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The Best Passing Games of 2012 (NFL)

Even Watt couldn't slow down Rodgers and... Henne.

Even Watt couldn't slow down Rodgers and... Henne.

Yesterday, I presented my Rearview ANY/A ratings for quarterbacks and defenses in 2012. Strength of schedule adjustments are important — without it, Peyton Manning‘s numbers were tops in the league, but after the adjustments, Tom Brady moved into the number one slot. To create the season rankings, I had to come up with rankings for each quarterback and each defense in every game last season, so I figured I should present those results as well.

Using the same principles from yesterday’s post, the table below shows all games where a quarterback produced over 100 Adjusted Net Yards above average. You’re probably surprised to see that Chad Henne’s performance in Houston ranks as the single best passing game of 2012. There were only 64 pass plays of 60+ yards last season, but three of them came by Henne against the Texans. That game narrowly edged out Brady’s Thanksgiving Night performance against the Jets (overshadowed by Le Buttfumble), and a separate shredding of the Texans secondary, this time courtesy of Aaron Rodgers. You can click on the boxscore below to see the full PFR boxscore of each game. As always, the table is fully searchable and sortable, and you can click the arrows at the bottom to see more rows.

Rk
Quarterback
Tm
Opp
Boxscore
Cmpt/Att
Yd
TD/INT
Sk/Yd
ANY/A
SOS
Adj VAL
1Chad HenneJAXHOUBoxscore16/333544/01/612.590.17232
2Tom BradyNWENYJBoxscore18/273233/00/014.190.23229
3Aaron RodgersGNBHOUBoxscore24/373386/02/1011.490.17224
4Alex SmithSFOBUFBoxscore18/243033/00/015.13-0.48209
5Tom BradyNWESTLBoxscore23/353044/00/010.970.75203
6Drew BreesNORGNBBoxscore35/544463/02/178.730.63192
7Aaron RodgersGNBSTLBoxscore30/373423/03/109.80.75185
8Colin KaepernickSFOARIBoxscore16/282762/01/410.761.34179
9Colin KaepernickSFOCHIBoxscore16/232432/01/711.51.78176
10Aaron RodgersGNBCHIBoxscore23/362913/03/138.671.78176
11Tony RomoDALNORBoxscore26/434164/02/1010.8-1.05172
12Matt SchaubHOUDENBoxscore17/302904/11/610.291166
13Drew BreesNORCARBoxscore29/433964/12/189.180.41164
14Josh FreemanTAMNORBoxscore24/424203/02/910.7-1.05164
15Drew BreesNORTAMBoxscore27/373774/10/011.14-0.82162
16Tom BradyNWEHOUBoxscore21/352964/01/710.250.17162
17Russell WilsonSEACHIBoxscore23/372932/02/108.281.78161
18Alex SmithSFOARIBoxscore18/192323/04/2811.481.34159
19Jay CutlerCHISEABoxscore17/262332/00/010.51.52158
20Tom BradyNWEBUFBoxscore22/363403/01/710.62-0.48156
21Peyton ManningDENNORBoxscore22/303053/00/012.17-1.05156
22Andrew LuckINDMIABoxscore30/484332/01/149.37-0.3154
23Robert Griffin IIIWASPHIBoxscore14/152004/02/816-1.08153
24Jake LockerTENDETBoxscore29/423782/00/09.95-0.4152
25Matt RyanATLNYGBoxscore23/282703/01/511.21-0.05152
26Russell WilsonSEANWEBoxscore16/272933/02/1011.83-0.69151
27Tony RomoDALPHIBoxscore22/273033/02/912.21-1.08151
28Robert Griffin IIIWASNORBoxscore19/263202/02/1412.36-1.05151
29Andy DaltonCINWASBoxscore19/273283/12/1611.28-0.17150
30Joe FlaccoBALCINBoxscore21/292992/03/219.940.67150
31Tom BradyNWEINDBoxscore24/353313/00/011.17-1149
32Drew BreesNORDALBoxscore37/534463/00/09.55-0.82148
33Peyton ManningDENSDGBoxscore24/303093/10/010.80146
34Peyton ManningDENKANBoxscore23/293043/00/012.55-1.62145
35Brandon WeedenCLECINBoxscore26/373222/02/138.950.67144
36Aaron RodgersGNBTENBoxscore27/383423/01/810.1-0.48144
