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Pythagenpat History, 1960-2016

Yesterday, I looked at Pythagenpat records in 2016. Today, let’s look at the Pythagenpat records for each team since 1960.1 The table below shows the following information for all 1,613 teams since 1960:

The top team by Pythagenpat winning percentage was the 1962 Green Bay Packers, who scored 415 points and allowed just 148 points. That translated to a 0.929 winning percentage, and an even better 0.934 Pythagenpat Winning Percentage. The Packers therefore “underachieved” by 0.005, which ranks as the 851st best difference since 1960. The team’s main passer (by attempts) and coach (by games) were Starr and Lombardi, of course.

RkFranTeamYearPFPAWin %Pyth WPDiffDiff RkMain PasserMain Coach
1gnbGNB19624151480.9290.934-0.005851Bart StarrVince Lombardi
2minMIN19693791330.8570.932-0.0751353Joe KappBud Grant
3cltBAL19684021440.9290.932-0.003835Earl MorrallDon Shula
4pitPIT19763421380.7140.903-0.1891604Terry BradshawChuck Noll
5dalDAL19684311860.8570.901-0.0441150Don MeredithTom Landry
6chiCHI19854561980.9380.8960.042501Jim McMahonMike Ditka
7nweNWE20075892741.0000.8920.108138Tom BradyBill Belichick
8pitPIT19753731620.8570.892-0.0351077Terry BradshawChuck Noll
9minMIN19703351430.8570.890-0.0331071Gary CuozzoBud Grant
10ramSTL19995262420.8130.889-0.0771360Kurt WarnerDick Vermeil
11otiHOU19615132420.7500.889-0.1391543George BlandaWally Lemm
12miaMIA19723851711.0000.8880.112126Earl MorrallDon Shula
13miaMIA19733431500.8570.886-0.0291045Bob GrieseDon Shula
14wasWAS19914852240.8750.884-0.009888Mark RypienJoe Gibbs
15ramRAM19753121350.8570.884-0.0261022James HarrisChuck Knox
16gnbGNB19964562100.8130.881-0.0691311Brett FavreMike Holmgren
17ramRAM19733881780.8570.881-0.0241006John HadlChuck Knox
18kanKAN19683711700.8570.879-0.022986Len DawsonHank Stram
19cltBAL19713131400.7140.876-0.1611584Johnny UnitasDon McCafferty
20sfoSFO19844752270.9380.8740.064340Joe MontanaBill Walsh
21raiOAK19674682330.9290.8690.060369Daryle LamonicaJohn Rauch
22minMIN19753771800.8570.869-0.012910Fran TarkentonBud Grant
23ramRAM19673981960.8570.863-0.006864Roman GabrielGeorge Allen
24raiOAK19684532330.8570.8570.000815Daryle LamonicaJohn Rauch
25kanKAN19693591770.7860.857-0.0711328Len DawsonHank Stram
26gnbGNB19663351630.8570.8570.000809Bart StarrVince Lombardi
27cltBAL19673941980.8570.8570.000807Johnny UnitasDon Shula
28chiCHI19633011440.8570.8560.001803Billy WadeGeorge Halas
29ramRAM19773021460.7140.853-0.1391544Pat HadenChuck Knox
30minMIN19985562960.9380.8500.087215Randall CunninghamDennis Green
31cltBAL19644282250.8570.8470.010737Johnny UnitasDon Shula
32pitPIT19723431750.7860.844-0.0591242Terry BradshawChuck Noll
33ravBAL20003331650.7500.844-0.0941431Tony BanksBrian Billick
34dalDAL19664452390.7500.842-0.0921425Don MeredithTom Landry
35ramSTL20015032730.8750.8380.037530Kurt WarnerMike Martz
36dalDAL19733822030.7140.837-0.1231518Roger StaubachTom Landry
37sfoSFO19874592530.8670.8310.035539Joe MontanaBill Walsh
38dalDAL19714062220.7860.831-0.0451159Roger StaubachTom Landry
39sfoSFO19924312360.8750.8260.049439Steve YoungGeorge Seifert
40ramRAM19763511900.7500.826-0.0761357James HarrisChuck Knox
41sdgSDG19613962190.8570.8260.032578Jack KempSid Gillman
42chiCHI19863521870.8750.8250.050430Mike TomczakMike Ditka
43dalDAL19783842080.7500.823-0.0731342Roger StaubachTom Landry
44jaxJAX19993962170.8750.8210.054397Mark BrunellTom Coughlin
45seaSEA20134172310.8130.820-0.008881Russell WilsonPete Carroll
46sfoSFO19954572580.6880.819-0.1311530Steve YoungGeorge Seifert
47gnbGNB19633692060.8210.8180.003787Bart StarrVince Lombardi
48cltIND20054392470.8750.8180.057381Peyton ManningTony Dungy
49pitPIT19783561950.8750.8150.060368Terry BradshawChuck Noll
50nweNWE20164412500.8750.8150.060366Tom BradyBill Belichick
51miaMIA19845132980.8750.8140.061358Dan MarinoDon Shula
52gnbGNB19613912230.7860.813-0.0281034Bart StarrVince Lombardi
53miaMIA19713151740.7500.813-0.0631269Bob GrieseDon Shula
54denDEN19772741480.8570.8130.044479Craig MortonRed Miller
55sfoSFO19894422530.8750.8110.064339Joe MontanaGeorge Seifert
56otiTEN20003461910.8130.8110.002800Steve McNairJeff Fisher
57nweNWE20125573310.7500.810-0.0601248Tom BradyBill Belichick
58sfoSFO19945052960.8130.8100.003791Steve YoungGeorge Seifert
