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Week 13 College Football SRS Ratings

We all know the big story of the weekend: Wake up the Echoes, Notre Dame is in the National Championship Game. While it may be trendy to rip the Fighting Irish, they earned their golden ticket to Miami. Notre Dame’s opponent will be the champion of the Southeastern Conference, decided next weekend when Alabama and Georgia meet in Atlanta. Let’s take a closer look at the SEC in 2012, which is looking for its seventh consecutive national championship.

For a long time, the refrain among SEC folks was “there are no off weeks in the SEC.” If no team emerged with a perfect record, that was simply a testament to the depth of the conference. But this year has to go down as one of the most predictable seasons in the history of the SEC — or any other conference. There are six excellent teams representing the First Class of the conference: Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Texas A&M, LSU, and South Carolina.

There are four genuinely terrible teams: Auburn, Kentucky, Tennessee, and Arkansas are the cellar dwellers, or Lower Class members. That leaves a lean, two-tiered middle class. Vanderbilt stands alone as an upper-middle class member, with the three M schools of the conference (Mississippi, Missouri, and Mississippi State) are lower-middle class schools. As it turned out, there are caste systems with more mobility than the SEC had in 2012. With 14 teams playing 8 conference games each, that leaves 56 conference games for the SEC. Here is what happened:

  • The First Class (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Texas A&M, LSU, and South Carolina) went 30-0 in games against the rest of the conference, with 21 of those wins coming by at least 14 points.
  • The Upper Middle Class (Vanderbilt) was equally predictable, going 0-3 against the First Class and 5-0 against everyone else.
  • The Lower Middle Class (MSU, Mississippi and Missouri) went 0-12 against the First Class, with 9 losses coming by at least 19 points. They also went 0-2 against the Upper Middle Class, but finished 8-0 against the Lower Class, with 6 of those wins coming by double digits.
  • The Bottom Class (Auburn, Kentucky, Tennessee, and Arkansas) finished 0-26 against the rest of the conference, with 18 of those losses coming by double digits

As a result of how stratified the conference was, it’s hard not to recognize how much the schedule impacts the results. Only two teams in the conference played just two games against First Class teams. It is not a coincidence, in my opinion, that those two teams happen to be the ones that landed in Atlanta.

In the West, Alabama went 1-1 against the First Class, 3-0 against the Lower Middle Class, and 3-0 against the Bottom Class. That’s a really easy schedule for the Crimson Tide — their second-best win this year came against Michigan (or Mississippi or MSU, if you prefer). That’s somewhat laughable for the team that is considered the #2 team in the country. Meanwhile, LSU had four games against the First Class of the SEC, going 2-2 in those games in addition to a 2-0 record against the LMC and a 3-0 mark against the Bottom Class. Texas A&M went 1-2 against the First Class, 3-0 against the LMC, and 2-0 against the BC. Is Alabama the best team in the division, or just lucky that they didn’t face Florida the way LSU and AM did? To put it another way, if Florida wasn’t so good this year, A&M probably finishes 11-1 and wins the division on the tiebreaker.

In the East, Georgia went 1-1 against the First Class, 3-0 against the middle classes and 3-0 against the Bottom Class. Are the Bulldogs in line for a national title game appearance because they’re great, or are they great because they’re in line to play for the title? Georgia’s second-best win this season came against Vanderbilt. Meanwhile, Florida went 3-1 against the First Class, 2-0 against the middle classes and 2-0 against the Bottom Class. Which performance is more impressive?

Since the winner of the SEC Championship Game will end the season going 2-1 against the First Class of the conference, that does improve their resume. They’ll be a worthy participant in the title game, but it’s easy to argue that if the schedule had been arranged differently, so would have Texas A&M, Florida, LSU, or USC.

Here are the week 13 college football SRS Ratings:

