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Previously:

In week 3, the Bengals passed on 74% of their plays against Philadelphia in a game where Cincinnati led after three quarters (and ultimately tied). In week 4, the 49ers passed on 71% of their plays against Philadelphia in a game where San Francisco led after three quarters (and ultimately lost in the final minutes). In 2018 and 2019, there just were 7 games each season where a team led after three quarters and still passed on 71% of their plays; it’s happened against the Eagles now in back to back weeks!

Interestingly, during the first two weeks of the season, Eagles opponents were extremely run-heavy, even after accounting for Game Script. Philadelphia faced a league-high 75 rushing plays in the first two games of the season, but have been the most pass-happy defense since then. I don’t have a good explanation for this one — the 49ers don’t profile as a pass-happy team, but wound up having 50 dropbacks between their second and third string quarterbacks.

The full Week 4 Game Scripts below:

TeamH/ROppBoxscorePFPAMarginGame ScriptPassRunP/R RatioOp_POp_ROpp_P/R Ratio
CLE@DALBoxscore49381111.5334045.2%611877.2%
CARARIBoxscore31211011.4373551.4%322358.2%
BAL@WASBoxscore31171411243242.9%482268.6%
GNBATLBoxscore30161410.3342656.7%432563.2%
IND@CHIBoxscore191188.2303844.1%431672.9%
BUF@OAKBoxscore302376.7352459.3%462366.7%
MIN@HOUBoxscore312386.7254038.5%352756.5%
SEA@MIABoxscore312385.5362658.1%462267.6%
KANNWEBoxscore2610165.1302554.5%393552.7%
NOR@DETBoxscore352964.6274239.1%342260.7%
LARNYGBoxscore17984342359.6%412562.1%
CINJAXBoxscore332583.6373452.1%432068.3%
DEN@NYJBoxscore372891.2313249.2%502467.6%
PHI@SFOBoxscore252050.4312753.4%502071.4%
TAMLACBoxscore38317-3.9462763%272354%

The Vikings and Saints profiled as the two run-heavy teams of the week. For Minnesota, this is hardly a surprise; the Vikings have been trying for years to be a run-heavy team, even if the personnel (or salary cap hits) didn’t always dictate that.

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