Implied SRS Ratings of College Football Teams in 2014

June 16, 2014 College

The Simple Rating System is a set of computer rankings that is focused on only two variables: strength of schedule and margin of victory. I publish weekly college football SRS ratings each season, and you can read more about the SRS there. Last year, I took the Las Vegas point spreads for over 200 college […]

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Which Four Teams Would Make a College Playoff in 2013?

December 10, 2013 College

We can officially declare the BCS dead (1998-2013). As it turns out, the final edition of the BCS rankings was not controversial. It took awhile, but with the losses by Ohio State and Northern Illinois, Florida State was the only team in the Football Bowl Subdivision to finish the year without a blemish. The champion […]

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Week 14 College Football SRS Ratings & The Iron Bowl

December 2, 2013 College

We are out of words. You should be dead, Auburn, because we saw you die. And here you are, breathing in the flesh, able to say this: you made the Alabama Crimson Tide kick the winning touchdown for you. It’s hard to top that recap from EDSBS of one of the greatest games in college […]

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Week 13 College Football SRS Ratings: November Strikes Again

November 25, 2013 College

Every year, a few mind-blowing upsets occur this time of year, and every year, we are shocked when it happens. Three of the top five single game performances of the season occurred on Saturday, including the best individual game rating of the year. Oklahoma State’s blowout win against Baylor produced an SRS score of 88.5, […]

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Non-FBS College Football Ratings Through 13 Weeks

November 25, 2013 SRS

Every week, I publish my college football ratings for FBS teams. To generate those ratings – using this methodology — my program also generates ratings for teams at all other levels.  This week, I will separate out the non-FBS teams based on their levels of play (instead of just lumping all non-FBS teams together). As […]

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Week 12 College Football SRS Ratings: Auburn Stays Alive

November 18, 2013 College

Entering week 12, there were 7 teams with legitimate paths to the national championship. The four undefeated teams came in with cupcake games, while two of the three one-loss teams had tough challenges. So what happened? Alabama was a 23-point favorite at Mississippi State (53rd in the week 11 SRS ratings). It wasn’t pretty, but […]

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Non-FBS College Football Ratings Through 12 Weeks

November 18, 2013 SRS

Every week, I publish my college football ratings for FBS teams. To generate those ratings – using this methodology — my program also generates ratings for non-FBS team.  So let’s take a look at the ratings through twelve weeks for all non-FBS teams. After posting the ratings, I’m going to dip my toe into the […]

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Week 11 College Football SRS Ratings: FSU, Baylor stay on top

November 11, 2013 College

Last week, the top five was Florida State, Baylor, Oregon, Alabama, and Arizona State. Florida State won big (by 56), while Baylor and Alabama won big games (against Oklahoma and LSU) by comfortable margins. Arizona State won by a point at Utah, an underrated team (despite the record, Utah ranks 24th in the SRS). Of […]

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Non-FBS College Football Ratings Through 11 Weeks

November 11, 2013 SRS

Every week, I publish my college football ratings for FBS teams. To generate those ratings – using this methodology — my program also generates ratings for non-FBS team.  So let’s take a look at the ratings through eleven weeks for all non-FBS teams. As always, thanks to Dr. Peter Wolfe for providing the final scores […]

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Week 10 College Football SRS Ratings: Florida State Staying Strong at #1

November 4, 2013 College

The Florida State Seminoles have done everything a championship team should do. FSU obliterated a 4-0 Maryland team 63-0, the most dominant win of the first five weeks of the season. That performance has only been eclipsed by one game since: the Seminoles 51-14 victory on the road against Clemson, a team that is currently […]

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Non-FBS College Football Ratings Through 10 Weeks

November 4, 2013 College

Every week, I publish my college football ratings for FBS teams. To generate those ratings – using this methodology — my program also generates ratings for non-FBS teams. Since there is less interest in those numbers, I rarely publish them, but here are the ratings through ten weeks for all non-FBS teams. Tweet

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Week 9 College Football SRS Ratings: FSU, Oregon, Bama, and Baylor stand alone

October 27, 2013 College

Last week, five teams emerged as the upper crust of college football. That number has dropped to four, after Missouri lost to South Carolina in typical heartbreaking style. The Tigers led 17-0 entering the fourth quarter, but that was before USC starting quarterback Connor Shaw — who had been held out due to injury — […]

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FSU, Oregon, Baylor, Alabama, and Mizzou Top the Week 8 SRS Ratings

October 21, 2013 College

Last week, Florida State topped the SRS ratings. And that was before the Seminoles posted the single best performance of the season, winning at Clemson 51-14 on Saturday Night. They scored an 85.5 in the SRS against the Tigers, so FSU now has the top two games of the season (the team’s 63-0 shutout against […]

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Florida State Tops the Simple Rating System Ratings Through Seven Weeks

October 14, 2013 College

After seven weeks, the idle Seminoles remain atop the SRS Ratings. New readers can read the background about the Simple Rating System here, but the SRS simply takes margin of victory for each team (with some minor tweaks to minimize running up the score and to give credit for close wins) and adjusts that differential […]

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After Six Weeks, Baylor looks legit, but falls in the SRS Ratings

October 7, 2013 College

Last week, the Baylor Bears came in at number one in the first edition of the 2013 SRS Ratings. But the Bears ranked #1 on the strength of blowouts against bad teams; how would Baylor fare against West Virginia, who upset Oklahoma State just one week ago? Art Briles’ squad raced out to a 56-14 […]