37Aaron RodgersGNBMINBoxscore28/403654/05/329.18-0.05144
38Eli ManningNYGPHIBoxscore13/212085/01/1113.5-1.08143
39Matt RyanATLDETBoxscore25/322794/01/810.64-0.4142
40Joe FlaccoBALNWEBoxscore28/393823/10/010.18-0.69139
41Eli ManningNYGGNBBoxscore16/302493/01/69.770.63139
42Tony RomoDALATLBoxscore25/353211/01/99.220.46135
43Tony RomoDALPITBoxscore30/423412/01/138.560.48134
44Joe FlaccoBALNYGBoxscore25/363092/00/09.69-0.05134
45Christian PonderMINGNBBoxscore16/282343/01/79.90.63133
46Jay CutlerCHIDALBoxscore18/242752/02/811.81-0.82131
47Josh FreemanTAMKANBoxscore15/263283/11/1012.33-1.62129
48Shaun HillDETTENBoxscore10/131722/00/016.31-0.48129
49Matt SchaubHOUJAXBoxscore43/555275/22/239.02-0.83128
50Peyton ManningDENPITBoxscore19/262532/02/13100.48127
51Drew BreesNORATLBoxscore21/322983/11/69.30.46127
52Peyton ManningDENOAKBoxscore30/383383/00/010.47-1.22126
53Cam NewtonCARATLBoxscore23/352872/01/78.890.46123
54Matthew StaffordDETSEABoxscore34/493523/12/216.781.52121
55Josh FreemanTAMSDGBoxscore14/202102/01/511.670121
56Robert Griffin IIIWASDALBoxscore19/273044/13/1610.77-0.82120
57Joe FlaccoBALOAKBoxscore21/333413/10/010.79-1.22120
58Tony RomoDALNYGBoxscore22/293073/12/179.84-0.05120
59Cam NewtonCARPHIBoxscore18/283062/02/1710.97-1.08119
60Ryan TannehillMIAARIBoxscore26/414311/24/377.21.34118
61Cam NewtonCARNORBoxscore14/202531/01/912.57-1.05117
62Ben RoethlisbergerPITNYJBoxscore24/312752/03/108.970.23111
63Matt RyanATLKANBoxscore23/312993/01/711-1.62110
64Matt SchaubHOUBUFBoxscore19/272682/02/1210.21-0.48110
65Mark SanchezNYJBUFBoxscore19/272663/10/010.41-0.48108
66Drew BreesNORTAMBoxscore26/393074/01/99.45-0.82108
67Sam BradfordSTLSFOBoxscore26/392752/02/167.291.22106
68Carson PalmerOAKDENBoxscore19/302732/11/108.321105
69Brady QuinnKANCARBoxscore19/232012/01/49.880.41104
70Carson PalmerOAKATLBoxscore23/333531/13/288.330.46103
71Eli ManningNYGCARBoxscore27/352881/01/68.390.41103
72Ryan TannehillMIASEABoxscore18/262531/11/78.191.52102
73Sam BradfordSTLARIBoxscore8/172052/12/119.951.34102
74Ben RoethlisbergerPITOAKBoxscore36/493844/01/59.18-1.22102
75Drew BreesNORSDGBoxscore29/453704/13/198.040102
76Russell WilsonSEASFOBoxscore15/211714/11/19.321.22101
77Aaron RodgersGNBARIBoxscore14/302184/11/107.841.34101
78Peyton ManningDENCARBoxscore27/383011/01/68.080.41100
79Russell WilsonSEASTLBoxscore15/192501/06/419.160.75100
80Andy DaltonCINNYGBoxscore21/301994/00/09.3-0.05100
81Cam NewtonCARATLBoxscore15/242152/03/109.070.4697
82Matt RyanATLTAMBoxscore26/323531/11/89.7-0.8297
83Ryan FitzpatrickBUFNYJBoxscore12/262251/00/09.420.2397
84Peyton ManningDENCLEBoxscore30/433393/10/08.23-0.0796
85Josh FreemanTAMMINBoxscore19/362623/01/58.57-0.0596
86Matthew StaffordDETATLBoxscore37/564430/10/07.110.4692
87Matthew StaffordDETCHIBoxscore24/422723/11/176.281.7892
88Matthew StaffordDETHOUBoxscore31/614412/03/227.170.1791
89Eli ManningNYGTAMBoxscore31/515103/30/08.53-0.8291
90Sam BradfordSTLWASBoxscore26/353103/12/98.54-0.1790
91Matt RyanATLPHIBoxscore22/292623/02/169.87-1.0889
92Andy DaltonCINCLEBoxscore24/313183/16/238.38-0.0788
93Drew BreesNOROAKBoxscore20/272193/00/010.33-1.2286
94Eli ManningNYGWASBoxscore20/332801/01/78.62-0.1786
95Tom BradyNWEMIABoxscore22/362842/01/88.54-0.385
96Michael VickPHIBALBoxscore23/323711/22/148.44-0.0185
97Tom BradyNWEBALBoxscore28/413351/02/167.88-0.0184
98Eli ManningNYGSFOBoxscore15/281931/00/07.611.2281
99Cam NewtonCARWASBoxscore13/232011/00/09.61-0.1781
100Ben RoethlisbergerPITWASBoxscore24/332223/00/08.55-0.1781

