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Final 2015 College Football SRS Ratings/Bowl Preview

With the college football regular season now officially over, let’s look at the final SRS ratings from 2015:

RkTeamConfDivConf RkGMOVSOSSRSREC
1OklahomaB12B1211220.34262.311-1
2AlabamaSECSEC-West11317.842.960.712-1
3Ohio StateB10B10-East11218.839.157.911-1
4ClemsonACCACC-Atl11315.941.757.613-0
5Notre DameIndInd11211.843.25510-2
6Florida StACCACC-Atl21214.84054.810-2
7StanfordP12P12-North11312.941.754.711-2
8North CarolinaACCACC-Coas31315.738.454.111-2
9BaylorB12B1221216.337.854.19-3
10TCUB12B1231213.739.45310-2
11Michigan StB10B10-East21310.942.15312-1
12MississippiSECSEC-West21212.84052.89-3
13MichiganB10B10-East31211.940.352.29-3
14TennesseeSECSEC-East31210.740.551.28-4
15IowaB10B10-West41312.238.851.112-1
16Southern CalP12P12-South2136.843.750.58-5
17Oklahoma StB12B1241210.439.750.110-2
18LSUSECSEC-West4116.343.549.88-3
19West VirginiaB12B125127.641.549.17-5
20ArkansasSECSEC-West5126.242.8497-5
21Mississippi StSECSEC-West612939.948.88-4
22Bowling GreenMACMAC-East11314.134.748.810-3
23NavyAmerAmer-West11213.535.148.610-2
24HoustonAmerAmer-West21317.131.448.412-1
25WisconsinB10B10-West51211.636.648.29-3
26WashingtonP12P12-North3128.239.8486-6
27UtahP12P12-South4127.740.3489-3
28MemphisAmerAmer-West31212.735.147.89-3
29FloridaSECSEC-East7137.140.647.610-3
30OregonP12P12-North5126.740.647.39-3
31UCLAP12P12-South6126.540.446.98-4
32ToledoMACMAC-West21113.133.746.89-2
33PittsburghACCACC-Coas4124.342.546.78-4
34CaliforniaP12P12-North7125.141.546.67-5
35Texas A&MSECSEC-West8125.640.4468-4
36North Carolina StACCACC-Atl5128.237.545.77-5
37Western KentuckyCUSACUSA-East11316.32945.311-2
38LouisvilleACCACC-Atl612441.245.17-5
39GeorgiaSECSEC-East912837459-3
40NorthwesternB10B10-West6124.740.344.910-2
41TempleAmerAmer-East4131133.944.910-3
42Texas TechB12B126122.641.844.47-5
43Virginia TechACCACC-Coas7123.840.544.36-6
44South FloridaAmerAmer-East51210.334.144.38-4
45Brigham YoungIndInd21210.13444.19-3
46NebraskaB10B10-West7123.54043.55-7
47Penn StateB10B10-East812240.742.87-5
48Georgia TechACCACC-Coas812-0.142.842.83-9
49Miami FLACCACC-Coas9121.241.342.58-4
50AuburnSECSEC-West1012-0.842.7426-6
51Washington StP12P12-North8123.638.341.98-4
52Arizona StP12P12-South9120.840.941.76-6
53Boise StMWCMWC-Mntn11212.628.841.48-4
54Kansas StB12B127120.540.741.26-6
55DukeACCACC-Coas10124.436.540.97-5
56TexasB12B12812-4.144.540.45-7
57Western MichiganMACMAC-West3125.135.240.37-5
58San Diego StMWCMWC-West21312.327.339.710-3
59Appalachian StSunSun11215.224.339.510-2
60Georgia SouthernSunSun21210.42939.48-4
61Northern IllinoisMACMAC-West4136.932.339.28-5
62IndianaB10B10-East912-1.340.3396-6
63IllinoisB10B10-West1012-241395-7