59detDET19623151770.7860.807-0.021983Milt PlumGeorge Wilson
60cltIND20074502620.8130.8060.007759Peyton ManningTony Dungy
61minMIN19884062330.6880.806-0.1181506Wade WilsonJerry Burns
62cltBAL19764172460.7860.804-0.018960Bert JonesTed Marchibroda
63phiPHI20024152410.7500.802-0.0521209Donovan McNabbAndy Reid
64tamTAM20023461960.7500.801-0.0511203Brad JohnsonJon Gruden
65ravBAL20063532010.8130.8010.012717Steve McNairBrian Billick
66phiPHI19803842220.7500.800-0.0501188Ron JaworskiDick Vermeil
67minMIN19732961680.8570.7990.058379Fran TarkentonBud Grant
68nweNWE20105183130.8750.7990.076267Tom BradyBill Belichick
69detDET19703472020.7140.799-0.0851388Bill MunsonJoe Schmidt
70cleCLE19603622170.7080.798-0.0901415Milt PlumPaul Brown
71denDEN20124812890.8130.7970.015693Peyton ManningJohn Fox
72nweNWE20044372600.8750.7960.079247Tom BradyBill Belichick
73minMIN19763051760.8210.7950.026613Fran TarkentonBud Grant
74wasWAS19835413320.8750.7950.080243Joe TheismannJoe Gibbs
75seaSEA20054522710.8130.7940.018673Matt HasselbeckMike Holmgren
76kanDTX19623892330.7860.794-0.008882Len DawsonHank Stram
77chiCHI20064272550.8130.7930.020664Rex GrossmanLovie Smith
78seaSEA20124122450.6880.793-0.1051468Russell WilsonPete Carroll
79dalDAL19924092430.8130.7930.020661Troy AikmanJimmy Johnson
80nygNYG19613682200.7500.792-0.0421134Y.A. TittleAllie Sherman
81bufBUF19644002420.8570.7910.066326Jack KempLou Saban
82norNOR20115473390.8130.7910.021654Drew BreesSean Payton
83denDEN19974722870.7500.791-0.0411128John ElwayMike Shanahan
84kanKAN19664482760.8210.7900.031581Len DawsonHank Stram
85dalDAL19944142480.7500.790-0.0401121Troy AikmanBarry Switzer
86sdgSDG19794112460.7500.790-0.0401120Dan FoutsDon Coryell
87minMIN19712451390.7860.789-0.003838Gary CuozzoBud Grant
88carCAR20155003080.9380.7890.14947Cam NewtonRon Rivera
89denDEN19985013090.8750.7880.087219John ElwayMike Shanahan
90sdgSDG20064923030.8750.7880.087216Philip RiversMarty Schottenheimer
91dalDAL19693692230.8210.7870.034555Craig MortonTom Landry
92carCAR19963672180.7500.787-0.0371091Kerry CollinsDom Capers
93nygNYG19634482800.7860.7840.002798Y.A. TittleAllie Sherman
94pitPIT19733472100.7140.783-0.0691310Terry BradshawChuck Noll
95sfoSFO20113802290.8130.7830.030594Alex SmithJim Harbaugh
96phiPHI19813682210.6250.782-0.1571580Ron JaworskiDick Vermeil
97bufBUF19904282630.8130.7810.031582Jim KellyMarv Levy
98sfoSFO19913932390.6250.781-0.1561574Steve YoungGeorge Seifert
99cleCLE19873902390.6670.781-0.1141492Bernie KosarMarty Schottenheimer
100raiOAK20004792990.7500.781-0.0311054Rich GannonJon Gruden
101kanKAN19674082540.6430.780-0.1371539Len DawsonHank Stram
102sfoSFO19934732950.6250.780-0.1551573Steve YoungGeorge Seifert
103pitPIT20013522120.8130.7790.034558Kordell StewartBill Cowher
104cleCLE19943402040.6880.778-0.0911420Vinny TestaverdeBill Belichick
105dalDAL19933762290.7500.778-0.0281032Troy AikmanJimmy Johnson
106raiOAK19732921750.6790.778-0.0991449Ken StablerJohn Madden
107chiCHI20013382030.8130.7780.035546Jim MillerDick Jauron
108gnbGNB20115603590.9380.7770.16036Aaron RodgersMike McCarthy
109wasWAS19733251980.7140.777-0.0631266Billy KilmerGeorge Allen
110dalDAL19773452120.8570.7770.081242Roger StaubachTom Landry
111nweNWE20063852370.7500.774-0.0241011Tom BradyBill Belichick
112phiPHI20013432080.6880.774-0.0871400Donovan McNabbAndy Reid
113wasWAS19743201960.7140.774-0.0601246Billy KilmerGeorge Allen
114miaMIA19753572220.7140.773-0.0591244Bob GrieseDon Shula
115gnbGNB20103882400.6250.773-0.1481557Aaron RodgersMike McCarthy
116gnbGNB19603322090.6670.772-0.1061471Bart StarrVince Lombardi
117nweNWE19763762360.7860.7720.014705Steve GroganChuck Fairbanks
118.5kanKAN19973752320.8130.7710.042504Elvis GrbacMarty Schottenheimer
118.5pitPIT20103752320.7500.771-0.021981Ben RoethlisbergerMike Tomlin
120crdARI20154893130.8130.7700.042499Carson PalmerBruce Arians
121pitPIT19794162620.7500.769-0.019964Terry BradshawChuck Noll
122denDEN20136063990.8130.7690.044487Peyton ManningJohn Fox
123ramRAM19703252020.6790.768-0.0901414Roman GabrielGeorge Allen
124norNOR19923302020.7500.768-0.018962Bobby HebertJim Mora
125sdgSDG19633992550.7860.7670.018670Tobin RoteSid Gillman
126otiTEN20083752340.8130.7670.045475Kerry CollinsJeff Fisher
127cinCIN19763352100.7140.766-0.0521207Ken AndersonBill Johnson