We can also look at the worst quarterback performances, adjusted for strength of schedule. Brandon Weeden’s week one performance easily takes the cake. The Eagles pass defense ended up being a joke (30th in Adjusted ANY/A), and Weeden was a disaster in his first NFL start. This formula doesn’t include fumble data, but Mark Sanchez still managed to squeeze five games onto the list.

Rk
Quarterback
Tm
Opp
Boxscore
Cmpt/Att
Yd
TD/INT
Sk/Yd
ANY/A
SOS
Adj VAL
1Brandon WeedenCLEPHIBoxscore12/351180/42/7-1.86-1.08-328
2Jay CutlerCHIGNBBoxscore11/271261/47/52-2.530.63-266
3Josh FreemanTAMNORBoxscore26/472790/42/111.8-1.05-254
4Mark SanchezNYJTENBoxscore13/281311/43/22-1.65-0.48-250
5Joe FlaccoBALHOUBoxscore21/431471/24/261.090.17-220
6Nick FolesPHIWASBoxscore21/462040/24/271.74-0.17-218
7John SkeltonARISEABoxscore11/22740/41/9-51.52-216
8Brady QuinnKANOAKBoxscore18/321360/14/271.78-1.22-193
9Chad HenneJAXNYJBoxscore21/431850/23/171.70.23-184
10Ryan TannehillMIATENBoxscore23/392170/31/81.85-0.48-183
11Michael VickPHICLEBoxscore29/563172/42/112.86-0.07-182
12Ryan LindleyARINYJBoxscore10/31720/12/160.330.23-177
13Alex SmithSFONYGBoxscore19/302000/34/311-0.05-169
14Drew BreesNORATLBoxscore28/503410/51/62.160.46-169
15Brady QuinnKANTAMBoxscore22/381800/20/02.37-0.82-167
16Jake LockerTENGNBBoxscore13/301401/27/390.840.63-165
17Brandon WeedenCLEBUFBoxscore27/432371/24/302.91-0.48-164
18Eli ManningNYGCINBoxscore29/462150/24/261.980.67-164
19Mark SanchezNYJARIBoxscore10/21970/33/14-2.171.34-162
20Sam BradfordSTLCHIBoxscore18/351520/26/510.271.78-159
21Ryan LindleyARISTLBoxscore31/523120/42/112.240.75-159
22Ryan TannehillMIAHOUBoxscore20/362190/32/201.680.17-155
23Charlie BatchPITCLEBoxscore20/341990/31/61.66-0.07-152
24Chad HenneJAXTENBoxscore25/412982/37/453.29-0.48-150
25Matt RyanATLOAKBoxscore24/372491/31/83.32-1.22-146
26Matthew StaffordDETARIBoxscore24/502460/32/181.791.34-146
27Philip RiversSDGDENBoxscore25/412412/44/241.711-145
28Ryan TannehillMIABUFBoxscore14/281411/23/171.74-0.48-145
29Matt RyanATLARIBoxscore28/463010/51/51.511.34-145
30Jason CampbellCHISFOBoxscore14/221071/26/49-0.431.22-144
31Jake LockerTENHOUBoxscore21/453091/36/442.940.17-144
32Andrew LuckINDTENBoxscore16/341961/24/252.66-0.48-143
33Brandon WeedenCLEBALBoxscore20/371760/21/22.21-0.01-142
34Tony RomoDALNYGBoxscore36/624371/44/223.86-0.05-140
35Philip RiversSDGATLBoxscore21/381730/21/91.90.46-139
36Andy DaltonCINMIABoxscore26/432341/23/163.22-0.3-139
37Greg McElroyNYJSDGBoxscore14/241850/111/711.970-138
38Tony RomoDALWASBoxscore20/372182/32/222.59-0.17-137
39Josh FreemanTAMDALBoxscore10/281101/12/192.2-0.82-137
40Matt CasselKANNORBoxscore26/442480/13/114.09-1.05-136
41Russell WilsonSEASTLBoxscore17/251600/32/200.190.75-135
42Michael VickPHINORBoxscore22/412721/17/464.19-1.05-134
43Jay CutlerCHIHOUBoxscore7/14400/20/0-3.570.17-131
44Mark SanchezNYJMIABoxscore28/542831/14/254.02-0.3-128
45Chad HenneJAXBUFBoxscore19/422021/13/163.58-0.48-127
46Matt CasselKANSDGBoxscore24/422512/32/173.160-122
47Matt LeinartOAKCARBoxscore16/321150/11/91.850.41-121
48Joe FlaccoBALPHIBoxscore22/422321/12/184.3-1.08-120
