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The 2016 Presidential Election

In light of last night’s surprising results, I can’t get too focused on writing an article about football. There will be really good articles written by smart people out there today, but it all starts and ends with the maps. Here was 2012:

nyt_us_620px_president_map

And here is 2016, according to the NYT:

screen-shot-2016-11-09-at-8-14-03-am

The big changes were in five Big 10 states: Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Iowa. And based on the projected results from the New York Times, we can see the change from 2012 to 2016, from the perspective of the Democrat candidate. I have bolded those five states below:

2016-map

And here’s the same information in table form:

StateObama Final MarginClinton Proj MarginChange
North Dakota-19.63-36.40-16.77
West Virginia-26.76-42.20-15.44
Iowa5.81-9.50-15.31
Rhode Island27.4614.50-12.96
Maine15.292.40-12.89
South Dakota-18.02-29.80-11.78
Ohio2.98-8.50-11.48
Hawaii42.7132.20-10.51
Missouri-9.38-19.10-9.72
Michigan9.50-0.20-9.70
Indiana-10.20-19.30-9.10
Montana-13.65-21.50-7.85
Wisconsin6.94-0.90-7.84
Delaware18.6311.40-7.23
Kentucky-22.69-29.80-7.11
Vermont35.6028.50-7.10
Mississippi-11.50-18.30-6.80
Wyoming-40.82-47.60-6.78
New York28.1821.50-6.68
Pennsylvania5.38-1.00-6.38
Minnesota7.691.50-6.19
Alabama-22.19-28.30-6.11
Tennessee-20.40-26.20-5.80
New Hampshire5.580.10-5.48
South Carolina-10.47-15.60-5.13
New Jersey17.7913.00-4.79
Nevada6.682.40-4.28
Nebraska-21.77-25.70-3.93
Connecticut17.3313.80-3.53
Arkansas-23.69-26.70-3.01
Oklahoma-33.54-36.40-2.86
Louisiana-17.20-19.70-2.50
Florida0.88-1.40-2.28
New Mexico10.158.30-1.85
North Carolina-2.04-3.80-1.76
Alaska-13.99-15.60-1.61
Colorado5.363.90-1.46
Maryland26.0725.20-0.87
Oregon12.0911.50-0.59
Illinois16.8716.30-0.57
Idaho-31.91-31.600.31
Kansas-21.72-21.000.72
Virginia3.884.901.02
Georgia-7.82-5.802.02
Washington14.8717.302.43
Massachusetts23.1427.204.06
California23.1227.904.78
Arizona-9.06-4.005.06
District of Columbia83.6388.705.07
Texas-15.79-9.106.69
Utah-48.04-16.6031.44

So, what do you guys think? And, as always, please keep things civil.

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