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Week 11 College Football SRS Ratings

Johnny Football, with his shirt on (for now).

For the second straight season, the game of the year took place in Tuscaloosa. A week after Alabama eeked out a victory over LSU, and 53 weeks after Alabama loss to LSU in last year’s “Game of the Century”, Johnny Manziel produced one of the performances of the season in leading Texas A&M to an incredible upset victory. I have been a believer in the Aggies — they ranked 4th in my SRS ratings last week and remain there this week — but make no mistake, this was still an incredible upset. For a true freshman, on the road, against a Nick Saban defense, to go 24/31 for 253 yards and 2 TDs and to run 18 times for 92 yards is outstanding.

For now, the upset means we’re likely headed towards an SEC-free national championship game. This will anger some in the South, so I’ll take this time to remind you that the SEC’s record this year against the other BCS conferences is an incredibly dominant 4-5. Yes, the SEC has a losing record against the other top conferences in college football in 2011.

The bottom of the SEC has struggled considerably both in and out of conference — Auburn lost to Clemson, Vanderbilt to Northwestern, Kentucky to Louisville (and also to Western Kentucky), Ole Miss to Texas, and Arkansas to Rutgers (and also Louisiana-Lafayette). The positive side of the ledger isn’t all that impressive, unfortunately. Sure, Tennessee beat N.C. State, which would be impressive if not for the fact that the Wolfpack are 68th in the SRS. Yes, LSU beat Washington at home, but it’s LSU against the 8th best team in the Pac-12. Missouri over Arizona State and Alabama over Michigan are basically the two nonconference games the SEC can hang its hat on.

If Oregon wins out, they seem assured of getting one of the two golden tickets to Miami. Who will get the other? Obviously an undefeated Kansas State or Notre Dame would take one of the other spots. For now, K-State is ahead in the polls and the BCS standings, and gets the benefit of playing a streaking Texas team after the Fighting Irish have hung up their cleats for the year. According to the BCS Guru, Notre Dame is the clear third wheel.

But what if both Kansas State and Notre Dame lose? At that point, a one-loss SEC Champ — presumably Alabama — likely rises to number two. To that end, Alabama’s biggest friend right now is Lane Kiffin, who could knock off both Oregon and Notre Dame if USC wins out, setting up a Kansas State-Alabama title game.

And with that, a look college football’s SRS ratings after 11 weeks:

RkTeamConfConfRkGMOVSOSSRSREC
1AlabamaSEC1102246.668.59-1
2OregonP1211026.641.167.710-0
3Kansas StB1211020.74464.710-0
4Texas A&MSEC21017.745.663.28-2
5OklahomaB122916.244.961.17-2
6FloridaSEC31012.448.160.59-1
7Notre DameIND--1013.545.358.810-0
8GeorgiaSEC4101642.658.59-1
9LSUSEC5101245.657.58-2
10South CarolinaSEC61012.34557.38-2
11Southern CalP1221011.444.555.87-3
12Florida StACC11023.232.655.79-1
13Oregon StP12396.648.855.47-2
14StanfordP1241010.244.9558-2
15TexasB123109.844.754.58-2
16ClemsonACC21018.336.154.49-1
17Oklahoma StB124912.341.653.96-3
18Ohio StateB1011014.73953.710-0
19UCLAP1251011.741.3538-2
20Utah StWAC11017.435.452.88-2
21WisconsinB1021010.741.251.97-3
22Arizona StP126107.144.851.85-5
23Texas TechB125108.942.951.87-3
24MichiganB103109.342.351.67-3
25Brigham YoungIND--1011.639.250.86-4
26NebraskaB104109.74150.78-2
27Fresno StMWC1111535.650.68-3
28ArizonaP127102.646.649.26-4
29BaylorB12692.545.447.94-5
30Boise StMWC21013.334.547.88-2
31Northern IllinoisMAC11019.228.547.79-1
32Penn StateB105108.439.147.56-4
33MissouriSEC710-0.747.847.15-5
34WashingtonP12810-2.649.747.16-4
35TCUB127105.94146.96-4
36Iowa StB12810-0.847.646.95-5
37San José StWAC21013.83346.88-2
38Mississippi StSEC8106.140.646.67-3
39UtahP129100.346.246.44-6
40Louisiana TechWAC31015.930.446.39-1
41Michigan StB106102.443.846.15-5
42NorthwesternB107105.640.4467-3
43CincinnatiBgE1913.732.245.97-2
44MississippiSEC9100.745.145.85-5
45Central FloridaCUS11013.432.445.78-2
46VanderbiltSEC10106.239.545.66-4
47San Diego StMWC3119.135.544.78-3
48TulsaCUS21012.131.843.98-2
49West VirginiaB1299-1.245.143.95-4
50North CarolinaACC3101033.743.76-4
51TennesseeSEC1110-0.243.843.64-6
52RutgersBgE2912.430.743.28-1
53LouisvilleBgE3108.534.342.89-1
54SyracuseBgE4101.540.842.35-5
55ArkansasSEC1210-3.545.441.94-6
56Georgia TechACC4105.736.241.95-5
57Miami FLACC510-1.743.441.85-5
58CaliforniaP121011-6.848.141.33-8
59Louisiana-MonroeSun1105.435.540.96-4
60Arkansas StSun2107.433.440.77-3
61Louisiana-LafayetteSun394.935.640.55-4
62Kent StMAC21010.929.540.49-1
63PurdueB10810-2.642.439.84-6
64Virginia TechACC610039.539.54-6
65MinnesotaB109100.838.639.46-4
66ToledoMAC3106.43339.48-2
67IowaB101010-1.84139.24-6
68North Carolina StACC7103.635.539.16-4
69Ball StMAC4102.73638.77-3
70SMUCUS3103.63538.55-5
71PittsburghBgE5103.334.938.24-6
72IndianaB101110-1.438.737.34-6
73Western KentuckySun4103.933.437.36-4
74NevadaMWC4103.833.2376-4
75Middle Tennessee StSun593.133.936.96-3
76South FloridaBgE69-238.936.93-6
77NavyIND--101.734.936.66-4
78DukeACC810-1.137.336.26-4
79KansasB121010-13.149.236.11-9
80AuburnSEC1310-11.347.3362-8
81Bowling GreenMAC5108.727.135.87-3
82TroySun6100.734.435.15-5
83Ohio U.MAC61010.424.534.98-2
84East CarolinaCUS4100.234.434.56-4
85VirginiaACC910-4.838.7344-6
86Washington StP121110-11.945.833.92-8
87Air ForceMWC5102.131.333.35-5
88KentuckySEC1410-15.847.832.11-9
89Boston CollegeACC1010-8.940.631.82-8
90Western MichiganMAC711-1.132.731.64-7
91ConnecticutBgE710-1.733.231.54-6
92MarylandACC1110-4.335.431.14-6
93Florida AtlanticSun710-7.538.330.93-7
94Texas St-San MarcosWAC49-6.937.330.33-6
95HoustonCUS510-6.236.530.34-6
96UTEPCUS610-8.93930.12-8
97WyomingMWC610-7.337.2303-7
98MarshallCUS710-2.231.929.84-6
99RiceCUS810-2.932.629.74-6
100North TexasSun810-5.33529.74-6
101UNLVMWC711-9.138.429.32-9
102TempleBgE89-9.138.329.33-6
103New MexicoMWC811-4.133.429.24-7
104Alabama-BirminghamCUS910-4.933.9293-7
105Wake ForestACC1210-7.936.828.95-5
106Colorado StMWC910-8.637.528.93-7
107Florida Int'lSun910-8.635.927.42-8
108IllinoisB101210-14.141.327.22-8
109BuffaloMAC810-8.335.3273-7
110Central MichiganMAC910-7.833.525.84-6
111ArmyIND--10-10.335.825.52-8
112Miami OHMAC1010-9.73525.34-6
113ColoradoP121210-22.74724.41-9
114Texas-San AntonioWAC5101.422.824.26-4
115South AlabamaSun1010-9.832.422.62-8
116MemphisCUS1010-1233.9222-8
117AkronMAC1111-10.131.421.31-10
118Eastern MichiganMAC1210-1535.9211-9
119TulaneCUS1110-15.936.420.52-8
120Hawai`iMWC109-19.939.619.71-8
121Southern MissCUS1210-19.138.619.50-10
122New Mexico StWAC610-16.234.218.11-9
123IdahoWAC710-22.139.417.31-9
124MassachusettsMAC1310-2336.313.31-9