49Chad HenneJAXOAKBoxscore9/20710/03/261.96-1.22-119
50Andy DaltonCINPHIBoxscore13/271271/06/353.39-1.08-119
51Byron LeftwichPITBALBoxscore18/391990/13/243.1-0.01-119
52Christian PonderMINARIBoxscore8/17581/23/15-1.351.34-119
53Kevin KolbARIBUFBoxscore14/261281/15/232.58-0.48-119
54Matt SchaubHOUINDBoxscore24/362750/24/254-1-117
55Josh FreemanTAMSTLBoxscore30/543721/45/233.20.75-116
56Chad HenneJAXNWEBoxscore29/513481/31/54.38-0.69-116
57Christian PonderMINSEABoxscore11/22630/14/19-0.041.52-116
58Peyton ManningDENATLBoxscore24/372411/33/232.580.46-116
59Joe FlaccoBALKANBoxscore13/271870/14/223.87-1.62-114
60Ryan TannehillMIANWEBoxscore20/352350/17/263.9-0.69-114
61Matt HasselbeckTENMINBoxscore26/432001/12/193.47-0.05-113
62Blaine GabbertJAXCHIBoxscore17/331420/23/131.081.78-110
63Kevin KolbARIMIABoxscore29/483243/28/554.27-0.3-110
64Andrew LuckINDNYJBoxscore22/442800/24/233.480.23-106
65Carson PalmerOAKCINBoxscore19/341461/14/272.470.67-106
66Cam NewtonCARNYGBoxscore16/302420/32/212.69-0.05-105
67Mark SanchezNYJSFOBoxscore13/291030/13/121.441.22-105
68Andrew LuckINDNWEBoxscore27/503342/31/54.59-0.69-104
69Tom BradyNWEJAXBoxscore24/412672/23/214.45-0.83-102
70Ryan FitzpatrickBUFINDBoxscore17/331801/12/114.11-1-98
71Jake LockerTENJAXBoxscore23/402611/21/114.39-0.83-97
72Blaine GabbertJAXINDBoxscore18/312090/13/244.12-1-96
73Andy DaltonCINBALBoxscore22/372210/14/283.61-0.01-95
74Brady QuinnKANINDBoxscore10/221620/21/72.83-1-94
75Sam BradfordSTLNYJBoxscore23/441702/11/33.60.23-94
76Matt SchaubHOUCHIBoxscore14/26951/21/70.671.78-94
77Andy DaltonCINPITBoxscore24/412780/26/253.470.48-93
78Blaine GabbertJAXCINBoxscore23/341861/16/432.950.67-92
79Andy DaltonCINDALBoxscore20/332061/15/164.34-0.82-92
80Ryan LindleyARIATLBoxscore9/20640/03/291.520.46-91
81Andy DaltonCINSDGBoxscore25/382111/21/03.620-90
82Jay CutlerCHIMINBoxscore22/442601/22/44.04-0.05-89
83Tony RomoDALCHIBoxscore31/433071/51/72.161.78-88
84Cam NewtonCAROAKBoxscore18/291701/12/114.32-1.22-88
85Ryan LindleyARIDETBoxscore14/211040/11/72.36-0.4-87
86Matt CasselKANBALBoxscore9/15920/20/00.13-0.01-87
87Brady QuinnKANOAKBoxscore2/410/11/7-10.2-1.22-87
88Tom BradyNWEMIABoxscore24/402381/14/254.27-0.3-86
89Christian PonderMINGNBBoxscore12/251191/20/01.960.63-83
90Jay CutlerCHIDETBoxscore16/311501/05/254.03-0.4-83
91Carson PalmerOAKTAMBoxscore39/614144/32/165.44-0.82-83
92Drew BreesNORKANBoxscore20/362403/14/355.5-1.62-82
93Jay CutlerCHICARBoxscore19/281861/16/553.120.41-82
94Blaine GabbertJAXDETBoxscore27/382202/21/54.23-0.4-82
95Matt RyanATLTAMBoxscore28/442381/02/255.07-0.82-78
96Blaine GabbertJAXHOUBoxscore7/19531/03/242.230.17-78
97Christian PonderMINDETBoxscore16/261110/02/113.57-0.4-77
98Mark SanchezNYJBUFBoxscore17/352050/11/64.28-0.48-77
99Tony RomoDALTAMBoxscore25/392830/14/244.98-0.82-76
100Sam BradfordSTLBUFBoxscore19/392091/11/24.55-0.48-74

Next, let’s take a look at the best defensive performances. Note that this is not the same as the worst quarterback games, as the SOS adjustments are different. The #1 performance belongs to the Green Bay Packers, who held Jay Cutler to an 11/27, 126, 1/4 stat line, while sacking him seven times for 52 yards.