128pitPIT19743051890.7500.766-0.016941Joe GilliamChuck Noll
129norNOR19913412110.6880.766-0.0781371Steve WalshJim Mora
130cleCLE19664032590.6430.765-0.1221517Frank RyanBlanton Collier
131denDEN19893622260.6880.765-0.0781366John ElwayDan Reeves
132gnbGNB20094612970.6880.764-0.0771359Aaron RodgersMike McCarthy
133gnbGNB19673322090.6790.764-0.0861393Bart StarrVince Lombardi
134raiOAK19693772420.8930.7620.13183Daryle LamonicaJohn Madden
135nyjNYJ19984162660.7500.762-0.012914Vinny TestaverdeBill Parcells
136ravBAL20083852440.6880.762-0.0741350Joe FlaccoJohn Harbaugh
137sfoSFO19854112630.6250.761-0.1361537Joe MontanaBill Walsh
138miaMIA19773131970.7140.761-0.0471171Bob GrieseDon Shula
139minMIN19743101950.7140.761-0.0461169Fran TarkentonBud Grant
140raiOAK19743552280.8570.7590.098173Ken StablerJohn Madden
141dalDAL19822261450.6670.759-0.0921424Danny WhiteTom Landry
142nygNYG19863712360.8750.7580.117109Phil SimmsBill Parcells
143nygNYG19903352110.8130.7570.055390Phil SimmsBill Parcells
144miaMIA19833892500.7500.756-0.006868Dan MarinoDon Shula
145seaSEA20143942540.7500.756-0.006857Russell WilsonPete Carroll
146sfoSFO19963982570.7500.755-0.005852Steve YoungGeorge Seifert
147atlATL19984422890.8750.7550.120103Chris ChandlerDan Reeves
148nweNWE20115133420.8130.7540.059373Tom BradyBill Belichick
149ramRAM19683122000.7500.753-0.003832Roman GabrielGeorge Allen
150seaSEA20154232770.6250.752-0.1271524Russell WilsonPete Carroll
151norNOR20095103410.8130.7520.061360Drew BreesSean Payton
152wasWAS19723362180.7860.7510.034551Billy KilmerGeorge Allen
153minMIN20094703120.7500.751-0.001820Brett FavreBrad Childress
154otiHOU19913862510.6880.750-0.0631270Warren MoonJack Pardee
155otiHOU19933682380.7500.7500.000817Warren MoonJack Pardee
156cltIND20045223510.7500.7500.000816Peyton ManningTony Dungy
157pitPIT20083472230.7500.7500.000813Ben RoethlisbergerMike Tomlin
158denDEN20053952580.8130.7500.063345Jake PlummerMike Shanahan
159raiOAK19773512300.7860.7490.037533Ken StablerJohn Madden
160nyjNYJ19684192800.7860.7490.037531Joe NamathWeeb Ewbank
161nweNWE20144683130.7500.7470.003790Tom BradyBill Belichick
162chiCHI19654092750.6430.745-0.1021462Rudy BukichGeorge Halas
163denDEN19763152060.6430.744-0.1011461Steve RamseyJohn Ralston
164norNOR19874222830.8000.7440.056388Bobby HebertJim Mora
165cinCIN20154192790.7500.7440.006760Andy DaltonMarvin Lewis
166nweNWE20094272850.6250.743-0.1181508Tom BradyBill Belichick
167.5gnbGNB20074352910.8130.7430.069298Brett FavreMike McCarthy
167.5dalDAL19954352910.7500.7430.007758Troy AikmanBarry Switzer
169carCAR20053912590.6880.743-0.0551225Jake DelhommeJohn Fox
170gnbGNB19974222820.8130.7420.070293Brett FavreMike Holmgren
171carCAR20133662410.7500.7420.008751Cam NewtonRon Rivera
172pitPIT20053892580.6880.742-0.0541220Ben RoethlisbergerBill Cowher
173sfoSFO19863742470.6560.742-0.0851392Joe MontanaBill Walsh
174miaMIA19743272160.7860.7420.044482Bob GrieseDon Shula
175nweNWE20154653150.7500.7410.009740Tom BradyBill Belichick
176raiOAK20024503040.6880.740-0.0531210Rich GannonBill Callahan
177dalDAL19762961940.7860.7400.046468Roger StaubachTom Landry
178sfoSFO20134062720.7500.7390.011728Colin KaepernickJim Harbaugh
179ravBAL20093912610.5630.739-0.1761595Joe FlaccoJohn Harbaugh
180sdgSDG19653402270.7500.7390.011719John HadlSid Gillman
181minMIN19923742490.6880.738-0.0501191Rich GannonDennis Green
182atlATL19804052720.7500.7380.012715Steve BartkowskiLeeman Bennett
183miaMIA19821981310.7780.7380.040516David WoodleyDon Shula
184seaSEA19844182820.7500.7370.013713Dave KriegChuck Knox
185nyjNYJ19822451660.6670.737-0.0711319Richard ToddWalt Michaels
186sfoSFO19984793280.7500.7370.013708Steve YoungSteve Mariucci
187cltBAL19753952690.7140.736-0.022992Bert JonesTed Marchibroda
188kanKAN20034843320.8130.7360.076268Trent GreenDick Vermeil
189sfoSFO19834322930.6250.736-0.1111484Joe MontanaBill Walsh
190nyjNYJ19853932640.6880.736-0.0491184Ken O'BrienJoe Walton
191raiOAK19753752550.7860.7350.051416Ken StablerJohn Madden
192phiPHI20043862600.8130.7340.079251Donovan McNabbAndy Reid
193dalDAL19804543110.7500.7340.016687Danny WhiteTom Landry
194raiOAK19723652480.7500.7340.016683Daryle LamonicaJohn Madden
195raiOAK19763502370.9290.7330.19510Ken StablerJohn Madden
196ramRAM19804242890.6880.733-0.0451160Vince FerragamoRay Malavasi
