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Let’s start today’s post in a different direction: with a look at the biggest surprises of the week. And there was no bigger surprise than Iowa’s blowout win over Ohio State.

After week 10 (which, of course, compresses the ratings since the year-long ratings include the week 10 results), Iowa has an SRS of 55.0, while Ohio State is at 61.6. Given that the game was in Iowa, we would have expected Iowa to lose by 3.6 points.  But Iowa won 55-24, for a difference of 31 points, and an adjusted MOV of 26 points.  That means Iowa exceeded SRS expectations by 29.6 points, the most of any FBS team this week.

Army, Bowling Green, Baylor, and Utah round out the top 5 in terms of biggest overachievers in week 10:

Iowa also produced not just the best single-game SRS score of the week, but of the season! By beating a team with an SRS of 61.5, with an adjusted MOV of 26, that produces a whopping 87.5 single-game SRS score! Washington destroyed Oregon 38-3, for the second largest win of the week, with Miami’s victory over Virginia Tech earning the bronze. The table below shows the top single-game SRS performances of week 10. The difference between this table and the picture above, of course, is that this table is independent of the team’s actual rating.

DateTm_ConfPFOppPAH/RW/LDiffMOVOpp_ConfSOSSRS
11-04-2017Iowa_B1055Ohio State24HomeWin3126B1061.587.5
11-04-2017Washington_P1238Oregon3HomeWin3528P1244.972.9
11-04-2017Miami FL_ACC28Virginia Tech10HomeWin1815ACC55.370.3
11-04-2017Oklahoma_B1262Oklahoma St52RoadWin1013B1256.869.8
11-04-2017Wisconsin_B1045Indiana17RoadWin2827.5B1041.969.4
11-03-2017Utah_P1248UCLA17HomeWin3126P1240.166.1
11-04-2017Michigan St_B1027Penn State24HomeWin30B1064.864.8
11-04-2017TCU_B1224Texas7HomeWin1714B1250.564.5
11-04-2017Clemson_ACC38North Carolina St31RoadWin710ACC52.562.5
11-04-2017Michigan_B1033Minnesota10HomeWin2320B1041.861.8
11-04-2017West Virginia_B1220Iowa St16HomeWin47B1254.661.6
11-04-2017Missouri_SEC45Florida16HomeWin2925SEC35.560.5
11-04-2017Southern Cal_P1249Arizona35HomeWin1411P1248.259.2
11-04-2017Army_IND21Air Force0RoadWin2124MWC34.558.5
11-04-2017Wake Forest_ACC37Notre Dame48RoadLoss-11-8IND6658
11-03-2017Memphis_Amer41Tulsa14RoadWin2727Amer3158
11-04-2017Notre Dame_IND48Wake Forest37HomeWin118ACC49.657.6
11-04-2017Auburn_SEC42Texas A&M27RoadWin1518SEC39.457.4
11-04-2017Virginia_ACC40Georgia Tech36HomeWin47ACC49.756.7
11-04-2017Alabama_SEC24LSU10HomeWin1411SEC45.356.3
11-04-2017Kansas St_B1242Texas Tech35RoadWin710B1245.655.6
11-04-2017Georgia_SEC24South Carolina10HomeWin1411SEC4455
11-04-2017Central Florida_Amer31SMU24RoadWin710Amer43.753.7
11-04-2017North Carolina St_ACC31Clemson38HomeLoss-7-10ACC62.352.3
11-04-2017South Carolina_SEC10Georgia24RoadLoss-14-11SEC62.751.7
11-04-2017LSU_SEC10Alabama24RoadLoss-14-11SEC62.651.6
11-04-2017Penn State_B1024Michigan St27RoadLoss-30B1051.551.5
11-04-2017Boise St_MWC41Nevada14HomeWin2724MWC27.151.1