Rk
Team
Conf
ConfRk
G
MOV
SOS
SRS
REC
1OregonP1211223.741.665.311-1
2AlabamaSEC11224.140.664.811-1
3Texas A&MSEC21218.242.96110-2
4Kansas StB1211116.642.959.510-1
5FloridaSEC31213.144.958.111-1
6Notre DameIND--1214.743.257.912-0
7GeorgiaSEC41217.740.257.811-1
8OklahomaB1221113.943.857.79-2
9StanfordP1221210.845.456.210-2
10South CarolinaSEC51212.542.454.910-2
11Oklahoma StB1231112.74254.87-4
12LSUSEC61211.443.354.710-2
13Oregon StP123115.947.653.58-3
14Florida StACC11220.432.65310-2
15Southern CalP124127.944.952.87-5
16Ohio StateB1011213.738.752.412-0
17TexasB12411843.551.58-3
18ClemsonACC21215.13651.110-2
19Arizona StP125129.241.750.97-5
20UCLAP126128.642.150.69-3
21BaylorB125114.945.450.36-5
22Utah StWAC11217.732.35010-2
23MichiganB10212940.949.88-4
24Fresno StMWC1121633.449.49-3
25NebraskaB1031210.538.849.310-2
26WisconsinB104128.140.748.77-5
27Brigham YoungIND--1211.736.448.17-5
28ArizonaP127122.445.147.57-5
29Texas TechB126124.442.446.87-5
30Penn StateB105128.73846.68-4
31TCUB127116.340.346.67-4
33VanderbiltSEC7129.337.146.58-4
32San José StWAC21212.733.946.510-2
34Boise StMWC21114.331.846.19-2
35Northern IllinoisMAC11219.426.64611-1
36NorthwesternB106127.63845.69-3
37MississippiSEC8121.244.345.56-6
38Iowa StB128120.844.445.26-6
39Mississippi StSEC912639.145.18-4
40Michigan StB10712341.744.76-6
41WashingtonP128120.544.144.57-5
42West VirginiaB12911-0.744.944.16-5
43Central FloridaCUS1121331.144.19-3
44MissouriSEC1012-3.347.243.95-7
45Louisiana TechWAC31211.831.643.59-3
46CincinnatiBgE11111.631.643.28-3
47North CarolinaACC3121131.742.88-4
48San Diego StMWC3129.832.842.69-3
49UtahP12912042.442.35-7
50SyracuseBgE2123.538.4427-5
51Miami FLACC4121.639.941.57-5
52TulsaCUS2129.531.5419-3
53TennesseeSEC1112-0.441.340.95-7
54RutgersBgE3119.531.340.79-2
56Georgia TechACC5123.836.3406-6
55Louisiana-MonroeSun1127.232.8408-4
57LouisvilleBgE4117.132.739.89-2
58Kent StMAC21211.528.339.811-1
59Arkansas StSun2117.632.139.78-3
60Louisiana-LafayetteSun3116.43339.57-4
61PittsburghBgE5114.634.338.95-6
62ArkansasSEC1212-5.944.638.84-8
63PurdueB10812038.638.56-6
64North Carolina StACC6123.235.138.47-5
65CaliforniaP121012-8.846.737.93-9
66Virginia TechACC7120.836.737.56-6
67Ball StMAC3124.932.337.39-3
68IowaB10912-441374-8
69ToledoMAC4125.531.436.99-3
70SMUCUS312234.436.36-6
71MinnesotaB101012-2.737.935.26-6
72Middle Tennessee StSun4113.531.635.18-3
73NavyIND--112.332.534.87-4
74Western KentuckySun5122.73234.67-5
75NevadaMWC4114.430.134.47-4
76AuburnSEC1312-9.64434.33-9
77DukeACC812-336.733.86-6
78Bowling GreenMAC5127.625.933.58-4
80IndianaB101112-4.337.633.34-8
79KansasB121011-14.447.733.31-10
81South FloridaBgE611-5.338.232.93-8
82TroySun612-0.333.132.85-7
83East CarolinaCUS4121.43132.48-4
84Washington StP121112-12.44431.73-9
85VirginiaACC912-6.137.631.64-8
87ConnecticutBgE711-0.932.231.45-6
86KentuckySEC1412-12.443.831.42-10
88RiceCUS5120.231.131.26-6
89Ohio U.MAC6125.225.330.58-4
90Air ForceMWC5120.429.6306-6
91MarylandACC1012-6.436.129.74-8
92Boston CollegeACC1112-9.438.629.22-10
93TempleBgE811-6.735.829.14-7
94HoustonCUS612-3.532.228.75-7
95MarshallCUS712-2.430.628.25-7
97Western MichiganMAC712-1.829.727.94-8
96WyomingMWC612-6.834.727.94-8
98Florida AtlanticSun711-835.627.73-8
99Florida Int'lSun812-6.83427.23-9
100Colorado StMWC712-8.635.6274-8
101North TexasSun912-6.333.3274-8
102UTEPCUS812-7.834.826.93-9
103Texas St-San MarcosWAC411-733.926.83-8
104Wake ForestACC1212-11.537.6265-7
105New MexicoMWC813-4.830.725.94-9
106Central MichiganMAC812-3.529.125.66-6
107IllinoisB101212-14.739.524.82-10
108BuffaloMAC912-731.524.64-8
109MemphisCUS912-630.524.44-8
110Texas-San AntonioWAC5122.621.4248-4
111Alabama-BirminghamCUS1012-8.632.423.83-9
112UNLVMWC913-10.63423.42-11
113Miami OHMAC1012-9.832.722.94-8
114ColoradoP121212-22.34522.71-11
115ArmyIND--11-1233.521.52-9
116South AlabamaSun1012-10.731.921.22-10
117Hawai`iMWC1011-14.635.420.82-9
118AkronMAC1112-1030201-11
119Eastern MichiganMAC1212-14.634.319.72-10
120TulaneCUS1112-15.534.218.72-10
121Southern MissCUS1212-17.834.8170-12
122New Mexico StWAC611-17.533.415.91-10
123IdahoWAC712-21.637.215.61-11
124MassachusettsMAC1312-22.332.610.41-11

