tittle was a miserable 6/20 for 65 yards with 4 interceptions. The next year, the Giants and Packers met again, this time at a frozen and windy Yankee Stadium, with the Packers again topping the Giants. [1]This was the first game Ed Sabol filmed for the NFL, under the label Blair Motion Pictures. So you can imagine that when Tittle and the Giants had to travel to Soldier Field in 1963 — the Giants third straight year in the title game — Tittle probably carried the choker label. With a wind chill of -11 degrees, the weather was again miserable, and the result was more of the same for Tittle and New York. The Giants lost 14-10, and Tittle threw 1 touchdown against 5 interceptions.
  • Jack Kemp took the Chargers to the AFL title game in the league’s first two seasons. On New Year’s Day 1961, Kemp was outplayed by Houston’s George Blanda, and Billy Cannon put the final nail in the coffin as the Oilers won, 24-16. The Oilers and Chargers met again in the title game the following year — this time in San Diego — but Kemp had a miserable game, throwing 4 interceptions as the Chargers lost, 10-3. By 1963, Kemp was with the Bills, and Buffalo had finished the year tied with the Patriots, setting up a one-game playoff for the division title at War Memorial Stadium. But Kemp struggled and was benched for Daryle Lamonica at halftime, as the Bills lost 26-8. In 1964, the Bills went 12-2, and entered the AFL title game against Kemp’s old team, San Diego. At this time, Kemp had an 0-3 post-season record, and surely Chargers fans taunted the citizens of Buffalo by calling Kemp the Mayor of Chokesville. While Kemp did not produce stellar numbers, the Bills managed to defeat the Chargers and capture their first AFL championship. The hero of the game may have been Mike Stratton, who produced the “hit heard round the world” early in the game, knocking out San Diego’s Keith Lincoln. In any event, the Mayor of Chokesville was able to abdicate his throne.
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References

References
1 This was the first game Ed Sabol filmed for the NFL, under the label Blair Motion Pictures.
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Checkdowns: Deja vu for the Falcons?

Mike Smith's team either just converted a 4th-and-1 or won another one-point game.

Mike Smith's goal in 2013 is to face a bad #6 seed for a change.

Much has been written this season arguing that the Falcons are not as good as their 13-3 record. Conversely, the Seahawks have emerged as a favorite among some in our advanced statistical community: Brian Burke ranks Seattle as the third most efficient team, Aaron Schatz ranks them number one, and Pro-Football-Reference ranks Seattle second in the SRS behind only the Patriots.

Here’s a quick way to summarize the Falcons-Seahawks game on Sunday: Atlanta won two more games than Seattle this season but the SRS says that the Falcons are 5.7 points worse than the Seahawks. That’s based on the fact that (1) Seattle has outscored opponents its by 2.9 more points per game than Atlanta outscored its opponents this year, and (2) Seattle faced a schedule that was 2.8 points per game harder than Atlanta’s schedule.

How often does it happen that a home team in the playoffs won 2+ more games than its opponent but was at least 5 points worse than that opponent in the SRS? This is just the second time such a matchup has occurred in the last 10 years… and the first involved the 2010 Falcons. In fact, this scenario has only unfolded five times since 1970:

YearBoxscoreTmOppRdSRS TMSRS OPPSRS DIFFWIN TMWIN OPPWIN DIFFPFPAW/L
2012BoxscoreATLSEAD6.512.2-5.713112
2010BoxscoreATLGBD611-5131032148L
1999BoxscoreTENBUFW17.2-6.2131122216W
1982BoxscoreRAINYJD5.310.7-5.48621417L
1976BoxscoreRAIPITC8.515.3-6.813103247W

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Season in review: AFC and NFC West

AFC East and NFC East Season in review
AFC North and NFC North Season in review
AFC North and NFC South Season in review

In the case of the AFC West, a picture can say a thousand words.

AFC West

Denver Broncos

Pre-season Projection: 8.5 wins
Maximum wins: 13 (after weeks 10 through 16)
Minimum wins: 9 (after weeks 3, 5 )
Week 1 comment: Watching Peyton Manning work his magic was a thing of beauty on Sunday night. The less John Fox touches this offense, the better, but I think everyone in Denver already knows that.

Once Peyton Manning proved that he was healthy and back, the AFC West race was effectively over. Officially, that happened in the week 6 comeback over the Chargers. That win only made them 3-3, but here is what I wrote then: According to Advanced NFL Stats, Denver is the best team in the league. Their remaining schedule is absurdly easy, so I’m going to perhaps prematurely give them a two-win bump. Their week 15 game in Baltimore may be for a bye, and I now think Denver is the favorite.

Kudos to Brian Burke’s model for correctly identifying how good the Broncos were early in the year. After week 9, I pegged Denver at 12 wins, and wrote: As a matter of principle, projecting a team to finish 7-1 is never advised. But this seems to be a good place to make an exception.

The next week, I bumped them to 13 wins, and never moved off that number. They got a late Christmas present from Manning’s old team, and now the AFC playoffs will have to go through Denver.

San Diego Chargers

Pre-season Projection: 9 wins
Maximum wins: 9 (after weeks 1, 2, and 4)
Minimum wins: 6 (after weeks 10 through 13, 16)
Week 1 comment: Unimpressive on Monday Night Football, but the schedule lines up for them to succeed. Philip Rivers is still elite, so expecting them to only go 8-7 the rest of the way is probably more of a knock on them than anything else. A healthy Ryan Mathews back will help.

The Chargers schedule was ridiculously easy, but they lost to the Browns, Saints, and Panthers, and couldn’t beat the Ravens, Bengals, or Bucs. The decline of Philip Rivers from elite quarterback to throw-it-out-of-bounds master is depressing, and it’s easy and probably appropriate to point the blame at the general manager. Going into 2013, San Diego will have a new head coach and GM, and we’ll see if that is what was needed to resurrect Rivers’ career.

It’s not easy to remember, but the Chargers were actually 3-1. At that point, I wrote: An unimpressive 3-1 team with a struggling offensive line. I really wanted to keep them at 8 wins, but their schedule is too easy and Philip Rivers — even in a down year — is good enough to lead them to a .500 record the rest of the way.

But by the time they were 3-4, I had already started with the “I can’t think of anything positive to say about the Chargers right now” comments. I summed up the Chargers season after week 13, when I wrote: This team started 2-0 but hasn’t beaten anyone but the Chiefs since then.

Of course, San Diego being San Diego, the Chargers did finish with 7 wins, but it was another disappointing season for the franchise. It’s hard to think back to September, but Vegas really did project the Chargers to win this division.
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The good Charles showed up against the Saints

The good Charles showed up against the Saints.

A couple of weeks ago, I heard my buddy and co-worker Sigmund Bloom say on the Footballguys Podcast that Jamaal Charles was having one of the craziest seasons ever. As Sigmund noted, Charles has been an incredibly frustrating fantasy player. This year, he had three games with 10 or fewer rushing yards… and he also became the first player in NFL history with two games with over 225 rushing yards in the same season.

Did you know that Kansas City finished 2012 fifth in carries? Under Todd Haley, Chiefs fans and fantasy football players were constantly frustrated by Thomas Jones, who Haley seemed to always find a way to give an extra ten carries to. This year, under Romeo Crennel, Peyton Hillis was the complementary back, but he was not nearly as predatory. Still, while Charles finally received the lion’s share of the carries, he was once again an inconsistent fantasy player.

Take a look at Charles’ weekly game logs:

G#DateOppResultAttYdsYPCTD
109/09/2012ATLL 24-4016875.440
209/16/2012@BUFL 17-35630.50
309/23/2012@NORW 27-24332337.061
409/30/2012SDGL 20-3717885.181
510/07/2012BALL 6-9301404.670
610/14/2012@TAML 10-3812403.330
710/28/2012OAKL 16-26540.80
811/01/2012@SDGL 13-3112393.250
911/12/2012@PITL 13-16231004.351
1011/18/2012CINL 6-2817875.120
1111/25/2012DENL 9-17231074.650
1212/02/2012CARW 27-21271274.70
1312/09/2012@CLEL 7-30181659.171
1412/16/2012@OAKL 0-159101.110
1512/23/2012INDL 13-202222610.271
1612/30/2012@DENW14533.790

That’s a pretty incredible distribution, but how crazy is it?

I looked at the standard deviation of every game by every player in a season with at least 1,000 rushing yards from 1960 to 2011. As it turns out, Charles has had one of the most inconsistent seasons ever. While he gained 1,509 rushing yards, he had a standard deviation of 71.4 yards. That may not mean anything to you in the abstract, but it would place him as the 4th most inconsistent back since 1960.
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Season in review: AFC and NFC South

Last week I reviewed the seasons of the teams in the AFC East and NFC East and in the AFC North and NFC North. Today we’ll review the interesting seasons from the AFC and NFC South divisions.

In the AFC South, I had the bottom three teams projected for between 5 and 6 wins for a five week stretch starting after week two. As we now know, that was resolved quite definitively by the end of the year:

AFC South

Houston Texans

Pre-season Projection: 10 wins
Maximum wins: 14 (after week 15)
Minimum wins: 10 (after week 1)
Week 1 comment: Going to win the AFC South going away; this team could win 12 games, but concerns about injuries and the potential to rest starters late keep them at 10 wins for now.

A miserable December ruined what should have been a marvelous season in Houston. At no point did I project any of the other AFC South teams to finish within even three games of the Texans. When they were 5-0, I wrote: Not only do the Texans still have 6 home games remaining, but they have 4 more games against the AFC South and get the Bills and Lions. Even without Brian Cushing, I don’t see why they don’t win 8 more games.

The Texans schedule was easy, but they also had dominant seasons out of J.J. Watt and Andre Johnson. Left Tackle Duane Brown was outstanding, and Houston is as good as any other team in the league when they’re at their their best. Unfortunately, they might be undermanned in a gunfight with the Broncos or Patriots, and it looks like now they’ll have to beat both of those teams to get to New Orleans. Still, I give the Texans a fighting chance; Matt Schaub has struggled in primetime games, but that doesn’t really mean anything. In the end I think the week 17 loss submarined their playoff hopes, and the team will be left wondering how good they could have been if Cushing stayed healthy.

Indianapolis Colts

Pre-season Projection: 5.5 wins
Maximum wins: 10 (after week 12 through the end of the year)
Minimum wins: 4 (after week 1)
Week 1 comment: There will be growing pains in Indianapolis. But nobody feels bad for their fans, nor should they; the Colts will be contenders each year for a decade, starting next season.

I never got on board with the Colts this year and it only looks worse in retrospect. On the other hand, even though Indianapolis finished 11-5, they were still outscored by 30 points in 2012. They struggled to beat Brady Quinn and the Chiefs and split with the Jaguars. The Colts won just two game by more than a touchdown.

While I missed on the Colts overall, I was on board the Andrew Luck bandwagon early on even when his numbers were terrible. I wrote this before the Colts-Packers game: Andrew LuckAaron Rodgers I won’t steal the spotlight from Tom BradyPeyton Manning XIII; by the time these two teams play again in four years, we may be looking at the best two quarterbacks in the league. I highlighted how Luck was being undervalued by conventional statistics after week 7, and wrote this after week 8: A wildcard darkhorse? I don’t think the Colts are very good — they’re just 29th according to Football Outsiders — but a win over Miami this weekend puts them in the driver’s seat. I finally projected them at 10 wins after week 12, and noted: Basically clinched a playoff berth with win over Buffalo and Steelers loss. Hard not to like this team.

They may not be very good, but they certainly are likeable. Even after the upset win over the Texans, Houston is just the 10th team to make the playoffs after being outscored by at least 30 points.
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Moss makes turkeys out of the Cowboys

Moss was very good when his teams won.

Last weekend, I looked at career rushing stats in wins and losses, and yesterday, I did the same for quarterbacks. Today we will check out the splits for receivers.

I looked at all games, including playoffs, from 1960 to 2011, for all players with at least 4,000 receiving yards over that time period. The table below lists the following information for each player:

– His first year (or 1960, if he played before 1960) and his last year (or 2011, if still active)
– All the franchises he played for (which you can search for in the search box)
– His number of career wins, and his career receptions, receiving yards, yards per reception, and receiving yards per game in wins
– His number of career losses, and his career receptions, receiving yards, yards per reception, and receiving yards per game in losses

You might be surprised to see Andre Johnson at the top of the list, but his career average should decline the longer he plays; that said, 2012 didn’t drop his numbers. On the flip side, Calvin Johnson moves up into the #2 slot; part of that was due to a great season (although Detroit didn’t get many wins) and part of that was due to Randy Moss slipping. Larry Fitzgerald comes up high on the list for the same reason as both Johnsons, although it’s often easy to forget how great Fitzgerald can be thanks to his current situation.

The table is sorted by receiving yards per game in wins:

