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Which Team Lost The Most Between 2016 and 2017?

The 2016 Bills had a pretty serious amount of roster turnover, particularly among players who went to new teams (rather than due to injury or because they were out of the league). Some, like wide receivers Marquise Goodwin, Robert Woods, and Sammy Watkins, had more success with their new teams. Others, like defenders Stephon Gilmore, Corey Graham, and Zach Brown, were better off in Buffalo.

There were 19 players who were on the 2016 Bills and played for a different team in 2017. In total, those players produced 62 points of AV in 2016 in Buffalo, and then 55 points of AV in 2017 not in Buffalo. The full list, below:

PlayerPos2016 Team2016 AVV2017 Team2017 AVDiff
Marquise GoodwinWRbuf4sfo84
Robert WoodsWRbuf6ram82
Sammy WatkinsWRbuf4ram62
Nickell Robey-ColemanCBbuf2ram31
Kevon SeymourCBbuf1car21
Ronald DarbyCBbuf4phi40
Mike GillisleeRBbuf4nwe40
Garrison SanbornCbuf1tam10
EJ ManuelQBbuf1rai10
Lerentee McCrayLBbuf1jax10
Jim DrayTEbuf0crd00
Bryson AlbrightLBbuf0crd00
Leger DouzableDTbuf3sfo2-1
Michael OlaTbuf1sdg0-1
Justin HunterWRbuf2pit0-2
Stephon GilmoreCBbuf8nwe5-3
Corey GrahamDBbuf5phi2-3
Cyrus KouandjioOTbuf4den1-3
Zach BrownOLBbuf11was7-4

With 62 points of lost AV, no team lost more than the Bilsl last year. But that doesn’t always mean much: the Rams were third with 52 points of lost AV, and the Bills and Rams both made the postseason. Even looking at 2017 AV isn’t necessarily going to tell us much: the switching players produced 55 points outside of Buffalo, the most by former players of any team last year. Another way to look at it is to see how these players did outside of their old teams. And here, Bills players did worse outside of Buffalo, at -7 points of net AV. You might be surprised, tho, that I’m not sure if this tells us much, either: the Patriots and Jaguars were two of the four teams to see their former players produce 10+ points more AV in their new homes. For New England, Jacoby Brissett, Jabaal Sheard, LeGarrette Blount, Jimmy Garoppolo, Logan Ryan, and Barkevious Mingo all produced at least 4 points of AV in 2017 on new teams. The same is true of Kelvin Beachum, Hayes Pullard, Tyson Alualu, Luke Joeckel, Prince Amukamara, and Davon House with respect to the Jaguars. But it’s not like Jacksonville or New England was any worse for the wear.

The table below shows the lost AV for each team, along with the AV produced by those players in their new homes in 2017, and the net difference.

TEAM2016 AV2017 AVDiff
BUF6255-7
CLE48546
CIN405212
NWE395112
JAX364711
ARI5347-6
DET4744-3
CAR35427
GNB36426
MIN33407
SEA4338-5
BAL33363
NYJ4634-12
LAR5234-18
DAL4033-7
SFO5133-18
OAK26326
NYG203010
NOR4330-13
WAS3628-8
DEN3227-5
PHI3627-9
TEN23263
HOU2625-1
IND5225-27
CHI17225
LAC20200
TAM16182
KAN2118-3
MIA11154
PIT2314-9
ATL10100

Finally, here’s a list of the players who saw the biggest jump in AV after switching teams last season.

PlayerPos2016 Team2016 AV2017 Team2017 AVDiff
Case KeenumQBram3min1411
Jacoby BrissettQBnwe2clt119
Josh McCownQBcle1nyj98
Matt KalilOTmin1car98
A.J. BouyeCBhtx5jax127
Alex CollinsRBsea2rav97
John SullivanCwas2ram86
Earl MitchellDTmia2sfo75
Breno GiacominiGnyj2htx75
Manti Te'oILBsdg1nor65
Jonathan CooperOGcle1dal65
Hayes PullardILBjax1sdg65
Andrew WhitworthTcin10ram144
Larry WarfordOGdet7nor114
Bennie LoganDTphi6kan104
Marquise GoodwinWRbuf4sfo84
Micah HydeCBgnb4buf84
Kyle Van NoyOLBdet3nwe74
Robbie GouldKnyg2sfo64
Eric DeckerWRnyj1oti54
Robert McClainDBsdg0tam44

What stands out to you?

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