64Iowa StB12B12912-7.145.738.63-9
65ArizonaP12P12-South10120.537.938.36-6
66CincinnatiAmerAmer-East6124.833.438.27-5
67VirginiaACCACC-Coas1112-5.843.637.84-8
68Central MichiganMACMAC-West5124.733.137.77-5
69Air ForceMWCMWC-Mntn3138.529.137.78-5
70Southern MissCUSACUSA-West21313.224.237.49-4
71MinnesotaB10B10-West1112-4.541.837.35-7
72Boston CollegeACCACC-Atl1212-1.438.236.93-9
73East CarolinaAmerAmer-East7120.436.436.85-7
74MarshallCUSACUSA-East31212.523.936.59-3
75MissouriSECSEC-East1112-3.239.436.25-7
76Arkansas StSunSun31210.425.736.19-3
77SyracuseACCACC-Atl1312-5.541.435.94-8
78Utah StMWCMWC-Mntn4122.133.735.86-6
79MarylandB10B10-East1212-9.845.535.83-9
80South CarolinaSECSEC-East1212-5.841.435.73-9
81Louisiana TechCUSACUSA-West4128.626.835.48-4
82Wake ForestACCACC-Atl1412-7.341.734.33-9
83ConnecticutAmerAmer-East812-1.435.233.86-6
84VanderbiltSECSEC-East1312-5.539.233.74-8
85Middle Tennessee StCUSACUSA-East512627.633.77-5
86Ohio U.MACMAC-East6123.629.232.88-4
87KentuckySECSEC-East1412-4.136.532.35-7
88ColoradoP12P12-South1113-4.235.731.54-9
89AkronMACMAC-East7122.828.431.37-5
90TulsaAmerAmer-West912-2.533.731.36-6
91PurdueB10B10-West1312-11.142.331.22-10
92RutgersB10B10-East1412-7.738.330.64-8
93TroySunSun412-0.830.629.84-8
94San José StMWCMWC-West512-0.529.929.45-7
95BuffaloMACMAC-East812-0.829.328.55-7
96Colorado StMWCMWC-Mntn6122.126.228.27-5
97Georgia StSunSun512-0.226.626.46-6
98Oregon StP12P12-North1212-15.641.926.32-10
99New MexicoMWCMWC-Mntn7120.625.125.77-5
100NevadaMWCMWC-West812-1.627.225.66-6
101UNLVMWCMWC-West912-5.829.723.83-9
102SMUAmerAmer-West1012-15.739.323.62-10
103MassachusettsMACMAC-East912-8.832.223.43-9
104Florida Int'lCUSACUSA-East612-1.925.223.45-7
105ArmyIndInd312-6.529.823.32-10
106Ball StMACMAC-West1012-11.534.222.63-9
107Florida AtlanticCUSACUSA-East712-6.529.122.63-9
108South AlabamaSunSun612-9.630.420.85-7
109TulaneAmerAmer-West1112-1434.420.43-9
110Louisiana-LafayetteSunSun712-5.325.620.34-8
111KansasB12B121012-25.345.420.10-12
112Kent StMACMAC-East1112-10.930.9203-9
113RiceCUSACUSA-West812-6.425.919.55-7
114IdahoSunSun812-10.629.919.44-8
115Miami OHMACMAC-East1212-11.83119.13-9
116Texas-San AntonioCUSACUSA-West912-9.628.118.53-9
117Fresno StMWCMWC-West1012-13.63218.43-9
118Texas St-San MarcosSunSun912-11.128.717.63-9
119WyomingMWCMWC-Mntn1112-1431.317.32-10
120Hawai`iMWCMWC-West1213-15.23115.83-10
121New Mexico StSunSun1012-13.128.815.73-9
122Louisiana-MonroeSunSun1113-13.228.615.42-11
123Old DominionCUSACUSA-East1012-10.62615.45-7
124Eastern MichiganMACMAC-West1312-15.630.514.91-11
125UTEPCUSACUSA-West1112-1024.814.85-7
126Central FloridaAmerAmer-East1212-20.635.414.80-12
127North TexasCUSACUSA-West1212-21.533.111.61-11
128UNC-CharlotteCUSACUSA-East1312-15.326.711.32-10

