Is Winning In Close Games Sustainable?

by Chase Stuart on May 28, 2019

In 2017, the Carolina Panthers went 11-5, thanks largely to a 7-1 record in games decided by 7 or fewer points. This means that in non-close games, Carolina went 4-4.

In 2018, Carolina was even better in non-close games, going 5-2. But the Panthers didn’t replicate their close-game success; in fact, the Panthers luck swung wildly in a different direction, going just 2-7 in close games. This has actually been a trend of the Ron Rivera / Cam Newton Panthers. The duo got off to a very rocky start, going 1-5 (0.167) in close games in their first year together in 2011, and then 1-7 (0.125) in close games in 2012. After that season, I wrote that Carolina looked like a team on the rise that would probably start experiencing good luck soon. That turned out to be one of my most accurate predictions, as in close games, Carolina went 5-2 (0.714) in 2013, 4-2-1 (0.643) in 2014, and then 6-1 (0.857) in 2015. The Panthers then swung the other way, going 2-6 (0.250) in 2016, then up to 7-1 (0.875) in 2017, and back down to 2-7 (0.222) in 2018.

The Panthers yo-yo performance in close games is not that unusual; for the most part, winning percentage in close games is not sustainable. How did I measure that?

1) I looked at the records in close games (7 or fewer points margin of victor) and records in non-close games for every team since 1990.

2) Because of small sample sizes, I then calculated a projected winning percentage in close games based on that team’s winning percentage in non-close games after adding 11 games of .500 play to that record. So if a team went 2-0 in non-close games, they’d be expected to have a 0.577 winning percentage (7.5 wins out of 13 games) in close games.

3) I then calculate how many wins above expectation in close games each team had. By this measure, the 2012 Colts exceeded expectations the most. That year, Indianapolis went 2-4 in non-close games, so we would expect them to have a 0.441 winning percentage in close games (7.5 wins out of 17 games). Indianapolis played in 10 close games (expected to win 4.41 games) and actually won 9 of them, giving the Colts 4.59 more close games wins than expected. The next year, Indianapolis won 1.70 more close games than expected, so this regressed to the mean quite a bit.

The correlation coefficient between wins above expectation in Year N and in Year N+1 is just 0.04, making it practically zero. The graph below shows all teams since 1990; their wins above expectation in Year N is on the X-Axis, and wins above expectation in Year N+1 is on the Y-Axis. As you can tell, it’s essentially a random scatterplot of data:

And here is the raw data:

Year	Team	NCG Wins	NCG	NCG W%	CG Wins	CG	CG W%	Exp CG W%	Diff	N+1
2012	clt	2	6	0.333	9	10	0.900	0.441	4.59	1.71
2016	htx	1	6	0.167	8	10	0.800	0.382	4.18	-0.93
1995	buf	3	9	0.333	7	7	1.000	0.425	4.03	1.25
1993	rai	1	4	0.250	9	12	0.750	0.433	3.80	2.42
2011	rai	1	7	0.143	7	9	0.778	0.361	3.75	0.30
2016	mia	2	6	0.333	8	10	0.800	0.441	3.59	2.73
2001	chi	5	8	0.625	8	8	1.000	0.553	3.58	0.76
2004	jax	1	5	0.200	8	11	0.727	0.406	3.53	2.41
2000	nyg	5	9	0.556	7	7	1.000	0.525	3.33	0.42
2008	clt	4	7	0.571	8	9	0.889	0.528	3.25	2.63
2016	rai	4	7	0.571	8	9	0.889	0.528	3.25	1.38
2009	rai	0	9	0.000	5	7	0.714	0.275	3.08	-1.29
1996	sdg	3	11	0.273	5	5	1.000	0.386	3.07	-0.93
1992	clt	3	9	0.333	6	7	0.857	0.425	3.03	1.52
2003	car	2	4	0.500	9	12	0.750	0.500	3.00	-2.29
2017	car	4	8	0.500	7	8	0.875	0.500	3.00	-3.25
2011	crd	0	3	0.000	8	13	0.615	0.393	2.89	0.38
1999	nyg	2	10	0.200	5	6	0.833	0.357	2.86	3.33
1995	ram	2	10	0.200	5	6	0.833	0.357	2.86	0.57
2001	nyj	2	5	0.400	8	11	0.727	0.469	2.84	-1.03
2014	sfo	2	8	0.250	6	8	0.750	0.395	2.84	2.14
2008	den	2	8	0.250	6	8	0.750	0.395	2.84	0.61
2017	crd	2	8	0.250	6	8	0.750	0.395	2.84	0.14
1998	rai	2	8	0.250	6	8	0.750	0.395	2.84	-2.89
2002	sfo	3	7	0.429	7	9	0.778	0.472	2.75	-2.42
2017	mia	1	9	0.111	5	7	0.714	0.325	2.73	2.86
2007	sfo	0	8	0.000	5	8	0.625	0.289	2.68	1.57
1993	det	4	9	0.444	6	7	0.857	0.475	2.68	1.00
2002	clt	4	9	0.444	6	7	0.857	0.475	2.68	0.82
2009	clt	7	9	0.778	7	7	1.000	0.625	2.63	-0.25
1998	crd	2	6	0.333	7	10	0.700	0.441	2.59	1.86
1996	clt	2	6	0.333	7	10	0.700	0.441	2.59	-2.16
2013	nyj	3	10	0.300	5	6	0.833	0.405	2.57	-0.25
2006	oti	1	5	0.200	7	11	0.636	0.406	2.53	1.25
2015	clt	1	5	0.200	7	11	0.636	0.406	2.53	0.75
2003	cin	1	5	0.200	7	11	0.636	0.406	2.53	0.00
2011	den	1	5	0.200	7	11	0.636	0.406	2.53	-1.19
2008	was	1	5	0.200	7	11	0.636	0.406	2.53	-1.75
2013	jax	0	10	0.000	4	6	0.667	0.262	2.43	0.06
2003	crd	0	10	0.000	4	6	0.667	0.262	2.43	-0.58
1993	min	3	8	0.375	6	8	0.750	0.447	2.42	2.00
2004	sea	3	8	0.375	6	8	0.750	0.447	2.42	0.74
2001	sea	3	8	0.375	6	8	0.750	0.447	2.42	0.42
1994	rai	3	8	0.375	6	8	0.750	0.447	2.42	-1.29
1990	rai	4	6	0.667	8	10	0.800	0.559	2.41	1.00
2005	jax	4	6	0.667	8	10	0.800	0.559	2.41	-3.75
1997	cin	2	9	0.222	5	7	0.714	0.375	2.38	1.08
1990	dal	2	9	0.222	5	7	0.714	0.375	2.38	0.43
1996	crd	2	9	0.222	5	7	0.714	0.375	2.38	-0.25
2017	gnb	2	9	0.222	5	7	0.714	0.375	2.38	-0.75
1994	nor	2	9	0.222	5	7	0.714	0.375	2.38	-1.00