The top 5 remained the same this week, although Oregon is now less than one point away from passing Alabama. Notre Dame, with another style points-free victory remains at 7 in the SRS ratings. Kansas State, despite not being a “sexy” team, is legit and remains at #3 in the SRS.

The table below shows this week’s results:

RkDateTm_ConfPFOppPAH/RW/LDiffMOVOpp_ConfSOSSRS
111-10-2012Texas A&M_SEC29Alabama24RoadWin58SEC68.576.5
211-10-2012Oregon_P1259California17RoadWin4234.5P1241.375.8
311-10-2012Wisconsin_B1062Indiana14RoadWin4837.5B1037.374.8
411-10-2012Texas_B1233Iowa St7HomeWin2623B1246.969.9
511-10-2012Southern Cal_P1238Arizona St17HomeWin2118P1251.869.8
611-10-2012Georgia_SEC38Auburn0RoadWin3832.5SEC3668.5
711-10-2012Georgia Tech_ACC68North Carolina50RoadWin1821ACC43.764.7
811-10-2012LSU_SEC37Mississippi St17HomeWin2017SEC46.663.6
911-10-2012Kansas St_B1223TCU10RoadWin1316B1246.962.9
1011-10-2012Washington_P1234Utah15HomeWin1916P1246.462.4
1111-10-2012Stanford_P1227Oregon St23HomeWin47P1255.462.4
1211-10-2012Oklahoma St_B1255West Virginia34HomeWin2118B1243.961.9
1311-10-2012Tulsa_CUS41Houston7RoadWin3430.5CUS30.360.8
1411-08-2012Arkansas St_Sun45Louisiana-Monroe23HomeWin2219Sun40.959.9
1511-10-2012Clemson_ACC45Maryland10HomeWin3528ACC31.159.1
1611-10-2012Syracuse_BgE45Louisville26HomeWin1916BgE42.858.8
1711-10-2012South Carolina_SEC38Arkansas20HomeWin1815SEC41.956.9
1811-10-2012Fresno St_MWC52Nevada36RoadWin1619MWC3756
1911-10-2012Alabama_SEC24Texas A&M29HomeLoss-5-8SEC63.255.2
2011-10-2012North Carolina St_ACC37Wake Forest6HomeWin3126ACC28.954.9
2111-10-2012Oklahoma_B1242Baylor34HomeWin87B1247.954.9
2211-10-2012Cincinnati_BgE34Temple10RoadWin2425.5BgE29.354.8
2311-10-2012Nebraska_B1032Penn State23HomeWin97B1047.554.5
2411-10-2012Baylor_B1234Oklahoma42RoadLoss-8-7B1261.154.1
2511-10-2012Louisiana-Lafayette_Sun20Florida27RoadLoss-7-7SEC60.553.5
2611-10-2012Michigan_B1038Northwestern31HomeWin77B104653
2711-10-2012Vanderbilt_SEC27Mississippi26RoadWin17SEC45.852.8
2811-10-2012San José St_WAC47New Mexico St7RoadWin4033.5WAC18.151.6
2911-10-2012Boise St_MWC49Hawai`i14RoadWin3531MWC19.750.7
3011-10-2012Missouri_SEC51Tennessee48RoadWin37SEC43.650.6
3111-07-2012Bowling Green_MAC26Ohio U.14RoadWin1215MAC34.949.9
3211-10-2012Notre Dame_IND21Boston College6RoadWin1518ACC31.849.8
3311-06-2012Ball St_MAC34Toledo27RoadWin710MAC39.449.4
3411-10-2012San Diego St_MWC28Air Force9HomeWin1916MWC33.349.3
3511-10-2012Florida Atlantic_Sun37Western Kentucky28RoadWin912Sun37.349.3
3611-10-2012TCU_B1210Kansas St23HomeLoss-13-16B1264.748.7
3711-08-2012Florida St_ACC28Virginia Tech22RoadWin69ACC39.548.5
3811-10-2012Colorado St_MWC33UNLV11HomeWin2219MWC29.348.3
3911-10-2012Oregon St_P1223Stanford27RoadLoss-4-7P125548
4011-10-2012Florida_SEC27Louisiana-Lafayette20HomeWin77Sun40.547.5
4111-10-2012Brigham Young_IND52Idaho13HomeWin3930WAC17.347.3
4211-08-2012Virginia Tech_ACC22Florida St28HomeLoss-6-9ACC55.746.7
4311-10-2012Arizona_P1256Colorado31HomeWin2522P1224.446.4
4411-10-2012Purdue_B1027Iowa24RoadWin37B1039.246.2
4511-09-2012Connecticut_BgE24Pittsburgh17HomeWin77BgE38.245.2
