Week 7 NCAA SRS Ratings and the B12 lovefest may be back

by Chase Stuart on October 14, 2012

Hey Bob, did you know the fate of the conference is in your hands?

Last year, the computers loved the Big 12. The first BCS Standings will be released tonight, and I suspect the B12 will again be viewed favorably by the computers. As a whole, B12 teams have just three nonconference losses, and two of them were by Kansas (to Rice and Northern Illinois). As long as the other nine teams in the conference keep crushing the Jayhawks, those losses won’t matter. The other loss came by Oklahoma State in Arizona, which looks bad in retrospect but again the damage may be limited. With the exception of a blowout over Lousiana-Lafayette, OSU simply hasn’t looked good this season, falling short of a single-game SRS score of 50 in every other game. Yesterday, OSU won by just six points in Manhattan. For the purposes of Kansas State, Oklahoma, Texas Tech and West Virginia, as long as they also beat down on Oklahoma State (and Texas has already handed them one conference loss), I suspect the computers will continue to love them. And for purposes of the BCS computers, a win over the Cowboys is all they will need (as margin of victory is not included).

On the other side, the conference doesn’t really have any landmark victories, either. Mississippi (via Texas), Louisiana-Monroe (Baylor), Tulsa and Iowa (Iowa State), and Miami (Kansas State) are the most impressive heads hanging in the conference’s living room. We might not learn a lot about the Big 12 conference teams as they relate to the rest of college football — the 10 teams have already played 29 of their 30 nonconference games this season. Fortunately for us, that last remaining game is in two weeks, when Notre Dame travels to Oklahoma. If the Sooners win that game, the computers will likely love the Big 12 for the rest of the season.

Below are the SRS Ratings after seven weeks. As always, thanks to Dr. Peter Wolfe.