197pitPIT20043722510.9380.7310.2067Ben RoethlisbergerBill Cowher
198kanKAN19953582410.8130.7300.082236Steve BonoMarty Schottenheimer
199gnbGNB20013902660.7500.7280.022651Brett FavreMike Sherman
200nygNYG20084272940.7500.7280.022649Eli ManningTom Coughlin
201cleCLE19683942730.7140.728-0.013921Bill NelsenBlanton Collier
202bufBUF19914583180.8130.7270.085224Jim KellyMarv Levy
203wasWAS19821901280.8890.7270.16234Joe TheismannJoe Gibbs
204pitPIT20073932690.6250.727-0.1021463Ben RoethlisbergerMike Tomlin
205sfoSFO19903532390.8750.7270.14848Joe MontanaGeorge Seifert
206minMIN19863982730.5630.727-0.1641586Tommy KramerJerry Burns
207sdgSDG20074122840.6880.726-0.0381111Philip RiversNorv Turner
208miaMIA19783722540.6880.726-0.0381109Bob GrieseDon Shula
209nyjNYJ20093482360.5630.726-0.1631585Mark SanchezRex Ryan
210gnbGNB20034423070.6250.725-0.1001457Brett FavreMike Sherman
211sfoSFO20014092820.7500.7250.025628Jeff GarciaSteve Mariucci
212sfoSFO20123972730.7190.725-0.006870Alex SmithJim Harbaugh
213otiHOU19623872700.7860.7230.062352George BlandaPop Ivy
214denDEN19843532410.8130.7230.090207John ElwayDan Reeves
215phiPHI20084162890.5940.722-0.1291525Donovan McNabbAndy Reid
216atlATL20104142880.8130.7210.091200Matt RyanMike Smith
217nweNWE20033482380.8750.7210.15444Tom BradyBill Belichick
218sdgSDG20044463130.7500.7210.029597Drew BreesMarty Schottenheimer
219cleCLE19644152930.7500.7200.030596Frank RyanBlanton Collier
220tamTAM20003882690.6250.720-0.0951436Shaun KingTony Dungy
221sdgSDG20094543200.8130.7190.093195Philip RiversNorv Turner
222kanDTX19603622530.5710.719-0.1481555Cotton DavidsonHank Stram
223kanKAN19713022080.7500.7180.032570Len DawsonHank Stram
224dalDAL20093612500.6880.717-0.0301050Tony RomoWade Phillips
225phiPHI19923542450.6880.716-0.0291046Randall CunninghamRich Kotite
226kanKAN19903692570.6880.715-0.0281035Steve DeBergMarty Schottenheimer
227nygNYG19623982830.8570.7150.14256Y.A. TittleAllie Sherman
228gnbGNB20144863480.7500.7140.036536Aaron RodgersMike McCarthy
229wasWAS19712761900.6790.714-0.0351078Billy KilmerGeorge Allen
230.5cinCIN20134303050.6880.713-0.0261015.5Andy DaltonMarvin Lewis
230.5kanKAN20134303050.6880.713-0.0261015.5Alex SmithAndy Reid
232cinCIN19894042850.5000.713-0.2131609Boomer EsiasonSam Wyche
233denDEN19963912750.8130.7130.099168John ElwayMike Shanahan
234sfoSFO19723532490.6070.713-0.1061472Steve SpurrierDick Nolan
235chiCHI19883122150.7500.7130.037528Jim McMahonMike Ditka
236dalDAL20074553250.8130.7120.100163Tony RomoWade Phillips
237crdSTL19703252280.6070.712-0.1051467Jim HartCharley Winner
238phiPHI20003512450.6880.712-0.0241009Donovan McNabbAndy Reid
239ramRAM19742631810.7140.7110.003789James HarrisChuck Knox
240ravBAL20113782660.7500.7110.039524Joe FlaccoJohn Harbaugh
241sfoSFO19813572500.8130.7110.101162Joe MontanaBill Walsh
242kanKAN20154052870.6880.711-0.0231000Alex SmithAndy Reid
243nygNYG19853992830.6250.710-0.0851389Phil SimmsBill Parcells
244atlATL19733182240.6430.709-0.0661292Bob LeeNorm Van Brocklin
245atlATL20124192990.8130.7090.104150Matt RyanMike Smith
246sfoSFO19973752650.8130.7090.104149Steve YoungSteve Mariucci
247bufBUF19663582550.6790.709-0.0301053Jack KempJoe Collier
248pitPIT20113252270.7500.7080.042500Ben RoethlisbergerMike Tomlin
249miaMIA20003232260.6880.707-0.019969Jay FiedlerDave Wannstedt
250gnbGNB19653162240.7500.7050.045477Bart StarrVince Lombardi
251gnbGNB19643422450.6070.704-0.0971441Bart StarrVince Lombardi
252ramRAM19884072930.6250.703-0.0781369Jim EverettJohn Robinson
253cinCIN19814213040.7500.7030.047454Ken AndersonForrest Gregg
254bufBUF20043952840.5630.702-0.1401546Drew BledsoeMike Mularkey
255ravBAL20033912810.6250.702-0.0771361Kyle BollerBrian Billick
256sfoSFO19762701900.5710.702-0.1301528Jim PlunkettMonte Clark
257pitPIT19822041460.6670.701-0.0341073Terry BradshawChuck Noll
258denDEN20144823540.7500.7000.050425Peyton ManningJohn Fox
259cltBAL19653892840.7500.6990.051421Johnny UnitasDon Shula
260dalDAL20164213060.8130.6990.113118Dak PrescottJason Garrett
261wasWAS19844263100.6880.699-0.012911Joe TheismannJoe Gibbs
262sdgSDG20104413220.5630.699-0.1371538Philip RiversNorv Turner
263denDEN19782821980.6250.699-0.0741347Craig MortonRed Miller
264dalDAL19983812750.6250.699-0.0741344Troy AikmanChan Gailey