1995	tam	2	9	0.222	5	7	0.714	0.375	2.38	-1.33
1992	mia	5	9	0.556	6	7	0.857	0.525	2.33	1.00
2014	det	5	9	0.556	6	7	0.857	0.525	2.33	0.42
1990	cin	4	10	0.400	5	6	0.833	0.452	2.29	-0.74
2015	tam	1	8	0.125	5	8	0.625	0.342	2.26	1.00
1991	nwe	1	8	0.125	5	8	0.625	0.342	2.26	-0.86
1997	phi	1	7	0.143	5.5	9	0.611	0.361	2.25	0.68
2008	mia	4	7	0.571	7	9	0.778	0.528	2.25	2.18
1990	sfo	6	7	0.857	8	9	0.889	0.639	2.25	-3.68
2004	nor	2	7	0.286	6	9	0.667	0.417	2.25	-0.28
2015	den	3	4	0.750	9	12	0.750	0.567	2.20	-0.84
2009	jax	1	6	0.167	6	10	0.600	0.382	2.18	2.03
2011	kan	1	6	0.167	6	10	0.600	0.382	2.18	0.75
2009	mia	1	6	0.167	6	10	0.600	0.382	2.18	0.42
2014	gnb	7	11	0.636	5	5	1.000	0.568	2.16	-1.07
2012	htx	7	11	0.636	5	5	1.000	0.568	2.16	-1.78
2002	gnb	7	11	0.636	5	5	1.000	0.568	2.16	-1.86
1995	kan	6	8	0.750	7	8	0.875	0.605	2.16	1.68
1999	oti	6	8	0.750	7	8	0.875	0.605	2.16	-0.68
2016	nyg	3	5	0.600	8	11	0.727	0.531	2.16	-1.14
2015	sfo	1	10	0.100	4	6	0.667	0.310	2.14	-0.86
2011	tam	0	9	0.000	4	7	0.571	0.275	2.08	-1.75
2017	was	3	11	0.273	4	5	0.800	0.386	2.07	2.07
2010	jax	3	9	0.333	5	7	0.714	0.425	2.03	-0.16
1999	sdg	3	9	0.333	5	7	0.714	0.425	2.03	-0.93
2003	dal	5	10	0.500	5	6	0.833	0.500	2.00	1.38
2012	min	5	10	0.500	5	6	0.833	0.500	2.00	1.25
2005	nwe	5	10	0.500	5	6	0.833	0.500	2.00	0.63
2001	rav	5	10	0.500	5	6	0.833	0.500	2.00	0.59
2007	nyg	5	10	0.500	5	6	0.833	0.500	2.00	0.14
1995	phi	4	8	0.500	6	8	0.750	0.500	2.00	-0.84
2002	nyg	2	4	0.500	8	12	0.667	0.500	2.00	0.30
1994	min	3	6	0.500	7	10	0.700	0.500	2.00	-1.42
1990	mia	6	9	0.667	6	7	0.857	0.575	1.98	-0.68
1994	nyg	1	3	0.333	8	13	0.615	0.464	1.96	-0.75
2016	det	1	3	0.333	8	13	0.615	0.464	1.96	-1.03
2004	pit	9	10	0.900	6	6	1.000	0.690	1.86	-2.14
1999	crd	2	10	0.200	4	6	0.667	0.357	1.86	0.52
2006	sfo	2	8	0.250	5	8	0.625	0.395	1.84	2.68
2001	atl	2	8	0.250	5	8	0.625	0.395	1.84	0.75
1990	clt	2	8	0.250	5	8	0.625	0.395	1.84	0.04
1998	pit	2	8	0.250	5	8	0.625	0.395	1.84	-1.33
2015	phi	2	8	0.250	5	8	0.625	0.395	1.84	-3.03
2004	ram	4	11	0.364	4	5	0.800	0.432	1.84	0.84
2017	pit	5	6	0.833	8	10	0.800	0.618	1.82	-0.30
2012	dal	1	4	0.250	7	12	0.583	0.433	1.80	0.00
2000	chi	0	6	0.000	5	10	0.500	0.324	1.76	3.58
2003	htx	0	6	0.000	5	10	0.500	0.324	1.76	-1.00
1996	min	3	7	0.429	6	9	0.667	0.472	1.75	1.75
2016	oti	3	7	0.429	6	9	0.667	0.472	1.75	1.00
1997	min	3	7	0.429	6	9	0.667	0.472	1.75	-0.04
2000	det	3	7	0.429	6	9	0.667	0.472	1.75	-1.24
1999	mia	3	7	0.429	6	9	0.667	0.472	1.75	-1.73
