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Andy Reid And The Hall of Fame

Two of the best coaches of the last 20 years. Belichick is 3-0 against Reid in the postseason.

As Andy Reid gets his Kansas City Chiefs ready for Super Bowl LIV, he should also be getting ready to get a gold jacket. With a win, there’s no question that Reid is a lock for the Hall of Fame. But even without it, Reid has now done enough that he will one day wind up in Canton.

How do you get to the Pro Football Hall of Fame as a head coach? Here’s a helpful flow chart.

Did you win 3 rings? If so, proceed to Canton (9)

If you win three championships as a head coach in the NFL, you are going to make the Hall of Fame. There are only 10 men who can make that claim, and nine of them are already enshrined in Canton: George Halas, Curly Lambeau, Paul Brown, Chuck Noll, Joe Gibbs, Weeb Ewbank, Vince Lombardi, Bill Walsh, and Guy Chamberlin. The 10th, of course, is Bill Belichick, who will at some point retire and then be a first ballot inductee.

Did you win 2 rings plus have a third appearance? If so, proceed to Canton (3)

Two of the best head coaches ever — Don Shula and Tom Landry — fall into this category. Both are also in the top four in all-time wins. The third is Bill Parcells, who also took two different teams, and three different quarterbacks, to the Super Bowl. [continue reading…]

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Today marks the 27th postseason game of Andy Reid’s career.

In 17 of the first 26 games, Reid’s team was favored; shockingly, those teams have gone just 9-8.

In the other 9 games, when Reid’s teams (the Eagles in all but one game) were underdogs; they went 3-6.

But today, Reid’s Chiefs are 10-point favorites at home against Houston, the single largest point spread for any playoff game under Reid.

The graph below shows each of the first 26 games of Reid’s career, marked in Eagles and Chiefs colors. The X-Axis shows how many points by which his team was favored; the Y-Axis shows the actual margin of victory.

The short version is:

  • Upper Right: Favored to win and actually won (9 games)
  • Lower Right: Favored to win and lost (8 games, including four with the Chiefs where Kansas City lost by 1, 1, 2 points, and in overtime).
  • Upper Left: Underdogs but won (3 games)
  • Lower Left: Underdogs and lost (6 games)

[continue reading…]

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Trivia: Marty Schottenheimer, Andy Reid, or Both?

Below are 17 questions, where the answer to each question is Marty Schottenheimer, Andy Reid, or both. All stats are through 2018 and regular season only, unless expressly noted otherwise.

Post your score in the comments! The honor system will be strictly enforced.

1. Which coach won more games?

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2. Which coach has a better career winning percentage?

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3. Which coach won more division titles?

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4. The best regular season of this coach’s career was followed by a playoff loss to Bill Belichick, Tom Brady, and the Patriots.

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5. This coach employed three minority assistants who would later become head coaches for the first time.

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6. This coach only missed the postseason 6 times.

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7. Which coach won the AP Coach of the Year award most recently?

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8. Which coach won the most coaching awards from major sources other than the AP?

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9. Which coach employed more guys who would go on to win Super Bowls as head coaches?

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10. Which coach lost in the playoffs three times to the same legendary coach/quarterback combination?

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11. Which coach lost to the same Hall of Fame quarterback in the playoffs with two separate coaches?

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12. Which coach had their teams finish in the top 3 in points scored more often?

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13. Which coach had their teams finish in the top 3 in points allowed more often?

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14. Which coach lost a heartbreaker to the Colts in the playoffs, but not with Peyton Manning at quarterback?

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15. Which coach had more individual quarterbacks win at least 8 games in a season?

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16. Which coach lost more often to the eventual Super Bowl Champion in the playoffs?

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17. Which coach has a better winning percentage with the Chiefs in the postseason?

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How did you do?

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New York Times: Post-Week 11, 2013

Eight teams fired their head coaches last year. How are those eight coaches doing in 2013? And will there be more firings next year because of the Reid effect? That’s what I’m writing about this week at the New York Times.

Andy Reid may be the worst thing to happen to struggling coaches. In 2012 under Romeo Crennel, the Chiefs appeared to be a talented team but finished 2-14. Even the biggest Kansas City optimists could not have expected the addition of Reid and quarterback Alex Smith to turn the Chiefs into a Super Bowl contender overnight. But Reid has all but locked up the coach of the year award and engineered one of the great turnarounds in league history. If general managers break close calls in favor of replacing their coaches in the off-season, call it the Reid effect.

Chip Kelly, who replaced Reid in Philadelphia, has done a superb job, too. The 2012 Eagles were a 4-12 team that relied on fourth-quarter comebacks to win each of those games. Philadelphia had an inconsistent offense and a terrible defense, which caused ownership to make the splashy hiring of the off-season by bringing in Kelly from Oregon.

The Eagles’ offense has come close to matching the hype that surrounded Kelly’s arrival. Philadelphia is in the top 10 in yards and points per game, and the Eagles are the only team to rank in the top three in both yards per pass attempt and yards per carry. Quarterback Nick Foles has 16 touchdown passes and no interceptions and leads the league in yards per pass attempt, and LeSean McCoy leads the N.F.L. in yards from scrimmage.

You can read the full article here.

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How bad were the Chiefs last year?

  • Kansas City went 2-14, tied for the worst record in the league with Jacksonville. Since the Chiefs faced an easier schedule, they received the first pick.
  • With an Simple Rating System score of -14.0, Kansas City had the worst SRS rating in the league. They ranked 32nd in points scored and 25th in points allowed, leaving them 32nd in points differential. With a slightly easier than average schedule, that left them 32nd in the SRS, too.
  • The Chiefs ranked in the bottom three in both NY/A and NY/A allowed.
  • With a -24 turnover differential, K.C. tied several other teams, including the 2012 Eagles, for the third worst turnover differential since 1978.
  • Brian Burke ranked the Chiefs 31st overall, 31st on offense, and 31st on defense, just edging out the Jaguars (who ranked 32nd on offense and 30th on defense).
  • Kansas City finished 32nd in Aaron Schatz’s efficiency rankings, as Football Outsiders ranked them 31st on offense, 30th on defense, and 22nd on special teams.

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Morhinweg

Mornhinweg and Vick plan for their dream season.

On Friday, the Jets finally concluded their search for a new offensive coordinator by hiring Marty Mornhinweg. The reaction was predictably mixed, but one of the facts trumpeted by the pro-Mornhinweg crowd was that he has been an offensive coordinator for 11 years and his teams never ranked lower than 15th on offense. Besides my initial reaction of “well, that’s about to change“, my next thought was: wait, the 2012 Eagles were a top-fifteen offense?!

Philadelphia turned the ball over 37 times last year, tied with the Jets and the Chiefs for most in the league. The Eagles ranked 29th in points scored. But when people speak of things like a top-fifteen offense, the convention is to refer to a team’s rank in yards gained, and Philadelphia did rank 15th in yards in 2012.
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