4611-10-2012UCLA_P1244Washington St36RoadWin811P1233.944.9
4711-10-2012Kansas_B1234Texas Tech41RoadLoss-7-7B1251.844.8
4811-10-2012Northwestern_B1031Michigan38RoadLoss-7-7B1051.644.6
4911-10-2012Kent St_MAC48Miami OH32RoadWin1619MAC25.344.3
5011-10-2012Minnesota_B1017Illinois3RoadWin1417B1027.244.2
5111-10-2012SMU_CUS34Southern Miss6HomeWin2824.5CUS19.544
5211-10-2012Penn State_B1023Nebraska32RoadLoss-9-7B1050.743.7
5311-10-2012Troy_Sun41Navy31HomeWin107IND36.643.6
5411-10-2012Rutgers_BgE28Army7HomeWin2118IND25.543.5
5511-10-2012Texas Tech_B1241Kansas34HomeWin77B1236.143.1
5611-10-2012Arkansas_SEC20South Carolina38RoadLoss-18-15SEC57.342.3
5711-10-2012Washington St_P1236UCLA44HomeLoss-8-11P125342
5811-10-2012Virginia_ACC41Miami FL40HomeWin10ACC41.841.8
5911-10-2012Boston College_ACC6Notre Dame21HomeLoss-15-18IND58.840.8
6011-10-2012Mississippi St_SEC17LSU37RoadLoss-20-17SEC57.540.5
6111-10-2012Louisiana Tech_WAC62Texas St-San Marcos55RoadWin710WAC30.340.3
6211-10-2012Central Florida_CUS31UTEP24RoadWin710CUS30.140.1
6311-10-2012Tennessee_SEC48Missouri51HomeLoss-3-7SEC47.140.1
6411-10-2012Mississippi_SEC26Vanderbilt27HomeLoss-1-7SEC45.638.6
6511-10-2012Buffalo_MAC29Western Michigan24HomeWin57MAC31.638.6
6611-10-2012Arizona St_P1217Southern Cal38RoadLoss-21-18P1255.837.8
6711-10-2012Wyoming_MWC28New Mexico23RoadWin58MWC29.237.2
6811-10-2012Alabama-Birmingham_CUS38Marshall31HomeWin77CUS29.836.8
6911-10-2012Texas St-San Marcos_WAC55Louisiana Tech62HomeLoss-7-10WAC46.336.3
7011-10-2012West Virginia_B1234Oklahoma St55RoadLoss-21-18B1253.935.9
7111-10-2012UTEP_CUS24Central Florida31HomeLoss-7-10CUS45.735.7
7211-10-2012Texas-San Antonio_WAC31McNeese St24HomeWin77fcs28.335.3
7311-10-2012Miami FL_ACC40Virginia41RoadLoss-10ACC3434
7411-10-2012California_P1217Oregon59HomeLoss-42-34.5P1267.733.2
7511-10-2012Iowa_B1024Purdue27HomeLoss-3-7B1039.832.8
7611-10-2012Massachusetts_MAC22Akron14RoadWin811MAC21.332.3
7711-10-2012Nevada_MWC36Fresno St52HomeLoss-16-19MWC50.631.6
7811-10-2012Memphis_CUS37Tulane23HomeWin1411CUS20.531.5
7911-10-2012Iowa St_B127Texas33RoadLoss-26-23B1254.531.5
8011-10-2012Utah_P1215Washington34RoadLoss-19-16P1247.131.1
8111-10-2012North Texas_Sun24South Alabama14HomeWin107Sun22.629.6
8211-06-2012Toledo_MAC27Ball St34HomeLoss-7-10MAC38.728.7
8311-10-2012Air Force_MWC9San Diego St28RoadLoss-19-16MWC44.728.7
8411-10-2012Navy_IND31Troy41RoadLoss-10-7Sun35.128.1
8511-10-2012Central Michigan_MAC34Eastern Michigan31RoadWin37MAC2128
8611-10-2012Colorado_P1231Arizona56RoadLoss-25-22P1249.227.2
8711-10-2012Maryland_ACC10Clemson45RoadLoss-35-28ACC54.426.4
8811-10-2012Louisville_BgE26Syracuse45RoadLoss-19-16BgE42.326.3
8911-10-2012Auburn_SEC0Georgia38HomeLoss-38-32.5SEC58.526
9011-10-2012Army_IND7Rutgers28RoadLoss-21-18BgE43.225.2
9111-09-2012Pittsburgh_BgE17Connecticut24RoadLoss-7-7BgE31.524.5
9211-10-2012South Alabama_Sun14North Texas24RoadLoss-10-7Sun29.722.7
9311-10-2012Illinois_B103Minnesota17HomeLoss-14-17B1039.422.4
9411-10-2012Marshall_CUS31Alabama-Birmingham38RoadLoss-7-7CUS2922
9511-10-2012New Mexico_MWC23Wyoming28HomeLoss-5-8MWC3022