11-04-2017Northwestern_B1031Nebraska24RoadWin710B1040.950.9
11-04-2017Washington St_P1224Stanford21HomeWin30P1250.350.3
11-04-2017San Diego St_MWC52San José St7RoadWin4536MWC13.649.6
11-02-2017Temple_Amer34Navy26HomeWin87Amer42.449.4
11-04-2017SMU_Amer24Central Florida31HomeLoss-7-10Amer59.249.2
11-04-2017Baylor_B1238Kansas9RoadWin2928B1220.748.7
11-02-2017Toledo_MAC27Northern Illinois17HomeWin107MAC41.248.2
11-04-2017Stanford_P1221Washington St24RoadLoss-30P1248.148.1
11-04-2017Rutgers_B1031Maryland24HomeWin77B1040.347.3
11-01-2017Central Michigan_MAC35Western Michigan28RoadWin710MAC36.346.3
11-03-2017Florida Atlantic_CUSA30Marshall25HomeWin57CUSA39.246.2
10-31-2017Ohio U._MAC45Miami OH28HomeWin1714MAC3246
11-02-2017Eastern Michigan_MAC56Ball St14HomeWin4231.5MAC14.445.9
10-31-2017Bowling Green_MAC44Kent St16RoadWin2827.5MAC18.245.7
11-04-2017Arizona St_P1241Colorado30HomeWin118P1237.345.3
11-04-2017Oklahoma St_B1252Oklahoma62HomeLoss-10-13B1258.245.2
11-04-2017Florida St_ACC27Syracuse24HomeWin30ACC44.444.4
11-04-2017Houston_Amer52East Carolina27HomeWin2522Amer22.244.2
11-04-2017Purdue_B1029Illinois10HomeWin1916B1028.144.1
11-04-2017Syracuse_ACC24Florida St27RoadLoss-30ACC43.943.9
11-04-2017Utah St_MWC24New Mexico10RoadWin1417MWC26.543.5
11-04-2017Massachusetts_IND23Mississippi St34RoadLoss-11-8SEC5143
11-04-2017South Florida_Amer37Connecticut20RoadWin1720Amer2343
11-04-2017Texas_B127TCU24RoadLoss-17-14B1256.742.7
11-04-2017Mississippi_SEC37Kentucky34RoadWin37SEC35.642.6
11-04-2017Arizona_P1235Southern Cal49RoadLoss-14-11P1252.941.9
11-04-2017Cincinnati_Amer17Tulane16RoadWin17Amer34.841.8
11-04-2017UAB_CUSA52Rice21HomeWin3126CUSA14.740.7
11-04-2017Tennessee_SEC24Southern Miss10HomeWin1411CUSA28.939.9
11-04-2017Iowa St_B1216West Virginia20RoadLoss-4-7B1246.839.8
11-04-2017Virginia Tech_ACC10Miami FL28RoadLoss-18-15ACC54.839.8
11-02-2017Northern Illinois_MAC17Toledo27RoadLoss-10-7MAC46.239.2
11-04-2017Nebraska_B1024Northwestern31HomeLoss-7-10B1048.438.4
11-04-2017Louisiana-Monroe_SUN52Appalachian St45HomeWin77SUN31.238.2
11-04-2017Florida Int'l_CUSA14Texas-San Antonio7HomeWin77CUSA31.138.1
11-04-2017Texas A&M_SEC27Auburn42HomeLoss-15-18SEC55.137.1
11-04-2017Wyoming_MWC16Colorado St13HomeWin30MWC3737
11-04-2017North Texas_CUSA24Louisiana Tech23RoadWin17CUSA29.936.9
11-04-2017Colorado St_MWC13Wyoming16RoadLoss-30MWC36.536.5
11-03-2017Marshall_CUSA25Florida Atlantic30RoadLoss-5-7CUSA43.436.4
11-04-2017Vanderbilt_SEC31Western Kentucky17HomeWin1411CUSA25.236.2
11-04-2017Colorado_P1230Arizona St41RoadLoss-11-8P1243.735.7
11-04-2017Middle Tennessee St_CUSA30UTEP3HomeWin2724CUSA11.235.2
11-04-2017California_P1237Oregon St23HomeWin1411P1223.934.9
11-04-2017Mississippi St_SEC34Massachusetts23HomeWin118IND26.234.2
11-02-2017Idaho_SUN21Troy24RoadLoss-30SUN33.933.9
11-04-2017Texas Tech_B1235Kansas St42HomeLoss-7-10B1243.833.8
11-04-2017Brigham Young_IND13Fresno St20RoadLoss-7-7MWC40.833.8
11-04-2017Georgia Tech_ACC36Virginia40RoadLoss-4-7ACC39.632.6
11-04-2017Oregon_P123Washington38RoadLoss-35-28P1260.432.4