265cinCIN19753402460.7860.6980.088213Ken AndersonPaul Brown
266cltBAL19663142260.6430.697-0.0541223Johnny UnitasDon Shula
267ramSTL20034473280.7500.6970.053402Marc BulgerMike Martz
268cinCIN19884483290.7500.6970.053399Boomer EsiasonSam Wyche
269bufBUF19653132260.7500.6960.054394Jack KempLou Saban
270bufBUF19993202290.6880.695-0.008878Doug FlutieWade Phillips
271sfoSFO19713002160.6430.695-0.0521208John BrodieDick Nolan
272sdgSDG19923352410.6880.695-0.007873Stan HumphriesBobby Ross
273miaMIA19903362420.7500.6940.056389Dan MarinoDon Shula
274nweNWE19804413250.6250.694-0.0691309Steve GroganRon Erhardt
275nygNYG19932882050.6880.693-0.006861Phil SimmsDan Reeves
276norNOR20134143040.6880.693-0.006859Drew BreesSean Payton
277bufBUF19883292370.7500.6930.057385Jim KellyMarv Levy
278htxHOU20113812780.6250.693-0.0681303Matt SchaubGary Kubiak
279nygNYG19893482520.7500.6930.057384Phil SimmsBill Parcells
280cltBAL19703212340.8210.6920.13085Johnny UnitasDon McCafferty
281atlATL20165404060.6880.692-0.004847Matt RyanDan Quinn
282cltIND20094163070.8750.6910.18416Peyton ManningJim Caldwell
283ravBAL20144093020.6250.690-0.0651282Joe FlaccoJohn Harbaugh
284nweNWE20013712720.6880.689-0.002823Tom BradyBill Belichick
285jaxJAX20074113040.6880.689-0.001821David GarrardJack Del Rio
286otiTEN20034353240.7500.6870.063347Steve McNairJeff Fisher
287otiHOU19923522580.6250.687-0.0621257Warren MoonJack Pardee
288nygNYG20054223140.6880.6870.001804Eli ManningTom Coughlin
289dalDAL19834793600.7500.6870.063341Danny WhiteTom Landry
290seaSEA20073932910.6250.686-0.0611253Matt HasselbeckMike Holmgren
291chiCHI20123752770.6250.686-0.0611251Jay CutlerLovie Smith
292jaxJAX20063712740.5000.685-0.1851602David GarrardJack Del Rio
293nweNWE19864123070.6880.6850.003792Tony EasonRaymond Berry
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1410nyjNYJ20052403550.2500.272-0.022991Brooks BollingerHerm Edwards
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1424dalDAL20022173290.3130.2640.048443Chad HutchinsonDave Campo
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1433bufBUF20102834250.2500.256-0.006860Ryan FitzpatrickChan Gailey
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1435crdARI20102894340.3130.2550.058377Derek AndersonKen Whisenhunt
1436cleCLE20092453750.3130.2530.059370Brady QuinnEric Mangini
1437cinCIN19682153290.2140.253-0.0391115John StofaPaul Brown
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1439denDEN19821482260.2220.251-0.0281038Steve DeBergDan Reeves
1440kanKAN20082914400.1250.251-0.1261522Tyler ThigpenHerm Edwards
1441norNOR19741662630.3570.2490.108137Archie ManningJohn North
1442otiHOU19942263520.1250.249-0.1241519Billy Joe TolliverJack Pardee
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1449raiOAK20122904430.2500.2450.005777Carson PalmerDennis Allen
1450kanKAN19772253490.1430.244-0.1011459Mike LivingstonPaul Wiggin
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1452nyjNYT19622784230.3570.2430.115115Johnny GreenBulldog Turner
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1454kanKAN20112123380.4380.2410.1979Matt CasselTodd Haley
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1460tamTAM19932373760.3130.2370.076272Craig EricksonSam Wyche
1461detDET20012704240.1250.235-0.1101481Charlie BatchMarty Mornhinweg
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1463crdSTL19862183510.2810.2340.047456Neil LomaxGene Stallings
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1465sfoSFO20163094800.1250.233-0.1081477Colin KaepernickChip Kelly
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1467gnbGNB19802313710.3440.2320.111127Lynn DickeyBart Starr
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1469bufBUF20012654200.1880.231-0.0441152Alex Van PeltGregg Williams
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1471atlATL20072594140.2500.2280.022652Joey HarringtonBobby Petrino
1472phiPHI20122804440.2500.2280.022647Michael VickAndy Reid
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1474nygNYG19732263620.1790.228-0.0491185Norm SneadAlex Webster
1475sdgSDG19972664250.2500.2270.023642Craig WhelihanKevin Gilbride
1476chiCHI19972634210.2500.2270.023640Erik KramerDave Wannstedt
1477denDEN19682554040.3570.2260.13182Marlin BriscoeLou Saban
1478chiCHI20002163550.3130.2250.087214Cade McNownDick Jauron