Oregon jumps to #1 fresh off of a blowout win in Corvalis against Orego State. Texas A&M, Kansas State, and Florida are all barely ahead of undefeated Notre Dame, too. Remember, the SRS ratings would barely change if Pittsburgh could have kicked a field goal in South Bend, but the perception of the Fighting Irish would be dramatically different. The SRS is forward-looking, and while it doesn’t hate Notre Dame, it basically ranks them on the same level with some excellent 11-1 teams. Notre Dame certainly isn’t a fraud, but they will legitimately be underdogs against Alabama. If anything, the SRS likes Notre Dame more than the public, as the early reports indicate a 9.5-point spread against Alabama in the BCS National Championship Game, versus the 7-point margin the SRS would implement. Right now Georgia is projected as a 1.5-point favorite against the Fighting Irish.

The week 13 results:

Rank
Date
Tm_Conf
PF
Opp
PA
H/R
W/L
Diff
MOV
Opp_Conf
SOS
SRS
111-24-2012Oregon_P1248Oregon St24RoadWin2425.5P1253.579
211-24-2012Stanford_P1235UCLA17RoadWin1821P1250.671.6
311-24-2012Texas A&M_SEC59Missouri29HomeWin3025.5SEC43.969.4
411-24-2012Alabama_SEC49Auburn0HomeWin4935SEC34.369.3
511-24-2012Florida_SEC37Florida St26RoadWin1114ACC5367
611-24-2012Georgia_SEC42Georgia Tech10HomeWin3226.5ACC4066.5
711-24-2012Notre Dame_IND22Southern Cal13RoadWin912P1252.864.8
811-24-2012South Carolina_SEC27Clemson17RoadWin1013ACC51.164.1
911-22-2012TCU_B1220Texas13RoadWin710B1251.561.5
1011-24-2012Mississippi_SEC41Mississippi St24HomeWin1714SEC45.159.1
1111-24-2012Pittsburgh_BgE27Rutgers6HomeWin2118BgE40.758.7
1211-24-2012Oklahoma St_B1248Oklahoma51RoadLoss-30B1257.757.7
1311-23-2012Arizona St_P1241Arizona34RoadWin710P1247.557.5
1411-24-2012Fresno St_MWC48Air Force15HomeWin3327MWC3057
1511-24-2012Ohio State_B1026Michigan21HomeWin57B1049.856.8
1611-24-2012Vanderbilt_SEC55Wake Forest21RoadWin3430.5ACC2656.5
1711-23-2012West Virginia_B1231Iowa St24RoadWin710B1245.255.2
1811-24-2012Oklahoma_B1251Oklahoma St48HomeWin30B1254.854.8
1911-23-2012Northern Illinois_MAC49Eastern Michigan7RoadWin4234.5MAC19.754.2
2011-24-2012Michigan St_B1026Minnesota10RoadWin1619B1035.254.2
2111-24-2012Baylor_B1252Texas Tech45NeutWin77B1246.853.8
2211-24-2012Northwestern_B1050Illinois14HomeWin3628.5B1024.853.3
2311-24-2012Hawai`i_MWC48UNLV10HomeWin3829.5MWC23.452.9
2411-24-2012Purdue_B1056Indiana35HomeWin2118B1033.351.3
2511-24-2012San José St_WAC52Louisiana Tech43HomeWin97WAC43.550.5
2611-23-2012Syracuse_BgE38Temple20RoadWin1821BgE29.150.1
2711-23-2012Kent St_MAC28Ohio U.6HomeWin2219MAC30.549.5
2811-23-2012LSU_SEC20Arkansas13RoadWin710SEC38.848.8
2911-24-2012Penn State_B1024Wisconsin21HomeWin30B1048.748.7
3011-24-2012Tennessee_SEC37Kentucky17HomeWin2017SEC31.448.4
3111-24-2012SMU_CUS35Tulsa27HomeWin87CUS4148
