≡ Menu

There were 15 quarterbacks selected in the 2016 NFL Draft. Two notable ones were Big 10 stars Christian Hackenberg and Connor Cook.

Hackenberg had an impressive freshman year at PSU, then regressed significantly. He had the tools but not the resume, making him one of the more polarizing prospects out there. The Jets drafted him 51st overall. Last year, Penn State went 7-6; this year, without Hackenberg, the team went 11-2. That represents an increase in winning percentage of 0.308.

Meanwhile, Cook led the Spartans to a 12-2 record last year. This year, without Cook and a number of other veterans, Michigan State collapsed, going 3-9. That’s a decline in winning percentage of 0.607. That’s the second largest decline, behind Mississippi State post-Dak Prescott.

Here were the 15 quarterbacks drafted:

And here is the record of their college teams last year and this year, through Dec. 15:

RdPkTeamQuarterbackSchool2015 Win%2015 Rec2016 Win%2016 RecDiff
251NYJChristian HackenbergPenn State0.5387-60.84611-20.308
393CLECody KesslerSouthern California0.5718-60.759-30.179
6191DETJake RudockMichigan0.76910-30.83310-20.064
6187WASNate SudfeldIndiana0.4626-70.56-60.038
4139BUFCardale JonesOhio State0.92312-10.91711-1-0.006
126DENPaxton LynchMemphis0.6929-40.6678-4-0.025
6201JAXBrandon AllenArkansas0.6158-50.5837-5-0.032
391NWEJacoby BrissettNorth Carolina State0.5387-60.56-6-0.038
12PHICarson WentzNorth Dakota St.0.92912-10.86713-2-0.062
6207SFOJeff DriskelLouisiana Tech0.6929-40.6158-5-0.077
7223MIABrandon DoughtyWestern Kentucky0.85712-20.76910-3-0.088
5162KANKevin HoganStanford0.85712-20.759-3-0.107
11LARJared GoffCalifornia0.6158-50.4175-7-0.198
4135DALDak PrescottMississippi State0.6929-40.4175-7-0.275
4100OAKConnor CookMichigan State0.85712-20.253-9-0.607

Let’s be clear: wins and losses aren’t a great way to measure a quarterback, and there’s a ton of noise in the data before you start comparing teams across seasons. Connor Cook on the 2016 Spartans wouldn’t have made Michigan State 12-2. That said, I find this stuff interesting in at least a trivia perspective. But maybe there’s a bit more to it, too. What do you think?

{ 3 comments }