Yeah, yeah, Football Perspective turned 100 today, blah blah blah. I have something on my mind and I need the wisdom of this crowd. Below is a thought experiment.
You are highly incentivized to correctly guess how many interceptions a quarterback threw in a specific game. If you can answer it correctly within the one-tenth of an interception, you win. (You can assume this is the average of 100 games, if you like, but the point being your answers should not be limited to whole numbers.)
I will inform you that the quarterback in question threw exactly 13 incomplete passes (or each of the 100 quarterbacks threw exactly 13 incomplete passes).
Now, before you guess as to the number of interceptions thrown by this quarterback, I could also let you know how many pass attempts the quarterback had. But I don’t have to. Do you want to know how many attempts he threw, or is that information irrelevant?
If it *is* relevant information that you want to know, how does that knowledge affect your answer? If you knew he threw 45 passes, will you now project him to have more interceptions or fewer interceptions? Please vote in the poll below, but I’m just as interested in your comments. So get to commenting!