Previously:
I am short on time this week, so just a few notes:
The Chargers won with a -6.5 Game Script in Pittsburgh, while the Titans beat the Jets at home despite a -8.2 Game Script. The worst Game Script this year by a winning team was Green Bay at -9.3 in the season opener; the Titans game is the second lowest, followed by the Bears against the Cardinals in week 3, the Panthers in Philadelphia in week 7, and the Chargers/Steelers game.
| Team | H/R | Opp | Boxscore | PF | PA | Margin | Game Script | Pass | Run | P/R Ratio | Op_P | Op_R | Opp_P/R Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | CLE | Boxscore | 29 | 13 | 16 | 13.8 | 35 | 39 | 47.3% | 43 | 9 | 82.7% | |
| SEA | SFO | Boxscore | 43 | 16 | 27 | 13.3 | 20 | 29 | 40.8% | 51 | 22 | 69.9% | |
| KAN | @ | OAK | Boxscore | 40 | 33 | 7 | 9.8 | 38 | 30 | 55.9% | 41 | 28 | 59.4% |
| NWE | MIN | Boxscore | 24 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 32 | 39 | 45.1% | 46 | 13 | 78% | |
| DAL | NOR | Boxscore | 13 | 10 | 3 | 6.5 | 35 | 31 | 53% | 30 | 19 | 61.2% | |
| TAM | CAR | Boxscore | 24 | 17 | 7 | 6.1 | 34 | 25 | 57.6% | 46 | 19 | 70.8% | |
| DEN | @ | CIN | Boxscore | 24 | 10 | 14 | 5.9 | 23 | 34 | 40.4% | 42 | 23 | 64.6% |
| LAR | @ | DET | Boxscore | 30 | 16 | 14 | 4.3 | 35 | 29 | 54.7% | 38 | 26 | 59.4% |
| MIA | BUF | Boxscore | 21 | 17 | 4 | 4.1 | 27 | 23 | 54% | 35 | 31 | 53% | |
| PHI | WAS | Boxscore | 28 | 13 | 15 | 4.1 | 39 | 33 | 54.2% | 28 | 14 | 66.7% | |
| NYG | CHI | Boxscore | 30 | 27 | 3 | 3.5 | 39 | 29 | 57.4% | 45 | 32 | 58.4% | |
| BAL | @ | ATL | Boxscore | 26 | 16 | 10 | 2.5 | 27 | 49 | 35.5% | 30 | 15 | 66.7% |
| JAX | IND | Boxscore | 6 | 0 | 6 | 2.2 | 27 | 27 | 50% | 55 | 16 | 77.5% | |
| ARI | @ | GNB | Boxscore | 20 | 17 | 3 | 0.1 | 28 | 29 | 49.1% | 51 | 23 | 68.9% |
| LAC | @ | PIT | Boxscore | 33 | 30 | 3 | -6.5 | 38 | 22 | 63.3% | 46 | 17 | 73% |
| TEN | NYJ | Boxscore | 26 | 22 | 4 | -8.2 | 38 | 22 | 63.3% | 32 | 33 | 49.2% |
The Ravens and Broncos were the two most run-heavy teams this week; both have questionable passing games but very strong running games, and when the Game Script goes in their favor, that’s a winning formula. In the fourth quarter, Baltimore had 17 runs and just 3 passes; the Broncos had 12 runs (and just two first downs) compared to two pass plays (one sack, one attempt).
The Colts were super pass-happy in a game that was 3-0 at halftime and ended 6-0. Andrew Luck was not very good, which led to him passing more and more often. A competitive game where the team has a star quarterback who plays badly and narrowly trails most of the way is the recipe for a very high pass ratio, and you saw that on Sunday.
What stands out to you?