RkPlayerYearsTeamsPosWinRec_WYd_WYPR_WY/G_WLossRec_LYd_LYPR_LY/G_L
1Andre Johnson2003--2011htxWR52325473914.5891.172394511812.9971.1
2Randy Moss1998--2010min-rai-nwe-otiWR114597996016.6887.493404576314.2662
3Michael Irvin1988--1999dalWR106560913316.3186.262277408614.7565.9
4Larry Fitzgerald2004--2011crdWR59352502114.2685.171383529913.8474.6
5Calvin Johnson2007--2011detWR23113192917.0783.954265415415.6876.9
6Lance Alworth1962--1972sdg-dalFL-WR83360687219.0982.842172309417.9973.7
7Jerry Rice1985--2004sfo-rai-seaWR20710991690915.3981.7118598817313.6769.3
8Art Powell1960--1968nyj-rai-buf-minSE-WR51244416017.0581.645215347716.1777.3
9Jimmy Smith1995--2005jaxWR96512782915.2981.680390510513.0963.8
10Torry Holt1999--2009ram-jaxWR93486741615.2679.789481659613.7174.1
11Charley Hennigan1960--1966otiWR44209350116.7579.640201321315.9980.3
12Steve Smith2001--2011carWR75390589815.1278.684356516214.561.5
13Del Shofner1960--1967ram-nygE41165321319.4778.43186122414.2339.5
14Dwayne Bowe2007--2011kanWR25118194816.5177.949238297912.5260.8
15Don Maynard1960--1973nyj-crdWR-HB79298615020.6477.876305509116.6967
16Terrell Owens1996--2010sfo-phi-dal-buf-cinWR1316551012715.4677.395477655813.7569
17Marvin Harrison1996--2008cltWR125723964913.3577.281444581413.0971.8
18Sterling Sharpe1988--1994gnbWR52292393713.4875.762314442614.171.4
19DeSean Jackson2008--2011phiWR39149293419.6975.22593136414.6754.6
20Wesley Walker1977--1989nyjWR73272548520.1775.171185319517.2745
21Herman Moore1991--2001detWR63314471215.0174.877383493612.8964.1
22Charlie Brown1982--1987was-atlWR42177313417.7174.62171101414.2848.3
23Sonny Randle1960--1968crd-sfo-dalE-WR45178333018.717445155218714.1148.6
24Greg Jennings2006--2011gnbWR61279449316.173.734151224314.8566
25Reggie Wayne2001--2011cltWR122639893813.9973.363306389812.7461.9
26John Jefferson1978--1985sdg-gnb-cleWR54238395316.6173.244131209115.9647.5
27Terry Glenn1996--2007nwe-gnb-dalWR793795686157261246357414.5358.6
28Darnay Scott1994--2002cin-dalWR40171285216.6871.377237334114.143.4
29Buddy Dial1960--1966pit-dalSE-FL35112249422.2771.331110205018.6466.1
30Isaac Bruce1994--2009ram-sfoWR114529811915.3571.2110539784814.5671.3
31Gary Clark1985--1995was-crd-miaWR107484760915.7271.166273407314.9261.7
32Carl Pickens1992--2000cin-otiWR39212274612.9570.484328438313.3652.2
33Homer Jones1964--1970nyg-cleSE-WR3291224024.627047131257319.6454.7
34Marques Colston2006--2011norWR61313426013.6169.832181260814.4181.5
35Cris Carter1987--2002phi-min-miaWR132701918513.169.6101463558412.0655.3
36Al Toon1985--1992nyjWR48251333613.2969.558287355112.3761.2
37Anquan Boldin2003--2011crd-ravWR65332448213.56967405518812.8177.4
38Pete Retzlaff1960--1966phiWR-TE42155288918.6468.842181280715.5166.8
39Chad Ochocinco2001--2011cin-nweWR74350508414.5368.789419604914.4468
40Steve Largent1976--1989seaWR99419679716.2268.7106423672615.963.5
41Raymond Berry1960--1967cltE57263391114.8768.632149197813.2861.8
42Gary Garrison1966--1977sdg-otiWR-SE55192376419.668.463201355717.756.5
43Darrell Jackson2000--2008sea-sfo-denWR61282414714.716863258348813.5255.4
44Mike Quick1982--1990phiWR39142264518.6367.857216366416.9664.3
45James Lofton1978--1993gnb-rai-buf-ram-phiWR109395738718.767.8115402725418.0463.1
46Rob Moore1990--1999nyj-crdWR59269399814.8667.894374557214.959.3
47Fred Barnett1990--1997phi-miaWR59243397716.3767.438136166812.2643.9
48Kellen Winslow1979--1987sdgTE58320390812.2167.455249321312.958.4
49George Sauer1965--1970nyjSE-WR45172301917.5567.130137197714.4365.9
50Joe Horn1996--2007kan-nor-atlWR71319473914.8666.777285405514.2352.7
51Otis Taylor1965--1974kanWR-FL75265498518.8166.541146232315.9156.7
52Mark Duper1983--1992miaWR88324583918.0266.455219362516.5565.9
53Bob Hayes1965--1975dal-sfoSE-WR87268567921.1965.341126212816.8951.9
54Steve Watson1979--1987denWR63223411218.4465.339147231415.7459.3
55Roddy White2005--2011atlWR62296403213.626553256353513.8166.7
56Rod Smith1995--2006denWR121575786513.686564323438413.5768.5
57Flipper Anderson1988--1995ram-cltWR3499220422.2664.858175332318.9957.3
58Eddie Brown1985--1991cinWR53175343119.6164.751197280214.2254.9
59Wes Welker2004--2011sdg-mia-nweWR86509555410.9164.645194211010.8846.9
60Derrick Alexander1994--2002cle-rav-kan-minWR48167309218.5164.469251390915.5756.7
61Andre Reed1985--2000buf-wasWR134599862114.3964.3106437580613.2954.8
62Antonio Gates2003--2011sdgTE80375512413.6664.153257310812.0958.6
63Wes Chandler1978--1988nor-sdg-sfoWR61234389416.6463.884348541915.5764.5
64Anthony Miller1988--1997sdg-den-dalWR71272451216.5963.582332477314.3858.2
65Al Denson1964--1971den-minWR-TE2589158117.7663.24916326081653.2
66Antonio Freeman1995--2003gnb-phiWR95375597815.9462.941155209613.5251.1
67Lee Evans2004--2011buf-ravWR51174320318.4162.867211287413.6242.9
68Plaxico Burress2000--2011pit-nyg-nyjWR95385592315.3862.357202296914.752.1
69Santana Moss2001--2011nyj-wasWR74285460616.1662.288387496312.8256.4
70Brandon Marshall2006--2011den-miaWR43214267612.562.248280357112.7574.4
71Keyshawn Johnson1996--2006nyj-tam-dal-carWR92447569112.7361.982406544913.4266.5
72Joey Galloway1995--2010sea-dal-tam-nwe-wasWR85321520516.2161.2107393590415.0255.2
73Muhsin Muhammad1996--2009car-chiWR105477640713.436196413558913.5358.2
74Henry Ellard1983--1998ram-was-nweWR99343604017.6161125492807916.4264.6
75Tommy McDonald1960--1968phi-dal-ram-atl-cleWR-HB49166297917.9560.861222349315.7357.3
76Anthony Carter1985--1995min-detWR80293485316.5660.762233353515.1757
77Art Monk1980--1995was-nyj-phiWR142631860913.6460.695378517413.6954.5
78Red Phillips1960--1967ram-minE2494145515.4860.653214314714.7159.4
79Roger Carr1974--1983clt-sea-sdgWR40110242522.0560.660163268116.4544.7
80Paul Flatley1963--1970min-atlWR-FL34117206117.6260.655179274215.3249.9
81David Boston1999--2005crd-sdg-miaWR27109162614.9260.247206307314.9265.4
82Ernest Givins1986--1995oti-jaxWR75320451614.1160.280311447314.3855.9
83Dwight Clark1979--1987sfoWR81343487214.260.146216264812.2657.6
84Santonio Holmes2006--2011pit-nyjWR57211342516.2360.138152221214.5558.2
85Paul Warfield1964--1977cle-miaWR-SE115340689220.2759.947132249718.9253.1
86Laveranues Coles2000--2009nyj-was-cinWR71323425313.1759.981378463812.2757.3
87Jimmy Orr1960--1970pit-cltWR73219437219.9659.938119211917.8155.8
88Elbert Dubenion1960--1967bufWR-HB53159317219.9559.842127207516.3449.4
89Ken Burrough1970--1981nor-otiWR67222397717.9159.480204323015.8340.4
90Stephone Paige1983--1991kanWR57180336118.675963203308915.2249
91Todd Christensen1980--1988raiTE-FB66306388812.7158.941186234212.5957.1
92Louis Lipps1984--1992pit-norWR48169282716.7358.963204337616.5553.6
93Jeff Graham1991--2001pit-chi-nyj-phi-sdgWR57222334515.0758.785335506415.1259.6
94Harold Jackson1969--1983phi-ram-nwe-min-seaWR-FL100296586419.8158.684292483516.5657.6
95Tim Brown1988--2004rai-tamWR135562790714.0758.6127577760813.1959.9
96Tony Martin1990--2001mia-sdg-atlWR103369603116.3458.676267373213.9849.1
97John Stallworth1974--1987pitWR103361602316.6858.558230368716.0363.6
98Eric Martin1985--1994nor-kanWR85315496915.7758.568253339613.4249.9
99Stanley Morgan1977--1990nwe-cltWR99298578719.4258.586278525018.8861
100Alfred Jenkins1975--1983atlWR50170290317.0858.160196357118.2259.5
101Jason Witten2003--2011dalTE77381445711.757.967343374510.9255.9
102Kellen Winslow Jr.2004--2011cle-tamTE34153196712.8657.958284286910.149.5
103Braylon Edwards2005--2011cle-nyj-sfoWR48172275916.0457.557184288415.6750.6
104Cris Collinsworth1981--1988cinWR60216344615.9557.448222360616.2475.1
105Gene A. Washington1969--1979sfo-detWR-SE60178344519.3557.469210353516.8351.2
106John Gilliam1967--1977nor-crd-min-atlWR-FL69206394719.1657.270176301717.1443.1
107Chris Burford1960--1967kanSE-WR52205297114.4957.138157229214.660.3
108Max McGee1960--1967gnbE57177324418.3356.91956106719.0556.2
109Charlie Joiner1969--1986oti-cin-sdgWR114404647616.0356.8114375613216.3553.8
110Tony Hill1977--1986dalWR97335550816.4456.846190309816.3167.3
111Bernie Casey1961--1968sfo-ramFB-WR45162254715.7256.644160233114.5753
112Charley Taylor1964--1977wasWR-RB87341491814.4256.570297407113.7158.2
113Javon Walker2002--2009gnb-den-raiWR45157253716.1656.438123176014.3146.3
114Jerry Butler1979--1986bufWR38139213915.3956.347146228515.6548.6
115Carlos Carson1980--1989kan-phiWR50147280919.1156.263203344416.9754.7
116Webster Slaughter1986--1998cle-oti-kan-nyj-sdgWR76276426515.4556.184314424313.5150.5
117Hines Ward1998--2011pitWR145684812911.8856.183393499612.7160.2
118Gail Cogdill1960--1970det-atlSE-WR54172302317.585653164243114.8245.9
119Johnny Morris1960--1967chiFL-HB51189284715.0655.837141179412.7248.5
120Chris Chambers2001--2010mia-sdg-kanWR74273412715.1255.876291392813.551.7
121Cliff Branch1972--1984raiWR129401718417.9255.749170273916.1155.9
122Andre Rison1989--2000clt-atl-cle-jax-gnb-kan-raiWR92361512014.1855.792411550013.3859.8
123Reggie Rucker1970--1981dal-nyg-nwe-cleWR70235389016.5555.679215323415.0440.9
124Eddie Kennison1996--2007ram-nor-chi-den-kanWR75245416316.9955.5102306423213.8341.5
125Antonio Bryant2002--2009dal-cle-sfo-tamWR40148221714.9855.464225347215.4354.3
126Donald Driver1999--2011gnbWR115471636813.5255.476313436713.9557.5
127Marty Booker1999--2009chi-mia-atlWR57242315313.0355.385299356811.9342
128Yancey Thigpen1992--2000pit-otiWR67227370116.355.233121180014.8854.5
129Tony Gonzalez1997--2011kan-atlTE122562672311.9655.1116603677211.2358.4
130Vance Johnson1985--1995denWR70269385614.3355.151183252013.7749.4
131Curtis Conway1993--2004chi-sdg-nyj-sfoWR61232335914.4855.197369495213.4251.1
132Roy Jefferson1965--1976pit-clt-wasWR-SE78251426516.9954.772217349416.148.5
133Fred Biletnikoff1965--1978raiWR-FL136475742415.6354.646148213714.4446.5
134Lionel Taylor1960--1968den-otiWR31136169112.4354.571405515312.7272.6
135Vincent Jackson2005--2011sdgWR63194342917.6854.433107182817.0855.4
136Jim Colclough1960--1968nweE49148266618.0154.445112187416.7341.6
137Carroll Dale1960--1973ram-gnb-minWR-TE91245494920.254.473211366017.3550.1
138Dave Parks1964--1973sfo-nor-otiWR-TE31107168115.7154.267215342415.9351.1
139Shannon Sharpe1990--2003den-ravTE131534710013.354.26934337741154.7
140Ben Hawkins1966--1973phiWR2875151720.2354.257171294517.2251.7
141Eric Moulds1996--2007buf-htx-otiWR89344480313.9654100435551212.6755.1
142Isaac Curtis1973--1984cinWR79226426318.865475203302214.8940.3
143Brian Blades1988--1998seaWR66268355613.2753.978318414213.0353.1
144Lynn Swann1974--1982pitWR94302505416.7453.83280130016.2540.6
145Deion Branch2002--2011nwe-seaWR94367504813.7553.751197238312.146.7
146Sammy White1976--1985minWR68211364617.2853.661188289315.3947.4
147Kevin House1980--1987tam-ramWR3089160818.0753.670218369316.9452.8
148Haywood Jeffires1987--1996oti-norWR65272348312.8153.668304336411.0749.5
149Roy Green1979--1992crd-phiWR76239406617.0153.5104318482615.1846.4
150Ahmad Rashad1972--1982crd-buf-minWR71271376913.9153.167236329513.9649.2
151Amani Toomer1996--2008nygWR110403583114.475389307423213.7947.6
152Bobby Mitchell1960--1968cle-wasWR-HB52175275015.7152.962263419215.9467.6
153Bill Brooks1986--1996clt-buf-wasWR74278391014.0652.885332440313.2651.8
154Harold Carmichael1971--1984phi-dalWR-TE82279430615.4352.599333500115.0250.5
155Drew Pearson1973--1983dalWR121391635016.2452.550165257715.6251.5
156Lance Rentzel1965--1974min-dal-ramWR-FL66180345819.2152.44294154416.4336.8
157Irving Fryar1984--2000nwe-mia-phi-wasWR119398623015.6552.4135477684514.3550.7
158Bert Emanuel1994--2001atl-tam-mia-nwe-detWR44158230014.5652.352202268313.2851.6
159Keenan McCardell1992--2007cle-jax-tam-sdg-wasWR123495642812.9952.387443556712.5764
160Aaron Thomas1961--1970sfo-nygTE-SE3587182821.0152.255170266515.6848.5
161Mark Clayton1983--1993mia-gnbWR102336530315.785265278417815.0364.3
162Jake Reed1992--2002min-norWR72251374214.915262225366616.2959.1
163Roy E. Williams2004--2011det-dal-chiWR46161238814.8351.966237338614.2951.3
164Henry Marshall1976--1987kanWR58188298215.8651.484234363515.5343.3
165John Taylor1987--1995sfoWR94302482515.9851.33591150716.5643.1
166Ricky Sanders1986--1995was-atlWR80286410514.3551.357228288912.6750.7
167Alvin Harper1991--1997dal-tam-wasWR56139287120.6551.32976125716.5443.3
168Frank Clarke1960--1967dalE37112188716.855151149295919.8658
169Marcus Robinson1998--2006chi-rav-minWR47160239414.9650.955172244114.1944.4