3211-24-2012Brigham Young_IND50New Mexico St14RoadWin3631.5WAC15.947.4
3311-23-2012Cincinnati_BgE27South Florida10HomeWin1714BgE32.946.9
3411-24-2012Connecticut_BgE23Louisville20RoadWin37BgE39.846.8
3511-24-2012Wisconsin_B1021Penn State24RoadLoss-30B1046.646.6
3611-23-2012Nebraska_B1013Iowa7RoadWin69B103746
3711-24-2012Southern Cal_P1213Notre Dame22HomeLoss-9-12IND57.945.9
3811-24-2012Central Florida_CUS49Alabama-Birmingham24HomeWin2522CUS23.845.8
3911-24-2012Michigan_B1021Ohio State26RoadLoss-5-7B1052.445.4
4011-24-2012San Diego St_MWC42Wyoming28RoadWin1417MWC27.944.9
4111-23-2012Arkansas_SEC13LSU20HomeLoss-7-10SEC54.744.7
4211-23-2012Washington St_P1231Washington28HomeWin30P1244.544.5
4311-24-2012Utah St_WAC45Idaho9HomeWin3628.5WAC15.644.1
4411-24-2012Florida St_ACC26Florida37HomeLoss-11-14SEC58.144.1
4511-24-2012Miami FL_ACC52Duke45RoadWin710ACC33.843.8
4611-24-2012Texas Tech_B1245Baylor52NeutLoss-7-7B1250.343.3
4711-24-2012North Carolina St_ACC27Boston College10HomeWin1714ACC29.243.2
4811-24-2012Clemson_ACC17South Carolina27HomeLoss-10-13SEC54.941.9
4911-23-2012Arizona_P1234Arizona St41HomeLoss-7-10P1250.940.9
5011-23-2012Iowa_B107Nebraska13HomeLoss-6-9B1049.340.3
5111-24-2012Louisiana-Lafayette_Sun52South Alabama30HomeWin2219Sun21.240.2
5211-24-2012Oregon St_P1224Oregon48HomeLoss-24-25.5P1265.339.8
5311-24-2012Louisiana Tech_WAC43San José St52RoadLoss-9-7WAC46.539.5
5411-24-2012Rice_CUS33UTEP24RoadWin912CUS26.938.9
5511-24-2012Houston_CUS40Tulane17HomeWin2320CUS18.738.7
5611-23-2012Bowling Green_MAC21Buffalo7NeutWin1414MAC24.638.6
5711-24-2012Virginia_ACC14Virginia Tech17RoadLoss-30ACC37.537.5
5811-24-2012North Carolina_ACC45Maryland38HomeWin77ACC29.736.7
5911-22-2012Texas_B1213TCU20HomeLoss-7-10B1246.636.6
6011-24-2012Louisiana-Monroe_Sun23Florida Int'l17RoadWin69Sun27.236.2
6111-24-2012Maryland_ACC38North Carolina45RoadLoss-7-7ACC42.835.8
6211-24-2012Missouri_SEC29Texas A&M59RoadLoss-30-25.5SEC6135.5
6311-23-2012East Carolina_CUS65Marshall59HomeWin67CUS28.235.2
6411-24-2012UCLA_P1217Stanford35HomeLoss-18-21P1256.235.2
6511-24-2012Troy_Sun21Middle Tennessee St24RoadLoss-30Sun35.135.1
6611-24-2012North Texas_Sun24Western Kentucky25RoadLoss-10Sun34.634.6
6711-23-2012Central Michigan_MAC42Massachusetts21RoadWin2124MAC10.434.4
6811-23-2012Iowa St_B1224West Virginia31HomeLoss-7-10B1244.134.1
6911-24-2012Texas-San Antonio_WAC38Texas St-San Marcos31HomeWin77WAC26.833.8
7011-24-2012Colorado St_MWC24New Mexico20HomeWin47MWC25.932.9
7111-23-2012Ball St_MAC31Miami OH24RoadWin710MAC22.932.9
7211-24-2012Middle Tennessee St_Sun24Troy21HomeWin30Sun32.832.8
7311-23-2012Utah_P1242Colorado35RoadWin710P1222.732.7
7411-23-2012Colorado_P1235Utah42HomeLoss-7-10P1242.332.3
7511-24-2012Memphis_CUS42Southern Miss24HomeWin1815CUS1732
7611-23-2012Washington_P1228Washington St31RoadLoss-30P1231.731.7