9611-08-2012Louisiana-Monroe_Sun23Arkansas St45RoadLoss-22-19Sun40.721.7
9711-10-2012Miami OH_MAC32Kent St48HomeLoss-16-19MAC40.421.4
9811-10-2012North Carolina_ACC50Georgia Tech68HomeLoss-18-21ACC41.920.9
9911-07-2012Ohio U._MAC14Bowling Green26HomeLoss-12-15MAC35.820.8
10011-10-2012Idaho_WAC13Brigham Young52RoadLoss-39-30IND50.820.8
10111-10-2012Temple_BgE10Cincinnati34HomeLoss-24-25.5BgE45.920.4
10211-10-2012Western Michigan_MAC24Buffalo29RoadLoss-5-7MAC2720
10311-10-2012Western Kentucky_Sun28Florida Atlantic37HomeLoss-9-12Sun30.918.9
10411-10-2012Eastern Michigan_MAC31Central Michigan34HomeLoss-3-7MAC25.818.8
10511-10-2012McNeese St_fcs24Texas-San Antonio31RoadLoss-7-7WAC24.217.2
10611-10-2012Hawai`i_MWC14Boise St49HomeLoss-35-31MWC47.816.8
10711-10-2012Indiana_B1014Wisconsin62HomeLoss-48-37.5B1051.914.4
10811-10-2012Southern Miss_CUS6SMU34RoadLoss-28-24.5CUS38.514
10911-10-2012Houston_CUS7Tulsa41HomeLoss-34-30.5CUS43.913.4
11011-10-2012New Mexico St_WAC7San José St47HomeLoss-40-33.5WAC46.813.3
11111-10-2012Wake Forest_ACC6North Carolina St37RoadLoss-31-26ACC39.113.1
11211-10-2012Tulane_CUS23Memphis37RoadLoss-14-11CUS2211
11311-10-2012UNLV_MWC11Colorado St33RoadLoss-22-19MWC28.99.9
11411-10-2012Akron_MAC14Massachusetts22HomeLoss-8-11MAC13.32.3
  • In the Big 10 race that nobody cares about, Wisconsin and Nebraska secured key victories this weekend. With the win over Purdue, the Badgers clinched the Leaders Division title with Ohio State and Penn State both ineligible. Meanwhile, Nebraska controversially defeated Penn State, and now just needs to handle Minnesota and Iowa to win the Legends Division. The Cornhuskers could even have room for error if Ohio State defeats Michigan in two weeks.
  • No surprise to see A&M with the top score of of the week. Elsewhere in the SEC, Georgia and LSU took care of business against Auburn and Mississippi State. Gene Chizik’s Tigers somehow manage to look worse every week, and they haven’t even played Alabama yet. Meanwhile, Tennessee lost again, this time in overtime to Missouri. The Vols are still winless in SEC play.
  • In the key Pac-12 North matchup of the day, Stanford defeated Oregon State, 27-23. Next week, the Cardinal head to Eugene with a chance to win the Pac-12 and spoil their rivals’ season. In the late game of the evening, UCLA held off Washington State and now will host USC next week with the Pac-12 South title on the line.
  • Texas has quietly turned in back-to-back strong efforts, and now rates as the third best team in the Big 12. Assuming the Longhorns take care of business against TCU next week, their trip to Manhattan, Kansas on December 1st will be one of the most watched games of the season.
  • Congrats to Massachusetts, which defeated Akron to get its first win of the season. That leaves just Southern Miss as the lone winless team in the FBS, and the Golden Eagles didn’t look anywhere close to breaking that streak in an embarassing performance against SMU. Only games against Texas El-Paso and Memphis remain, although neither are particularly tall hurdles.
{ 7 comments }
  • Richie November 11, 2012, 11:17 pm