11-04-2017Minnesota_B1010Michigan33RoadLoss-23-20B1052.432.4
11-04-2017Fresno St_MWC20Brigham Young13HomeWin77IND25.232.2
11-04-2017Louisiana-Lafayette_SUN19South Alabama14RoadWin58SUN23.931.9
11-04-2017Coastal Car._SUN38Arkansas39RoadLoss-10SEC31.831.8
11-04-2017Indiana_B1017Wisconsin45HomeLoss-28-27.5B1059.331.8
11-04-2017Maryland_B1024Rutgers31RoadLoss-7-7B1037.630.6
11-04-2017Illinois_B1010Purdue29RoadLoss-19-16B1046.430.4
11-04-2017UNLV_MWC31Hawai`i23HomeWin87MWC23.430.4
11-04-2017Oregon St_P1223California37RoadLoss-14-11P1240.829.8
11-04-2017Ohio State_B1024Iowa55RoadLoss-31-26B105529
11-04-2017Kentucky_SEC34Mississippi37HomeLoss-3-7SEC3528
11-04-2017Connecticut_Amer20South Florida37HomeLoss-17-20Amer46.726.7
11-02-2017Navy_Amer26Temple34RoadLoss-8-7Amer33.426.4
10-31-2017Miami OH_MAC28Ohio U.45RoadLoss-17-14MAC39.925.9
11-04-2017New Mexico St_SUN45Texas St-San Marcos35RoadWin1013SUN12.825.8
11-04-2017Tulane_Amer16Cincinnati17HomeLoss-1-7Amer32.125.1
11-04-2017Southern Miss_CUSA10Tennessee24RoadLoss-14-11SEC36.125.1
11-04-2017Louisiana Tech_CUSA23North Texas24HomeLoss-1-7CUSA31.624.6
11-02-2017Troy_SUN24Idaho21HomeWin30SUN24.224.2
11-04-2017Old Dominion_CUSA6UNC-Charlotte0HomeWin67CUSA16.323.3
11-04-2017Hawai`i_MWC23UNLV31RoadLoss-8-7MWC30.123.1
11-04-2017Western Kentucky_CUSA17Vanderbilt31RoadLoss-14-11SEC33.622.6
11-01-2017Western Michigan_MAC28Central Michigan35HomeLoss-7-10MAC32.622.6
11-04-2017Texas-San Antonio_CUSA7Florida Int'l14RoadLoss-7-7CUSA29.422.4
11-04-2017Georgia St_SUN21Georgia Southern17RoadWin47SUN14.921.9
11-04-2017Nevada_MWC14Boise St41RoadLoss-27-24MWC45.721.7
11-04-2017East Carolina_Amer27Houston52RoadLoss-25-22Amer41.819.8
11-03-2017Tulsa_Amer14Memphis41HomeLoss-27-27Amer45.518.5
11-04-2017New Mexico_MWC10Utah St24HomeLoss-14-17MWC35.118.1
11-04-2017Appalachian St_SUN45Louisiana-Monroe52RoadLoss-7-7SUN24.917.9
11-04-2017Georgia Southern_SUN17Georgia St21HomeLoss-4-7SUN24.817.8
11-04-2017Arkansas_SEC39Coastal Car.38HomeWin10SUN16.516.5
11-03-2017UCLA_P1217Utah48RoadLoss-31-26P1242.216.2
11-04-2017UNC-Charlotte_CUSA0Old Dominion6RoadLoss-6-7CUSA21.914.9
11-04-2017Air Force_MWC0Army21HomeLoss-21-24IND38.114.1
11-04-2017Florida_SEC16Missouri45RoadLoss-29-25SEC38.813.8
11-04-2017Texas St-San Marcos_SUN35New Mexico St45HomeLoss-10-13SUN26.613.6
11-04-2017South Alabama_SUN14Louisiana-Lafayette19HomeLoss-5-8SUN20.412.4
11-04-2017San José St_MWC7San Diego St52HomeLoss-45-36MWC448
11-04-2017UTEP_CUSA3Middle Tennessee St30RoadLoss-27-24CUSA29.15.1
11-02-2017Ball St_MAC14Eastern Michigan56RoadLoss-42-31.5MAC36.34.8
11-04-2017Kansas_B129Baylor38HomeLoss-29-28B1230.72.7
11-04-2017Rice_CUSA21UAB52RoadLoss-31-26CUSA271
10-31-2017Kent St_MAC16Bowling Green44HomeLoss-28-27.5MAC26.2-1.3

Notre Dame actually recorded its worst win of the year, and its second-lowest SRS performance of the season, in a 48-37 home win over Wake Forest. But with Penn State losing to Michigan State, the Irish jump to #1 in the SRS.

