This week at the Washington Post, a look at how good the Broncos defense needs to be to win the Super Bowl.
This year’s Denver offense posts a minus-8.8 percent DVOA rating, which would make it the worst offense to make the Super Bowl since 1989. If we useestimated DVOA ratings, only the ’79 Rams (-13.1 percent) were worse. The worst offense by any Super Bowl champion prior to 1989, using estimated DVOA, was the 1980 Raiders, at -7.7 percent. Therefore, by either measure, the Broncos would be an incredible outlier to even make the Super Bowl, much less win it.
The 2000 Ravens’ profile looks remarkably similar to this year’s Broncos teams. That Baltimore squad had an offensive DVOA of minus-8.1 percent, and a defensive DVOA of minus-23.8 percent; the 2015 Broncos have an offensive DVOA of minus-8.8 percent, and a defensive DVOA of minus-25.8 percent. That makes this Broncos team look like a carbon copy of the ’00 Ravens, despite Baltimore having a journeyman Trent Dilfer at quarterback, with the Broncos having arguably the greatest quarterback of all time.
You can read the full article here.