    Please no Notre Dame in the championship game. I’ll take anybody else. I really hoped Notre Dame was done being a National power forever.

    Reply
  • Neil November 12, 2012, 12:54 pm

    I want to run SRS on a division-by-division basis at some point, just to confirm that the ACC Coastal is indeed the worst division in the history of BCS conferences. Unreal that my Yellow Jackets are tied w/ Miami for 1st place, and could conceivably get into the ACC title game & theoretically make a BCS bowl 3 months after losing by a combined 45 points to Middle Tennessee State & BYU.

    Reply
    • George November 12, 2012, 5:44 pm

      Interesting point re: the ACC generally and the state of the division; and Jimbo Fisher’s comments on ESPN about the BCS/Computer rankings ruining the game and how FSU is ranked behind three, two loss teams.

      You only have to look at the fact that FSU and Clemson are the class of that conference and everyone else in the ACC are at best average (e.g. VT who they barely beat and NC State who they lost to are about mid table above – slightly below) and FSU also played two FCS teams to spot obvious flaws in the argument as to why they should be ranked above 10th in the BCS.

      Reply
  • Norwegian Blue November 13, 2012, 10:51 am

    The way things are looking, Georgia will beat Bama in Atlanta. If there are not two undefeated teams remaining at that point, it will be interesting to see if the Dawgs secure one of the top two spots. If so, I can already picture the non-SEC parts of the country totally freaking out (again).

    Reply
  • Matt November 15, 2012, 11:26 pm

    You will never be taken seriously. Oklahoma over ND, despite the fact that the Sooners lost to Irish, at home.

    Reply
    • Richie November 16, 2012, 1:47 am

      Yes, a rating system can only be valid if you can plug in past results that match the ratings.

      Reply

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