With 40 Bowl games this year, it’s easy to get confused and overwhelmed. So let’s put together a simple bowl preview, giving you all the SRS-related information you need to be ready for Bowl season. The table is sorted in chronological order for your viewing pleasure, but the rank next to each game represents the the average SRS rating of the two teams in each game. Here’s how to read the line for the Heart of Dallas Bowl game, the first matchup of Bowl season. The game is on Saturday, December 19th, at 2PM, between Washington and Southern Miss. Washington is the favorite, with an SRS of 48.0, while Southern Miss has an SRS of 37.4. That’s a difference of 10.6 points, which is a decent proxy for a pre-game point spread. The average SRS rating of the two teams is 42.7, the 25th-highest rating of the season, and the game takes place at the Cotton Bowl Stadium in Dallas.

RkDateTimeDayFavoriteUnderdogFav SRSUnd SRSDiffAvg SRSLocation
3512-19-20159:00 PMSatArkansas StLouisiana Tech36.135.40.735.8Mercedes-Benz Superdome - New Orleans; Louisiana
3812-19-20152:00 PMSatArizonaNew Mexico38.325.712.632.0University Stadium - Albuquerque; New Mexico
3412-19-20155:30 PMSatAppalachian StOhio U.39.532.86.736.1Cramton Bowl - Montgomery; Alabama
3912-19-20157:00 PMSatSan José StGeorgia St29.426.43.027.9Orlando Citrus Bowl - Orlando; Florida
1512-19-20153:30 PMSatUtahBrigham Young48.044.13.946.1Sam Boyd Stadium - Las Vegas; Nevada
2212-21-20152:30 PMMonWestern KentuckySouth Florida45.344.31.044.8Marlins Park - Miami; Florida
1612-22-20157:00 PMTueToledoTemple46.844.91.945.9FAU Football Stadium - Boca Raton; Florida
3712-22-20153:30 PMTueUtah StAkron35.831.34.633.5Albertsons Stadium - Boise; Idaho
2312-23-20158:00 PMWedBowling GreenGeorgia Southern48.839.49.344.1Ladd-Peebles Stadium - Mobile; Alabama
2812-23-20154:30 PMWedBoise StNorthern Illinois41.439.22.240.3Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego; California
3012-24-20158:00 PMThuSan Diego StCincinnati39.738.21.538.9Aloha Stadium - Honolulu; Hawaii
3312-24-201512:00 PMThuWestern MichiganMiddle Tennessee St40.333.76.637.0Thomas A. Robinson Stadium - Nassau;
2912-26-20153:30 PMSatDukeIndiana40.939.01.940.0Yankee Stadium - Bronx; New York
3612-26-201511:00 AMSatMarshallConnecticut36.533.82.635.1Tropicana Field - St. Petersburg; Florida
1912-26-20159:15 PMSatUCLANebraska46.943.53.445.2Levi's Stadium - Santa Clara; California
3112-26-20155:45 PMSatVirginia TechTulsa44.331.313.137.8Independence Stadium - Shreveport; Louisiana
2512-26-20152:20 PMSatWashingtonSouthern Miss48.037.410.642.7Cotton Bowl Stadium - Dallas; Texas
2612-26-20152:00 PMSatMiami FLWashington St42.541.90.642.2Sun Bowl Stadium - El Paso; Texas
3212-28-20155:00 PMMonCentral MichiganMinnesota37.737.30.437.5Ford Field - Detroit; Michigan
1212-28-20152:30 PMMonNavyPittsburgh48.646.71.947.7Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis; Maryland
2712-29-20152:00 PMTueCaliforniaAir Force46.637.78.942.1Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth; Texas
4012-29-20157:30 PMTueColorado StNevada28.225.62.626.9Arizona Stadium - Tucson; Arizona
412-29-20155:30 PMTueNorth CarolinaBaylor54.154.10.054.1Orlando Citrus Bowl - Orlando; Florida
1412-29-20159:00 PMTueLSUTexas Tech49.844.45.447.1NRG Stadium - Houston; Texas
2112-30-201512:00 PMWedMemphisAuburn47.842.05.844.9Legion Field - Birmingham; Alabama
1312-30-20153:30 PMWedMississippi StNorth Carolina St48.845.73.147.2Bank of America Stadium - Charlotte; North Carolina
1712-30-20157:00 PMWedTexas A&MLouisville46.045.10.945.6Nissan Stadium - Nashville; Tennessee
1012-30-201510:30 PMWedSouthern CalWisconsin50.548.22.349.3Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego; California
612-31-201512:00 PMThuFlorida StHouston54.848.46.451.6Georgia Dome - Atlanta; Georgia
212-31-20158:00 PMThuAlabamaMichigan St60.753.07.756.8AT&T Stadium - Arlington; Texas
112-31-20154:00 PMThuOklahomaClemson62.357.64.860.0Sun Life Stadium - Miami Gardens; Florida
901-01-20161:00 PMFriMichiganFlorida52.247.64.549.9Orlando Citrus Bowl - Orlando; Florida
301-01-20161:00 PMFriOhio StateNotre Dame57.955.02.956.4University of Phoenix Stadium - Glendale; Arizona
701-01-20168:30 PMFriMississippiOklahoma St52.850.12.851.5Mercedes-Benz Superdome - New Orleans; Louisiana
501-01-20165:00 PMFriStanfordIowa54.751.13.652.9Rose Bowl - Pasadena; California
1101-01-201612:00 PMFriTennesseeNorthwestern51.244.96.248.1Raymond James Stadium - Tampa; Florida
2001-02-20163:20 PMSatArkansasKansas St49.041.27.845.1Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis; Tennessee
2401-02-201612:00 PMSatGeorgiaPenn State45.042.82.243.9EverBank Field - Jacksonville; Florida
801-02-20166:45 PMSatTCUOregon53.047.35.750.2Alamodome - San Antonio; Texas
1801-02-201610:15 PMSatWest VirginiaArizona St49.141.77.445.4Chase Field - Phoenix; Arizona