170T.J. Houshmandzadeh2001--2011cin-sea-rav-raiWR57253289311.4350.881370428611.5852.9
171Drew Hill1979--1993ram-oti-atlWR103334522015.6350.7105339515215.249.1
172Michael Jackson1991--1998cle-ravWR39127196915.550.562234355615.257.4
173Willie Davis1992--1998kan-otiWR61183307316.7950.444119166914.0337.9
174Boyd Dowler1960--1971gnb-wasFL-SE102324511215.7850.140119160013.4540
175Derrick Mason1997--2011oti-rav-nyj-htxWR141542705313.015097450560912.4657.8
176Johnnie Morton1994--2005det-kan-sfoWR75267374614.0349.997368509213.8452.5
177Mark Carrier1987--1998tam-cle-carWR64212318815.0449.8102366566815.4955.6
178Danny Abramowicz1967--1974nor-sfoE3097149415.449.874255388415.2352.5
179Wayne Chrebet1995--2005nyjWR69263343513.0649.881336419912.551.8
180Dave Kocourek1960--1968sdg-mia-raiTE-FL55157272717.3749.63798150915.440.8
181Ed McCaffrey1991--2003nyg-sfo-denWR106380521213.7249.258227276412.1847.7
182Michael Westbrook1995--2002was-cinWR39135191414.1849.142144236116.456.2
183Lionel Manuel1984--1990nygWR50143244417.0948.933103174016.8952.7
184Gary Collins1962--1971cleWR80240387716.1548.54295149715.7635.6
185Robert Brooks1992--2000gnb-denWR67226324414.3548.436128168313.1546.8
186Frank Sanders1995--2003crd-ravWR48178232313.0548.480336452813.4856.6
187Jerry Porter2000--2008rai-jaxWR38116183915.8548.462197257313.0641.5
188Mel Gray1971--1982crdWR65167311318.6447.978188354518.8645.4
189Tim McGee1986--1994cin-wasWR53145252617.4247.769183273714.9639.7
190Frank Lewis1971--1983pit-bufWR86229409817.947.758190311416.3953.7
191Bernard Berrian2004--2011chi-minWR58178276115.5147.652143182712.7835.1
192Sean Dawkins1993--2001clt-nor-sea-jaxWR54173256614.8347.578290396013.6650.8
193Willie Gault1983--1993chi-raiWR98227465320.547.558127247919.5242.7
194Dallas Clark2003--2011cltTE88358417511.6647.436133155911.7243.3
195Jessie Hester1985--1995rai-atl-clt-ramWR49133231817.4347.373241354814.7248.6
196Michael Haynes1988--1997atl-norWR52155245915.8647.381280428815.3152.9
197Haven Moses1968--1981buf-denWR-SE82199385619.384790253442517.4949.2
198Jackie Smith1963--1978crd-dalTE84226395017.484777235369615.7348
199Mark Jackson1986--1994den-nyg-cltWR74205347216.9446.953159249115.6747
200Terance Mathis1990--2002nyj-atl-pitWR86299400213.3846.5114419520612.4245.7
201Bob Chandler1971--1981buf-raiWR48145223315.446.567229305813.3545.6
202Milt Morin1966--1975cleTE56165259915.7546.446117171014.6237.2
203Reggie Langhorne1985--1993cle-cltWR63205292314.2646.459229287412.5548.7
204Pat Tilley1976--1986crdWR61189283014.9746.474280418614.9556.6
205John Mackey1963--1972clt-sdgTE89253412816.3246.43377113314.7134.3
206Michael Timpson1989--1997nwe-chi-phiWR41137190013.8746.361164215413.1335.3
207Bill Schroeder1997--2004gnb-det-tamWR50150231115.4146.247159234214.7349.8
208Chris Cooley2004--2011wasTE48187221111.8246.160252263510.4643.9
209Brett Perriman1988--1997nor-det-kan-miaWR74258339013.1445.872294352211.9848.9
210Dave Casper1974--1984rai-oti-minTE70230320213.9245.744175237713.5854
211Dave Logan1976--1984cle-denWR47133214716.1445.747133216616.2946.1
212Bobby Joe Conrad1960--1969crd-dalWR-HB62191283014.8245.655192256313.3546.6
213Koren Robinson2001--2008sea-min-gnbWR51159232514.6245.646150206313.7544.8
214Bobby Engram1996--2009chi-sea-kanWR80301364112.145.5101384458611.9445.4
215Gary Ballman1962--1973pit-phi-nyg-minWR-TE3589156517.5844.768212345116.2850.8
216Nat Moore1974--1986miaWR-RB119363531514.6444.755163231214.1842
217Duriel Harris1976--1985mia-cle-dalWR68185303716.4244.744133228417.1751.9
218Jack Snow1965--1975ramWR-SE85214377317.6344.442115197817.247.1
219Freddie Scott1974--1983clt-detWR3695159216.7644.258173276615.9947.7
220Ray Butler1980--1988clt-seaWR3490150316.744.264152254316.7339.7
221Devery Henderson2005--2011norWR64150282818.8544.247104169716.3236.1
222J.J. Stokes1995--2003sfo-jax-nweWR66238291312.2444.149141181212.8537
223Charlie Sanders1968--1977detTE60174264315.1944.150151199513.2139.9
224Kevin Johnson1999--2005cle-jax-rav-detWR38133167212.574463255306312.0148.6
225Donte Stallworth2002--2011nor-phi-nwe-cle-rav-wasWR61164265616.243.555170237213.9543.1
226Freddie Solomon1975--1985mia-sfoWR83214359516.843.363191278814.644.3
227Ben Coates1991--2000nwe-ravTE70276301910.9443.170249279411.2239.9
228Vernon Davis2006--2011sfoTE42150181112.0743.145164228413.9350.8
229Rocket Ismail1993--2001rai-car-dalWR61168261715.5842.965204286514.0444.1
230Qadry Ismail1993--2002min-mia-nor-rav-cltWR83228354415.5442.758143188013.1532.4
231O.J. McDuffie1993--2000miaWR71248300512.1242.352217267212.3151.4
232Mark Bavaro1985--1994nyg-cle-phiTE77239325413.6242.340142184512.9946.1
233James Jett1993--2001raiWR55127232218.2842.253142226915.9842.8
234Brent Jones1987--1997sfoTE113366476913.0342.233111116610.535.3
235Jeremy Shockey2002--2011nyg-nor-carTE82309345011.1742.161260291811.2247.8
236Chris Calloway1990--2000pit-nyg-atl-nweWR64170269115.834272223289112.9640.2
237David Patten1997--2008nyg-cle-nwe-was-norWR77200323616.184263144173912.0827.6
238J.T. Smith1978--1990was-kan-crdWR64211267112.6641.791323417212.9245.8
239Brandon Stokley1999--2011rav-clt-den-sea-nygWR80226329514.5841.249156200512.8540.9
240Calvin Williams1990--1996phi-ravWR58184238112.9441.141141174412.3742.5
241Nate Burleson2003--2011min-sea-detWR64210262612.54160204257612.6342.9
242Ron Jessie1971--1981det-ram-bufWR74181303116.75414396143114.9133.3
243Keith Jackson1988--1996phi-mia-gnbTE87288356012.3640.947204255712.5354.4
244Jeff Chadwick1983--1992det-sea-ramWR44103179917.4740.962191275014.444.4
245Curtis Duncan1987--1993otiWR58210236811.2840.842146184112.6143.8
246Mike Sherrard1986--1996dal-sfo-nyg-denWR62162252815.640.832104147614.1946.1
247Shawn Jefferson1991--2003sdg-nwe-atl-detWR96253391415.4740.888244339013.8938.5
248Marshall Faulk1994--2005clt-ramRB9942240229.5340.68939733728.4937.9
249Jabar Gaffney2002--2011htx-nwe-den-wasWR66199268113.4740.682269322311.9839.3
250Willie Green1991--1998det-tam-car-denWR55147223315.1940.635117184415.7652.7
251Todd Heap2001--2011rav-crdTE83273336912.3440.663250279111.1644.3
252Mike Ditka1961--1972chi-phi-dalTE80239324013.5640.554184241613.1344.7
253Torrance Small1992--2001nor-ram-clt-phi-nweWR51141205314.5640.371213262412.3237
254Peerless Price1999--2007buf-atl-dalWR54159215813.574067254324412.7748.4
255Mike Renfro1978--1987oti-dalWR53140211715.1239.960190275914.5246
256Quinn Early1988--1999sdg-nor-buf-nyjWR73203291414.3539.976278379013.6349.9
257Chris Burkett1985--1993buf-nyjWR41110163514.8639.966185277214.9842
258Ike Hilliard1997--2008nyg-tamWR79258314812.239.885312353411.3341.6
259Drew Bennett2001--2008oti-ramWR44116175215.139.853205286813.9954.1
260Jerricho Cotchery2004--2011nyj-pitWR62206246111.9539.758199276113.8747.6
261Mike Pritchard1991--1999atl-den-seaWR58172229713.3539.667263304311.5745.4
262Nate Washington2005--2011pit-otiWR55139217515.6539.545137189213.8142
263Riley Odoms1972--1983denTE83220327914.939.561176237913.5239
264Sam McCullum1974--1983min-seaWR51131200315.2939.363150212814.1933.8
265Jay Novacek1985--1995crd-dalTE84298328111.0139.152186199410.7238.3
266Ozzie Newsome1978--1990cleTE102324397712.273998365437611.9944.7
267Bob Trumpy1968--1977cinTE-WR60147233115.8638.958147210314.3136.3
268Raymond Chester1970--1981rai-cltTE80199309915.5738.763172214612.4834.1
269Travis Taylor2000--2007rav-min-rai-ramWR52153201313.1638.750172216212.5743.2
270Joe Jurevicius1998--2007nyg-tam-sea-cleWR68195262913.4838.751145183212.6335.9
271Wesley Walls1989--2003sfo-nor-car-gnbTE68206260412.6438.381253276610.9334.1
272Ricky Proehl1990--2006crd-sea-chi-ram-car-cltWR112299427914.3138.2117393496212.6342.4
273Bob Tucker1970--1980nyg-minTE56161212913.223882255318712.538.9
274Steve Jordan1982--1994minTE86255326912.823881269338112.5741.7
275Leonard Thompson1975--1986detWR-HB52116197617.033880169286816.9735.9
276Charles Johnson1994--2002pit-phi-nwe-bufWR69204261612.8237.949173228313.246.6
277Jerry Smith1965--1977wasTE-WR75206284113.7937.960190234412.3439.1
278Rich Caster1970--1981nyj-oti-nor-wasTE-WR58123219717.8637.976207338516.3544.5
279Michael Jenkins2004--2011atl-minWR52144195413.5737.654184216811.7840.1
280Alge Crumpler2001--2010atl-oti-nweTE73196274013.9837.568191216811.3531.9
281Paul Coffman1979--1987gnb-kanTE49145183812.6837.562196248912.740.1
282Courtney Hawkins1992--2000tam-pitWR55170205912.1137.470204257212.6136.7
283Russ Francis1975--1988nwe-sfoTE96277358712.9537.455151214914.2339.1
284Billy Cannon1960--1970oti-rai-kanTE-RB80174298617.1637.3318194511.6730.5
285Jimmie Giles1977--1989oti-tam-det-phiTE50122186115.2537.288232330614.2537.6
286Brian Brennan1984--1992cle-cin-sdgWR61172226713.1837.262184237812.9238.4
287Eric Green1990--1999pit-mia-rav-nyjTE55167201712.0836.757200248812.4443.6
288Troy Brown1993--2007nweWR120392439211.236.681223266811.9632.9
289Gino Cappelletti1960--1970nweFL-SE63132230517.4636.670139203714.6529.1
290Justin McCareins2001--2008oti-nyjWR61145223015.3836.653118180615.3134.1
291Rick Upchurch1975--1983denWR67151243916.1536.453117193916.5736.6
292Frank Wycheck1993--2003was-otiTE86299312910.4636.46724323109.5134.5
293Heath Miller2005--2011pitTE80239286311.9835.839138149810.8638.4
294Floyd Turner1989--1998nor-clt-ravWR46129163812.735.654167238214.2644.1
295Mark Ingram1987--1996nyg-mia-gnb-phiWR65153230115.0435.447128181514.1838.6
296Ken Dilger1995--2004clt-tamTE69192243912.735.375180181910.1124.3
297Rodney Holman1982--1995cin-detTE81210281613.4134.879173220012.7227.8
298Dennis Northcutt2000--2009cle-jax-detWR49132170212.8934.797278339012.1934.9
299Pete Holohan1981--1992sdg-ram-kan-cleTE62190214911.3134.763189199510.5631.7
300Mickey Shuler1978--1991nyj-phiTE68222235210.5934.671248284511.4740.1
301Jerome Barkum1972--1983nyjTE-WR54129185514.3834.472201299014.8841.5
302Az-Zahir Hakim1998--2006ram-det-norWR57145191713.2233.655192255813.3246.5
303Brian Westbrook2002--2010phi-sfoRB8026926589.8833.24920316057.9132.8
304Larry Centers1990--2003crd-was-buf-nweFB8434127828.1633.111950741778.2435.1
305John L. Williams1986--1995sea-pitFB8129026779.23337528722227.7429.6
306Brandon Lloyd2003--2011sfo-was-chi-den-ramWR3281104912.9532.873230373516.2451.2
307Billy Johnson1974--1988oti-atl-wasWR65159211013.2732.571176207711.829.3
308Randy McMichael2002--2011mia-ram-sdgTE53160168610.5431.888257280210.931.8
309Roger Craig1983--1993sfo-rai-minRB12743140059.2931.55319515007.6928.3
310Ricky Watters1992--2001sfo-phi-seaRB9128928519.8731.36321518158.4428.8
311Ronnie Harmon1986--1997buf-sdg-oti-chiRB-WR94283293410.3731.289350361210.3240.6
312Tiki Barber1997--2006nygRB8026724979.3531.28033828178.3335.2
313Eric Metcalf1989--2002cle-atl-sdg-crd-car-was-gnbRB-WR83238256410.7730.9102317318510.0531.2
314Jim R. Mitchell1969--1979atlTE57139175912.6530.966160237514.8436
315Keith Byars1986--1998phi-mia-nwe-nyjFB-TE11939036659.430.87927224398.9730.9
316Freddie Jones1997--2004sdg-crdTE37109113110.3830.679295310110.5139.3
317Tony Nathan1979--1987miaRB8929027059.3330.44515815369.7234.1
318Tony McGee1993--2002cin-dalTE3992117812.830.289230291112.6632.7
319Jackie Harris1990--2001gnb-tam-oti-dalTE63157188111.9829.979251265010.5633.5
320Joe Morrison1960--1972nygRB-WR66147195813.3229.779224274712.2634.8
321Charle Young1973--1985phi-ram-sfo-seaTE76190225311.8629.671241300212.4642.3
322David Hill1976--1987det-ramTE71182209111.4929.576187221111.8229.1
323Billy Joe DuPree1973--1983dalTE101213293313.77294293107911.625.7
324Antwaan Randle El2002--2010pit-wasWR88184247313.4428.166220240210.9236.4
325Kelvin Martin1987--1996dal-sea-phiWR68138183913.332774238302312.740.9
326Thurman Thomas1988--2000buf-miaRB13034634119.8626.27120217198.5124.2
327Marcus Pollard1996--2008clt-det-sea-atlTE81183211311.5526.181185240212.9829.7
328LaDainian Tomlinson2001--2011sdg-nyjRB10434126837.8725.87630822657.3529.8
329Walter Payton1975--1987chiRB11327826459.5123.48623620718.7824.1
330Herschel Walker1986--1997dal-min-phi-nygRB8421119579.2723.310631129629.5227.9
331Kevin Faulk1999--2011nweRB12532828858.823.15415412287.9722.7
332Marcus Allen1982--1997rai-kanRB14534131869.34229129927559.2130.3
333Warrick Dunn1997--2008tam-atlRB9824421418.7721.89230124548.1526.7
334Earnest Byner1984--1997cle-was-ravRB11127123998.8521.610227825849.2925.3
335Tony Galbreath1976--1987nor-min-nygRB7917514708.418.69032626678.1829.6