Rk	Team	Conf	Conf Rk	G	MOV	SOS	SRS	REC
1	Alabama	SEC	1	6	27.6	43.8	71.4	6-0
2	Oklahoma	B12	1	5	21.5	46.3	67.8	4-1
3	Texas Tech	B12	2	6	18.8	44.2	63	5-1
4	South Carolina	SEC	2	7	19.3	43.4	62.7	6-1
5	Kansas St	B12	3	6	20	41.3	61.3	6-0
7	Notre Dame	IND	--	6	16.2	44.6	60.8	6-0
6	Oregon	P12	1	6	25.8	35.1	60.8	6-0
8	Texas A&M	SEC	3	6	19.3	41	60.3	5-1
9	Florida	SEC	4	6	15.1	44.4	59.4	6-0
10	Arizona St	P12	2	6	21.2	35.8	57	5-1
11	Georgia	SEC	5	6	14.5	41.2	55.7	5-1
12	Texas	B12	4	6	8.2	47.4	55.5	4-2
13	Florida St	ACC	1	7	25.1	29.3	54.4	6-1
14	LSU	SEC	6	7	14.5	39.8	54.3	6-1
15	Michigan	B10	1	6	12	42	54	4-2
16	Iowa St	B12	5	6	6.8	47.2	53.9	4-2
17	Ohio State	B10	2	7	14.2	39.5	53.7	7-0
18	Oregon St	P12	3	5	9.6	44	53.6	5-0
19	Southern Cal	P12	4	6	12.8	39.7	52.6	5-1
21	West Virginia	B12	6	6	8	44.2	52.2	5-1
20	Stanford	P12	5	6	4.8	47.4	52.2	4-2
22	Utah St	WAC	1	7	13.1	37.2	50.2	5-2
25	North Carolina	ACC	2	7	16.3	32.5	48.8	5-2
24	Mississippi	SEC	7	7	4.4	44.3	48.8	4-3
23	Louisiana Tech	WAC	2	6	13.3	35.6	48.8	5-1
26	Clemson	ACC	3	6	12.9	35.7	48.7	5-1
27	Wisconsin	B10	3	7	7.8	40.7	48.5	5-2
28	TCU	B12	7	6	15.7	32.5	48.2	5-1
29	Louisiana-Monroe	Sun	1	6	12.3	35.5	47.9	4-2
30	Baylor	B12	8	5	4.7	43.1	47.8	3-2
31	UCLA	P12	6	7	8.6	39	47.6	5-2
32	Fresno St	MWC	1	7	10.6	36.8	47.4	4-3
33	Boise St	MWC	2	6	9.6	37.5	47.1	5-1
34	Oklahoma St	B12	9	5	13.3	33.7	47	3-2
35	Mississippi St	SEC	8	6	16.3	30.2	46.6	6-0
36	Tulsa	CUS	1	7	12.9	33.3	46.2	6-1
37	California	P12	7	7	1.6	44.6	46.2	3-4
38	Arizona	P12	8	6	2.4	43.7	46.1	3-3
39	Missouri	SEC	9	7	-3.9	49.8	46	3-4
40	Cincinnati	BgE	1	5	19.4	26.5	45.9	5-0
41	Nebraska	B10	4	6	10.8	35.1	45.8	4-2
42	Brigham Young	IND	--	7	8.6	37	45.7	4-3
43	Northwestern	B10	5	7	8.9	36.2	45.1	6-1
45	Penn State	B10	6	6	9.1	35.9	45	4-2
44	Northern Illinois	MAC	1	7	14.9	30.2	45	6-1
46	Rutgers	BgE	2	6	13.8	30.9	44.7	6-0
47	Michigan St	B10	7	7	3.4	41.1	44.5	4-3
48	San José St	WAC	3	6	6.8	37.4	44.3	4-2
49	Louisville	BgE	3	6	12.8	31.5	44.2	6-0
50	Central Florida	CUS	2	6	8.1	35.6	43.7	4-2
51	Western Kentucky	Sun	2	6	9.2	34.3	43.5	5-1
52	Iowa	B10	8	6	3.8	39.6	43.4	4-2
53	Purdue	B10	9	6	2.3	40.9	43.2	3-3
54	Washington	P12	9	6	-4.1	47.3	43.2	3-3
55	Tennessee	SEC	10	6	4.6	38.5	43.1	3-3
56	Nevada	MWC	3	7	11.1	31.2	42.4	6-1
58	North Carolina St	ACC	4	6	6.1	36.2	42.3	4-2
57	Arkansas	SEC	11	7	-2.8	45.1	42.3	3-4
59	Vanderbilt	SEC	12	6	-2.9	44.5	41.6	2-4
61	Miami FL	ACC	5	7	-2.2	43.3	41.1	4-3
60	San Diego St	MWC	4	7	8.9	32.2	41.1	4-3
62	Temple	BgE	4	5	4	37	41	3-2
63	Louisiana-Lafayette	Sun	3	5	12.9	28.1	41	4-1