1479sfoSFO20152383870.3130.2250.088212Blaine GabbertJim Tomsula
1480otiHOU19702173520.2500.2240.026618Charley JohnsonWally Lemm
1481carCAR20012534100.0630.223-0.1611583Chris WeinkeGeorge Seifert
1482otiHOU19832884600.1250.223-0.0981444Oliver LuckChuck Studley
1483dalDAL19612363800.3210.2230.099171Eddie LeBaronTom Landry
1484atlATL19852824520.2500.2220.028606David ArcherDan Henning
1485nyjNYJ19632493990.3930.2220.17123Dick WoodWeeb Ewbank
1486denDEN19672564090.2140.222-0.008880Steve TensiLou Saban
1487nyjNYJ19892534110.2500.2220.028602Ken O'BrienJoe Walton
1488denDEN19633014730.1790.221-0.0431141Mickey SlaughterJack Faulkner
1489nyjNYJ19952333840.1880.220-0.0321064Boomer EsiasonRich Kotite
1490tamTAM20092444000.1880.220-0.0321062Josh FreemanRaheem Morris
1491sfoSFO20072193640.3130.2190.093194Trent DilferMike Nolan
1492ramRAM19932213670.3130.2190.094192Jim EverettChuck Knox
1493bufBUF19702043370.2500.2180.032579Dennis ShawJohn Rauch
1494norNOR19672333790.2140.218-0.004848Gary CuozzoTom Fears
1495tamTAM20062113530.2500.2180.032577Bruce GradkowskiJon Gruden
1496htxHOU20022133560.2500.2180.032576David CarrDom Capers
1497atlATL20002524130.2500.2180.032574Chris ChandlerDan Reeves
1498detDET19792193650.1250.218-0.0931427Jeff KomloMonte Clark
1499minMIN19622544100.1790.217-0.0391114Fran TarkentonNorm Van Brocklin
1500cinCIN19931873190.1880.216-0.0291041David KlinglerDavid Shula
1501pitPIT19682443970.1790.216-0.0371099Dick ShinerBill Austin
1502nyjNYJ19962794540.0630.216-0.1531569Frank ReichRich Kotite
1503gnbGNB19862544180.2500.2160.034550Randy WrightForrest Gregg
1504cinCIN19992834600.2500.2150.035548Jeff BlakeBruce Coslet
1505miaMIA20072674370.0630.215-0.1531568Cleo LemonCam Cameron
1506sdgSDG20002694400.0630.215-0.1531567Ryan LeafMike Riley
1507ramRAM19912343900.1880.214-0.0271024Jim EverettJohn Robinson
1508jaxJAX20142494120.1880.214-0.0271023Blake BortlesGus Bradley
1509cinCIN20022794560.1250.214-0.0891408Jon KitnaDick LeBeau
1510ramRAM19632103500.3570.2130.14452Roman GabrielHarland Svare
1511cinCIN19912634350.1880.211-0.0241002Boomer EsiasonSam Wyche
1512htxHOU20052604310.1250.211-0.0861394David CarrDom Capers
1513phiPHI19761652860.2860.2090.077261Mike BorylaDick Vermeil
1514nygNYG19642413990.2140.2080.006763Y.A. TittleAllie Sherman
1515norNOR19722153610.1790.208-0.0291049Archie ManningJ.D. Roberts
1516ramSTL20072634380.1880.208-0.020977Marc BulgerScott Linehan
1517norNOR19992604340.1880.208-0.020974Billy Joe TolliverMike Ditka
1518norNOR20052353980.1880.207-0.019967Aaron BrooksJim Haslett
1519chiCHI19731953340.2140.2040.010738Bobby DouglassAbe Gibron
1520miaMIA19662133620.2140.2030.011725Dick WoodGeorge Wilson
1521cltBAL19741903290.1430.201-0.0581238Bert JonesJoe Thomas
1522cinCIN19982684520.1880.201-0.014923Neil O'DonnellBruce Coslet
1523crdPHO19911963440.2500.2010.049437Tom TupaJoe Bugel
1524norNOR19802914870.0630.200-0.1371541Archie ManningDick Nolan
1525cleCLE19752183720.2140.2000.014701Mike PhippsForrest Gregg
1526nygNYG19802494250.2500.2000.050424Phil SimmsRay Perkins
1527nyjNYJ19752584330.2140.1980.016682Joe NamathCharley Winner
1528phiPHI19682023510.1430.196-0.0531213Norm SneadJoe Kuharich
1529cltIND19842394140.2500.1960.054393Mike PagelFrank Kush
1530cleCLE20162644520.0630.195-0.1331531Cody KesslerHue Jackson
1531wasWAS19601783090.1670.195-0.0281037Ralph GuglielmiMike Nixon
1532nweNWE19922053630.1250.195-0.0701315Hugh MillenDick MacPherson
1533cltIND19862294000.1880.194-0.007871Jack TrudeauRod Dowhower
1534otiTEN20142544380.1250.194-0.0691313Charlie WhitehurstKen Whisenhunt
1535raiOAK19622133700.0710.193-0.1221514Cotton DavidsonBill Conkright
1536ramLAR20162243940.2500.1930.057382Case KeenumJeff Fisher
1537cinCIN20082043640.2810.1920.090206Ryan FitzpatrickMarvin Lewis
1538jaxJAX20122554440.1250.190-0.0651281Chad HenneMike Mularkey
1539chiCHI19741522790.2860.1890.097184Gary HuffAbe Gibron
1540cltBAL19782394210.3130.1880.12493Bill TroupTed Marchibroda
1541denDEN19612514320.2140.1880.026617Frank TripuckaFrank Filchock
1542tamTAM20112874940.2500.1880.062354Josh FreemanRaheem Morris
1543sfoSFO20042594520.1250.188-0.0631268Tim RattayDennis Erickson
1544atlATL19761723120.2860.1870.099172Kim McQuilkenPat Peppler
1545cltIND20112434300.1250.185-0.0601250Curtis PainterJim Caldwell