Let me take a step back and address a methodological point. To come up with strength of schedule-adjusted ratings, you need to adjust each quarterback for the quality of the defense and each defense for the quality of the quarterback. Doing this for defenses is easy, as there are no sample size problems. But for quarterbacks, if a passer has just 3 passes against one team, what rating do you give him? If he averaged 10.0 ANY/A against that team, the defense wouldn’t be penalized for that, because the system would assume that he was a 10.0 ANY/A player.

To counter that, I combined all quarterbacks who had fewer than 75 passes last year into one Pseudo QB. The Pseudo QB was sometimes good (say, Shaun Hill or Kirk Cousins) but more often very bad (think Greg McElroy vs. San Diego, Jason Campbell against San Francisco, or Charlie Batch against the Browns). In the table below, I’ve included those Pseudo QB performances. By the time I finished everything, I had permanently deleted the actual quarterback names, so “Pseudo QB” remains in the table. I could go back and re-run the thing, but we can instead chalk this up to me being a good enougher. In the table below, in addition to McElroy, Campbell, and Batch, we get Matt Leinart against the Panthers and Byron Leftwich against the Ravens).

Another interesting note: Peyton Manning and Eli Manning only show up four times on this list, but the Falcons were responsible for shutting down both brothers last year.

Rk
Tm
Quarterback
Cmpt/Att
Yd
TD/INT
Sk/Yd
ANY/A
SOS
ANYval
1GNBJay Cutler11/271261/47/52-2.53-0.53270
2ATLDrew Brees28/503410/51/62.161.19253
3ARIMatt Ryan28/463010/51/51.510.78245
4PHIBrandon Weeden12/351180/42/7-1.86-1.24242
5CHISam Bradford18/351520/26/510.270.18240
6HOUJoe Flacco21/431471/24/261.090.24239
7ARIMatthew Stafford24/502460/32/181.790.32232
8CINEli Manning29/462150/24/261.980.5222
9NORJosh Freeman26/472790/42/111.80.18212
10NYGAlex Smith19/302000/34/3111.13206
11SEAJohn Skelton11/22740/41/9-5-2.03205
12ATLPeyton Manning24/372411/33/232.581.6198
13STLRussell Wilson17/251600/32/200.191.52196
14CHITony Romo31/433071/51/72.160.5188
15TENMark Sanchez13/281311/43/22-1.65-1.61185
16SEAAaron Rodgers26/392230/08/393.911.71175
17STLJosh Freeman30/543721/45/233.20.18172
18SFOTom Brady36/654431/23/185.221.81171
19NYGTony Romo36/624371/44/223.860.5169
20DENPhilip Rivers25/412412/44/241.71-0.59163
21ARIRussell Wilson18/341531/13/143.081.52162
22ARIMark Sanchez10/21970/33/14-2.17-1.61156
23WASNick Foles21/462040/24/271.74-1.11154
24MIATom Brady24/402381/14/254.271.81153
25CHIMatt Schaub14/26951/21/70.670.29150
26WASTony Romo20/372182/32/222.590.5150
27GNBJake Locker13/301401/27/390.84-1.1148
28SFOPseudo QB14/221071/26/49-0.43-1.09148
29JAXTom Brady24/412672/23/214.451.81145
30CLEMichael Vick29/563172/42/112.86-0.64141
31SEAChristian Ponder11/22630/14/19-0.04-0.68138
32TENRyan Tannehill23/392170/31/81.85-0.69136
33CHIBlaine Gabbert17/331420/23/131.08-1.09135
34HOURyan Tannehill20/362190/32/201.68-0.69135
35ATLPhilip Rivers21/381730/21/91.9-0.59134
36ARIChristian Ponder8/17581/23/15-1.35-0.68132
37DENCam Newton21/362412/27/433.440.58132
38CINCarson Palmer19/341461/14/272.470.01132