The full week 10 SRS ratings are below. As always thanks to Dr. Peter R. Wolfe for providing the weekly game logs.

RkTeamConfDivConf RkGMOVSOSSRSREC
1Notre DameINDInd1919.846.2668-1
2Penn StateB10B10-East1919.445.464.87-2
3GeorgiaSECSEC-East1922.240.562.79-0
4AlabamaSECSEC-West2924.638.162.69-0
5ClemsonACCACC-Atl1915.946.362.38-1
6Ohio StateB10B10-East2916.345.261.67-2
7WashingtonP12P12-North192337.460.48-1
8WisconsinB10B10-West3920.438.959.39-0
9Central FloridaAmerAmer-East1824.634.759.28-0
10OklahomaB12B121914.943.358.28-1
11Oklahoma StB12B122914.142.756.87-2
12TCUB12B123918.73856.78-1
13Virginia TechACCACC-Coas2915.140.255.37-2
14AuburnSECSEC-West3916.938.255.17-2
15IowaB10B10-West498.446.5556-3
16Miami FLACCACC-Coas3813.341.454.88-0
17Iowa StB12B12499.744.954.66-3
18Southern CalP12P12-South21084552.98-2
19North Carolina StACCACC-Atl49646.552.56-3
20MichiganB10B10-East599.442.952.47-2
21Michigan StB10B10-East693.448.151.57-2
22Mississippi StSECSEC-West4913.437.6517-2
23TexasB12B12595.245.350.54-5
24StanfordP12P12-North3910.939.450.36-3
25Georgia TechACCACC-Coas58643.749.74-4
26Wake ForestACCACC-Atl696.742.949.65-4
27NorthwesternB10B10-West793.245.248.46-3
28ArizonaP12P12-South499.538.748.26-3
29Washington StP12P12-North5108.539.648.18-2
30Boston CollegeACCACC-Atl79-0.848.347.65-4
31West VirginiaB12B12698.83846.86-3
32South FloridaAmerAmer-East2917.72946.78-1
33PurdueB10B10-West893.842.646.54-5
34ToledoMACMAC-West1913.33346.28-1
35Boise StMWCMWC-Mntn1910.635.145.77-2
36Texas TechB12B12791.843.945.64-5
37MemphisAmerAmer-West399.53645.58-1
38LSUSECSEC-West595.639.845.36-3
39OregonP12P12-North6101.543.444.95-5
40LouisvilleACCACC-Atl894.540.244.75-4
41SyracuseACCACC-Atl992.44244.44-5
42South CarolinaSECSEC-East69440446-3
43San Diego StMWCMWC-West2108.935.2448-2
44Florida StACCACC-Atl108-5.849.743.93-5
45Kansas StB12B12895.438.443.85-4
46Arizona StP12P12-South79-1.244.943.75-4
47SMUAmerAmer-West497.436.343.76-3
48Florida AtlanticCUSACUSA-East1910.133.343.46-3
49NavyAmerAmer-West583.139.242.45-3
50UtahP12P12-South894.837.442.25-4
51IndianaB10B10-East99-2.944.841.93-6
52HoustonAmerAmer-West695.136.841.86-3
53MinnesotaB10B10-West1091.740.141.84-5
54DukeACCACC-Coas1191.240.241.54-5
55PittsburghACCACC-Coas129-344.341.34-5
56Northern IllinoisMACMAC-West297.23441.26-3
57NebraskaB10B10-West119-4.14540.94-5
58CaliforniaP12P12-North910-1.34240.85-5
59Fresno StMWCMWC-West398.632.240.86-3
60MarylandB10B10-East129-5.946.240.34-5
61UCLAP12P12-South109-3.443.540.14-5
62Ohio U.MACMAC-East3912.327.639.97-2
63VirginiaACCACC-Coas1391.63839.66-3
64Texas A&MSECSEC-West79-0.439.839.45-4
65MarshallCUSACUSA-East298.730.639.26-3
66MissouriSECSEC-East890.738.238.84-5