1546minMIN19842764840.1880.1820.006769Tommy KramerLes Steckel
1547tamTAM19911993650.1880.1820.006766Vinny TestaverdeRichard Williamson
1548norNOR19812073780.2500.1810.069303Archie ManningBum Phillips
1549sfoSFO20052394280.2500.1810.069300Alex SmithMike Nolan
1550nweBOS19682294060.2860.1800.105146Tom ShermanMike Holovak
1551sdgSDG19751893450.1430.179-0.0361087Dan FoutsTommy Prothro
1552raiOAK20142534520.1880.1790.009747Derek CarrTony Sparano
1553otiHOU19821362450.1110.178-0.0671295Gifford NielsenEd Biles
1554otiHOU19842404370.1880.1740.013706Warren MoonHugh Campbell
1555jaxJAX20132474490.2500.1730.077263Chad HenneGus Bradley
1556bufBUF19842504540.1250.173-0.0481179Joe FergusonKay Stephenson
1557bufBUF19681993670.1070.172-0.0651284Dan DarraghHarvey Johnson
1558norNOR19731633120.3570.1690.18815Archie ManningJohn North
1559bufBUF19852003810.1250.166-0.0411133Vince FerragamoHank Bullough
1560denDEN19642404380.1790.1650.013710Jacky LeeMac Speedie
1561pitPIT19692184040.0710.165-0.0931429Dick ShinerChuck Noll
1562cinCIN20001853590.2500.1640.086221Akili SmithDick LeBeau
1563raiOAK20091973790.3130.1640.14946JaMarcus RussellTom Cable
1564miaMIA19672194070.2860.1630.12298Bob GrieseGeorge Wilson
1565raiOAK20061683320.1250.163-0.0381107Andrew WalterArt Shell
1566bufBUF19771603130.2140.1620.053404Joe FergusonJim Ringo
1567dalDAL19892043930.0630.161-0.0991447Troy AikmanJimmy Johnson
1568seaSEA19762294290.1430.158-0.015933Jim ZornJack Patera
1569detDET20092624940.1250.155-0.0301052Matthew StaffordJim Schwartz
1570denDEN19661963810.2860.1520.13372John McCormickRay Malavasi
1571cltIND19931893780.2500.1520.098174Jeff GeorgeTed Marchibroda
1572tamTAM19771032230.1430.151-0.009884Gary HuffJohn McKay
1573pitPIT19652023970.1430.147-0.004844Bill NelsenMike Nixon
1574norNOR19701723470.1790.1460.032573Billy KilmerJ.D. Roberts
1575chiCHI19751913790.2860.1460.13961Gary HuffJack Pardee
1576sfoSFO19631983910.1430.146-0.003836Lamar McHanJack Christiansen
1577detDET20082685170.0000.145-0.1451554Dan OrlovskyRod Marinelli
1578raiOAK19612374580.1430.144-0.001819Tom FloresMarty Feldman
1579nygNYG19662635010.1070.143-0.0361090Gary WoodAllie Sherman
1580kanKAN20122114250.1250.143-0.018954Matt CasselRomeo Crennel
1581tamTAM19862394730.1250.142-0.017947Steve YoungLeeman Bennett
1582cleCLE19992174370.1250.141-0.016942Tim CouchChris Palmer
1583crdARI20032254520.2500.1400.110131Jeff BlakeDave McGinnis
1584ramSTL20082324650.1250.139-0.014930Marc BulgerJim Haslett
1585phiPHI19981613440.1880.1380.049434Bobby HoyingRay Rhodes
1586cleCLE19902284620.1880.1370.051417Bernie KosarBud Carson
1587carCAR20101964080.1250.136-0.011901Jimmy ClausenJohn Fox
1588sdgSDG19731883860.1790.1350.043491Dan FoutsHarland Svare
1589cltBAL19821132360.0560.133-0.0781368Mike PagelFrank Kush
1590seaSEA19921403120.1250.133-0.008877Stan GelbaughTom Flores
1591ramSTL20111934070.1250.132-0.007875Sam BradfordSteve Spagnuolo
1592crdARI20002104430.1880.1280.060367Jake PlummerDave McGinnis
1593dalDAL19601773690.0420.125-0.0831387Eddie LeBaronTom Landry
1594cltBAL19812595330.1250.1240.001805Bert JonesMike McCormack
1595norNOR19751653600.1430.1230.020660Archie ManningErnie Hefferle
1596atlATL19872054360.2000.1230.077260Scott CampbellMarion Campbell
1597bufBUF19711843940.0710.123-0.0511202Dennis ShawHarvey Johnson
1598atlATL19662044370.2140.1170.097181Randy JohnsonNorb Hecker
1599atlATL19741112710.2140.1120.103154Bob LeeNorm Van Brocklin
1600wasWAS19611743920.1070.110-0.003839Norm SneadBill McPeak
1601nyjNYJ19761693830.2140.1100.104148Joe NamathLou Holtz
1602atlATL19681703890.1430.1070.036537Randy JohnsonNorm Van Brocklin
1603otiHOU19721643800.0710.106-0.0341074Dan PastoriniBill Peterson
1604otiHOU19731994470.0710.104-0.0331069Dan PastoriniSid Gillman
1605phiPHI19721453520.1790.0990.079250John ReavesEd Khayat
1606nweBOS19701493610.1430.0990.044481Joe KappClive Rush
1607nweNWE19721924460.2140.0970.117107Jim PlunkettJohn Mazur
1608atlATL19671754220.1070.0920.015694Randy JohnsonNorb Hecker
1609nweNWE19901814460.0630.091-0.0291044Marc WilsonRod Rust
1610ramSTL20091754360.0630.090-0.0281033Marc BulgerSteve Spagnuolo
1611cltIND19911433810.0630.084-0.022989Jeff GeorgeRick Venturi
1612cleCLE20001614190.1880.0840.104151Tim CouchChris Palmer
1613tamTAM19761254120.0000.046-0.0461168Steve SpurrierJohn McKay