[continue reading…]

{ 2 comments }

Is this a thinly-veiled Brady/Manning post?

Is this a thinly-veiled Brady/Manning post?

Last weekend, I looked at career rushing stats in wins and losses; today I will do the same but for quarterbacks.

I looked at all games, including playoffs, from 1960 to 2011, for all quarterbacks with at least 5,000 career passing yards over that time period. The table below lists the following information for each passer:

– His first year (or 1960, if he played before 1960) and his last year (or 2011, if still active)
– All the franchises he played for (which you can search for in the search box)
– His number of career wins, and his touchdown rate, interception rate, yards per attempt and Adjusted Yards per Attempt (which includes a 20-yard bonus for touchdown passes and a 45-yard penalty for interceptions) in wins [1]Unfortunately, I excluded sack data from this study due to its general unavailability for most of the covered time period.
– His number of career losses, and his touchdown rate, interception rate, yards per attempt and Adjusted Yards per Attempt in losses

The table is sorted by AY/A in wins; unsurprisingly, Aaron Rodgers — who is the career leader in that metric — tops this table, too. In fact, Rodgers is also the leader in AY/A in losses. Note that this table includes all games played by the quarterback, not just his starts.

RkPlayerYearsTeamsPYDWinTD%_WINT%_WY/A_WAY/A_WLossTD%_LINT%_LY/A_LAY/A_L
1Aaron Rodgers2005--2011gnb19147497.6%1.3%8.78.3274.3%2.5%7.46.4
2Matt Schaub2004--2011atl-htx17936485.3%1.7%8.78.1533.5%3.3%7.25.8
3Tony Romo2005--2011dal21666606.6%2.1%8.77.9434.3%3.4%75.5
4Kurt Warner1998--2009ram-nyg-crd36296816.8%2.2%8.77.8573.3%4.4%7.25.3
5Daunte Culpepper1999--2009min-mia-rai-det25133457.1%2.2%8.77.8643.3%4%6.95.1
6Bob Berry1965--1975min-atl9197327.4%2.3%8.67.7364.2%7.4%7.13.8
7Steve Young1985--1999tam-sfo364501256.8%1.7%8.37.6602.9%4.2%7.25.3
8Philip Rivers2004--2011sdg26105696.2%2.3%8.57.6394%3.1%7.36
9Ben Roethlisberger2004--2011pit29729905.7%2.2%8.47.6383.7%4.9%7.25
10John Friesz1990--2000sdg-was-sea-nwe8699195%1%7.87.5382.6%4%5.84
11Bart Starr1960--1971gnb22810996.6%2.9%8.67.5412.4%5.9%6.74.1
12Don Meredith1960--1968dal17750518.5%3.3%8.87.5503.5%6%6.23.6
13Drew Brees2001--2011sdg-nor43722976.5%1.7%87.4663.4%3.7%6.75.1
14Ken O'Brien1984--1993nyj-phi25598565.8%1.7%87.4722.1%3.6%6.34.7
15J.P. Losman2004--2011buf-rai-mia6271175.8%1.5%7.97.4282.5%4.4%6.14.1
16Trent Green1997--2008was-ram-kan-mia28794595.3%2.1%8.27.3633.6%3.8%7.15.5
17Rob Johnson1995--2003jax-buf-tam-was-rai5947204.8%1.5%7.97.3252.8%3.6%6.75.1
18Chad Pennington2000--2010nyj-mia19241465.1%1.2%7.77.3493.2%4.1%6.64.9
19Boomer Esiason1984--1997cin-nyj-crd38520896.6%2.4%8.27.31033.3%4.4%6.54.6
20Neil Lomax1981--1988crd23156486.4%2.1%8.17.3593%3.3%6.65.2
21David Garrard2002--2010jax16489455.3%1.4%7.87.3442.7%3.4%6.44.9
22Matthew Stafford2009--2011det8220138.1%1.8%7.97.2173.4%4.4%6.34.4
23Joe Montana1979--1994sfo-kan463231406.4%2.2%8.17.2602.7%3.4%6.34.9
24Eddie LeBaron1960--1963dal53311112.5%5.5%9.47.2314.7%8.7%7.13.3
25Peyton Manning1998--2010clt602171506.3%1.9%87.2773.9%4.1%6.95.2
26Ed Brown1960--1965chi-pit-clt7723357.7%5.8%9.77.2332.9%8.8%6.52.6
27Wade Wilson1981--1998min-atl-nor-dal-rai18605666.1%2.6%8.37.2632.4%5.3%6.23.9
28Jay Cutler2006--2011den-chi18637426.6%2.2%8.17.2382.7%4.6%6.54.5
29Josh Freeman2009--2011tam8898175.6%1.8%7.97.2242.8%4.6%6.14.1
30Tom Brady2000--2011nwe452641406.1%1.6%7.87.2433.6%4.2%6.34.5
31Matt Moore2007--2011car-mia5137176.2%1.8%7.87.1192.8%5%6.24
32Chris Chandler1988--2004clt-tam-crd-ram-oti-atl-chi29212725.9%2.6%8.27.11053.1%4.4%6.44.4
33Len Dawson1960--1975cle-kan301121058.7%3.6%8.67.1643.2%6.3%6.63.8
34Joe Flacco2008--2011rav15348494.6%1.2%7.67.1243%4.4%5.94
35Trent Edwards2007--2010buf-jax6019144%1.6%7.77.1222%4.3%5.73.8
36Jeff Garcia1999--2009sfo-cle-det-phi-tam26894635.4%1.3%7.57.1683.4%3.1%6.45.1
37Ken Anderson1971--1986cin341591006.2%2.4%87.1922.7%4.7%6.74.7
38Rudy Bukich1960--1968pit-chi7865307.5%3.5%8.57353.5%8.6%62.3
39Troy Aikman1989--2000dal367911054.8%2.1%7.97762.1%4.1%64.2
40Damon Huard1998--2008mia-nwe-kan6349204.9%1.1%7.47242%4.3%5.84
41Jim Everett1986--1997ram-nor-sdg35957665.7%2.6%8.17973.2%4.2%6.54.6
42Roger Staubach1969--1979dal254911066.1%2.5%87443.5%6.3%6.73.9
43Bert Jones1973--1982clt-ram18589476.4%3.1%8.27583.6%4.6%6.34.3
44Frank Reich1985--1998buf-car-nyj-det6858398.8%2.1%7.77393.3%4.3%6.34.4
45Jeff Hostetler1986--1997nyg-rai-was17464705.5%1.9%7.77402.3%4.1%6.34.5
46Dan Fouts1973--1987sdg45165915.9%3.2%8.36.9953.1%5.5%7.14.7
47Bill Kenney1980--1988kan17374375.9%2.5%86.9493.2%4.2%6.54.6
48Y.A. Tittle1960--1964sfo-nyg11542408.9%4.3%8.76.9232.5%6.9%5.72.7
49Mark Brunell1994--2011gnb-jax-was-nor-nyj33905994.8%1.8%7.66.9913.2%2.9%6.24.9
50Aaron Brooks2000--2006nor-rai20822415.8%1.6%7.56.9543.3%4.1%6.44.7
51Patrick Ramsey2002--2008was-nyj-den5929165.2%2.3%7.86.9243.1%3.8%5.84.2
52Scott Mitchell1992--2001mia-det-rav-cin15925406%2.1%7.76.9452.6%4.6%5.93.9
53Randy Wright1984--1988gnb7106125.4%3.4%8.36.9332.2%5.5%5.93.5
54Rich Gannon1987--2004min-was-kan-rai30434915.5%1.5%7.46.9713%3.6%6.24.6
55Earl Morrall1960--1976det-nyg-clt-mia17529927.9%4.8%8.96.9444.2%6.9%6.63.6
56Sonny Jurgensen1960--1974phi-was31546747.7%3.9%8.46.9794.5%4.9%6.84.7
57Steve DeBerg1978--1998sfo-den-tam-kan-mia-atl34752725.4%2.3%7.86.91143.2%4.9%6.44.2
58Steve Beuerlein1988--2003rai-dal-crd-jax-car-den24317645.6%2.3%7.86.8663.4%4.2%6.85
59Fran Tarkenton1961--1978min-nyg488061316.8%2.8%86.81173.6%5.5%6.54.1
60John Brodie1960--1973sfo30783786.7%3.3%8.26.8793.3%6%6.13.5
61Doug Flutie1986--2005chi-nwe-buf-sdg15209485.2%2.4%7.86.8452.9%3.9%64.3
62Johnny Unitas1960--1973clt-sdg323351076.3%3.8%8.46.8592.7%7.3%6.53.2
63Joe Namath1965--1977nyj-ram28299686.4%4%8.56.8713.3%6.8%6.53.5
64Matt Ryan2008--2011atl14832436.1%1.9%7.56.8222.4%3%6.14.8
65Craig Erickson1992--1997tam-clt-mia7625184.8%2.7%7.96.8343.2%3.9%6.54.8
66Marc Bulger2002--2009ram23758424.9%2.6%7.86.8573.1%3.3%6.85.4
67Matt Cassel2005--2011nwe-kan11769425.1%2%7.66.8303.5%3.3%5.74.3
68Tom Flores1960--1969rai-buf-kan11960408.3%3.8%8.36.8442.8%6.7%5.72.8
69Phil Simms1979--1993nyg351411025.3%2.5%7.76.7723%4.3%6.44.6
70Derek Anderson2006--2011cle-crd-car9148215.5%2.4%7.76.7322.7%4.6%5.73.6
71Michael Vick2001--2011atl-phi18889655.8%2.4%7.76.7512.8%3.4%6.34.9
72Brett Favre1991--2010atl-gnb-nyj-min776932016.3%2.2%7.66.71253.2%4.9%6.44.3
73Craig Morton1965--1982dal-nyg-den291431186.7%3.7%8.26.7822.6%6.5%6.23.4
74Steve Pelluer1985--1990dal-kan6870173.3%2.2%7.66.7262.9%4.7%6.94.8
75Dan Marino1983--1999mia658711555.7%2.4%7.76.71054.1%3.9%6.85.1
76Donovan McNabb1999--2011phi-was-min408591065.4%2%7.46.7742.9%2.6%6.15
77Dave Krieg1980--1998sea-kan-det-crd-chi-oti400421136.7%3%7.96.7983%4.4%6.54.5
78Warren Moon1984--2000oti-min-sea-kan521951085.5%2.6%7.76.61103.1%4.2%6.84.9
79Jim Kelly1986--1996buf393301106.1%3.2%86.6673.1%4.6%6.64.6
80John Hadl1962--1977sdg-ram-gnb-oti339411037%3.7%8.26.6923.3%7.8%6.12.7
81Bernie Kosar1985--1996cle-dal-mia25254674.8%1.9%7.46.6663.1%3.4%6.65.1
82Jake Delhomme1999--2011nor-car-cle-htx22822655.5%2.9%7.86.6453.1%4.2%6.64.8
83Vince Evans1977--1995chi-rai9511377.1%3.8%8.26.6572.4%6%6.33.6
84John Elway1983--1998den564391635%2.6%7.76.6922.8%3.9%6.34.6
85Drew Bledsoe1993--2006nwe-buf-dal459461025.1%1.9%7.46.6992.4%4.2%5.94
86Jason Campbell2006--2011was-rai14417323.8%1.7%7.36.6393.3%2.7%6.45.3
87Pete Liske1964--1972nyj-den-phi5170167%2.6%7.66.6232.2%8.2%5.92.3
88Jeff George1990--2001clt-atl-rai-min-was28603485.5%2.7%7.76.6853.2%2.9%6.65.4
89Alex Smith2005--2011sfo13038334.4%1.1%76.6392.9%4.3%64.1
90Jim Zorn1976--1987sea-gnb-tam21249524.9%2.9%7.86.6682.8%5.4%6.13.7
91Lynn Dickey1971--1985oti-gnb23914526.5%4.4%8.46.6763.5%6.6%74.1
92Jon Kitna1997--2011sea-cin-det-dal30104565.7%2%7.46.6862.8%4.7%6.34.3
93Eric Hipple1981--1989det11009306.3%3%7.86.6361.8%5.5%6.44
94Bob Griese1967--1980mia265591087.4%3.9%8.16.5623.5%6.4%6.43.5
95Chris Miller1987--1999atl-ram-den19789375.7%2.4%7.56.5633.6%4.2%6.34.5
96Gus Frerotte1994--2008was-det-den-cin-min-mia-ram21666585.1%2.7%7.66.5602.5%4.1%6.24.4
97Matt Hasselbeck1999--2011gnb-sea-oti35891915.1%2.4%7.56.5803%3.4%6.34.8
98Tarvaris Jackson2006--2011min-sea7239274.5%3.1%7.86.5232.8%3.4%5.84.3
99Jeff Blake1992--2005nyj-cin-nor-rav-crd-phi-chi21711425.1%2.1%7.46.5773.6%3.6%6.34.7
100Tony Eason1983--1990nwe-nyj11703355.1%2.8%7.76.5313.3%3.4%6.75.2
101Jim Harbaugh1987--2000chi-clt-rav-sdg27194784.8%2.1%7.36.5932.3%3.6%6.24.6
102Don Majkowski1987--1996gnb-clt-det12906344.8%2.8%7.76.5432.6%4.2%64.2
103Gary Hogeboom1982--1989dal-clt-crd9598315.1%2.6%7.56.5282.7%6.1%6.74
104Joe Theismann1974--1985was26988956%2.8%7.66.5592.4%5.1%6.34.1
105Randall Cunningham1985--2001phi-min-dal-rav32405986.1%2.6%7.66.5733.1%3.6%6.34.7
106Byron Leftwich2003--2010jax-atl-pit-tam10439305%1.6%7.16.5312.6%3.5%6.24.7
107Tony Banks1996--2005ram-rav-was-htx15315435.2%2.2%7.46.5522%3.7%5.94.3
108Bobby Hebert1985--1996nor-atl22331635.2%3%7.76.5553.5%5%6.24.1
109Greg Landry1968--1984det-clt-chi16100556.7%3.9%8.16.5652.5%4.7%6.34.2
110Eli Manning2004--2011nyg30095775.5%2.2%7.36.4543.7%4.5%6.74.7
111Jay Fiedler1998--2005min-jax-mia-nyj12499505%2.6%7.56.4292.5%5.9%63.4
112Stan Humphries1989--1997was-sdg18538554.4%2.3%7.46.4392.2%5.1%5.93.7
113Jim Plunkett1971--1986nwe-sfo-rai28175855.6%3.4%7.96.4823.2%7.1%6.43.2
114Elvis Grbac1994--2001sfo-kan-rav17492614.8%2.4%7.46.4393.1%4.4%6.24.3
115Richard Todd1976--1985nyj-nor21636515.2%3.6%7.96.4703.2%7%6.23.1
116Steve Grogan1975--1990nwe27457806.7%4.3%8.26.4713.5%7.2%6.83.6
117Frank Ryan1960--1970ram-cle-was15833669.3%4.4%8.26.4424%6.1%6.63.9
118Carson Palmer2004--2011cin-rai25659505.9%2.9%7.66.4593.8%3.5%6.95.3
119Shaun Hill2005--2011min-sfo-det6209185.5%1.8%7.16.4163.2%2.8%6.35.1
120Mark Rypien1988--2001was-cle-ram-phi-clt20249585.7%3.3%7.76.4472.9%3.6%6.54.9
121Bubby Brister1986--2000pit-phi-nyj-den-min14801475.7%2.3%7.36.4511.9%4.3%5.93.9
122Kerry Collins1995--2011car-nor-nyg-rai-oti-clt42478924.4%2.1%7.26.41132.7%4%6.14.3
123Steve McNair1995--2007oti-rav330681004.6%2.1%7.26.4722.6%3.4%6.44.9
124Charlie Batch1998--2011det-pit10610405.2%2.8%7.56.3373.1%3.4%6.65.1
125Bill Nelsen1963--1972pit-cle15004466.5%4.1%86.3433%7.2%6.53.4
126Charley Johnson1961--1975crd-oti-den24410687.3%4.7%8.36.3703%5.9%6.33.6
127Steve Bartkowski1975--1986atl-ram24916605.9%3.1%7.66.3733.5%5.2%6.54.3
128Sam Bradford2010--2011ram567684.1%1.5%6.96.3181.9%2.5%5.64.5
129Gary Danielson1977--1988det-cle14000424.9%2.9%7.56.3433.5%5.3%6.74.4
130Brian Sipe1974--1983cle23896606%3.2%7.66.3623%5.4%6.23.8
131Jay Schroeder1985--1994was-rai-cin-crd20854715.2%2.7%7.46.3502.7%5.3%6.64.3
132Virgil Carter1968--1976chi-cin-sdg5127215.7%3%7.56.3242.1%4.7%5.63.5
133Tommy Kramer1977--1990min-nor25651645.9%2.8%7.46.3662.9%5.7%6.23.7
134Brad Johnson1994--2008min-was-tam-dal304571024.6%2.1%7.16.2702.9%3.9%6.24.5
135Kelly Holcomb1995--2007tam-clt-cle-buf-min645395.5%3.4%7.76.2294%4.5%6.54.6
136Quincy Carter2001--2004dal-nyj6491204.7%2.2%7.16.2181.8%5.3%5.93.5
137Ryan Fitzpatrick2005--2011ram-cin-buf10936226.2%2.4%7.26.2342.9%4.5%5.93.9
138Neil O'Donnell1991--2003pit-nyj-cin-oti23399725%2%76.2582.5%2.3%6.35.4
139James Harris1969--1979buf-ram-sdg8479445.8%4.2%86.2341.8%6.6%63.1
140Brian Griese1998--2008den-mia-tam-chi19440535.2%2.8%7.46.2403.3%4.2%6.64.7
141Terry Bradshaw1970--1983pit318221257%4.3%86.2623%7.3%6.12.9
142Bill Munson1964--1979ram-det-sea-sdg-buf12940416.4%2.6%7.26.2582.8%5%6.13.9
143Steve Tensi1966--1970sdg-den5558158.5%4.4%86.1293.5%5.7%5.83.3
144Jeff Kemp1981--1991ram-sfo-sea-phi6403286.7%2.9%7.36.1261.9%5.5%6.33.8
145Ty Detmer1993--2001gnb-phi-sfo-cle-det6499184.9%2.5%7.16.1242.7%4.6%6.54.4
146Billy Wade1960--1966ram-chi11390346.1%3.5%7.66.1333.8%6.3%6.43.7
147Dave M. Brown1992--2000nyg-crd10304294.1%2.5%7.26.1421.9%4.2%5.84
148Mark Sanchez2009--2011nyj10364305.1%2%6.96.1222.9%5%6.24
149Joe Ferguson1973--1990buf-det-tam-clt30631836.4%3.1%7.46.11073%5.8%6.13.5
150Norm Snead1961--1976was-phi-min-nyg-sfo30797576.9%4.3%7.96.11143.5%6.7%6.73.7
151Dennis Shaw1970--1975buf-crd6347125.9%5.3%8.46.1342.8%8.1%6.52.9
152Vince Ferragamo1977--1986ram-buf-gnb12564357.1%3.7%7.66.1422.9%7.1%6.53.4
153Jake Plummer1997--2006crd-den30593744.7%2.5%7.16.1752.9%4.8%6.44.3
154Tommy Maddox1992--2005den-ram-nyg-pit8754275.9%3.2%7.46.1282.6%5.3%6.13.7
155Daryle Lamonica1963--1974buf-rai210821047.8%4.6%86.1373%7.3%62.8
156Kyle Orton2005--2011chi-den-kan14532364.5%1.9%6.86.1353%3.1%6.45
157Roman Gabriel1962--1977ram-phi29780875.7%2.6%7.16.1793.2%4%5.84.1
158Bob Lee1969--1980min-atl-ram5416605.9%4.8%8.16.1241.2%6.2%52.3
159David Carr2002--2010htx-car-nyg-sfo14433323.4%2.2%76.1612.7%3.4%6.24.7
160Jack Trudeau1986--1995clt-nyj-car10494253.2%2.4%7.16432.3%5.2%5.83.5
161Steve Fuller1979--1986kan-chi7454334%3.5%7.56291.9%4%6.24.5
162Danny White1976--1988dal242431245.8%4%7.76594%5.3%6.74.4
163Archie Manning1971--1984nor-oti-min23911374.4%3.2%7.461103.1%5.1%6.34.1
164Ken Stabler1970--1984rai-oti-nor305791106.6%4.6%7.96643%7.3%6.53.3
165Doug Williams1978--1989tam-was18108495.4%2.8%7.26453.1%4.8%6.54.4
166Joe Pisarcik1977--1984nyg-phi5552254.6%4.1%7.86322.1%5.7%5.73.1
167Jim McMahon1982--1996chi-sdg-phi-min-crd-gnb19260864.5%3.3%7.46402.6%3.8%6.44.8
168Milt Plum1960--1969cle-det-ram-nyg13335466.9%4.9%8.16403.1%6%6.33.7
169Ron Jaworski1974--1989ram-phi-mia-kan29859895.4%2.9%7.26793.4%4.8%6.54.4
170Rodney Peete1989--2004det-dal-phi-was-car16636554.3%3.4%7.56482.2%4.3%6.54.6
171Vinny Testaverde1987--2007tam-cle-rav-nyj-dal-nwe-car475531025.3%3.1%7.361373.3%4.5%6.74.7
172Billy Kilmer1961--1978sfo-nor-was21555886.7%3.7%7.56813.3%5.9%6.13.5
173Tim Couch1999--2003cle11131225.5%3.2%7.36402.7%4.3%64.1
174Erik Kramer1987--1999atl-det-chi-sdg16336384.9%2.4%76483.4%4.1%6.54.7
175Trent Dilfer1994--2007tam-rav-sea-cle-sfo21489685.3%2.7%7.16652%5.1%63.7
176Mike Pagel1982--1993clt-cle-ram9593224.5%2.6%7.16532.9%4.9%63.8
177Kordell Stewart1995--2005pit-chi-rav15490763.5%2.1%6.85.9542.7%5.6%5.53
178Chad Henne2008--2011mia7114143.6%1.7%6.65.9202.4%4.6%6.74.7
179Jim Hart1966--1984crd-was35156935.7%4%7.65.91032.9%5.5%6.23.8
180Vince Young2006--2011oti-phi9102354.5%3%7.15.9272.2%4.9%6.54.3
181Josh McCown2002--2011crd-det-rai-car-chi6998154.2%1.6%6.55.9362.9%5.2%6.23.9
182Mark Malone1981--1989pit-sdg-nyj10733296.3%3%7.15.8442.3%5.9%5.83.2
183Babe Parilli1960--1969rai-nwe-nyj18778647.1%4.1%7.55.8473.2%7.5%5.92.5
184Don Strock1974--1988mia-cle5913377.1%3.6%7.35.8304.5%7.3%6.63.3
185Dick Wood1962--1966sdg-nyj-rai-mia7153177.1%3.4%7.25.8282.6%7.3%5.32.1
186Shaun King1999--2004tam-crd5057195.9%2.3%6.75.8161.1%4.1%5.53.7
187Pat Haden1976--1981ram10024414.4%2.9%75.8263.1%7.1%6.43.3
188Bobby Douglass1969--1978chi-sdg-nor-gnb6493166.2%3.5%7.25.8572.1%5.8%5.12.5
189Cotton Davidson1960--1968kan-rai11451306.5%4.1%7.55.7402.9%7.2%6.33.1
190Steve Bono1985--1999min-pit-sfo-kan-gnb-ram-car10576494.6%1.8%6.45.7262.5%3.7%5.74.1
191Marc Wilson1980--1990rai-nwe14526395.8%4%7.45.7422.8%5.8%6.53.9
192Billy Joe Tolliver1989--1999sdg-atl-oti-kan-nor10760245%2.6%6.85.7533%4.1%6.14.4
193Rick Mirer1993--2003sea-chi-nyj-sfo-rai11969273.9%2.4%6.65.6521.8%4.4%5.53.5
194Steve Ramsey1970--1976nor-den6437235.4%5.9%8.15.6282.4%6.5%6.33.4
195Jacky Lee1960--1969oti-den-kan6191309%7%8.55.5294%6.9%6.63.6
196Hugh Millen1987--1995ram-atl-nwe-den644082.3%4.2%7.45.5302.4%3.6%6.85.2
197Jim Ninowski1960--1969det-cle-was-nor6953334.3%4.5%7.55.5272.6%7.4%6.22.9
198Dave Wilson1981--1988nor7007164.2%5.2%7.85.5373.1%5.5%6.23.8
199Kyle Boller2003--2011rav-ram-rai8931304.1%1.7%6.25.5362.6%4.7%5.73.6
200Joey Harrington2002--2007det-mia-atl14693274.4%2.2%6.45.5552.5%3.8%5.53.9
201Todd Blackledge1983--1989kan-pit5366225.2%3.4%6.95.5221.7%5.2%5.32.9
202Mike Tomczak1985--1999chi-gnb-cle-pit16963793.8%3.9%7.15.5593.4%5.3%6.64.2
203Mike Livingston1968--1979kan11295374.4%3.2%6.85.5522.4%5.7%6.23.7
204Danny Kanell1996--2003nyg-atl-den5328145.3%2.5%6.55.5252.2%4%4.93.2
205Steve Dils1980--1988min-ram-atl5816183.5%2.6%6.55.4292.4%3.6%5.74.1
206Jack Thompson1979--1984cin-tam5329155.3%1.8%6.15.4303.5%6.2%6.33.6
207Kent Graham1992--2001nyg-crd-pit-was7801274.4%1.6%65.4331.8%3.1%5.74.3
208David Woodley1980--1985mia-pit9203384.4%3.5%6.95.4243%7.4%6.33.1
209Randy Johnson1966--1976atl-nyg-was-gnb8329147.8%4.4%7.25.4583.2%7.6%6.33
210Rex Grossman2003--2011chi-htx-was11015304.7%3.3%6.85.4272.3%4.3%6.24.3
211Jim Miller1995--2002pit-chi6410203.9%2.9%6.65.3183%3.2%5.64.3
212Dan Pastorini1971--1983oti-rai-ram-phi19469624.6%4.2%7.15.3812.5%6.1%5.42.7
213Paul McDonald1980--1984cle5550123.8%3.4%6.85.3232.8%5.1%74.7
214George Blanda1960--1975oti-rai220291428.4%6%7.85.3793.9%8%6.12.5
215Jack Kemp1960--1969sdg-buf22256714.6%5.2%7.55.2462.2%7.1%6.23
216David Whitehurst1977--1983gnb6205216.1%5.3%7.45.1301.1%5.4%5.73.3
217Zeke Bratkowski1960--1971chi-ram-gnb8005304.7%5.5%7.55.1453.5%8.9%6.62.7
218Steve Spurrier1967--1976sfo-tam6878486.4%4.9%7.15.1532.2%5.2%5.43.1
219Joe Kapp1967--1970min-nwe6746266.6%6.2%7.75.1262.2%8.1%5.72.1
220Bob Avellini1975--1984chi7288304.2%5.9%7.55362.3%6.8%5.72.7
221Frank Tripucka1960--1963den7676135.1%5.9%7.55293.3%6.7%5.22.3
222Pete Beathard1964--1973kan-oti-crd-ram8544404.5%5.3%7.24.9342.5%7.3%5.62.4
223Gary Cuozzo1963--1972clt-nor-min-crd7688474.6%3.9%6.54.9352.9%5.7%63.5
224Al Dorow1960--1962nyj-buf5732145.7%5%6.94.8184.7%8.5%5.82.1
225Steve Walsh1989--1999dal-nor-chi-ram-tam-clt8248273.9%3.2%6.24.8342.4%4.5%5.93.9
226Mike Phipps1970--1981cle-chi10806504.5%3.7%6.44.8511.7%8.4%5.31.6
227Scott Brunner1980--1985nyg-crd6843163.7%3.7%6.34.7293%5.8%6.23.6
228Jack Concannon1964--1975phi-chi-gnb-det6270274.6%4.3%6.54.6322.5%6.8%5.12.1
229Mike Taliaferro1964--1972nyj-nwe-buf5241198.2%4.7%6.34.4412.2%7.2%5.11.9

[continue reading…]

References

References
1 Unfortunately, I excluded sack data from this study due to its general unavailability for most of the covered time period.
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This is mostly a huge end-of-regular-season data dump, but I’ll explain a little before the table…

PFR’s Simple Rating System can be broken into offensive and defensive components, which represent the number of points per game the team scored/allowed per game compared to the league average, after adjusting for the strength of opposing offenses and defenses faced. If you want to derive an expected winning percentage from that, you have to “back out” to total points scored/allowed again. To do that, you just add OSRS (or subtract DSRS) to the league’s average PPG, then multiply by the number of games the team played. This will give you adjusted points scored/allowed totals for the season.

To get that into a winning percentage-like form, you then need to plug those totals into the Pythagorean Formula. It usually takes the form of

(Pts Scored ^ x) / (Pts Scored ^ x + Pts Allowed ^ x)

where x was determined to be around 2.4 for the NFL in the 1990s, when current Houston Rockets (yep, basketball) GM Daryl Morey researched it for STATS, Inc. Last year, Football Outsiders decided to employ a “floating” exponent that varies with the scoring environment in which a team played, recognizing that a single point is more important to winning in lower-scoring environments. To that end, they used what’s known as the “Pythagenport” method of determining the exponent, which is

1.5 * log10((PF + PA) / G)

I was poking around in the data the other day, though, and found that the so-called “Pythagenpat” variant actually correlates slightly better with teams’ actual won-lost records since the NFL-AFL merger. That formula suggests for each team an exponent of

((PF + PA) / G) ^ 0.2466

This gives you a 1.204 RMSE vs. wins since 1970, a very slight improvement over the 1.205 RMSE you get using FO’s formula.