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Five weeks in, the first edition of NCAA SRS ratings

September 30, 2013 College

It’s still too early to put much faith in any computer ratings, but we can at least begin framing the discussion of which are the most impressive teams in college football. As always, thanks to Dr. Peter Wolfe for providing the final scores for every college football game. As a reminder, here’s the system for […]

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Post-Week 3 College Football Ratings: Part II

September 15, 2013 College

Earlier today, I explained my methodology for coming up with college football ratings after three weeks. Here are the current ratings. These ratings are not capped for margin of victory (but do include a home field adjustment). That’s why Oregon tops Alabama (for now). These ratings exclude all FCS games except games where FBS teams […]

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Post-Week 3 College Football Ratings: Part I

September 15, 2013 College

With three weeks in the books, it’s time to unveil some college football ratings. This is part one — I plan to post Part II on Sunday afternoon. It’s still too early to create meaningful SRS ratings, but there’s a workaround solution. You may recall that back in the summer, I created implied college football […]

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Implied SRS Ratings of Most College Football Teams

June 10, 2013 College

The Simple Rating System is a set of computer rankings focused on only two variables: strength of schedule and margin of victory. I published weekly college football SRS ratings each week last season, and you can read more about the SRS there. Last month, Jason Lisk of the Big Lead took the Las Vegas point […]

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Week 15 College Football SRS Ratings

December 9, 2012 College

I didn’t publish my college football SRS ratings last week, but with the conclusion of yesterday’s Army-Navy game, the college football regular season is over. But before we turn our attention to the Bowls, here is a look at the final regular season SRS ratings. I’ve also updated the NCAA Games page, which displays every […]

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Week 13 College Football SRS Ratings

November 25, 2012 Coaches

We all know the big story of the weekend: Wake up the Echoes, Notre Dame is in the National Championship Game. While it may be trendy to rip the Fighting Irish, they earned their golden ticket to Miami. Notre Dame’s opponent will be the champion of the Southeastern Conference, decided next weekend when Alabama and […]

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Week 12 College Football SRS Ratings

November 18, 2012 College

Your assumptions are no longer valid. Kansas State entered the weekend as the most balanced team in college football. Through 11 weeks, Baylor ranked 120th in yards allowed and 118th in points allowed. But last night in Waco, the Wildcats were unable to do much of anything on offense. Collin Klein had never thrown more […]

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Week 11 College Football SRS Ratings

November 11, 2012 College

For the second straight season, the game of the year took place in Tuscaloosa. A week after Alabama eeked out a victory over LSU, and 53 weeks after Alabama loss to LSU in last year’s “Game of the Century”, Johnny Manziel produced one of the performances of the season in leading Texas A&M to an […]

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College Football Week 10 SRS Ratings: The Big 4 Survive and Advance

November 4, 2012 College

There were close calls in Baton Rouge and in South Bend, but all six undefeated teams escaped week 10 without a blemish. Ohio State is now the first team to win 10 games in 2012, although the Buckeyes are not eligible to participate in postseason play. Louisville ran its record to 9-0 yesterday, with winnable […]

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Week 9 SRS Ratings: When Will Oregon Stop Scoring?

October 28, 2012 College

Oregon’s offense is ridiculous, and its defense and special teams aren’t far behind. Entering this weekend, Oregon had outscored opponents 234-46 … in the first half. Prior to their game against Colorado, Bill Connelly ranked Oregon as the third best defense in college football. Against the horrible Buffaloes, the Ducks didn’t disappoint. Oregon jumped out […]

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Week 8 SRS Ratings: The Crimson Tide death star marches on

October 21, 2012 College

I didn’t think this was possible. In 2009, Alabama had an incredible defense, ranking 1st or 2nd in points allowed, yards allowed, first downs allowed, completion percentage allowed and rushing yards allowed en route to a 14-0 season and a national title. In the 2010 draft, Rolando McClain and Kareem Jackson went in the first […]

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Week 7 NCAA SRS Ratings and the B12 lovefest may be back

October 14, 2012 College

Last year, the computers loved the Big 12. The first BCS Standings will be released tonight, and I suspect the B12 will again be viewed favorably by the computers. As a whole, B12 teams have just three nonconference losses, and two of them were by Kansas (to Rice and Northern Illinois). As long as the […]

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NCAA SRS Ratings: Week 6

October 7, 2012 College

For the last couple of weeks, I noted that the SEC East was inching its way back towards respectability. In 2009, the West went 12-7 against the East; in 2010, the dominance was much more pronounced, with the West going 16-3, and Ole Miss being responsible for two of the three losses. Last year, the […]

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Five weeks in, there’s no stopping the Crimson Tide

September 30, 2012 College

Like everyone else, the SRS now has Alabama atop its standings. Here are the full SRS ratings after five weeks1 Tweet Note that I called the Oregon-Washington State game when Oregon was up 51-19 late in the 4th quarter. [↩]

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Four weeks in, the first edition of college football SRS standings

September 23, 2012 College

It’s still too early to really put a lot of faith into the SRS ratings, but hey, we’ve got enough games to at least give it the old college try. As always, thanks to Dr. Peter Wolfe for providing the game scores for all of college football. As a reminder, here’s the system. 1) For […]

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