7711-24-2012Virginia Tech_ACC17Virginia14HomeWin30ACC31.631.6
7811-24-2012Mississippi St_SEC24Mississippi41RoadLoss-17-14SEC45.531.5
7911-24-2012Duke_ACC45Miami FL52HomeLoss-7-10ACC41.531.5
8011-24-2012Georgia Tech_ACC10Georgia42RoadLoss-32-26.5SEC57.831.3
8111-24-2012Florida Int'l_Sun17Louisiana-Monroe23HomeLoss-6-9Sun4031
8211-24-2012Auburn_SEC0Alabama49RoadLoss-49-35SEC64.829.8
8311-24-2012Tulsa_CUS27SMU35RoadLoss-8-7CUS36.329.3
8411-23-2012South Florida_BgE10Cincinnati27RoadLoss-17-14BgE43.229.2
8511-20-2012Toledo_MAC35Akron23HomeWin129MAC2029
8611-20-2012Akron_MAC23Toledo35RoadLoss-12-9MAC36.927.9
8711-23-2012Miami OH_MAC24Ball St31HomeLoss-7-10MAC37.327.3
8811-24-2012Western Kentucky_Sun25North Texas24HomeWin10Sun2727
8911-24-2012Minnesota_B1010Michigan St26HomeLoss-16-19B1044.725.7
9011-24-2012Wyoming_MWC28San Diego St42HomeLoss-14-17MWC42.625.6
9111-23-2012Marshall_CUS59East Carolina65RoadLoss-6-7CUS32.425.4
9211-24-2012Boston College_ACC10North Carolina St27RoadLoss-17-14ACC38.424.4
9311-24-2012Louisville_BgE20Connecticut23HomeLoss-3-7BgE31.424.4
9411-24-2012Kentucky_SEC17Tennessee37RoadLoss-20-17SEC40.923.9
9511-24-2012Air Force_MWC15Fresno St48RoadLoss-33-27MWC49.422.4
9611-24-2012Alabama-Birmingham_CUS24Central Florida49RoadLoss-25-22CUS44.122.1
9711-24-2012Idaho_WAC9Utah St45RoadLoss-36-28.5WAC5021.5
9811-23-2012Temple_BgE20Syracuse38HomeLoss-18-21BgE4221
9911-24-2012Rutgers_BgE6Pittsburgh27RoadLoss-21-18BgE38.920.9
10011-23-2012Ohio U._MAC6Kent St28RoadLoss-22-19MAC39.820.8
10111-24-2012Indiana_B1035Purdue56RoadLoss-21-18B1038.520.5
10211-24-2012South Alabama_Sun30Louisiana-Lafayette52RoadLoss-22-19Sun39.520.5
10311-24-2012New Mexico_MWC20Colorado St24RoadLoss-4-7MWC2720
10411-23-2012Buffalo_MAC7Bowling Green21NeutLoss-14-14MAC33.519.5
10511-24-2012UTEP_CUS24Rice33HomeLoss-9-12CUS31.219.2
10611-24-2012Illinois_B1014Northwestern50RoadLoss-36-28.5B1045.617.1
10711-24-2012Texas St-San Marcos_WAC31Texas-San Antonio38RoadLoss-7-7WAC2417
10811-24-2012New Mexico St_WAC14Brigham Young50HomeLoss-36-31.5IND48.116.6
10911-24-2012Wake Forest_ACC21Vanderbilt55HomeLoss-34-30.5SEC46.516
11011-23-2012Eastern Michigan_MAC7Northern Illinois49HomeLoss-42-34.5MAC4611.5
11111-24-2012Southern Miss_CUS24Memphis42RoadLoss-18-15CUS24.49.4
11211-24-2012Tulane_CUS17Houston40RoadLoss-23-20CUS28.78.7
11311-23-2012Massachusetts_MAC21Central Michigan42HomeLoss-21-24MAC25.61.6
11411-24-2012UNLV_MWC10Hawai`i48RoadLoss-38-29.5MWC20.8-8.7
{ 8 comments }
  • Chase Stuart November 26, 2012, 9:40 pm

    Shockingly, Steve Spurrier agrees with me:

    “‘Bama had the weakest sked in West; UGA had the weakest on our side. I find it interesting, haven’t seen anybody write that.”

    Reply
  • Guide September 30, 2013, 6:54 pm

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