At any rate, I applied the Pythagenpat exponent to each team’s schedule-adjusted points scored/allowed totals since 1970, and tweaked the pythagorean win/loss totals up/down at the league-season level to match actual league-wide win/loss totals. The result was a definitive set of pythagorean ratings for every team since the merger:

YearTmpfr_idDivisionGWLTWPctPtsPtsOOSRSDSRSadj_PFadj_PAadj_Pyth
2012Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1661000.375344435-0.9-5.8349.84456.840.3331
2012Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East167900.438288317-5.52.9276.24317.640.4174
2012New England PatriotsnweAFC East1612400.75055733112.20.5559.44356.040.7747
2012New York JetsnyjAFC East1661000.375281375-5.1-0.9282.64378.440.3267
2012Baltimore RavensravAFC North1610600.6253983441.91.0394.64348.040.5819
2012Cincinnati BengalscinAFC North1610600.6253913201.20.9383.44349.640.5606
2012Cleveland BrownscleAFC North1651100.313302368-4.6-0.7290.64375.240.3467
2012Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North168800.500336314-2.82.1319.44330.440.4806
2012Houston TexanshtxAFC South1612400.7504163311.81.7393.04336.840.5993
2012Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1611500.688357387-1.9-2.8333.84408.840.3740
2012Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC South1621400.125255444-8.1-4.9234.64442.440.1700
2012Tennessee TitansotiAFC South1661000.375330471-2.6-7.4322.64482.440.2595
2012Denver BroncosdenAFC West1613300.8134812896.33.8465.04303.240.7539
2012Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1621400.125211425-10.3-3.7199.44423.240.1368
2012Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1641200.250290443-4.6-6.2290.64463.240.2322
2012San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West167900.438350350-2.0-0.4332.24370.440.4329
2012Dallas CowboysdalNFC East168800.5003764001.4-1.2386.64383.240.5074
2012New York GiantsnygNFC East169700.5634293444.02.2428.24328.840.6662
2012Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1641200.250280444-5.3-3.6279.44421.640.2619
2012Washington RedskinswasNFC East1610600.6254363884.6-1.2437.84383.240.5887
2012Chicago BearschiNFC North1610600.6253752771.06.0380.24268.040.7066
2012Detroit LionsdetNFC North1641200.2503724372.1-4.4397.84434.440.4436
2012Green Bay PackersgnbNFC North1611500.6884333364.92.4442.64325.640.6911
2012Minnesota VikingsminNFC North1610600.6253793481.61.8389.84335.240.5971
2012Atlanta FalconsatlNFC South1613300.8134192992.04.5396.24292.040.6855
2012Carolina PantherscarNFC South167900.438357363-0.51.3356.24343.240.5252
2012New Orleans SaintsnorNFC South167900.4384614546.5-5.1468.24445.640.5351
2012Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC South167900.4383893941.3-1.3385.04384.840.5020
2012Arizona CardinalscrdNFC West1651100.313250357-4.81.6287.44338.440.4022
2012San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1611410.7193972733.56.7420.24256.840.7772
2012Seattle SeahawksseaNFC West1611500.6884122454.57.7436.24240.840.8186
2012St. Louis RamsramNFC West167810.469299348-2.12.4330.64325.640.5112
2011Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1661000.3753724341.2-4.5374.03426.930.4200
2011Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1661000.375329313-2.23.2319.63303.730.5374
2011New England PatriotsnweAFC East1613300.8135133429.4-0.1505.23356.530.7234
2011New York JetsnyjAFC East168800.5003773631.2-0.3374.03359.730.5310
2011Baltimore RavensravAFC North1612400.7503782662.63.5396.43298.930.6776
2011Cincinnati BengalscinAFC North169700.5633443230.7-0.2366.03358.130.5199
2011Cleveland BrownscleAFC North1641200.250218307-7.21.8239.63326.130.3284
2011Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North1612400.750325227-0.86.0342.03258.930.6698
2011Houston TexanshtxAFC South1610600.6253812781.43.2377.23303.730.6393
2011Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1621400.125243430-6.0-5.3258.83439.730.2127
2011Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC South1651100.313243329-7.11.4241.23332.530.3212
2011Tennessee TitansotiAFC South169700.563325317-2.21.2319.63335.730.4753
2011Denver BroncosdenAFC West168800.500309390-3.6-1.7297.23382.130.3527
2011Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West167900.438212338-10.22.1191.63321.330.2347
2011Oakland RaidersraiAFC West168800.5003594330.2-5.1358.03436.530.3790
2011San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West168800.5004063772.7-1.8398.03383.730.5298
2011Dallas CowboysdalNFC East168800.5003693470.70.9366.03340.530.5518
2011New York GiantsnygNFC East169700.5633944003.1-1.5404.43378.930.5484
2011Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East168800.5003963283.11.7404.43327.730.6377
2011Washington RedskinswasNFC East1651100.313288367-4.30.2286.03351.730.3804
2011Chicago BearschiNFC North168800.500353341-1.53.1330.83305.330.5555
2011Detroit LionsdetNFC North1610600.6254743876.9-0.8465.23367.730.6569
2011Green Bay PackersgnbNFC North1615100.93856035911.5-0.1538.83356.530.7589
2011Minnesota VikingsminNFC North1631300.188340449-1.6-4.1329.23420.530.3530
2011Atlanta FalconsatlNFC South1610600.6254023501.81.7383.63327.730.6050
2011Carolina PantherscarNFC South1661000.3754064292.6-3.9396.43417.330.4722
2011New Orleans SaintsnorNFC South1613300.81354733910.60.8524.43342.130.7642
2011Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC South1641200.250287494-4.0-6.6290.83460.530.2397
2011Arizona CardinalscrdNFC West168800.500312348-1.7-0.5327.63362.930.4416
2011San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1613300.8133802291.76.6382.03249.330.7479
2011Seattle SeahawksseaNFC West167900.438321315-0.51.3346.83334.130.5295
2011St. Louis RamsramNFC West1621400.125193407-8.4-2.1220.43388.530.2053
2010Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1641200.250283425-1.5-3.1328.74402.040.3740
2010Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East167900.438273333-2.83.1307.94302.840.5106
2010New England PatriotsnweAFC East1614200.87551831312.62.8554.34307.640.8287
2010New York JetsnyjAFC East1611500.6883673042.24.2387.94285.240.6846
2010Baltimore RavensravAFC North1612400.7503572700.95.5367.14264.440.6929
2010Cincinnati BengalscinAFC North1641200.2503223950.4-1.9359.14382.840.4593
2010Cleveland BrownscleAFC North1651100.313271332-3.42.0298.34320.440.4565
2010Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North1612400.7503752322.57.7392.74229.240.7908
2010Houston TexanshtxAFC South1661000.3753904271.8-3.7381.54411.640.4508
2010Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1610600.6254353883.7-0.9411.94366.840.5753
2010Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC South168800.500353419-1.2-3.3333.54405.240.3777
2010Tennessee TitansotiAFC South1661000.375356339-0.91.9338.34322.040.5312
2010Denver BroncosdenAFC West1641200.250344471-1.1-7.8335.14477.240.2831
2010Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1610600.625366326-1.50.8328.74339.640.4799
2010Oakland RaidersraiAFC West168800.5004103712.3-2.2389.54387.640.5035
2010San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West169700.5634413223.21.6403.94326.840.6330
2010Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1661000.3753944362.5-4.7392.74427.640.4444
2010New York GiantsnygNFC East1610600.6253943471.70.4379.94346.040.5599
2010Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1610600.6254393775.4-1.2439.14371.640.6085
2010Washington RedskinswasNFC East1661000.375302377-3.4-0.5298.34360.440.3843
2010Chicago BearschiNFC North1611500.688334286-0.64.7343.14277.240.6288
2010Detroit LionsdetNFC North1661000.3753623692.4-0.5391.14360.440.5530
2010Green Bay PackersgnbNFC North1610600.6253882403.17.9402.34226.040.8065
2010Minnesota VikingsminNFC North1661000.375281348-3.31.7299.94325.240.4505
2010Atlanta FalconsatlNFC South1613300.8134142883.82.2413.54317.240.6641
2010Carolina PantherscarNFC South1621400.125196408-9.1-4.1207.14418.040.1505
2010New Orleans SaintsnorNFC South1611500.6883843071.50.8376.74339.640.5661
2010Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC South1610600.625341318-1.00.4336.74346.040.4832
2010Arizona CardinalscrdNFC West1651100.313289434-5.6-7.1263.14466.040.1879
2010San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1661000.375305346-4.7-1.1277.54370.040.3285
2010Seattle SeahawksseaNFC West167900.438310407-3.9-5.5290.34440.440.2559
2010St. Louis RamsramNFC West167900.438289328-6.3-0.4251.94358.840.2960
2009Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1661000.375258326-4.52.7271.47300.270.4395
2009Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East167900.4383603902.9-1.2389.87362.670.5466
2009New England PatriotsnweAFC East1610600.6254272856.74.5450.67271.470.7853
2009New York JetsnyjAFC East169700.5633482361.17.5361.07223.470.7623
2009Baltimore RavensravAFC North169700.5633912612.64.9385.07265.070.7173
2009Cincinnati BengalscinAFC North1610600.625305291-2.53.2303.47292.270.5230
2009Cleveland BrownscleAFC North1651100.313245375-6.0-2.4247.47381.870.2549
2009Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North169700.5633683241.00.7359.47332.270.5497
2009Houston TexanshtxAFC South169700.5633883332.7-0.7386.67354.670.5554
2009Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1614200.8754163074.41.5413.87319.470.6604
2009Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC South167900.438290380-3.8-2.6282.67385.070.3153
2009Tennessee TitansotiAFC South168800.5003544020.9-3.6357.87401.070.4268
2009Denver BroncosdenAFC West168800.500326324-1.01.3327.47322.670.5092
2009Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1641200.250294424-2.5-5.9303.47437.870.2801
2009Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1651100.313197379-8.7-1.6204.27369.070.1932
2009San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1613300.8134543206.40.2445.87340.270.6696
2009Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1611500.6883612500.46.7349.87236.270.7220
2009New York GiantsnygNFC East168800.5004024274.6-4.5417.07415.470.5026
2009Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1611500.6884293375.80.2436.27340.270.6564
2009Washington RedskinswasNFC East1641200.250266336-5.51.0255.47327.470.3538
2009Chicago BearschiNFC North167900.438327375-1.9-2.0313.07375.470.3871
2009Detroit LionsdetNFC North1621400.125262494-5.2-9.2260.27490.670.1628
2009Green Bay PackersgnbNFC North1611500.6884612976.31.1444.27325.870.6912
2009Minnesota VikingsminNFC North1612400.7504703126.60.6449.07333.870.6844
2009Atlanta FalconsatlNFC South169700.5633633252.72.3386.67306.670.6427
2009Carolina PantherscarNFC South168800.500315308-0.64.5333.87271.470.6241
2009New Orleans SaintsnorNFC South1613300.81351034111.2-0.5522.67351.470.7435
2009Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC South1631300.188244400-4.6-1.1269.87361.070.3273
2009Arizona CardinalscrdNFC West1610600.6253753250.1-0.4345.07349.870.4913
2009San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West168800.500330281-2.93.0297.07295.470.5033
2009Seattle SeahawksseaNFC West1651100.313280390-5.0-4.4263.47413.870.2429
2009St. Louis RamsramNFC West1611500.063175436-11.7-5.8156.27436.270.0758
2008Buffalo BillsbufAFC East167900.438336342-2.8-0.6307.67362.070.3972
2008Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1611500.688345317-2.41.8314.07323.670.4794
2008New England PatriotsnweAFC East1611500.6884103092.31.6389.27326.870.6078
2008New York JetsnyjAFC East169700.5634053562.2-1.9387.67382.870.5062
2008Baltimore RavensravAFC North1611500.6883852444.25.6419.67262.870.7631
2008Cincinnati BengalscinAFC North1641110.281204364-6.9-0.1242.07354.070.2814
2008Cleveland BrownscleAFC North1641200.250232350-5.20.6269.27342.870.3539
2008Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North1612400.7503472231.68.2378.07221.270.7854
2008Houston TexanshtxAFC South168800.5003663942.8-3.2397.27403.670.4876
2008Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1612400.7503772982.63.9394.07290.070.6823
2008Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC South1651100.313302367-2.1-0.4318.87358.870.4242
2008Tennessee TitansotiAFC South1613300.8133752341.57.5376.47232.470.7635
2008Denver BroncosdenAFC West168800.5003704480.7-6.5363.67456.470.3524
2008Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1621400.125291440-3.9-5.3290.07437.270.2569
2008Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1651100.313263388-6.5-1.0248.47368.470.2730
2008San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West168800.5004393475.00.0432.47352.470.6285
2008Dallas CowboysdalNFC East169700.5633623651.7-1.2379.67371.670.5118
2008New York GiantsnygNFC East1612400.7504272945.52.8440.47307.670.7143
2008Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East169610.5944162894.73.2427.67301.270.7087
2008Washington RedskinswasNFC East168800.500265296-5.84.1259.67286.870.4389
2008Chicago BearschiNFC North169700.5633753501.11.0370.07336.470.5583
2008Detroit LionsdetNFC North1601600.000268517-4.0-9.1288.47498.070.1916
2008Green Bay PackersgnbNFC North1661000.3754193804.1-1.2418.07371.670.5744
2008Minnesota VikingsminNFC North1610600.6253793331.12.9370.07306.070.6153
2008Atlanta FalconsatlNFC South1611500.6883913251.32.5373.27312.470.6085
2008Carolina PantherscarNFC South1612400.7504143292.82.9397.27306.070.6580
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2007Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North1610600.6253932690.94.3361.55278.150.6646
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2005Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North1611500.6883892583.84.0390.48265.830.7259
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2005Tennessee TitansotiAFC South1641200.250299421-2.0-5.5297.68417.830.2988
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2005New Orleans SaintsnorNFC South1631300.188235398-6.2-4.9230.48408.230.1974
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2005Arizona CardinalscrdNFC West1651100.313311387-2.0-3.0297.68377.830.3569
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2004Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North1615100.9383722513.45.6398.20254.200.7576
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2004Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1612400.75052235111.7-0.3531.00348.600.7595
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2004Tennessee TitansotiAFC South1651100.3133444390.3-4.6348.60417.400.3888
2004Denver BroncosdenAFC West1610600.6253813041.64.3369.40275.000.6794
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2004New York GiantsnygNFC East1661000.375303347-2.3-1.6307.00369.400.3893
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2004New Orleans SaintsnorNFC South168800.500348405-1.2-4.3324.60412.600.3541
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2004St. Louis RamsramNFC West168800.500319392-2.2-3.8308.60404.600.3375
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2003Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1610600.625311261-0.74.1322.06267.760.6138
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2003Cleveland BrownscleAFC North1651100.313254322-5.32.4248.46294.960.4024
2003Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North1661000.375300327-2.51.4293.26310.960.4675
2003Houston TexanshtxAFC South1651100.313255380-4.4-1.5262.86357.360.3227
2003Indianapolis ColtscltAFC South1612400.7504473368.2-1.2464.46352.560.6775
2003Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC South1651100.313276331-3.30.9280.46318.960.4254
2003Tennessee TitansotiAFC South1612400.7504353247.0-0.5445.26341.360.6703
2003Denver BroncosdenAFC West1610600.6253813012.43.1371.66283.760.6658
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2003San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1641200.250313441-0.6-6.2323.66432.560.3241
2003Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1610600.625289260-3.22.7282.06290.160.4863
2003New York GiantsnygNFC East1641200.250243387-4.8-3.7256.46392.560.2605
2003Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1612400.7503742872.91.5379.66309.360.6300
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2003Detroit LionsdetNFC North1651100.313270379-4.3-1.6264.46358.960.3233
2003Green Bay PackersgnbNFC North1610600.6254423076.21.9432.46302.960.7173
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2003Atlanta FalconsatlNFC South1651100.313299422-2.0-5.4301.26419.760.3031
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2003Arizona CardinalscrdNFC West1641200.250225452-6.3-6.2232.46432.560.1774
2003San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West167900.4383843373.00.1381.26331.760.5911
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2002Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East169700.5633783011.74.4374.03276.380.6807
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2002Cleveland BrownscleAFC North169700.563344320-0.41.7340.43319.580.5400
2002Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC North1610510.6563903453.1-0.4396.43353.180.5746
2002Houston TexanshtxAFC South1641200.250213356-8.4-1.1212.43364.380.2137
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2002Tennessee TitansotiAFC South1611500.6883673241.60.1372.43345.180.5490
2002Denver BroncosdenAFC West169700.5633923443.01.9394.83316.380.6381
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2002New York GiantsnygNFC East1610600.625320279-2.23.0311.63298.780.5264
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2002Green Bay PackersgnbNFC North1612400.7503983282.41.2385.23327.580.6025
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2001Baltimore RavensravAFC Central1610600.625303265-0.84.0310.61259.410.6059
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2001Tennessee TitansotiAFC Central167900.4383363882.4-4.4361.81393.810.4443
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2001Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East1661000.3754134866.1-9.8421.01480.210.4109
2001Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1611500.688344290-0.33.1318.61273.810.5902
2001New England PatriotsnweAFC East1611500.6883712721.23.1342.61273.810.6334
2001New York JetsnyjAFC East1610600.625308295-2.02.8291.41278.610.5260
2001Denver BroncosdenAFC West168800.5003403390.5-1.0331.41339.410.4839
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2001Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1610600.6253993274.0-0.4387.41329.810.6002
2001San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1651100.3133323210.3-0.6328.21333.010.4898
2001Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West169700.563301324-1.4-0.4301.01329.810.4426
2001Chicago BearschiNFC Central1613300.8133382030.87.1336.21209.810.7540
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2001Arizona CardinalscrdNFC East167900.438295343-1.5-2.6299.41365.010.3772
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2000Baltimore RavensravAFC Central1612400.7503331650.08.0330.72202.830.7587
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2000Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC Central167900.4383673273.2-2.1381.92364.430.5274
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2000Tennessee TitansotiAFC Central1613300.8133461911.56.8354.72222.030.7537
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2000Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East1610600.6254293267.10.8444.32318.030.7013
2000Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1611500.6883232260.07.1330.72217.230.7291
2000New England PatriotsnweAFC East1651100.313276338-2.70.2287.52327.630.4176
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2000Chicago BearschiNFC Central1651100.313216355-6.40.1228.32329.230.2907
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2000Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central169700.5633533231.80.7359.52319.630.5707
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1999Baltimore RavensravAFC Central168800.500324277-1.62.5307.43293.080.5251
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1999Tennessee TitansotiAFC Central1613300.8133923242.0-1.0365.03349.080.5244
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1999Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East1613300.8134233336.6-0.5438.63341.080.6543
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1999New England PatriotsnweAFC East168800.500299284-1.03.2317.03281.880.5672
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1999Denver BroncosdenAFC West1661000.3753143181.02.4349.03294.680.5997
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1999Oakland RaidersraiAFC West168800.5003903295.71.0424.23317.080.6751
1999San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West168800.500269316-3.92.9270.63286.680.4614
1999Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West169700.5633382981.92.6363.43291.480.6303
1999Chicago BearschiNFC Central1661000.375272341-3.01.0285.03317.080.4312
1999Detroit LionsdetNFC Central168800.5003223230.11.8334.63304.280.5547
1999Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central168800.5003573412.5-0.9373.03347.480.5412
1999Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1610600.6253993355.2-0.8416.23345.880.6137
1999Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1611500.688270235-4.16.7267.43225.880.5930
1999Arizona CardinalscrdNFC East1661000.375245382-5.5-3.2245.03384.280.2433
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1999New York GiantsnygNFC East167900.438299358-1.8-1.2304.23352.280.4054
1999Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1651100.313272357-3.3-0.9280.23347.480.3661
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1999Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1651100.313285380-4.0-3.0269.03381.080.2916
1999Carolina PantherscarNFC West168800.5004213812.9-4.0379.43397.080.4664
1999New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1631300.188260434-5.3-6.9248.23443.480.1831
1999San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1641200.250295453-4.5-6.8261.03441.880.2038
1999St. Louis RamsramNFC West1613300.8135262428.73.2472.23281.880.7875
1998Baltimore RavensravAFC Central1661000.375269335-5.2-0.2257.35343.590.3389
1998Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1631300.188268452-4.5-6.5268.55444.390.2253
1998Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC Central1611500.6883923383.1-0.6390.15349.990.5780
1998Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central167900.438263303-5.11.3258.95319.590.3838
1998Tennessee OilersotiAFC Central168800.500330320-0.50.5332.55332.390.5088
1998Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1610600.6254003334.40.7410.95329.190.6475
1998Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East1631300.188310444-0.1-5.3338.95425.190.3656
1998Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1610600.625321265-0.76.5329.35236.390.6983
1998New England PatriotsnweAFC East169700.5633373291.12.8358.15295.590.6261
1998New York JetsnyjAFC East1612400.7504162665.45.8426.95247.590.8060
1998Denver BroncosdenAFC West1614200.8755013099.5-0.6492.55349.990.7211
1998Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West167900.438327363-0.7-2.4329.35378.790.4204
1998Oakland RaidersraiAFC West168800.500288356-4.1-1.5274.95364.390.3405
1998San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1651100.313241342-7.7-0.7217.35351.590.2472
1998Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West168800.5003723100.90.6354.95330.790.5529
1998Chicago BearschiNFC Central1641200.250276368-3.4-0.3286.15345.190.3945
1998Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1651100.313306378-1.9-1.5310.15364.390.4085
1998Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1611500.6884083194.30.7409.35329.190.6451
1998Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1615100.93855629613.21.6551.75314.790.8264
1998Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central168800.500314295-2.33.5303.75284.390.5485
1998Arizona CardinalscrdNFC East169700.563325378-1.6-5.8314.95433.190.3137
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1998New York GiantsnygNFC East168800.500287309-4.31.1271.75322.790.4051
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1998Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1614200.8754422897.03.0452.55292.390.7637
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1998New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1661000.375305359-1.51.6316.55314.790.5120
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1997Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1611500.6883723072.72.6375.21290.250.6559
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1997Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East1631300.188313401-0.6-3.8322.41392.650.3771
1997Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East169700.5633393271.00.3348.01327.050.5393
1997New England PatriotsnweAFC East1610600.6253692892.33.0368.81283.850.6581
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1997Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1641200.250324419-0.1-5.0330.41411.850.3621
1997San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1641200.250266425-4.1-4.8266.41408.650.2545
