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Week 10, 2016 Game Scripts: Break Up The Titans

The Titans were the big Game Scripts story of week ten, as Tennessee rolled out to a 21-0 lead against the Packers. The Titans have been remarkable over the last few weeks: since the start of week five, the team is averaging 33.7 points per game, the most in the NFL.

Tennessee has scored at least 25 points in six straight games for only the third time in franchise history, and only the second time since the merger. The Titans have crossed the 35-point mark in three straight games, a franchise first.  The team is 2nd in yards per carry and 6th in yards per attempt; this is an offense flying high right now.

Below are the game scripts data for week 10.  And, as always, you can check the season-to-date results here.

TeamH/ROppBoxscorePFPAMarginGame ScriptPassRunP/R RatioOp_POp_ROpp_P/R Ratio
TENGNBBoxscore47252216.8293049.2%601382.2%
TAMCHIBoxscore36102611.2373154.4%342063%
ARISFOBoxscore232036.3512368.9%332854.1%
HOU@JAXBoxscore242135.8283345.9%522171.2%
BALCLEBoxscore287215.2433455.8%351372.9%
RAM@NYJBoxscore9633.8333449.3%332556.9%
WASMINBoxscore262063.3342854.8%432167.2%
DEN@NORBoxscore252322.9463556.8%292158%
PHIATLBoxscore241592.6383850%351372.9%
SEA@NWEBoxscore312471402660.6%342854.8%
MIA@SDGBoxscore31247-0.4252550%472466.2%
NYGCINBoxscore21201-0.8452762.5%322358.2%
DAL@PITBoxscore35305-1.1342557.6%461970.8%
KAN@CARBoxscore20173-7.3412067.2%402958%

One of the most surprising pass ratios of the week came from Arizona. Facing a historically bad San Francisco run defense, and given a Game Script of +6.3, the Cardinals passed on 69% of all plays. By reference, only one other team passed on more than 53% of plays against San Francisco this year, and that was the Rams in week one while playing with a -11.8 Game Script. David Johnson wasn’t very effective (19/55/1) on the ground, so perhaps the Cardinals passed so frequently for that reason, but Carson Palmer was hardly great, either.

In losing efforts, Pittsburgh, Atlanta, and Green Bay came off as pass-happy, but that isn’t too surprising. And Miami and San Francisco stood out as run-heavy, but not egregiously so.

What sticks out to you?

  • Ryan

    The Chiefs now have two of this season’s three lowest winning game scripts; this week was #3, and in week 1 they had the league’s lowest winning game script in over a year, with -10.3 against the Chargers after being down 21-3 at halftime.

    I guess this is a warning not to get too excited if my Bucs jump out to an early lead at Arrowhead this weekend.