Some quick notes:

  • The most lopsided game of Bowl season: Virginia Tech/Tulsa, as the Hokies are 13.1-point SRS favorites. It should be a nice sendoff for head coach Frank Beamer.
  • The closest game of the year should be an excellent one: North Carolina against Baylor in the Russell Athletic Bowl in Orlando. Both teams have the same SRS rating of 54.1. It also features two top ten teams and is the 4th best SRS matchup of bowl season.
  • Unsurprisingly, Oklahoma/Clemson in the Orange Bowl is the best game as far as average SRS ratings. The worst? The NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl with Nevada and Colorado State, which is one of two new Bowl games this year (the Cure Bowl, featuring San Jose State and Georgia State, which is the second worst game of the season, being the other). This game was supposed to feature teams from the Mountain West Conference and Conference USA, but it wound up featuring two MWC teams. Fortunately, Nevada and Colorado State did not play in the regular season, so if you wanted to know which 6+ loss Mountain West team was the best, you’re in luck: this one will be settled on the field.

Also, of interest to me every year is the Bowl game that’s closest to home: that’s the always tantalizing Pinstripe Bowl. This year, it features Duke and Indiana, which would be really exciting most years except this game in a baseball stadium doesn’t feature two basketball teams.

  • sacramento gold miners

    The FSU vs. Houston and USC vs. Wisconsin games could be intriguing matchups, but you never know which teams are motivated during bowl season, and which are playing out the string. Several years ago Alabama didn’t have much to play for in the Sugar Bowl versus Utah, and it showed. The Utes were the more physical team, and that loss was both surprising and disappointing for Bama.

    • Agree that USC/Wisconsin could be interesting…. and the Rose Bowl should be really good, even if the SRS doesn’t love Iowa. I can’t imagine how ugly Penn State/Georgia will be, among competitive games among decent enough teams.