64	Utah	P12	10	6	-3.6	44.2	40.6	2-4
65	Minnesota	B10	10	6	4	35.9	39.9	4-2
66	Virginia Tech	ACC	6	7	6	33.8	39.8	4-3
67	Indiana	B10	11	6	1.2	37.7	38.9	2-4
68	Troy	Sun	4	6	2.3	35.9	38.3	3-3
69	South Florida	BgE	5	6	-3	41.1	38.1	2-4
70	East Carolina	CUS	3	7	0.3	37.8	38.1	4-3
71	Toledo	MAC	2	7	8.4	29.3	37.7	6-1
72	Houston	CUS	4	6	0.7	36.9	37.6	3-3
73	Middle Tennessee St	Sun	5	6	6.2	31.2	37.4	4-2
74	Maryland	ACC	7	6	2.5	34.8	37.3	4-2
75	Duke	ACC	8	7	7.4	29.8	37.3	5-2
76	New Mexico	MWC	5	7	2	35.2	37.2	4-3
77	Ohio U.	MAC	3	7	13.2	23.8	37	7-0
78	Auburn	SEC	13	6	-11.2	48.1	36.9	1-5
79	Kent St	MAC	4	6	8.8	27.8	36.6	5-1
80	Syracuse	BgE	6	6	-4.3	40.5	36.2	2-4
81	Georgia Tech	ACC	9	6	3.5	32.6	36.1	2-4
82	Ball St	MAC	5	7	-1.1	37.2	36.1	4-3
83	SMU	CUS	5	6	-3.1	38.9	35.8	2-4
84	Connecticut	BgE	7	7	1.3	33.8	35.1	3-4
85	Air Force	MWC	6	6	5.4	29	34.4	3-3
87	Alabama-Birmingham	CUS	6	6	-8.3	42.5	34.2	1-5
86	Kentucky	SEC	14	7	-13.7	47.9	34.2	1-6
89	Kansas	B12	10	6	-9.9	43.9	34	1-5
88	Texas St-San Marcos	WAC	4	6	-3.1	37	34	3-3
91	Marshall	CUS	7	6	-3.4	36.2	32.8	2-4
90	Navy	IND	--	6	-1.8	34.6	32.8	3-3
92	Pittsburgh	BgE	8	6	-0.5	33.2	32.7	2-4
93	Bowling Green	MAC	6	7	4.1	28.5	32.6	4-3
94	Western Michigan	MAC	7	7	1.6	30.9	32.6	3-4
96	UTEP	CUS	8	7	-11.3	43.3	32	1-6
95	Washington St	P12	11	7	-9.8	41.8	32	2-5
97	Arkansas St	Sun	6	7	1.2	30.6	31.9	4-3
98	Boston College	ACC	10	6	-7.1	38.8	31.7	1-5
99	Wyoming	MWC	7	6	-6.3	37.5	31.2	1-5
100	Virginia	ACC	11	7	-9.4	39.8	30.4	2-5
101	North Texas	Sun	7	6	-5.3	35.3	29.9	2-4
103	Illinois	B10	12	7	-11.6	40.6	29	2-5
102	UNLV	MWC	8	7	-10.9	39.9	29	1-6
104	Wake Forest	ACC	12	6	-7.4	35.9	28.4	3-3
105	Florida Atlantic	Sun	8	6	-14.4	42.6	28.1	1-5
106	Rice	CUS	9	7	-7.6	34.7	27.1	2-5
107	Southern Miss	CUS	10	6	-16.8	43.7	27	0-6
108	Buffalo	MAC	8	6	-10.8	36.5	25.7	1-5
109	Colorado St	MWC	9	7	-15.1	40.3	25.1	1-6
110	Florida Int'l	Sun	9	7	-12.2	37	24.8	1-6
111	Akron	MAC	9	7	-6.6	30.5	24	1-6
112	Central Michigan	MAC	10	6	-12.4	35.8	23.4	2-4
113	Miami OH	MAC	11	7	-11.1	34.4	23.3	3-4
114	Colorado	P12	12	6	-16	37.8	21.8	1-5
115	Texas-San Antonio	WAC	5	6	14.1	7.3	21.4	5-1
116	Army	IND	--	6	-14	35.2	21.2	1-5
117	Tulane	CUS	11	6	-23.4	44.1	20.6	1-5
118	Eastern Michigan	MAC	12	6	-17.6	38.2	20.6	0-6
119	South Alabama	Sun	10	6	-11.5	32.1	20.6	1-5
120	Memphis	CUS	12	6	-12.8	33.2	20.4	1-5
121	Hawai`i	MWC	10	6	-18	38.1	20.1	1-5
122	New Mexico St	WAC	6	6	-9.3	27.2	17.9	1-5
123	Idaho	WAC	7	7	-18.8	36.3	17.6	1-6
124	Massachusetts	MAC	13	6	-23.7	36.8	13.1	0-6