39CARRobert Griffin III23/392150/04/294.331.4129
40OAKMatt Ryan24/372491/31/83.320.78129
41NYJChad Henne21/431850/23/171.7-1.45128
42SFODrew Brees26/412673/25/364.371.19127
43HOUJay Cutler7/14400/20/0-3.57-0.53126
44NYGCam Newton16/302420/32/212.690.58122
45CHIAaron Rodgers22/322191/15/314.411.71120
46SEATom Brady36/583952/21/75.731.81119
47DALJosh Freeman10/281101/12/192.20.18117
48CHIChristian Ponder22/431591/12/152.64-0.68117
49SFORussell Wilson9/231220/12/72.81.52116
50SEARyan Fitzpatrick21/382171/23/322.8-0.3116
51ARITom Brady28/463161/14/195.441.81115
52NYJSam Bradford23/441702/11/33.60.18113
53CLEPseudo QB20/341990/31/61.66-1.09111
54DENDrew Brees22/422132/11/124.561.19110
55BUFRyan Tannehill14/281411/23/171.74-0.69108
56TENAndrew Luck16/341961/24/252.66-0.44108
57SEACam Newton12/291410/04/333.270.58107
58GNBMatt Schaub20/332320/23/243.280.29106
59MIAAndy Dalton26/432341/23/163.22-0.47103
60CARDrew Brees31/493251/21/25.061.19103
61MINAlex Smith24/352041/13/134.371.13102
62SDGPseudo QB14/241850/111/711.97-1.09100
63CARPseudo QB16/321150/11/91.85-1.0999
64PITEli Manning10/241250/12/112.650.598
65ATLEli Manning13/251610/21/22.650.598
66HOUJake Locker21/453091/36/442.94-1.196
67NYJAndrew Luck22/442800/24/233.48-0.4496
68CINBen Roethlisberger14/282201/24/353.590.6495
69BALBrandon Weeden20/371760/21/22.21-1.2494
70PITAndy Dalton24/412780/26/253.47-0.4794
71SEAColin Kaepernick19/362441/11/135.572.1693
72GNBMatthew Stafford17/392661/25/144.140.3293
73STLColin Kaepernick21/322080/03/175.462.1692
74SFOMark Sanchez13/291030/13/121.44-1.6192
75DENBen Roethlisberger22/402452/15/364.530.6492
76CLETony Romo35/503131/07/564.860.589
77INDMatt Schaub24/362750/24/2540.2989
78WASDrew Brees24/523393/22/135.481.1989
79CHIMatthew Stafford28/462631/13/204.450.3288
80CINRobert Griffin III21/342211/05/425.11.487
81CHIAndrew Luck23/453091/33/163.71-0.4485
82SFOAaron Rodgers30/443032/13/245.831.7185
83BUFBrandon Weeden27/432371/24/302.91-1.2483
84PHIJoe Flacco22/422321/12/184.30.2483
85GNBChristian Ponder12/251191/20/01.96-0.6882
86SFORyan Fitzpatrick16/261260/11/112.59-0.382
87CINTony Romo25/432681/13/294.650.582
88CARJosh Freeman25/462483/21/124.380.1881
89CARJay Cutler19/281861/16/553.12-0.5378
90MINMatt Hasselbeck26/432001/12/193.47-0.7677
91PITJoe Flacco16/341881/13/114.110.2476
92NYJRyan Lindley10/31720/12/160.33-3.376
93BALAndy Dalton22/372210/14/283.61-0.4776
94TAMMatt Ryan28/442381/02/255.070.7876
95CINBlaine Gabbert23/341861/16/432.95-1.0976
96STLMatthew Stafford32/483551/31/94.710.3275
97BALPseudo QB18/391990/13/243.1-1.0973
98PITAndy Dalton14/281051/10/02.86-0.4773
99SDGAndy Dalton25/382111/21/03.62-0.4772
100CINPhilip Rivers26/482800/14/293.96-0.5972

Finally, we can look at the worst defensive performance of the year. This one’s a no-brainer: the Texans against Henne. Considering how poorly Henne played in non-Texans game, he’s an easy choice. And here’s your glitch in the matrix note: Josh Freeman‘s 26/47, 279 yard, 0 TD, 4 INT performance against the horrible Saints defense was the 3rd worst game of any quarterback. But his 24/42, 420 yard, 3 TD, 0 INT game against New Orleans was the 3rd worst performance by any defense. The two Pseudo QBs below are Hill and Cousins.