67ArmyINDInd298.929.238.27-2
68RutgersB10B10-East139-3.240.837.64-5
69Arkansas StSUNSun1715.122.337.55-2
70ColoradoP12P12-South11100.536.837.35-5
71Colorado StMWCMWC-Mntn4105.331.7376-4
72WyomingMWCMWC-Mntn594.53236.56-3
73Eastern MichiganMACMAC-West492.43436.43-6
74Western MichiganMACMAC-West594.731.636.35-4
75TennesseeSECSEC-East99-2.93936.14-5
76KentuckySECSEC-East1090.235.435.66-3
77FloridaSECSEC-East118-7.44335.53-5
78Utah StMWCMWC-Mntn610134.135.15-5
79MississippiSECSEC-West129-3.638.6354-5
80TulaneAmerAmer-West79-2.637.434.83-6
81Air ForceMWCMWC-Mntn791.832.634.54-5
82BuffaloMACMAC-East690.233.934.23-6
83North CarolinaACCACC-Coas149-12.14633.91-8
84TroySUNSun297.526.433.97-2
85VanderbiltSECSEC-East139-3.937.533.64-5
86TempleAmerAmer-East89-3.73733.44-5
87Central MichiganMACMAC-West79-0.733.232.65-4
88AkronMACMAC-East89-1.633.832.25-4
89CincinnatiAmerAmer-East99-9.241.332.13-6
90Miami OHMACMAC-East99-2.434.5323-6
91ArkansasSECSEC-West149-6.137.931.84-5
92North TexasCUSACUSA-West390.331.331.66-3
93Appalachian StSUNSun394.127.131.25-4
94Texas-San AntonioCUSACUSA-West4810.320.831.15-3
95TulsaAmerAmer-West1010-7.138.1312-8
96BaylorB12B1299-9.940.630.71-8
97UNLVMWCMWC-West89-2.632.730.14-5
98Louisiana TechCUSACUSA-West591.728.329.94-5
99Florida Int'lCUSACUSA-East68-0.329.829.46-2
100Middle Tennessee StCUSACUSA-East79-3.832.929.14-5
101Southern MissCUSACUSA-West892.826.128.95-4
102IllinoisB10B10-West149-12.740.828.12-7
103NevadaMWCMWC-West99-10.837.927.11-8
104UABCUSACUSA-West99720.127.16-3
105New Mexico StSUNSun49-0.427.126.64-5
106New MexicoMWCMWC-Mntn109-6.53326.53-6
107MassachusettsINDInd39-3.629.826.22-7
108Bowling GreenMACMAC-East109-10.937.126.22-7
109Brigham YoungINDInd410-11.136.325.22-8
110Western KentuckyCUSACUSA-East1091.723.625.25-4
111Louisiana-MonroeSUNSun59-0.425.324.94-5
112Georgia StSUNSun68-1.326.124.85-3
113IdahoSUNSun79-5.429.624.23-6
114South AlabamaSUNSun89-3.827.723.93-6
115Oregon StP12P12-North129-1841.923.91-8
116Hawai`iMWCMWC-West119-7.731.123.43-6
117ConnecticutAmerAmer-East119-11.934.9233-6
118East CarolinaAmerAmer-East129-19.641.822.22-7
119Old DominionCUSACUSA-East119-10.732.621.93-6
120KansasB12B12109-19.940.620.71-8
121Louisiana-LafayetteSUNSun98-6.72720.44-4
122Kent StMACMAC-East119-19.337.418.22-7
123Coastal Car.SUNSun109-1228.516.51-8
124UNC-CharlotteCUSACUSA-East129-14.430.716.31-8
125Georgia SouthernSUNSun118-18.933.814.90-8
126RiceCUSACUSA-West139-18.733.414.71-8
127Ball StMACMAC-West129-15.930.314.42-7
128San José StMWCMWC-West1210-21.935.513.61-9
129Texas St-San MarcosSUNSun129-12.425.212.82-7
130UTEPCUSACUSA-West149-22.133.411.20-9

As always, please leave your thoughts in the comments.