And the game-by-game week 7 results:

Rk	Tm	PF	Opp	PA	H/A	W/L	diff	MOV	CON	CON	SOS	SRS
1	Oklahoma	63	Texas	21	N	W	42	33	B12	B12	55.5	88.5
2	Texas Tech	49	West Virginia	14	H	W	35	28	B12	B12	52.2	80.2
3	Alabama	42	Missouri	10	R	W	32	29.5	SEC	SEC	46	75.5
4	TCU	49	Baylor	21	R	W	28	27.5	B12	B12	47.8	75.3
5	Utah St	49	San José St	27	R	W	22	24.5	WAC	WAC	44.3	68.8
6	Wisconsin	38	Purdue	14	R	W	24	25.5	B10	B10	43.2	68.7
7	Oregon St	42	Brigham Young	24	R	W	18	21	P12	IND	45.7	66.7
8	Arkansas	49	Kentucky	7	H	W	42	31.5	SEC	SEC	34.2	65.7
9	Florida St	51	Boston College	7	H	W	44	32.5	ACC	ACC	31.7	64.2
10	Kansas St	27	Iowa St	21	R	W	6	9	B12	B12	53.9	62.9
11	LSU	23	South Carolina	21	H	W	2	0	SEC	SEC	62.7	62.7
12	Michigan	45	Illinois	0	H	W	45	33	B10	B10	29	62
13	Notre Dame	20	Stanford	13	H	W	7	7	IND	P12	52.2	59.2
14	Florida	31	Vanderbilt	17	R	W	14	17	SEC	SEC	41.6	58.6
15	Northern Illinois	45	Buffalo	3	H	W	42	31.5	MAC	MAC	25.7	57.2
16	Southern Cal	24	Washington	14	R	W	10	13	P12	P12	43.2	56.2
17	Texas A&M	59	Louisiana Tech	57	N	W	2	7	SEC	WAC	48.8	55.8
18	Virginia Tech	41	Duke	20	H	W	21	18	ACC	ACC	37.3	55.3
19	Mississippi	41	Auburn	20	H	W	21	18	SEC	SEC	36.9	54.9
20	Boise St	20	Fresno St	10	H	W	10	7	MWC	MWC	47.4	54.4
21	South Carolina	21	LSU	23	R	L	-2	0	SEC	SEC	54.3	54.3
22	Stanford	13	Notre Dame	20	R	L	-7	-7	P12	IND	60.8	53.8
23	Louisiana Tech	57	Texas A&M	59	N	L	-2	-7	WAC	SEC	60.3	53.3
24	Houston	39	Alabama-Birmingham	17	H	W	22	19	CUS	CUS	34.2	53.2
25	Arizona St	51	Colorado	17	R	W	34	30.5	P12	P12	21.8	52.3
26	Iowa St	21	Kansas St	27	H	L	-6	-9	B12	B12	61.3	52.3
27	Iowa	19	Michigan St	16	R	W	3	7	B10	B10	44.5	51.5
28	Tulsa	33	UTEP	11	H	W	22	19	CUS	CUS	32	51
29	Northwestern	21	Minnesota	13	R	W	8	11	B10	B10	39.9	50.9
30	Mississippi St	41	Tennessee	31	H	W	10	7	SEC	SEC	43.1	50.1
31	California	31	Washington St	17	R	W	14	17	P12	P12	32	49
32	North Carolina	18	Miami FL	14	R	W	4	7	ACC	ACC	41.1	48.1
33	East Carolina	41	Memphis	7	H	W	34	27.5	CUS	CUS	20.4	47.9
34	UCLA	21	Utah	14	H	W	7	7	P12	P12	40.6	47.6
35	Cincinnati	49	Fordham	17	H	W	32	26.5	BgE	fcs	21	47.5
36	Indiana	49	Ohio State	52	H	L	-3	-7	B10	B10	53.7	46.7
37	Western Kentucky	31	Troy	26	R	W	5	8	Sun	Sun	38.3	46.3
38	Louisiana-Monroe	35	Florida Atlantic	14	H	W	21	18	Sun	Sun	28.1	46.1
39	San Diego St	38	Colorado St	14	H	W	24	21	MWC	MWC	25.1	46.1
40	Ohio State	52	Indiana	49	R	W	3	7	B10	B10	38.9	45.9
41	Louisville	45	Pittsburgh	35	R	W	10	13	BgE	BgE	32.7	45.7
42	Bowling Green	37	Miami OH	12	H	W	25	22	MAC	MAC	23.3	45.3
43	Navy	31	Central Michigan	13	R	W	18	21	IND	MAC	23.4	44.4
44	Texas St-San Marcos	38	Idaho	7	H	W	31	26	WAC	WAC	17.6	43.6
45	Rutgers	23	Syracuse	15	H	W	8	7	BgE	BgE	36.2	43.2
46	Oklahoma St	20	Kansas	14	R	W	6	9	B12	B12	34	43
47	Vanderbilt	17	Florida	31	H	L	-14	-17	SEC	SEC	59.4	42.4
48	Temple	17	Connecticut	14	R	W	3	7	BgE	BgE	35.1	42.1
49	Missouri	10	Alabama	42	H	L	-32	-29.5	SEC	SEC	71.4	41.9
50	Miami FL	14	North Carolina	18	H	L	-4	-7	ACC	ACC	48.8	41.8
51	Utah	14	UCLA	21	R	L	-7	-7	P12	P12	47.6	40.6
52	Maryland	27	Virginia	20	R	W	7	10	ACC	ACC	30.4	40.4
53	Fresno St	10	Boise St	20	R	L	-10	-7	MWC	MWC	47.1	40.1
54	Ball St	30	Western Michigan	24	H	W	6	7	MAC	MAC	32.6	39.6