Rk
Tm
Quarterback
Cmpt/Att
Yd
TD/INT
Sk/Yd
ANY/A
SOS
ANYval
1HOUChad Henne16/333544/01/612.59-1.45-276
2DETJake Locker29/423782/00/09.95-1.1-215
3NORJosh Freeman24/424203/02/910.70.18-202
4NORTony Romo26/434164/02/1010.80.5-197
5BUFAlex Smith18/243033/00/015.131.13-194
6MIAAndrew Luck30/484332/01/149.37-0.44-190
7NYJTom Brady18/273233/00/014.191.81-174
8WASAndy Dalton19/273283/12/1611.28-0.47-169
9KANJosh Freeman15/263283/11/1012.330.18-168
10PHITony Romo22/273033/02/912.210.5-168
11DALJay Cutler18/242752/02/811.81-0.53-167
12CINBrandon Weeden26/373222/02/138.95-1.24-166
13BUFMark Sanchez19/272663/10/010.41-1.61-165
14CARBrady Quinn19/232012/01/49.88-2.9-164
15JAXMatt Schaub43/555275/22/239.020.29-160
16NWEJoe Flacco28/393823/10/010.180.24-156
17PHIEli Manning13/212085/01/1113.50.5-156
18OAKJoe Flacco21/333413/10/010.790.24-152
19HOUAaron Rodgers24/373386/02/1011.491.71-150
20TENPseudo QB10/131722/00/016.31-1.09-149
21TAMDrew Brees27/373774/10/011.141.19-149
22PHIRobert Griffin III14/152004/02/8161.4-147
23KANPeyton Manning23/293043/00/012.551.6-146
24NORRobert Griffin III19/263202/02/1412.361.4-141
25NORPeyton Manning22/303053/00/012.171.6-139
26KANMatt Ryan23/312993/01/7110.78-137
27GNBChristian Ponder16/282343/01/79.9-0.68-135
28PHICam Newton18/283062/02/1710.970.58-134
29SEAJay Cutler17/262332/00/010.5-0.53-133
30OAKBen Roethlisberger36/493844/01/59.180.64-131
31NYGMatt Ryan23/282703/01/511.210.78-130
32DETMatt Ryan25/322794/01/810.640.78-129
33DALDrew Brees37/534463/00/09.551.19-129
34NORCam Newton14/202531/01/912.570.58-127
35NWERussell Wilson16/272933/02/1011.831.52-127
36NYGJoe Flacco25/363092/00/09.690.24-127
37DENMatt Schaub17/302904/11/610.290.29-126
38CINJoe Flacco21/292992/03/219.940.24-120
39INDTom Brady24/353313/00/011.171.81-120
40SDGJosh Freeman14/202102/01/511.670.18-117
41BUFMatt Schaub19/272682/02/1210.210.29-116
42NYGAndy Dalton21/301994/00/09.3-0.47-115
43CLEPseudo QB26/373292/12/217.77-1.09-114
44JAXChristian Ponder20/272700/02/49.17-0.68-114
45STLTom Brady23/353044/00/010.971.81-113
46OAKPeyton Manning30/383383/00/010.471.6-112
47INDBrandon Weeden25/412642/00/07.41-1.24-112
48KANRyan Fitzpatrick10/191782/00/011.47-0.3-111
49OAKBrandon Weeden25/363641/21/117.65-1.24-110
50INDJay Cutler21/353332/12/198.35-0.53-109
51TENJay Cutler19/262293/03/249.14-0.53-108
52CLEAndy Dalton24/313183/16/238.38-0.47-108
53TAMEli Manning31/515103/30/08.530.5-107
54BALMichael Vick23/323711/22/148.44-0.64-107
55BUFTom Brady22/363403/01/710.621.81-107
56NYGTony Romo22/293073/12/179.840.5-106
57GNBEli Manning16/302493/01/69.770.5-104
58TAMNick Foles32/513812/06/436.63-1.11-103
59DALRobert Griffin III19/273044/13/1610.771.4-103
60PHIKevin Kolb17/242222/03/298.63-1.12-103
61ARIAlex Smith18/192323/04/2811.481.13-102
62ATLTony Romo25/353211/01/99.220.5-101
63KANPhilip Rivers18/202202/11/410.05-0.59-99
64NYJRyan Fitzpatrick12/262251/00/09.42-0.3-99
65TAMMatt Ryan26/323531/11/89.70.78-98
66SDGPeyton Manning24/303093/10/010.81.6-98
67PHIMatt Ryan22/292623/02/169.870.78-98
68JAXRyan Tannehill22/282202/01/118.59-0.69-97
69NWEMark Sanchez26/363011/12/156.87-1.61-97
70TENAaron Rodgers27/383423/01/810.11.71-96
71TAMDrew Brees26/393074/01/99.451.19-93
72CARDrew Brees29/433964/12/189.181.19-93
73PITTony Romo30/423412/01/138.560.5-92
74INDRyan Tannehill22/382901/02/97.53-0.69-91
75DALNick Foles22/342511/01/117.43-1.11-91
76KANCam Newton15/272323/02/129.660.58-91
77MINJosh Freeman19/362623/01/58.570.18-91
78KANAndy Dalton18/292302/02/108.39-0.47-91
79TENPhilip Rivers24/322843/14/167.86-0.59-91
80HOUTom Brady21/352964/01/710.251.81-90
81GNBDrew Brees35/544463/02/178.731.19-90
82WASSam Bradford26/353103/12/98.540.18-90
83ARIRyan Tannehill26/414311/24/377.2-0.69-88
84OAKJosh Freeman18/302472/01/108.940.18-87
85INDMatt Hasselbeck22/292361/02/97.97-0.76-87
86STLMark Sanchez15/201781/03/128.09-1.61-87
87OAKDrew Brees20/272193/00/010.331.19-87
88DETJay Cutler18/312571/02/128.03-0.53-87
89STLAaron Rodgers30/373423/03/109.81.71-86
90ATLCarson Palmer23/333531/13/288.330.01-86
91ATLCam Newton23/352872/01/78.890.58-86
92TAMPhilip Rivers29/373373/22/147.51-0.59-85
93MINBlaine Gabbert23/392602/02/186.88-1.09-83
94DALJoe Flacco17/262341/01/49.260.24-83
95CHIColin Kaepernick16/232432/01/711.52.16-82
96NYGMichael Vick19/302411/02/107.84-0.64-82
97NYJBen Roethlisberger24/312752/03/108.970.64-82
98DALMatt Ryan24/343420/03/128.920.78-82
99SEARyan Tannehill18/262531/11/78.19-0.69-80
100OAKAndy Dalton16/302103/02/167.94-0.47-79

