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A quick look at Arian Foster‘s statistics over the last three years paints a picture of a player in decline:
| Year | G | Rsh | RshYd | RTD | YPC | YPG | C/G | Rec | RecYd | YPR | TD | YScm | RRTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010*+ | 16 | 327 | 1616 | 16 | 4.9 | 101.0 | 20.4 | 66 | 604 | 9.2 | 2 | 2220 | 18 |
| 2011* | 13 | 278 | 1224 | 10 | 4.4 | 94.2 | 21.4 | 53 | 617 | 11.6 | 2 | 1841 | 12 |
| 2012* | 16 | 351 | 1424 | 15 | 4.1 | 89.0 | 21.9 | 40 | 217 | 5.4 | 2 | 1641 | 17 |
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Foster’s declined in rushing yards per game and yards per carry over the last two years, while his value in the receiving game fell off a cliff in 2012. One could reasonably conclude that Foster simply isn’t the same player he used to be, and that he could drop off even more in 2013. But while the traditional statistics tell one story, what do the advanced metrics say?
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