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Week 9 Power Rankings

Things were happier in Jets world three months ago.

Maybe it was the election, the great weekend of college football, or the fact that I had no cable and barely watched the NFL this weekend, but power rankings this week don’t generate any buzz for me. I only was able to see the two night games this week, which worked out well, as I didn’t miss the rare opportunity to see the Cowboys or Eagles implode on a national stage.

I’ve already said my piece about the Falcons; with their remaining schedule, we should expect 5 or 6 more wins more than 50% of the time. Right now, the odds of them landing on “5” and “6” are almost identical, but that assumes independence; since they might bench players (or suffer injuries), 13 wins still feels like the best projection for them.

Advanced NFL Stats continues to love the Panthers; after their victory over the Redskins, perhaps they’re going to have a second-half surge? The most head-scratching result from Football Outsiders is probably their sixth-place ranking of the Seahawks, just in time for the Jets to visit. If that game doesn’t start the Tim Tebow era, I don’t know what will.

One thing Burke, Schatz, and the SRS Standings agree on is that the Chiefs are the 32nd best team. Sorry, Jason, but even he agrees.

[As always, the number of wins I’m projecting each team to finish the season with is in column 3. The fourth column – PWIN – shows how many wins I projected last week, and the difference column represents how many wins I added or subtracted this week. The “RSOS” column stands for the remaining SOS for the team, based on the number of projected wins I’m giving to each of their opponents. The “RHG” column stands for remaining home games.]

Team
Rec
Wins
PrvWin
Diff
RemSOS
RemHG
Comment
Atlanta Falcons8-0131300.4454There are nits to pick, but an 8-0 start positions them well to quiet the doubters.
Houston Texans7-1131210.5083Great matchup with the Bears this week, but Houston is going to get the #1 seed either way.
San Francisco 49ers6-2121200.5164At this point, San Francisco seems very likely to get the 2 seed. Will be interesting to see how Harbaugh treats the end of the season.
Chicago Bears7-1121110.5634Dominant defense but they have a brutal remaining schedule. If they lose to the Packers, they may drop from a bye to the 5 seed.
Denver Broncos5-3121110.3594As a matter of principle, projecting a team to finish 7-1 is never advised. But this seems to be a good place to make an exception.
New England Patriots5-3111100.5315Can Aqib Talib make a difference on this defense?
Green Bay Packers6-3111100.5003Streaking Packers head into the bye week on a four-game winning streak.
Pittsburgh Steelers5-3111010.4065I have been a big Ben Roethlisberger fan all season, and will continue to get burned by believing in this team.
New York Giants6-31011-10.5273Even with a difficult schedule, the typical Giants second-half collapse shouldn't cost them much in a watered down NFC East.
Baltimore Ravens6-2101000.5394Nobody wins uglier than the Ravens.
Seattle Seahawks5-49810.5094Russell Wilson on the road in a playoff game is not going to be pretty, especially when it's at Lambeau or Soldier Field.
Indianapolis Colts5-39810.4923They are looking at a first round game in Foxboro or Mile High. Think there will be some storylines there?
Miami Dolphins4-49900.5085The Dolphins have been burned with some ugly fourth quarter performances; they've lost two games in overtime and were tied late in the 4th quarter against the Colts.
Dallas Cowboys3-58800.4065Even with an easy schedule, the Cowboys have a lot of ground to make up to win the division or beat the Seahawks out for a playoff berth.
Minnesota Vikings5-478-10.6433Sell. Sell. SELL!
San Diego Chargers4-47700.5004Wins over the Chiefs should be treated like FCS victories.
Detroit Lions4-47700.6415The remaining schedule is brutal; the Lions are streaking, but they dug themselves an enormous hole.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers4-47700.5474Can they be the team to end the Falcons perfect season?
New Orleans Saints3-57610.5864They'll need a miracle to make the playoffs, but ruining the Falcons perfect season is a decent consolation prize.
Philadelphia Eagles3-567-10.4454They are the worst team in the NFC, previously unthinkable under Andy Reid.
Washington Redskins3-667-10.4644The breakout team of 2013.
Arizona Cardinals4-567-10.5803Did you know the Arizona Cardinals are 11-7 in their last 18 games?
Cincinnati Bengals3-567-10.4774Is Marvin Lewis ever going to be on a hot seat?
Oakland Raiders3-567-10.4304Nobody racks up meaningless numbers like Carson Palmer.
New York Jets3-56600.4303Will Tim Tebow play this week? If not, maybe the Jets can give Greg McElroy some playing time.
St. Louis Rams3-56600.5083The second half of the season may tell us a lot about the future of Sam Bradford.
Tennessee Titans3-66600.5003An embarrassing performance against the Bears.
Buffalo Bills3-56600.4925This has to be the last 8 games of the Chan Gailey era, right?
Carolina Panthers2-66510.4774With an easy schedule, they should build some momentum for next year.
Jacksonville Jaguars1-74400.5164Can Blaine Gabbert show over the next 8 weeks that he deserves to be the quarterback of the future?
Cleveland Browns2-74400.5093Gritty performances against Baltimore but two losses in the standings.
Kansas City Chiefs1-734-10.5164May be headed for the worst season in franchise history.
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