As for the title of today’s post: I’ve put the NFL qualifier in there, as I previously did the same for all college quarterbacks.

{ 9 comments }
  • Quinton July 30, 2013, 5:07 pm

    This is really hard to wrap my head around as a Jags fan. My eyeballs were screaming that Gabbert was worse, but combined with yesterdays post on strength of schedule, and the fact that he somehow didn’t have any of the 50 worst games and Henne had three, I’m starting to wonder if I should be rooting for Gabbert to win the starting job. The ground feels a little shaky.

    Very interesting post and really shows why fantasy football is so crazy if you think about it.

    (Side note: I also can’t believe the Jags are repeating the QB options after last year. The only benefit to having a player bust as bad as Gabbert is that you aren’t stuck Sanchezing it year after year. Yet. Year number three of Gabbert is staring me in the face).

    Reply
    • td August 1, 2013, 12:36 am

      you have to root for Gabbert to win the starting job- he’s 23 years old and he may still develop (and if he doesn’t, you’ll be better situated to draft a legitimate prospect). Henne is Brandon Weeden’s age, with many more starts. He is what he is

      Reply
  • Quinton August 1, 2013, 9:02 am

    I hear what you’re saying on Gabbert but is there a comp for someone who has been as bad as he has but still developed into, let’s say, a top 15 QB? Chase did a post, I believe it was last year, basically assessing the chance that a player as bad as Gabbert could move to a new team and succeed (say like a Steve Young from the Bucs to 49ers ), and it would essentially be unprecedented. That doesn’t mean impossible but I don’t think it’s a given that Gabbert has a higher ceiling than Henne. You can paint a more sympathetic picture of Henne if you want. In his three years at Miami, his ANY/A improved each year (third year was cut short by injury though), and while he regressed in Jax in 2012, the broader situation in Jax has almost certainly been a net negative for any QB. I think you could hope for a late career resurgence, like a poor man’s Rich Gannon.

    Now all of that said, I think Gabbert is the better choice, since they’re comparable in results but Gabbert is younger and more physically gifted. I promise you though after having watched Gabbert every Sunday for the better part of two years, it becomes incredibly difficult to focus on any faint hope of long term development. He just really hurts the eyes.

    Reply
    • JuanDanger August 1, 2013, 4:11 pm

      As a Lions fan, this reminds me of an old profootballreference blog post about when the Lions, in retrospect, should have given up on Joey Harrington (they argued it should have been after year two). Sorry to break it you, but Harrington’s Y/A and ANY/A were actually better than Gabbert’s compared to league average.

      Reply
  • td August 4, 2013, 12:53 am

    It’s hard to stomach the idea of another season of Gabbert, but 23 still is very young to give up on a guy (guessing Eli didn’t look any better through age 22). Seems like guys like Bradshaw and Plunkett were able to develop as late-bloomers several generations ago, but Alex Smith is the closest modern example I can think of, and you’re still constructing a team around a limited guy in that case. The stealth benefit of playing Gabbert is that even if he’s terrible it’s bringing you closer to a shot at a franchise qb

    Reply

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