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The regular season is now over, and it ended with a whimper. Of the 16 games in week 17, 6 featured margins of 17+ points, and a 7th had a Game Script of +15.2. There were two big comebacks, but they came in meaningless games: The Colts overcame a 17-0 deficit to win 24-20, with the final margin coming on a touchdown pass in the final seconds.

The Steelers, with their stars rested, trailed most of the day against the Browns. This game wasn’t meaningless to San Francisco, though: Cleveland led 14-0 early and 14-7 entering the 4th quarter; had the Browns won, the 49ers would have had the number one pick. Instead, Pittsburgh won in overtime, cementing a 1-15 year for the Browns.

Below are the week 17 Game Scripts.

TeamH/ROppBoxscorePFPAMarginGame ScriptPassRunP/R RatioOp_POp_ROpp_P/R Ratio
ARI@RAMBoxscore4463815.7432464.2%342260.7%
ATLNORBoxscore3832615.2372262.7%522369.3%
MINCHIBoxscore38102814.6342854.8%223737.3%
DENOAKBoxscore2461812.9274040.3%341668%
NWE@MIABoxscore35142112.6342954%342359.6%
CINBALBoxscore27101711.7293843.3%541677.1%
TENHOUBoxscore241778.6302950.8%522270.3%
NYJBUFBoxscore3010208.1313050.8%342854.8%
KAN@SDGBoxscore3727105.7293148.3%382659.4%
NYG@WASBoxscore191095.2284041.2%391572.2%
GNB@DETBoxscore312472.5403057.1%432167.2%
SEA@SFOBoxscore252322.1402363.5%273146.6%
PHIDALBoxscore2713140.5453060%322160.4%
TAMCARBoxscore17161-0.7372658.7%353252.2%
PITCLEBoxscore27243-5412859.4%442662.9%
INDJAXBoxscore24204-6.8442266.7%413057.7%

As a sign of how teams treated week 17, check out the Bears/Vikings game. Chicago became the first team in three years to run 35+ times despite losing by 25+ points. The Bears were the most run-heavy team in the NFL in week 17, despite getting blown out.  That’s week 17 in a nutshell.

  • Adam

    Interesting that ATL kept passing in the second half despite being up 35-10. Maybe they were trying to pad Ryan’s numbers for his MVP case?

    • Richie

      Looks like he attempted 17 passes in the second half. Looking at the PBP, 10 of those attempts came in their second drive of the third quarter. It resulted in a field goal and 38-13 lead. After that he had 4 more attempts in the third quarter and 1 in the fourth.

      That 10-pass drive was weird. They threw on first down 4 of 6 times.

      He only completed 58% of his passes for a 72 passer rating in the second half, so it didn’t help to pad his stats.

  • Richie

    Speaking of Chicago running 35+ times; is it just me, or was Jordan Howard unreasonably anonymous this year? He became the 19th rookie since the merger to rush for 1,300 yards. His 5.21 yards/carry is the 10th-best since the merger. His first down rate was just a hair behind Ezekiel Elliott.

    His touchdowns were low, but he also didn’t have a ton of attempts in opponent territory. Howard scored on 13.6% of runs from inside the opponent’s 30-yard line. Elliott scored on 14.9% of such runs. (Howard had no long TD runs, but Elliott had 4.)

    I didn’t watch more than 10 minutes of Bears games this year, so not sure how he actually *looked*, but his numbers were nice.

    • Deacon Drake

      He only got the chance because Langford got hurt (and kind of sucked), and even though he was clearly the hot hand, they still went committee. Crappy team and no preseason hype…