1997Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West168800.5003653621.8-1.7360.81359.050.5034
1997Chicago BearschiNFC Central1641200.250263421-3.1-5.3282.41416.650.2718
1997Detroit LionsdetNFC Central169700.5633793063.00.9380.01317.450.6124
1997Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1613300.8134222825.32.4416.81293.450.7101
1997Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central169700.5633543591.7-1.8359.21360.650.4978
1997Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1610600.625299263-2.45.1293.61250.250.5945
1997Arizona CardinalscrdNFC East1641200.250283379-2.6-3.8290.41392.650.3187
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1997New York GiantsnygNFC East1610510.656307265-1.83.3303.21279.050.5505
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1997New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1661000.375237327-6.8-0.6223.21341.450.2646
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1996Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East169700.563317334-1.80.2297.98323.630.4486
1996Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East168800.5003393250.6-0.4336.38333.230.5052
1996New England PatriotsnweAFC East1611500.6884183134.90.2405.18323.630.6395
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1996Chicago BearschiNFC Central167900.438283305-1.41.2304.38307.630.4928
1996Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1651100.313302368-0.4-2.5320.38366.830.4146
1996Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1613300.8134562108.76.6465.98221.230.8673
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1996Arizona CardinalscrdNFC East167900.438300397-1.7-5.8299.58419.630.2964
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1996New York GiantsnygNFC East1661000.375242297-5.71.5235.58302.830.3542
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1996New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1631300.188229339-7.1-1.0213.18342.830.2417
1996San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1612400.7503982573.74.3385.98258.030.7307
1996St. Louis RamsramNFC West1661000.375303409-1.7-4.6299.58400.430.3231
1995Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central167900.4383493740.1-1.9345.35374.040.4529
1995Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1651100.313289356-3.2-0.6292.55353.240.3885
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1995Jacksonville JaguarsjaxAFC Central1641200.250275404-4.4-3.7273.35402.840.2774
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1995Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East169700.563331316-1.70.4316.55337.240.4643
1995Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East169700.5633983323.1-0.4393.35350.040.5783
1995New England PatriotsnweAFC East1661000.375294377-2.8-2.6298.95385.240.3489
1995New York JetsnyjAFC East1631300.188233384-7.9-3.3217.35396.440.1896
1995Denver BroncosdenAFC West168800.5003883453.3-0.2396.55346.840.5892
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1995Chicago BearschiNFC Central169700.5633923603.1-0.8393.35356.440.5670
1995Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1610600.6254363365.91.0438.15327.640.6839
1995Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1611500.6884043143.52.5399.75303.640.6717
1995Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central168800.5004123855.1-1.4425.35366.040.6007
1995Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central167900.438238335-6.91.9233.35313.240.3348
1995Arizona CardinalscrdNFC East1641200.250275422-3.5-4.0287.75407.640.2963
1995Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1612400.7504352916.23.5442.95287.640.7554
1995New York GiantsnygNFC East1651100.313290340-2.61.1302.15326.040.4568
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1995Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West169700.5633623490.9-0.9358.15358.040.5039
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1995New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West167900.438319348-1.7-0.4316.55350.040.4410
1995San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1611500.6884572586.55.3447.75258.840.8050
1995St. Louis RamsramNFC West167900.438309418-1.8-4.6314.95417.240.3307
1994Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1631300.188276406-1.6-5.4298.56410.450.3110
1994Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1611500.6883402041.26.1343.36226.450.7352
1994Houston OilersotiAFC Central1621400.125226352-4.7-2.6248.96365.650.2831
1994Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1612400.750316234-0.25.0320.96244.050.6625
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1994Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East168800.500307320-1.3-0.2303.36327.250.4565
1994Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1610600.6253893274.5-0.3396.16328.850.6203
1994New England PatriotsnweAFC East1610600.6253513121.91.3354.56303.250.5997
1994New York JetsnyjAFC East1661000.375264320-3.71.5264.96300.050.4289
1994Denver BroncosdenAFC West167900.4383473961.3-4.6344.96397.650.4127
1994Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West169700.563319298-1.32.1303.36290.450.5297
1994Los Angeles RaidersraiAFC West169700.563303327-1.90.3293.76319.250.4523
1994San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1611500.6883813062.90.7370.56312.850.6085
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1994Chicago BearschiNFC Central169700.563271307-3.21.3272.96303.250.4399
1994Detroit LionsdetNFC Central169700.5633573422.8-0.4368.96330.450.5728
1994Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central169700.5633822873.82.2384.96288.850.6764
1994Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1610600.6253563142.40.8362.56311.250.5980
1994Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1661000.375251351-5.4-0.8237.76336.850.3043
1994Arizona CardinalscrdNFC East168800.500235267-5.63.3234.56271.250.4189
1994Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1612400.7504142485.64.5413.76252.050.7793
1994New York GiantsnygNFC East169700.563279305-2.71.0280.96308.050.4475
1994Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East167900.438308308-0.41.0317.76308.050.5224
1994Washington RedskinswasNFC East1631300.1883204120.3-6.4328.96426.450.3414
1994Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West167900.438317385-1.2-3.1304.96373.650.3780
1994Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1641200.250286365-3.2-2.1272.96357.650.3421
1994New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West167900.4383484071.0-4.6340.16397.650.4042
1994San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1613300.8135052969.91.7482.56296.850.7834
1993Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1631300.188187319-7.4-1.0180.78315.180.2164
1993Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central167900.438304307-0.6-0.6289.58308.780.4625
1993Houston OilersotiAFC Central1612400.7503682384.13.1364.78249.580.7193
1993Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central169700.5633082810.11.5300.78275.180.5552
1993Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1612400.7503292421.83.0327.98251.180.6578
1993Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East1641200.250189378-6.2-5.1199.98380.780.1750
1993Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East169700.5633493513.9-4.3361.58367.980.4903
1993New England PatriotsnweAFC East1651100.313238286-4.00.3235.18294.380.3716
1993New York JetsnyjAFC East168800.500270247-2.12.9265.58252.780.5307
1993Denver BroncosdenAFC West169700.5633732844.60.4372.78292.780.6485
1993Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1611500.6883282911.91.0329.58283.180.5937
1993Los Angeles RaidersraiAFC West1610600.6253063261.1-1.7316.78326.380.4830
1993San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West168800.5003222901.11.1316.78281.580.5730
1993Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West1661000.375280314-0.8-0.5286.38307.180.4589
1993Chicago BearschiNFC Central167900.438234230-4.64.3225.58230.380.4896
1993Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1610600.625298292-0.30.0294.38299.180.4917
1993Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central169700.5633402822.70.5342.38291.180.6006
1993Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central169700.563277290-1.31.2278.38279.980.4981
1993Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1651100.313237376-3.3-4.3246.38367.980.2732
1993Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1612400.7503762294.94.7377.58223.980.7835
1993New York GiantsnygNFC East1611500.688288205-0.85.4286.38212.780.6684
1993Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East168800.5002933150.7-0.3310.38303.980.5144
1993Phoenix CardinalscrdNFC East167900.4383262691.92.1329.58265.580.6303
1993Washington RedskinswasNFC East1641200.250230345-3.8-2.7238.38342.380.2952
1993Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1661000.3753163850.8-5.2311.98382.380.3755
1993Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1651100.313221367-5.0-3.4219.18353.580.2411
1993New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West168800.5003173430.7-2.1310.38332.780.4584
1993San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1610600.6254732959.9-0.3457.58303.980.7443
1992Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1651100.313274364-0.9-5.7285.28390.940.3152
1992Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central167900.438272275-2.01.0267.68283.740.4689
1992Houston OilersotiAFC Central1610600.6253522583.02.6347.68258.140.6784
1992Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1611500.688299225-0.44.0293.28235.740.6303
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1992Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East169700.563216302-6.0-1.0203.68315.740.2660
1992Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1611500.6883402812.1-0.6333.28309.340.5499
1992New England PatriotsnweAFC East1621400.125205363-6.5-4.5195.68371.740.1792
1992New York JetsnyjAFC East1641200.250220315-6.0-0.9203.68314.140.2685
1992Denver BroncosdenAFC West168800.500262329-1.4-1.9277.28330.140.3984
1992Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1610600.6253482823.7-0.2358.88302.940.6082
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1990Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1661000.375271347-3.7-0.4262.82328.310.3619
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1989Detroit LionsdetNFC Central167900.438312364-1.7-1.8302.46358.630.3941
1989Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1610600.6253623561.0-2.0345.66361.830.4701
1989Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1610600.6253512750.24.1332.86264.230.6364
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1988Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1641200.250240315-3.90.6261.65314.390.3942
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1987Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East159600.600300238-1.35.4304.46243.020.6356
1987Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East158700.5333623353.2-1.1371.96340.520.5590
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1987Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1541100.267269384-4.5-5.3256.46403.520.2421
1987Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central155910.367255300-5.41.8242.96297.020.3829
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1986Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East168800.5004304056.2-5.7427.46419.460.5096
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1986New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West167900.438288287-2.52.5288.26288.260.4970
1986San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1610510.6563742472.64.4369.86257.860.7062
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1985Houston OilersotiAFC Central1651100.313284412-4.9-4.0266.01408.520.2554
1985Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central167900.4383793550.6-1.1354.01362.120.4873
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1985Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1612400.7504283206.10.9442.01330.120.6829
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1985New York JetsnyjAFC East1611500.6883932643.85.2405.21261.320.7521
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1985San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West168800.5004674358.3-7.2477.21459.720.5272
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1985Chicago BearschiNFC Central1615100.9384561986.59.4448.41194.120.8908
1985Detroit LionsdetNFC Central167900.438307366-1.60.0318.81344.520.4534
1985Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central168800.5003373550.10.1346.01342.920.5074
1985Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central167900.4383463590.1-1.3346.01365.320.4672
1985Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1621400.125294448-1.9-5.5314.01432.520.3063
1985Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1610600.6253573330.6-0.3354.01349.320.5103
1985New York GiantsnygNFC East1610600.6253992832.11.8378.01315.720.6139
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1985St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East1651100.313278414-4.5-5.6272.41434.120.2358
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1985Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1641200.250282452-2.1-6.8310.81453.320.2748
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1985New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1651100.313294401-3.0-3.9296.41406.920.3106
1985San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1610600.6254112634.64.2418.01277.320.7406
1984Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central168800.500339339-0.1-1.0337.70355.360.4676
1984Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1651100.313250297-6.12.3241.70302.560.3689
1984Houston OilersotiAFC Central1631300.188240437-5.9-6.0244.90435.360.1897
1984Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central169700.5633873102.40.9377.70324.960.5942
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1984Indianapolis ColtscltAFC East1641200.250239414-7.4-3.7220.90398.560.1892
1984Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1614200.8755132989.11.5484.90315.360.7554
1984New England PatriotsnweAFC East169700.5633623521.0-1.1355.30356.960.4968
1984New York JetsnyjAFC East167900.438332364-1.8-2.7310.50382.560.3706
1984Denver BroncosdenAFC West1613300.8133532411.06.7355.30232.160.7376
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1984San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West167900.4383944134.8-4.0416.10403.360.5203
1984Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West1612400.7504182825.43.5425.70283.360.7380
1984Chicago BearschiNFC Central1610600.625325248-1.76.4312.10236.960.6587
1984Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1641110.281283408-2.9-3.4292.90393.760.3211
1984Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central168800.5003903092.92.1385.70305.760.6427
1984Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1631300.188276484-2.7-8.2296.10470.560.2308
1984Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1661000.375335380-0.2-3.4336.10393.760.3996
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1984New York GiantsnygNFC East169700.563299301-2.23.1304.10289.760.5292
1984Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East166910.406278320-4.31.9270.50308.960.4199
1984St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East169700.5634233456.2-0.9438.50353.760.6367
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1984Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1641200.250281382-3.7-2.9280.10385.760.3092
1984Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1610600.6253463161.01.3355.30318.560.5680
1984New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West167900.438298361-1.7-1.2312.10358.560.4135
1984San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1615100.9384752277.45.4457.70252.960.8190
1983Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central167900.438346302-1.21.7330.11322.110.5211
1983Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central169700.563356342-0.9-1.3334.91370.110.4426
1983Houston OilersotiAFC Central1621400.125288460-3.7-7.9290.11475.710.2227
1983Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1610600.625355303-1.21.1330.11331.710.5028
1983Baltimore ColtscltAFC East167900.438264354-4.1-2.7283.71392.510.3122
1983Buffalo BillsbufAFC East168800.500283351-3.4-0.4294.91355.710.3911
1983Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1612400.7503892502.65.2390.91266.110.7292
1983New England PatriotsnweAFC East168800.500274289-4.73.7274.11290.110.4717
1983New York JetsnyjAFC East167900.438313331-1.90.7318.91338.110.4694
1983Denver BroncosdenAFC West169700.563302327-4.11.3283.71328.510.4167
1983Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1661000.3753863671.70.3376.51344.510.5624
1983Los Angeles RaidersraiAFC West1612400.7504423385.11.7430.91322.110.6855
1983San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1661000.3753584621.1-5.7366.91440.510.3879
1983Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West169700.5634033973.4-2.0403.71381.310.5430
1983Chicago BearschiNFC Central168800.500311301-2.51.5309.31325.310.4746
1983Detroit LionsdetNFC Central169700.563347286-1.23.3330.11296.510.5717
1983Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central168800.5004294395.2-7.1432.51462.910.4601
1983Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central168800.500316348-2.9-0.1302.91350.910.4150
1983Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1621400.125241380-7.5-1.6229.31374.910.2366
1983Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1612400.7504793608.6-0.1486.91350.910.7104
1983New York GiantsnygNFC East1631210.219267347-5.53.4261.31294.910.4338
1983Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1651100.313233322-6.73.6242.11291.710.3969
1983St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East168710.5313744282.5-3.6389.31406.910.4769
1983Washington RedskinswasNFC East1614200.87554133211.72.2536.51314.110.8121
1983Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West167900.4383703892.9-2.1395.71382.910.5272
1983Los Angeles RamsramNFC West169700.5633613442.00.9381.31334.910.5879
1983New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West168800.500319337-1.11.1331.71331.710.5058
1983San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1610600.6254322935.73.0440.51301.310.7326
1982Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central97200.7782321773.60.3213.86178.760.6166
1982Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central94500.444140182-4.91.6137.36167.060.3903
1982Houston OilersotiAFC Central91800.111136245-4.0-7.2145.46246.260.2132
1982Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central96300.6672041463.51.9212.96164.360.6620
1982Baltimore ColtscltAFC East90810.056113236-6.0-2.6127.46204.860.2443
1982Buffalo BillsbufAFC East94500.444150154-1.93.4164.36150.860.5561
1982Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East97200.7781981312.75.8205.76129.260.7614
1982New England PatriotsnweAFC East95400.556143157-3.51.4149.96168.860.4338
1982New York JetsnyjAFC East96300.6672451668.91.8261.56165.260.7714
1982Denver BroncosdenAFC West92700.222148226-6.1-3.8126.56215.660.2178
1982Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West93600.333176184-1.81.7165.26166.160.5015
1982Los Angeles RaidersraiAFC West98100.8892602006.1-0.8236.36188.660.6466
1982San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West96300.66728822110.7-5.2277.76228.260.6343
1982Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West94500.444127147-7.52.0113.96163.460.3063
1982Chicago BearschiNFC Central93600.333141174-4.1-1.2144.56192.260.3374
1982Detroit LionsdetNFC Central94500.444181176-0.41.6177.86167.060.5432
1982Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central95310.6112261694.71.6223.76167.060.6819
1982Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central95400.5561871982.1-1.0200.36190.460.5369
1982Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central95400.556158178-0.51.2176.96170.660.5271
1982Dallas CowboysdalNFC East96300.6672261455.12.9227.36155.360.7279
1982New York GiantsnygNFC East94500.444164160-2.12.8162.56156.260.5286
1982Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East93600.3331911952.6-2.1204.86200.360.5190
1982St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East95400.556135170-4.11.4144.56168.860.4127
1982Washington RedskinswasNFC East98100.8891901282.25.1201.26135.560.7290
1982Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West95400.556183199-0.6-3.4176.06212.060.3893
1982Los Angeles RamsramNFC West92700.2222002500.8-8.0188.66253.460.3210
1982New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West94500.444129160-5.81.8129.26165.260.3636
1982San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West93600.3332092060.2-2.9183.26207.560.4266
1981Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1612400.7504213044.51.0402.73314.790.6482
1981Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1651100.313276375-4.1-2.4265.13369.190.3016
1981Houston OilersotiAFC Central167900.438281355-3.1-1.6281.13356.390.3529
1981Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central168800.5003562971.21.5349.93306.790.5774
1981Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1621400.125259533-3.8-12.0269.93522.790.1464
1981Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1610600.625311276-2.53.9290.73268.390.5438
1981Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1611410.7193452750.12.8332.33285.990.5873
1981New England PatriotsnweAFC East1621400.125322370-0.6-3.1321.13380.390.3900
1981New York JetsnyjAFC East1610510.6563552870.21.7333.93303.590.5547
1981Denver BroncosdenAFC West1610600.625321289-1.62.9305.13284.390.5386
1981Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West169700.5633432900.42.8337.13285.990.5960
1981Oakland RaidersraiAFC West167900.438273343-3.60.0273.13330.790.3808
1981San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1610600.6254783909.2-4.7477.93405.990.6039
1981Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West1661000.375322388-0.1-3.2329.13381.990.4021
1981Chicago BearschiNFC Central1661000.375253324-4.41.5260.33306.790.3982
1981Detroit LionsdetNFC Central168800.5003973224.80.5407.53322.790.6411
1981Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central168800.5003243610.7-2.3341.93367.590.4500
1981Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central167900.4383253690.0-2.1330.73364.390.4348
1981Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central169700.563315268-1.44.4308.33260.390.5964
1981Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1612400.7503672772.93.2377.13279.590.6746
1981New York GiantsnygNFC East169700.563295257-2.25.5295.53242.790.6108
1981Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1610600.6253682212.06.7362.73223.590.7601
1981St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East167900.4383154080.1-4.8332.33407.590.3675
1981Washington RedskinswasNFC East168800.5003473492.2-1.2365.93349.990.5243
1981Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West167900.4384263556.5-2.6434.73372.390.5963
1981Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1661000.375303351-1.4-1.0308.33346.790.4230
1981New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1641200.250207378-7.2-2.3215.53367.590.2108
1981San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1613300.8133572501.34.9351.53252.390.6883
1980Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1661000.375244312-4.50.8255.61314.810.3766
1980Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1611500.6883573101.70.1354.81326.010.5529
1980Houston OilersotiAFC Central1611500.688295251-2.74.4284.41257.210.5593
1980Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central169700.5633523132.4-0.1366.01329.210.5665
1980Baltimore ColtscltAFC East167900.4383553872.8-4.3372.41396.410.4593
1980Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1611500.688320260-1.65.5302.01239.610.6342
1980Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East168800.500266305-4.63.1254.01278.010.4464
1980New England PatriotsnweAFC East1610600.6254413256.8-0.3436.41332.410.6695
1980New York JetsnyjAFC East1641200.250302395-1.5-3.6303.61385.210.3536
1980Denver BroncosdenAFC West168800.500310323-1.11.6310.01302.010.5158
1980Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West168800.500319336-0.80.3314.81322.810.4842
1980Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1611500.6883643062.91.3374.01306.810.6221
1980San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1611500.6884183276.5-0.4431.61334.010.6602
1980Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West1641200.250291408-1.6-3.7302.01386.810.3482
1980Chicago BearschiNFC Central167900.438304264-1.22.6308.41286.010.5456
1980Detroit LionsdetNFC Central169700.563334272-0.82.5314.81287.610.5548