55	Washington	14	Southern Cal	24	H	L	-10	-13	P12	P12	52.6	39.6
56	Tennessee	31	Mississippi St	41	R	L	-10	-7	SEC	SEC	46.6	39.6
57	Rice	34	Texas-San Antonio	14	H	W	20	17	CUS	WAC	21.4	38.4
58	Air Force	28	Wyoming	27	R	W	1	7	MWC	MWC	31.2	38.2
59	Kent St	31	Army	17	R	W	14	17	MAC	IND	21.2	38.2
60	Kansas	14	Oklahoma St	20	H	L	-6	-9	B12	B12	47	38
61	Syracuse	15	Rutgers	23	R	L	-8	-7	BgE	BgE	44.7	37.7
62	Nevada	42	UNLV	37	R	W	5	8	MWC	MWC	29	37
63	Southern Miss	31	Central Florida	38	R	L	-7	-7	CUS	CUS	43.7	36.7
64	Michigan St	16	Iowa	19	H	L	-3	-7	B10	B10	43.4	36.4
65	Tulane	27	SMU	26	H	W	1	0	CUS	CUS	35.8	35.8
66	Troy	26	Western Kentucky	31	H	L	-5	-8	Sun	Sun	43.5	35.5
67	New Mexico	35	Hawai`i	23	R	W	12	15	MWC	MWC	20.1	35.1
68	West Virginia	14	Texas Tech	49	R	L	-35	-28	B12	B12	63	35
69	Texas	21	Oklahoma	63	N	L	-42	-33	B12	B12	67.8	34.8
70	UNLV	37	Nevada	42	H	L	-5	-8	MWC	MWC	42.4	34.4
71	Minnesota	13	Northwestern	21	H	L	-8	-11	B10	B10	45.1	34.1
72	Connecticut	14	Temple	17	H	L	-3	-7	BgE	BgE	41	34
73	Central Florida	38	Southern Miss	31	H	W	7	7	CUS	CUS	27	34
74	Brigham Young	24	Oregon St	42	H	L	-18	-21	IND	P12	53.6	32.6
75	Middle Tennessee St	34	Florida Int'l	30	R	W	4	7	Sun	Sun	24.8	31.8
76	Pittsburgh	35	Louisville	45	H	L	-10	-13	BgE	BgE	44.2	31.2
77	Ohio U.	34	Akron	28	H	W	6	7	MAC	MAC	24	31
78	Auburn	20	Mississippi	41	R	L	-21	-18	SEC	SEC	48.8	30.8
79	Florida Int'l	30	Middle Tennessee St	34	H	L	-4	-7	Sun	Sun	37.4	30.4
80	Akron	28	Ohio U.	34	R	L	-6	-7	MAC	MAC	37	30
81	Florida Atlantic	14	Louisiana-Monroe	35	R	L	-21	-18	Sun	Sun	47.9	29.9
82	Eastern Michigan	47	Toledo	52	H	L	-5	-8	MAC	MAC	37.7	29.7
83	Washington St	17	California	31	H	L	-14	-17	P12	P12	46.2	29.2
84	Western Michigan	24	Ball St	30	R	L	-6	-7	MAC	MAC	36.1	29.1
85	Toledo	52	Eastern Michigan	47	R	W	5	8	MAC	MAC	20.6	28.6
86	Arkansas St	36	South Alabama	29	H	W	7	7	Sun	Sun	20.6	27.6
87	Wyoming	27	Air Force	28	H	L	-1	-7	MWC	MWC	34.4	27.4
88	Virginia	20	Maryland	27	H	L	-7	-10	ACC	ACC	37.3	27.3
89	UTEP	11	Tulsa	33	R	L	-22	-19	CUS	CUS	46.2	27.2
90	Colorado	17	Arizona St	51	H	L	-34	-30.5	P12	P12	57	26.5
91	San José St	27	Utah St	49	H	L	-22	-24.5	WAC	WAC	50.2	25.7
92	South Alabama	29	Arkansas St	36	R	L	-7	-7	Sun	Sun	31.9	24.9
93	Purdue	14	Wisconsin	38	H	L	-24	-25.5	B10	B10	48.5	23
94	Hawai`i	23	New Mexico	35	H	L	-12	-15	MWC	MWC	37.2	22.2
95	Boston College	7	Florida St	51	R	L	-44	-32.5	ACC	ACC	54.4	21.9
96	Duke	20	Virginia Tech	41	R	L	-21	-18	ACC	ACC	39.8	21.8
97	Illinois	0	Michigan	45	R	L	-45	-33	B10	B10	54	21
98	Baylor	21	TCU	49	H	L	-28	-27.5	B12	B12	48.2	20.7
99	SMU	26	Tulane	27	R	L	-1	0	CUS	CUS	20.6	20.6
100	Colorado St	14	San Diego St	38	R	L	-24	-21	MWC	MWC	41.1	20.1
101	Army	17	Kent St	31	H	L	-14	-17	IND	MAC	36.6	19.6
102	Alabama-Birmingham	17	Houston	39	R	L	-22	-19	CUS	CUS	37.6	18.6
103	Buffalo	3	Northern Illinois	45	R	L	-42	-31.5	MAC	MAC	45	13.5
104	Central Michigan	13	Navy	31	H	L	-18	-21	MAC	IND	32.8	11.8
105	Kentucky	7	Arkansas	49	R	L	-42	-31.5	SEC	SEC	42.3	10.8
106	Miami OH	12	Bowling Green	37	R	L	-25	-22	MAC	MAC	32.6	10.6
107	Memphis	7	East Carolina	41	R	L	-34	-27.5	CUS	CUS	38.1	10.6
108	Texas-San Antonio	14	Rice	34	R	L	-20	-17	WAC	CUS	27.1	10.1
109	Idaho	7	Texas St-San Marcos	38	R	L	-31	-26	WAC	WAC	34	8

