Just like last week, Alex Smith and the Chiefs pulled out a late win in a game with a near-even Game Script. None of the 13 other games this week (excluding Jets/Patriots, Chiefs/Texans, and noting that the Saints and Raiders had byes) had a Game Script of fewer than 2 points.
I’m short on time this week, so I’ll let you guys add your thoughts in the comments. I’ll just note that every team that lost this week (and therefore, 14 of the 15 teams that lost the Game Scripts battle) had a higher pass/run ratio than their opponent. Admittedly, the Bengals/Lions game is more appropriately described as a tie. The Bengals high pass ratio (for Cincinnati) was probably due to efficiency: Andy Dalton and A.J. Green had great games, with Dalton throwing for 372 yards and 3 TDs, with no interceptions and just one sack, on 35 dropbacks, and Green catching 6 passes for 155 yards and a score. Meanwhile, BenJarvus Green-Ellis and Giovani Bernard averaged just three yards per carry on 17 runs.
Don’t forget: as always the season-long Game Scripts page has been updated to include the week seven games.
The Jets go W-L-W-L-W-L-W
The Jets are engaging in an exciting game of ping pong right now:
|1||boxscore||W||1-0||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||18||17|
|2||boxscore||L||1-1||@||New England Patriots||10||13|
|7||boxscore||W||4-3||New England Patriots||30||27|
New York is the 12th team to start a season W-L-W-L-W-L-W, joining the ’05 Patriots, the ’03 Bucs, ’97 Lions, ’93 49ers, ’88 Browns, ’88 Giants, ’87 Saints, ’87 Bucs, ’83 Packers, ’52 Eagles, and ’51 49ers. The Patriots kept the streak going to longest, losing in game eight and winning in game nine, before finally winning in an even-numbered game. Like most streaks that have no real meaning, this one evaporates as soon as we begin to measure it. Below is the average winning percentage of the 11 teams mentioned above, in every game of their season.1
Geno Smith has experienced a similar up-and-down trend, but it’s unsurprising to see a quarterback’s performance tied to his team’s record. Six of the eleven teams to start W-L-W-L-W-L-W lost in game eight, and the Jets are expected to continue that trend as 6.5-point underdogs in Cincinnati.
- Note that in 1987, only 15 games were played, while only 12 games were played in ’51 and ’51. [↩]