1980Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1651010.344231371-5.8-3.2234.81378.810.2356
1980Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central169700.5633173080.0-0.3327.61332.410.4906
1980Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1651010.344271341-3.5-1.6271.61353.210.3431
1980Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1612400.7504543117.80.1452.41326.010.7011
1980New York GiantsnygNFC East1641200.250249425-4.3-5.5258.81415.610.2327
1980Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1612400.7503842222.96.8374.01218.810.7866
1980St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East1651100.313299350-1.7-0.7300.41338.810.4256
1980Washington RedskinswasNFC East1661000.375261293-4.43.3257.21274.810.4606
1980Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1612400.7504052724.53.4399.61273.210.7221
1980Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1611500.6884242894.42.1398.01294.010.6826
1980New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1611500.063291487-1.1-9.4310.01478.010.2435
1980San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1661000.375320415-1.2-5.1308.41409.210.3266
1979Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1641200.2503374213.1-4.4370.75391.320.4667
1979Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central169700.5633593522.90.1367.55319.320.5896
1979Houston OilersotiAFC Central1611500.6883623312.91.4367.55298.520.6292
1979Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1612400.7504162626.85.1429.95239.320.8149
1979Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1651100.313271351-2.0-1.5289.15344.920.3941
1979Buffalo BillsbufAFC East167900.438268279-3.33.1268.35271.320.4951
1979Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1610600.6253412570.34.0325.95256.920.6422
1979New England PatriotsnweAFC East169700.5634113266.1-1.1418.75338.520.6359
1979New York JetsnyjAFC East168800.5003373831.1-4.0338.75384.920.4206
1979Denver BroncosdenAFC West1610600.625289262-1.65.7295.55229.720.6464
1979Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West167900.438238262-4.05.4257.15234.520.5550
1979Oakland RaidersraiAFC West169700.5633653373.80.0381.95320.920.6105
1979San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1612400.7504112466.05.7417.15229.720.8170
1979Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West169700.5633783724.9-2.3399.55357.720.5727
1979Chicago BearschiNFC Central1610600.625306249-2.22.1285.95287.320.4988
1979Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1621400.125219365-6.6-4.4215.55391.320.1899
1979Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1651100.313246316-5.3-1.5236.35344.920.2873
1979Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central167900.438259337-4.5-3.1249.15370.520.2750
1979Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1610600.625273237-4.61.8247.55292.120.4044
1979Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1611500.6883713133.00.3369.15316.120.5983
1979New York GiantsnygNFC East1661000.375237323-5.4-0.8234.75333.720.3014
1979Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1611500.6883392820.32.4325.95282.520.5884
1979St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East1651100.313307358-0.7-2.0309.95352.920.4211
1979Washington RedskinswasNFC East1610600.6253482950.91.5335.55296.920.5768
1979Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1661000.375300388-1.9-4.7290.75396.120.3157
1979Los Angeles RamsramNFC West169700.563323309-1.20.6301.95311.320.4829
1979New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West168800.5003703602.3-3.5357.95376.920.4685
1979San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1621400.125308416-1.3-6.1300.35418.520.3015
1978Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1641200.250252284-2.71.3250.06272.520.4499
1978Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central168800.5003343562.5-4.5333.26365.320.4425
1978Houston OilersotiAFC Central1610600.625283298-0.60.2283.66290.120.4869
1978Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1614200.8753561952.65.6334.86203.720.7660
1978Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1651100.313239421-2.8-6.0248.46389.320.2476
1978Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1651100.313302354-0.1-3.2291.66344.520.3987
1978Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1611500.6883722544.23.3360.46240.520.7295
1978New England PatriotsnweAFC East1611500.6883582863.61.4350.86270.920.6547
1978New York JetsnyjAFC East168800.5003593644.4-3.3363.66346.120.5320
1978Denver BroncosdenAFC West1610600.625282198-1.96.9262.86182.920.6955
1978Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1641200.250243327-3.0-1.4245.26315.720.3533
1978Oakland RaidersraiAFC West169700.5633112831.61.1318.86275.720.5882
1978San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West169700.5633553094.6-0.9366.86307.720.6093
1978Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West169700.5633453583.4-3.7347.66352.520.4917
1978Chicago BearschiNFC Central167900.438253274-2.70.3250.06288.520.4162
1978Detroit LionsdetNFC Central167900.438290300-0.1-1.7291.66320.520.4429
1978Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central168710.531249269-2.21.6258.06267.720.4788
1978Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central168710.5312943061.0-1.1309.26310.920.4972
1978Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1651100.313241259-4.10.8227.66280.520.3805
1978Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1612400.7503842085.85.2386.06210.120.8158
1978New York GiantsnygNFC East1661000.375264298-1.1-1.3275.66314.120.4217
1978Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East169700.563270250-1.13.4275.66238.920.5839
1978St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East1661000.375248296-2.60.0251.66293.320.4101
1978Washington RedskinswasNFC East168800.500273283-1.10.7275.66282.120.4866
1978Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West169700.563240290-3.7-0.9234.06307.720.3430
1978Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1612400.7503162451.31.9314.06262.920.6065
1978New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West167900.438281298-0.5-1.2285.26312.520.4450
1978San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1621400.125219350-4.6-4.5219.66365.320.2257
1977Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central148600.5712382350.61.6248.86218.060.5811
1977Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central146800.4292692672.40.1274.06239.060.5856
1977Houston OilersotiAFC Central148600.5712992304.42.3302.06208.260.7148
1977Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central149500.6432832433.92.3295.06208.260.7023
1977Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1410400.7142952213.61.5290.86219.460.6679
1977Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1431100.214160313-4.3-3.7180.26292.260.2437
1977Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1410400.7143131974.43.5302.06191.460.7531
1977New England PatriotsnweAFC East149500.6432782172.51.5275.46219.460.6369
1977New York JetsnyjAFC East1431100.214191300-3.8-2.0187.26268.460.3027
1977Denver BroncosdenAFC West1412200.8572741481.99.4267.06108.860.8862
1977Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1421200.1432253490.9-5.8253.06321.660.3578
1977Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1411300.7863512308.81.6363.66218.060.7861
1977San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West147700.500222205-1.45.2220.86167.660.6548
1977Seattle SeahawksseaAFC West145900.3572823734.2-8.6299.26360.860.3846
1977Chicago BearschiNFC Central149500.6432552530.0-3.6240.46290.860.3888
1977Detroit LionsdetNFC Central146800.429183252-4.4-3.0178.86282.460.2565
1977Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1441000.286134219-9.10.4113.06234.860.1693
1977Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central149500.643231227-1.0-0.6226.46248.860.4473
1977Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamNFC Central1421200.143103223-11.10.385.06236.260.1020
1977Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1412200.8573452127.60.2346.86237.660.7242
1977New York GiantsnygNFC East145900.357181265-4.0-2.2184.46271.260.2903
1977Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East145900.357220207-2.51.9205.46213.860.4802
1977St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East147700.5002722872.6-4.0276.86296.460.4607
1977Washington RedskinswasNFC East149500.643196189-3.12.6197.06204.060.4834
1977Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West147700.500179129-6.16.6155.06148.060.5279
1977Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1410400.7143021463.84.6293.66176.060.7748
1977New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1431100.2142323360.3-9.4244.66372.060.2595
1977San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West145900.357220260-1.1-2.7225.06278.260.3778
1976Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1410400.7143352105.05.1338.14196.690.7840
1976Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central149500.6432672870.7-2.4277.94301.690.4419
1976Houston OilersotiAFC Central145900.357222273-2.71.0230.34254.090.4346
1976Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1410400.7143421385.79.6347.94133.690.9010
1976Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1411300.7864172469.30.4398.34262.490.7394
1976Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1421200.143245363-2.5-6.7233.14361.890.2413
1976Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East146800.429263264-1.81.7242.94244.290.4898
1976New England PatriotsnweAFC East1411300.7863762366.52.2359.14237.290.7330
1976New York JetsnyjAFC East1431100.214169383-7.1-6.8168.74363.290.1254
1976Denver BroncosdenAFC West149500.6433152062.54.4303.14206.490.7105
1976Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West145900.3572903762.2-6.9298.94364.690.3672
1976Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1413100.9293502376.32.2356.34237.290.7289
1976San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West146800.429248285-1.70.5244.34261.090.4531
1976Tampa Bay BuccaneerstamAFC West1401400.000125412-10.8-8.8116.94391.290.0439
1976Chicago BearschiNFC Central147700.5002532160.34.2272.34209.290.6456
1976Detroit LionsdetNFC Central146800.429262220-0.63.4259.74220.490.5898
1976Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central145900.357218299-2.5-2.0233.14296.090.3508
1976Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1411210.8213051763.75.7319.94188.290.7765
1976Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1411300.7862961940.54.0275.14212.090.6444
1976New York GiantsnygNFC East1431100.214170250-5.52.1191.14238.690.3667
1976Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1441000.286165286-7.3-1.4165.94287.690.2077
1976St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East1410400.7143092673.5-1.0317.14282.090.5665
1976Washington RedskinswasNFC East1410400.7142912171.21.8284.94242.890.5896
1976Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1441000.286172312-6.7-3.5174.34317.090.1849
1976Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1410310.7503511905.94.5350.74205.090.7840
1976New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1441000.286253346-0.6-5.5259.74345.090.3207
1976San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West148600.571270190-1.35.0249.94198.090.6264
1976Seattle SeahawksseaNFC West1421200.143229429-2.2-12.9237.34448.690.1525
1975Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1411300.7863402464.02.9344.27247.560.6979
1975Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1431100.214218372-2.6-4.2251.87346.960.3097
1975Houston OilersotiAFC Central1410400.7142932261.25.2305.07215.360.7019
1975Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1412200.8573731625.48.8363.87164.960.8755
1975Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1410400.7143952696.32.2376.47257.360.7274
1975Buffalo BillsbufAFC East148600.57142035510.4-3.4433.87335.760.6671
1975Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1410400.7143572223.36.0334.47204.160.7725
1975New England PatriotsnweAFC East1431100.214258358-2.3-2.0256.07316.160.3729
1975New York JetsnyjAFC East1431100.214258433-1.2-7.1271.47387.560.2864
1975Denver BroncosdenAFC West146800.429254307-2.7-0.7250.47297.960.3959
1975Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West145900.357282341-0.6-3.7279.87339.960.3801
1975Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1411300.7863752555.51.3365.27269.960.6860
1975San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1421200.143189345-6.0-3.4204.27335.760.2289
1975Chicago BearschiNFC Central1441000.286191379-4.9-6.6219.67380.560.2012
1975Detroit LionsdetNFC Central147700.500245262-3.21.3243.47269.960.4391
1975Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1441000.286226285-3.3-0.9242.07300.760.3708
1975Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1412200.8573771803.55.4337.27212.560.7594
1975Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1410400.7143502684.00.1344.27286.760.6163
1975New York GiantsnygNFC East145900.357216306-6.2-0.6201.47296.560.2839
1975Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1441000.286225302-4.0-0.6232.27296.560.3562
1975St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East1411300.7863562763.40.1335.87286.760.6009
1975Washington RedskinswasNFC East148600.5713252762.60.2324.67285.360.5826
1975Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1441000.286240289-2.7-0.8250.47299.360.3930
1975Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1412200.8573121350.58.7295.27166.360.7970
1975New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1421200.143165360-8.2-5.9173.47370.760.1347
1975San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West145900.357255286-2.2-2.5257.47323.160.3629
1974Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central147700.5002832591.90.2281.14251.740.5704
1974Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1441000.2862513440.5-4.7261.54320.340.3787
1974Houston OilersotiAFC Central147700.500236282-1.3-0.6236.34262.940.4391
1974Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1410310.7503051892.34.5286.74191.540.7270
1974Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1421200.143190329-4.6-4.1190.14311.940.2352
1974Buffalo BillsbufAFC East149500.643264244-0.31.4250.34234.940.5411
1974Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1411300.7863272163.92.3309.14222.340.6948
1974New England PatriotsnweAFC East147700.5003482896.6-1.8346.94279.740.6372
1974New York JetsnyjAFC East147700.5002793001.1-3.7269.94306.340.4247
1974Denver BroncosdenAFC West147610.5363022943.4-2.8302.14293.740.5209
1974Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West145900.357233293-1.3-1.1236.34269.940.4233
1974Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1412200.8573552286.42.7344.14216.740.7624
1974San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West145900.357212285-3.5-1.3205.54272.740.3403
1974Chicago BearschiNFC Central1441000.286152279-7.4-2.9150.94295.140.1747
1974Detroit LionsdetNFC Central147700.5002562700.5-2.1261.54283.940.4526
1974Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central146800.429210206-3.22.0209.74226.540.4582
1974Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1410400.7143101953.62.5304.94219.540.6937
1974Dallas CowboysdalNFC East148600.5712972354.01.9310.54227.940.6846
1974New York GiantsnygNFC East1421200.143195299-3.5-2.1205.54283.940.3182
1974Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East147700.5002422170.03.0254.54212.540.6085
1974St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East1410400.7142852182.83.0293.74212.540.6896
1974Washington RedskinswasNFC East1410400.7143201965.74.5334.34191.540.7992
1974Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West1431100.214111271-9.7-2.6118.74290.940.1161
1974Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1410400.714263181-0.14.0253.14198.540.6424
1974New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West145900.357166263-5.7-1.7174.74278.340.2533
1974San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West146800.429226236-2.1-0.5225.14261.540.4142
1973Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1410400.7142862310.12.9273.69231.750.5939
1973Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central147520.571234255-2.71.3234.49254.150.4463
1973Houston OilersotiAFC Central1411300.071199447-4.4-12.4210.69445.950.1205
1973Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1410400.7143472104.23.5331.09223.350.7207
1973Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1441000.286226341-2.4-5.9238.69354.950.2635
1973Buffalo BillsbufAFC East149500.643259230-1.72.2248.49241.550.5115
1973Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1412200.8573431505.18.3343.69156.150.8650
1973New England PatriotsnweAFC East145900.357258300-2.5-3.4237.29319.950.3172
1973New York JetsnyjAFC East1441000.286240306-1.5-1.3251.29290.550.4061
1973Denver BroncosdenAFC West147520.5713542965.4-2.5347.89307.350.5738
1973Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West147520.571231192-4.25.1213.49200.950.5293
1973Oakland RaidersraiAFC West149410.6792921750.06.6272.29179.950.7208
1973San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West1421110.179188386-3.7-8.4220.49389.950.1851
1973Chicago BearschiNFC Central1431100.214195334-4.4-4.4210.69333.950.2376
1973Detroit LionsdetNFC Central146710.4642712470.81.2283.49255.550.5580
1973Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central145720.429202259-5.00.2202.29269.550.3300
1973Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1412200.8572961681.76.9296.09175.750.7704
1973Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1410400.7143822036.86.0367.49188.350.8343
1973New York GiantsnygNFC East1421110.179226362-2.8-4.7233.09338.150.2777
1973Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East145810.3933103933.5-7.7321.29380.150.3859
1973St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East144910.3212863651.8-5.1297.49343.750.4028
1973Washington RedskinswasNFC East1410400.7143251981.26.1289.09186.950.7334
1973Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West149500.6433182242.33.6304.49221.950.6787
1973Los Angeles RamsramNFC West1412200.8573881788.15.2385.69199.550.8340
1973New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West145900.357163312-7.0-1.7174.29296.150.2153
1973San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West145900.3572623191.4-1.6291.89294.750.4884
1972Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central148600.5712992291.23.0300.34241.590.6239
1972Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central1410400.714268249-1.61.9261.14256.990.5028
1972Houston OilersotiAFC Central1411300.071164380-7.1-5.9184.14366.190.1475
1972Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central1411300.7863431753.46.6331.14191.190.7856
1972Baltimore ColtscltAFC East145900.357235252-5.12.8212.14244.390.4102
1972Buffalo BillsbufAFC East144910.321257377-1.6-5.6261.14361.990.2961
1972Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1414001.0003851714.56.5346.54192.590.8023
1972New England PatriotsnweAFC East1431100.214192446-6.3-11.1195.34438.990.1047
1972New York JetsnyjAFC East147700.5003673244.7-4.2349.34342.390.5061
1972Denver BroncosdenAFC West145900.3573253502.9-4.7324.14349.390.4444
1972Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West148600.5712872540.42.2289.14252.790.5750
1972Oakland RaidersraiAFC West1410310.7503652485.03.0353.54241.590.7161
1972San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West144910.321264344-0.2-2.6280.74319.990.4111
1972Chicago BearschiNFC Central144910.321225275-2.81.5244.34262.590.4495
1972Detroit LionsdetNFC Central148510.6073392904.40.0345.14283.590.6159
1972Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central1410400.7143042262.34.7315.74217.790.7063
1972Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central147700.5003012522.63.4319.94235.990.6731
1972Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1410400.7143192403.42.7331.14245.790.6712
1972New York GiantsnygNFC East148600.5713312473.52.4332.54249.990.6646
1972Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1421110.179145352-9.2-5.3154.74357.790.1084
1972St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East144910.321193303-4.5-1.2220.54300.390.3130
1972Washington RedskinswasNFC East1411300.7863362182.73.7321.34231.790.6849
1972Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West147700.500269274-2.30.4251.34277.990.4316
1972Los Angeles RamsramNFC West146710.4642912860.1-0.6284.94291.990.4777
1972New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1421110.179215361-5.3-5.0209.34353.590.2066
1972San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West148510.6073532494.91.5352.14262.590.6712
1971Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central1441000.286284265-0.4-0.1265.37272.640.4793
1971Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central149500.6432852731.1-0.8286.37282.440.5046
1971Houston OilersotiAFC Central144910.321251330-3.0-3.8228.97324.440.2927
1971Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central146800.429246292-1.8-1.8245.77296.440.3825
1971Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1410400.7143131402.08.5298.97152.240.8264
1971Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1411300.071184394-4.5-8.9207.97395.840.1600
1971Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1410310.7503151742.45.3304.57197.040.7372
1971New England PatriotsnweAFC East146800.429238325-2.1-3.0241.57313.240.3404
1971New York JetsnyjAFC East146800.429212299-3.7-1.6219.17293.640.3254
1971Denver BroncosdenAFC West144910.321203275-5.51.0193.97257.240.3356
1971Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West1410310.7503022080.64.5279.37208.240.6653
1971Oakland RaidersraiAFC West148420.6433442784.8-1.1338.17286.640.5999
1971San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West146800.4293113412.6-6.6307.37363.640.3885
1971Chicago BearschiNFC Central146800.429185276-4.41.1209.37255.840.3793
1971Detroit LionsdetNFC Central147610.5363412866.5-2.4361.97304.840.6055
1971Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central144820.3572742981.4-2.3290.57303.440.4687
1971Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1411300.786245139-3.49.9223.37132.640.7568
1971Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1411300.7864062228.31.6387.17248.840.7523
1971New York GiantsnygNFC East1441000.286228362-1.7-6.3247.17359.440.2751
1971Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East146710.464221302-2.7-1.6233.17293.640.3586
1971St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East144910.321231279-4.0-0.2214.97274.040.3542
1971Washington RedskinswasNFC East149410.679276190-0.65.8262.57190.040.6777
1971Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West147610.5362742770.31.0275.17257.240.5372
1971Los Angeles RamsramNFC West148510.6073132604.22.4329.77237.640.6894
1971New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West144820.3572663471.4-4.1290.57328.640.4182
1971San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West149500.6433002162.43.8304.57218.040.6893
1970Cincinnati BengalscinAFC Central148600.5713122551.2-0.6286.47278.120.5201
1970Cleveland BrownscleAFC Central147700.5002862650.50.1276.67268.320.5206
1970Houston OilersotiAFC Central1431010.250217352-3.5-5.8220.67350.920.2408
1970Pittsburgh SteelerspitAFC Central145900.357210272-5.9-1.5187.07290.720.2604
1970Baltimore ColtscltAFC East1411210.8213212340.9-0.5282.27276.720.5140
1970Boston PatriotsnweAFC East1421200.143149361-9.1-6.8142.27364.920.0943
1970Buffalo BillsbufAFC East1431010.250204337-5.8-6.5188.47360.720.1691
1970Miami DolphinsmiaAFC East1410400.714297228-1.30.0251.47269.720.4591
1970New York JetsnyjAFC East1441000.286255286-2.2-2.7238.87307.520.3507
1970Denver BroncosdenAFC West145810.393253264-2.5-0.1234.67271.120.4152
1970Kansas City ChiefskanAFC West147520.571272244-0.11.6268.27247.320.5510
1970Oakland RaidersraiAFC West148420.6433002932.3-1.3301.87287.920.5314
1970San Diego ChargerssdgAFC West145630.4642822780.5-1.2276.67286.520.4800
1970Chicago BearschiNFC Central146800.4292562610.41.8275.27244.520.5734
1970Detroit LionsdetNFC Central1410400.7143472027.46.6373.27177.320.8647
1970Green Bay PackersgnbNFC Central146800.429196293-2.40.6236.07261.320.4407
1970Minnesota VikingsminNFC Central1412200.8573351435.99.2352.27140.920.9024
1970Dallas CowboysdalNFC East1410400.7142992212.54.5304.67206.720.7212
1970New York GiantsnygNFC East149500.6433012701.90.1296.27268.320.5630
1970Philadelphia EaglesphiNFC East1431010.250241332-0.9-3.6257.07320.120.3678
1970St. Louis CardinalscrdNFC East148510.6073252283.83.6322.87219.320.7234
1970Washington RedskinswasNFC East146800.4292973143.6-0.6320.07278.120.5894
1970Atlanta FalconsatlNFC West144820.357206261-3.51.2220.67252.920.4211
1970Los Angeles RamsramNFC West149410.6793252024.45.3331.27195.520.7858
1970New Orleans SaintsnorNFC West1421110.179172347-4.6-3.3205.27315.920.2606
1970San Francisco 49erssfoNFC West1410310.7503522676.40.1359.27268.320.6799

