Peyton Manning, Matt Ryan, and Andrew Luck are ESPN QBR Stars

April 14, 2014 Quarterbacks

A few weeks ago, I put ESPN’s Total QBR under the microscope. Today, I want to look at the quarterbacks whose passing statistics most differ from their QBR grades. Total QBR grades go back to 2006, so to start, I ran a regression using Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt to predict Total QBR. The best-fit […]

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Where Does Luck/Smith Rank Among Great Playoff QB Battles?

February 10, 2014 Passing

The NFL playoffs began in very entertaining fashion in Indianapolis. The Chiefs lost Jamaal Charles on the first drive of the game to a concussion, but stormed out to a 38-10 lead. Then the Colts pulled off the second greatest comeback in NFL history, eventually winning 45-44. The much-maligned Alex Smith had the game of […]

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New York Times: Post-Week 7, 2013

October 23, 2013 NYT

This week at the New York Times, I look at how the Chiefs have gone from worst to first: The Chiefs have found success in an unusual way. In the modern N.F.L., the best teams tend to be the best passing teams, but Kansas City has managed to succeed with a mediocre passing attack thanks […]

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Are the Chiefs better than your average worst team?

May 16, 2013 Random Perspective On

How bad were the Chiefs last year? Kansas City went 2-14, tied for the worst record in the league with Jacksonville. Since the Chiefs faced an easier schedule, they received the first pick. With an Simple Rating System score of -14.0, Kansas City had the worst SRS rating in the league. They ranked 32nd in […]

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Quarterback Age Curves

March 11, 2013 Quarterbacks

Last summer, I looked at the age curves for running backs in an attempt to find out if there is a magical cliff at age 30 (there isn’t). But when I wrote about Josh Freeman last week, I started thinking about quarterback age curves. The first step in trying to measure the aging patterns of […]

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Jim Harbaugh has turned Alex Smith into Jim Harbaugh 2.0

September 21, 2012 Coaches

Alex Smith has had an incredible career revival since Jim Harbaugh came to San Francisco. The first six seasons of his career, Alex Smith won just 38% of his 50 starts, but he has an incredible 15-3 regular season record since 2011 (83%). From 2005 to 2012, Smith had an ugly 72.1 passer rating, the […]

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Random Perspective On: The 2012 San Francisco 49ers

July 9, 2012 Defense

[You can find lots of websites previewing each team as we head towards the 2012 season. You won't find that at FootballPerspective.com, but instead, I'll share some random thoughts on each franchise based on well, whatever springs to mind. We'll kick things off with look at the San Francisco 49ers.] The 49ers are an interesting […]

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