The biggest overachieving or clutch team of all time? The ’92 Colts with those memorable leaders, George and Marchibroda. The unluckest team of all time, of course, is the Patriots. New England never gets any luck, particularly in 1981. That team went 10-6 in 1980 and even that was underachieving; the bottom fell out the next year, as the Patriots plunged to a 2-14 record despite a modest Pythagenpat winning percentage.

What stands out to you?

  1. Note that since today’s dataset covers a much longer period, I used 0.255 as the best-fit exponent to determine what exponent used for each team. More explanation available here. []
  • mrh

    5 of top 10 did not win a title. Three of top 20 from 1968.

  • Nuclear Badger

    Slight typo in the opening paragraph – the 1962 Packers didn’t allow just 418 points, it was 148…

  • Tom

    Not surprised to the 1976 Steelers at #4. That team will always be the “what could have been” team. Many regard the 1976 defense as the very best of the Steel Curtain defenses, and they seemed on the road to a third straight Super Bowl, especially after trouncing the Colts in the divisional game. They didn’t have Franco Harris or Rocky Bleier for the Conference game against Oakland, but that doesn’t explain or excuse the defense giving up 24 to the Raider offense (well, some say that without their starting RB’s, the Steeler offense couldn’t stay on the field long enough to give the defense a rest, etc.).

    • sacramento gold miners

      Tom, you nailed it with the last sentence. The game was essentially lost in the first half, when the Steelers couldn’t convert third downs, and the one back attack with Reggie Harrison failed badly. Bradshaw wasn’t accurate, and the Raiders just methodically took advantage of field position, and Stabler was very efficient with the passing game. After carrying the team for most of the season, the Steelers defense may have been tired, and that Raiders offense did have four HOF players.

      For all the accolades of the ’76 defense, their subpar play over the first five weeks of the season helped create the 1-4 hole.

      • Wolverine

        This was before my time, but I’ve always read about how awesome Stabler was in 1976. If you just look as his standard stats, they would be good even in today’s passing-inflated environment (at least for efficiency, if not volume)….so they look almost supernatural in the dead-ball era.

      • Tom

        Right….I’ve watched that game a few times and the Steeler offense just couldn’t stay on the field, and yeah, Bradshaw wasn’t accurate.

        There’s a story about that slow start… can’t remember whether I just heard it from someone or saw some documentary. Basically, they were experiencing some kind of Super Bowl hangover, and then Bradshaw got pile-drived by Turkey Jones when they played Cleveland, knocking him out of the game, and somehow that sparked the defense and they flipped the switch. For the next 9 games they allowed an average of 3 points per game, including 5 shutouts.

        A while back I was so enamored by this that I checked to see if any other defenses had a 9-game run like that (yes, a very specific analysis here!) and no other team is even close…the 1971 Vikings and 1977 Falcons are runners up with runs of 6 pts/game.

        Way off topic, my apologies, but that Steelers season fascinates me.

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