Now, as an aside, I wouldn’t go plugging those directly into the log5 formula to predict this weekend’s games just yet. You first need to regress to the mean to account for the uncertainty we see in any observed result. To do that, just add about 17.65 games of .500 performance to each team’s pythagorean Wpct, and you’ll get a “true talent” number that should yield more accurate probabilities regarding future outcomes.

{ 6 comments }

Post your Playoff Predictions

Before the playoffs start, I figured I should write down my predictions somewhere. I encourage everyone to post that predictions in the comments. Here are mine:

Wild Card Round
Saturday, Jan. 5, 4:30 p.m.: Bengals at Texans — Texans
Saturday, Jan. 5, 8:00 p.m.: Vikings at Packers — Packers
Sunday, Jan. 6, 1:00 p.m.: Colts at Ravens — Ravens
Sunday, Jan. 6, 4:30 p.m.: Seahawks at Redskins– Seahawks

Divisional Round
Saturday, Jan. 12, 4:30 p.m.: Ravens/ Colts/ Bengals at Broncos — Broncos
Saturday, Jan. 12, 8 p.m.: Packers/ Redskins/ Seahawks at 49ers — 49ers
Sunday, Jan. 13, 1 p.m.: Redskins/ Seahawks/ Vikings at Falcons — Seahawks
Sunday, Jan. 13, 4:30 p.m.: Texans/ Ravens/ Colts at Patriots — Patriots

Conference Championship Round

Sunday, Jan. 21: 3:00 p.m.: Seahawks at 49ers 49ers
Sunday, Jan. 21: 6:30 p.m.: Patriots at Broncos Broncos

Super Bowl
Sunday, Feb. 3, 2013 – 6:30 p.m.: Broncos vs. 49ersBroncos

{ 11 comments }

Season in review: AFC and NFC North

On Monday, I examined the seasons of the teams in the AFC and NFC East. Today I will do the same for the AFC and NFC North, starting in the AFC.

AFC North

Pittsburgh Steelers

Pre-season Projection: 10 wins
Maximum wins: 11 wins (after weeks 2, 5, and 9)
Minimum wins: 8 (after week 16)
Week 1 comment: Sunday Night was one of the best games I’ve seen from Ben Roethlisberger. An elite team that will be favored to win most weeks, although questions remain about the offensive line, the running backs, and the age of the defense.

Pittsburgh started off 6-3 and looked like a contender, but tanked in the second half of the season once Roethlisberger went down. Even when Roethlisberger returned, the offense never quite looked right. Jonathan Dwyer, Isaac Redman, and Rashard Mendenhall were unexciting plodders, which is an improvement over the 25 carries that went to Baron Batch. No Steeler finished the season with more than two rushing touchdowns. In the passing game, Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown both failed to match last year’s lofty numbers. The potential was there, but the results were not in Pittsburgh in 2012.

On the other side of the ball, Pittsburgh’s defense performed well by conventional measures — through week 16 (which is when they were knocked out of the playoff race), they ranked 1st in yards allowed and first downs allowed, and ranked 2nd in net yards per attempt allowed, rushing yards and rushing yards per carry allowed. But the defense wasn’t really up to Steelers standards — through week 16, they ranked 10th in points allowed and, more damningly, had forced more turnovers than just three teams. Pittsburgh allowed 5 4th quarter game-winning drives, which ultimately cost them the playoffs.

Baltimore Ravens

Pre-season Projection: 10 wins
Maximum wins: 11 wins (first after week 3, last after week 13)
Minimum wins: 9 wins (after week 15)
Week 1 comment: Great performance on Monday Night, but I have to imagine missing Terrell Suggs is going to hurt this team. He’s too good to simply expect business as usual in Baltimore, and their schedule (AFC West, NFC East, Houston, New England outside the division) is riddled with traps.

The schedule was riddled with traps, but the Ravens rode some late-game success and excellent special teams to a 9-2 record. At that point, I wrote: I still don’t believe in this team, because they aren’t going to have amazing special teams or amazing 4th and 29 conversions every week.

Joe Flacco had a solid but not great year, while Ray Rice continued to prove effective when given the carries. The big issue for Baltimore was defensively. Through 16 weeks, the Ravens ranked 20th in yards allowed, 18th in NY/A, and 24th in first downs allowed. While the Ravens won the North, 8 games out of Terrell Suggs, 6 games of Ray Lewis, and 6 games of Lardarius Webb simply wasn’t enough to give them the defense Ravens fans were used to seeing.
[continue reading…]

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NYT Fifth Down: Post-week 17

At the New York Times Fifth Down Blog this week, I explain my choices for the major awards this season.

Offensive Player of the Year: Adrian Peterson, Minnesota Vikings

Generally, the Most Valuable Player award is given to the best quarterback, while the Offensive Player of the Year is usually the player with the most impressive statistics. In the last five years, Tom Brady — first in 2007, and then again in 2010 — is the only player to take home both awards in the same season. Last year, Drew Brees won the award while Aaron Rodgers took home the M.V.P., but running backs Priest Holmes (2002), Jamal Lewis (2003), Shaun Alexander (2005), LaDainian Tomlinson (2006), and Chris Johnson (2009) have all won the award in the last decade. While Calvin Johnson will probably get some support for breaking Jerry Rice’s single-season record for receiving yards, Adrian Peterson has had this award locked up for a month, and finishing the season with 2,097 yards was the icing on the cake.

I don’t think you’ll find too many people arguing about this one. Peterson’s story is outstanding, and it’s hard to argue that he didn’t provide the single most impressive performance by an offensive player this year. Quarterbacks may be more valuable, but it’s hard not to just sit back and admire what Peterson’s done. Johnson’s also had a magnificent season, but he was greatly aided by the Lions also breaking the record for pass attempts in a season.

Defensive Player of the Year: J.J. Watt, Houston Texans

The shine is off the Texans, but there’s no denying that their star lineman has been outstanding this year. If the stars were aligned slightly differently — say, the Texans were streaking towards the end of the year, and Watt had a monster primetime game late — he’d have a legitimate chance at the M.V.P. award. Last month, I talked about how this award was a three-man race with the stars all coming from the 2011 Draft. In that article I also mentioned Geno Atkins as a possible darkhorse, and he’s been ever better since. But Watt has 20.5 sacks and the national reputation as the Sultan of Swatt, so this award is pretty easy to predict.

And well justified. Watt’s production as a 3-4 defensive end is remarkable. He now owns the single-season record for sacks by a player at that position, but he’s far from one dimensional. We know that he is fantastic at tipping passes at the line of scrimmage and is excellent in run support. He’s a complete player in every respect, a dominant force at a position that rarely receives media attention.

I’d select Von Miller as my runner-up and give Atkins the bronze. While Aldon Smith gets more attention because of his lofty sack totals, he’s a one-dimensional player. While he’s outstanding at that one dimension, just being a dominant pass rusher only makes him the fourth best defensive player this year. He also disappeared down the stretch, which not coincidentally began when star defensive end Justin Smith went down with a triceps injury.

Comeback Player of the Year: Peyton Manning, Denver Broncos

Peyton Manning missed the entire 2011 season, but as soon as he took the field in 2012 he became the favorite to win Comeback Player of the Year. A quarterback has won this award each of the last four years — Chad Pennington (2008), Tom Brady (2009), Michael Vick (2010), and Matthew Stafford (2011) — and the trend should continue in 2012. Comeback Player of the Year is a two-man race, and there’s no wrong answer when choosing between Manning and Peterson. If the voters could, surely the majority would pick that Manning and Peterson split the award. If ever an award called for a split, this was it.

Peyton Manning’s neck injury was considered career-threatening this time last year. Many questioned his arm strength in the pre-season and in September, but by the end of the year he was once again the best quarterback in the league. It’s simply splitting hairs picking between Manning and Peterson, who tore two ligaments in his knee just over a year ago and rebounded to rush for 2,000 yards. And let’s at least recognize Jamaal Charles, who in any other year would likely take home the award. The Kansas City running back tore the anterior cruciate ligament in his left knee last season, and rebounded to rush for over 1,500 yards in 2012. My guess is that those voters looking for a tiebreaker focus on the fact that Manning missed the entire 2011 season while Peterson ran for 970 yards and 12 touchdowns last year, making Manning more of a “comeback” story.

You can view the full post here.

{ 3 comments }

Three weeks ago, I set forth the argument that perhaps Calvin Johnson was not even the most productive receiver in his own division. While Megatron racked up the numbers, I argued that you have to account for the situation. The relevant situation here is that the Lions ran an incredible 1,160 plays compared to just 999 for the Bears, and Detroit attempted 740 passes while Chicago threw only 485 times.

When one team throws 255 more passes than the other, I don’t think it’s appropriate to compare the receivers based on their raw receiving yards. One thing we could look at is yards per team attempt. The table below lists the number of team attempts for each wide receiver, his raw receiving statistics, and also his yards per attempt. The table is sorted by yards per team passing attempt. And while it is not relevant when discussing Marshall and Megatron, I have also included a Pro-rated Yards per Attempt column, which pro-rates the number of team attempts for the number of games played by the receiver (this helps Percy Harvin, of course).

RkPlayerTmGTmAttRecYdsYPRTDY/APY/A
1Brandon MarshallCHI16485118150812.8113.113.11
2Andre JohnsonHOU16554112159814.342.882.88
3Calvin JohnsonDET16740122196416.152.652.65
4Michael CrabtreeSFO164368511051392.532.53
5A.J. GreenCIN1654097135013.9112.52.5
6Vincent JacksonTAM1656672138419.282.452.45
7Demaryius ThomasDEN1658894143415.3102.442.44
8Steve SmithCAR1649073117416.142.42.4
9Roddy WhiteATL1661592135114.772.22.2
10Reggie WayneIND16628106135512.852.162.16
11Brian HartlineMIA1650474108314.612.152.15
12Wes WelkerNWE16641118135411.562.112.11
13Dez BryantDAL1665892138215122.12.1
14Steve JohnsonBUF1651179104613.262.052.05
15Victor CruzNYG1653986109212.7102.032.03
16Julio JonesATL1661579119815.2101.951.95
17Sidney RiceSEA16405507481571.851.85
18Eric DeckerDEN1658885106412.5131.811.81
19Mike WilliamsTAM165666399615.891.761.76
20Greg OlsenCAR164906984312.251.721.72
21Marques ColstonNOR1667183115413.9101.721.72
22Randall CobbGNB155588095411.981.711.82
23Golden TateSEA154054568815.371.71.81
24Dwayne BoweKAN134755980113.631.692.08
25Jeremy KerleyNYJ164935682714.821.681.68
26Cecil ShortsJAX145865597917.871.671.91
27Anquan BoldinBAL155606592114.241.641.75
28Jason WittenDAL1665811010399.431.581.58
29Lance MooreNOR156716510411661.551.65
30Davone BessMIA135046177812.811.541.9
31Malcom FloydSDG145285681414.551.541.76
32Torrey SmithBAL165604985517.481.531.53
33Tony GonzalezATL16615939301081.511.51
34Justin BlackmonJAX165866486513.551.481.48
35Jimmy GrahamNOR156718598211.691.461.56
36Mike WallacePIT155746483613.181.461.55
37Miles AustinDAL166586694314.361.431.43
38Pierre GarconWAS104424463314.441.432.29
39Josh GordonCLE165665080516.151.421.42
40Heath MillerPIT155747181611.581.421.52
41Brandon LloydNWE166417491112.341.421.42
42James JonesGNB165586478412.3141.411.41
43Percy HarvinMIN94836267710.931.42.49
44Jeremy MaclinPHI156186985712.471.391.48
45Brandon LaFellCAR144904467715.441.381.58
46Nate WashingtonTEN165404674616.241.381.38
47Antonio BrownPIT135746678711.951.371.69
48T.Y. HiltonIND156285086117.271.371.46
49Jermaine GreshamCIN165406473711.551.361.36
50Jordy NelsonGNB125584974515.271.341.78
51Larry FitzgeraldARI166087179811.241.311.31
52Santana MossWAS16442415731481.31.3
53Owen DanielsHOU155546271611.561.291.38
54Hakeem NicksNYG135395369213.131.281.58
55Brandon MyersOAK166297980610.241.281.28
56Vernon DavisSFO164364154813.451.261.26
57Chris GivensSTL155574269816.631.251.34
58Andre RobertsARI156086475911.951.251.33
59Danario AlexanderSDG105283765817.871.251.99
60Donnie AveryIND16628607811331.241.24
61Brandon GibsonSTL165575169113.551.241.24
62Rob GronkowskiNWE116415579014.4111.231.79
63Leonard HankersonWAS164423854314.331.231.23
64Danny AmendolaSTL115576366610.631.21.74
65Jermichael FinleyGNB165586166710.921.21.2
66Dennis PittaBAL16560616691171.191.19
67Denarius MooreOAK156295174114.571.181.26
68Martellus BennettNYG165395562611.451.161.16
69Kendall WrightTEN15540646269.841.161.24
70Josh MorganWAS164424851010.621.151.15

Why can't we throw it like the Lions do??

Why can't we throw it like the Lions do??


As it turns out, Calvin Johnson was neither the best Johnson nor the best receiver in his division, at least as measured by this metric. I’m not convinced or even arguing that yards/attempt is the best way to rank receivers, but I do think the statistic represents an improvement on just receiving yards. Since receiving yards are so highly correlated with attempts, some adjustment needs to be made, and I plan on providing more analysis on how to grade wide receivers this off-season.
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