ANY/A leaves much to be desired as the end-all, be-all measure of quarterback play, but it’s simple, easy to understand, and works well for historical comparisons. At the end of the year, I will produce an SOS-adjusted version of the statistic, but today, I just wanted to take a quick look at the leaderboard. There are a few surprises, after the very expected result at the top of the list.
|27||Robert Griffin III||WAS||24||123||902||2||3||21||138||4.65||-229|
- You probably aren’t surprised by the top four, but it is a little surprising seeing Tom Brady up at #5 after his miserable start. He ranked 31st in Adjusted Yards per Attempt through four weeks1, but now ranks 8th in that same category. A healthy Rob Gronkowski is pretty darn valuable.
- With the great season that DeMarco Murray is having, it’s easy to overlook Tony Romo. But the Cowboys quarterback ranks third in ANY/A and sixth in value added. Another underrated star might be Drew Brees. Given the Saints 5-8 record, one can understand the desire to avoid heaping praise on New Orleans players. But Brees is having another strong season.
- As I mentioned in the New York Times this week, Joe Flacco is having his finest year as a pro. He currently ranks 10th in value added, which would be more surprising if he wasn’t slotted next to Ryan Fitzpatrick, who somehow ranks 11th! Fitzpatrick actually ranks 4th in the NFL in plain old yards per attempt. Fitzpatrick! The Texans quarterback who was benched a few weeks ago. The same guy, I swear.
- Was Brian Hoyer bad enough to be benched for Johnny Manziel? On one hand, he’s played miserably over the last month, but his full season numbers are decidedly average. On the other hand, we know that ANY/A overstates Hoyer’s effectiveness this year: for example, the Browns are 31st in both 3rd down and 4th down conversion rates this year. But here’s the more damning bit of evidence: Hoyer has led Cleveland on 48 drives over the last four weeks: 8 of them have ended in interceptions, while only four have ended in touchdowns.
- Ryan Tannehill is down at 28th on the list, which is surprising or to be expected, depending on your perspective. While Tannehill may be having a career year — for him — 2014 is likely to be his third straight season of below-average production as measured by ANY/A. This year, the Dolphins offense has basically neutered him: he ranks 31st out of 34 qualifying quarterbacks in average depth of throw (according to NFLGSIS), after ranking 4th in that category last year and 16th as a rookie. He’s not getting much help, either: quarterbacks who throw short passes usually have a lot of YAC, but Tannehill ranks in the bottom five in that category, too.
- Colin Kaepernick, 32nd. That’s a story for another blog post or hundred.
- The PFR Game Finder does not allow you to search for ANY/A, hence the switch to AY/A. [↩]