Oklahoma comes in with the best score of the season after a thrasing of a previously-thought-to-be-good Texas team at the Cotton Bowl. Similarly, Texas Tech’s wind-aided thrashing of West Virginia’s in Lubbock vaults the Red Raiders in the SRS, while Dana Holgorsen will may enjoy some cheese with his whine.
In a challenge only mildly more difficult than chewing gum and walking at the same time, Alabama crushed Missouri 42-10 in a game that wasn’t even that close. The Crimson Tide were up 28-0 midway through the 2nd quarter when the game was delayed by lightning; in the first play after the break, the Tigers returned a kickoff for a touchdown. Otherwise, this was a typical Alabama burial.
In the ACC, Florida State rebounded with a win over hapless Boston College, while North Carolina edged out Miami for a big win in the Coastal Division. The Tar Heels are now the frontrunners to face FSU in the ACC Championship Game, as they have already defeated Virginia Tech.
The Big 10 had another ugly weekend. Michigan State lost to Iowa and Ohio State barely defeated Indiana. The Wolverines are starting to look like the class of the conference (eligible division), as their only two losses have come to undefeated Alabama and Notre Dame.
Amazingly, three Big East teams are still undefeated: Cincinnati, Rutgers and Louisville all won again this weekend, although the SRS ranks all three teams in the 40s. The three-game round robin between those teams should be interesting to watch this year, by Big East standards.
In the SEC, Arkansas played like a preseason top-10 team in a 49-7 thrashing over Kentucky. The big story was the return of LSU to the national championship picture, although the Tigers won’t have it easy this weekend in College Station.
With Oregon off, it was an unevenful weekend for the Pac-12. Stanford nearly defeated Notre Dame, and only a questionable call prevented the game from going into another overtime. Oregon State got a big win against BYU, but otherwise, the conference lacks sizzle. USC won by only 10 in Washington, which doesn’t inspire hope for their chances the rest of the way. The SRS loves Ariona State — I’m less convinced — but we’ll find out a lot more on Thursday, when Oregon travels to Tempe.

Tagged as: NCAA SRS

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