2003	nwe	7	8	0.875	7	8	0.875	0.658	1.74	0.13
2009	cle	1	9	0.111	4	7	0.571	0.325	1.73	-1.41
2005	chi	6	10	0.600	5	6	0.833	0.548	1.71	0.70
2013	clt	6	10	0.600	5	6	0.833	0.548	1.71	0.43
1991	chi	6	10	0.600	5	6	0.833	0.548	1.71	-0.65
1998	atl	9	11	0.818	5	5	1.000	0.659	1.70	0.38
2005	sfo	0	8	0.000	4	8	0.500	0.289	1.68	1.84
2012	phi	0	8	0.000	4	8	0.500	0.289	1.68	0.83
2006	cle	0	8	0.000	4	8	0.500	0.289	1.68	-0.25
1995	sdg	4	9	0.444	5	7	0.714	0.475	1.68	3.07
1996	kan	4	9	0.444	5	7	0.714	0.475	1.68	1.63
2017	buf	4	9	0.444	5	7	0.714	0.475	1.68	0.57
2014	sdg	4	9	0.444	5	7	0.714	0.475	1.68	-1.47
1991	det	8	12	0.667	4	4	1.000	0.587	1.65	-2.33
1997	kan	7	9	0.778	6	7	0.857	0.625	1.63	-1.00
2009	sdg	7	9	0.778	6	7	0.857	0.625	1.63	-1.57
2003	kan	7	9	0.778	6	7	0.857	0.625	1.63	-1.75
1992	gnb	5	11	0.455	4	5	0.800	0.477	1.61	-0.42
2005	min	5	11	0.455	4	5	0.800	0.477	1.61	-1.25
2010	was	0	4	0.000	6	12	0.500	0.367	1.60	-0.16
2013	mia	2	6	0.333	6	10	0.600	0.441	1.59	-0.61
1993	phi	2	6	0.333	6	10	0.600	0.441	1.59	-1.00
2013	chi	2	6	0.333	6	10	0.600	0.441	1.59	-1.83
2010	nor	5	8	0.625	6	8	0.750	0.553	1.58	0.70
2008	atl	5	8	0.625	6	8	0.750	0.553	1.58	0.39
2000	min	5	8	0.625	6	8	0.750	0.553	1.58	-0.43
2004	atl	5	8	0.625	6	8	0.750	0.553	1.58	-0.68
2007	den	3	10	0.300	4	6	0.667	0.405	1.57	2.84
2007	buf	3	10	0.300	4	6	0.667	0.405	1.57	0.29
2008	sfo	3	10	0.300	4	6	0.667	0.405	1.57	-2.84
1995	cin	1	5	0.200	6	11	0.545	0.406	1.53	0.00
2013	oti	1	5	0.200	6	11	0.545	0.406	1.53	-0.48
2014	car	3	9	0.333	4.5	7	0.643	0.425	1.53	0.93
1993	clt	1	11	0.091	3	5	0.600	0.295	1.52	1.42
2004	phi	9	12	0.750	4	4	1.000	0.630	1.48	1.18
1991	den	4	5	0.800	8	11	0.727	0.594	1.47	0.68
2006	clt	4	5	0.800	8	11	0.727	0.594	1.47	-0.68
2003	ram	7	10	0.700	5	6	0.833	0.595	1.43	1.84
2008	car	7	10	0.700	5	6	0.833	0.595	1.43	0.56
1993	buf	7	10	0.700	5	6	0.833	0.595	1.43	-1.00
1993	nor	3	8	0.375	5	8	0.625	0.447	1.42	2.38
2000	buf	3	8	0.375	5	8	0.625	0.447	1.42	0.25
2006	ram	3	8	0.375	5	8	0.625	0.447	1.42	-0.70
1994	clt	3	8	0.375	5	8	0.625	0.447	1.42	-0.80
2009	oti	3	8	0.375	5	8	0.625	0.447	1.42	-1.39
2002	buf	3	8	0.375	5	8	0.625	0.447	1.42	-1.39
2010	chi	4	6	0.667	7	10	0.700	0.559	1.41	0.68
2012	oti	2	9	0.222	4	7	0.571	0.375	1.38	1.53
2017	rai	2	9	0.222	4	7	0.571	0.375	1.38	1.52
1997	nor	2	9	0.222	4	7	0.571	0.375	1.38	1.38
2004	dal	2	9	0.222	4	7	0.571	0.375	1.38	0.16
2001	cin	2	9	0.222	4	7	0.571	0.375	1.38	-0.48
1998	nor	2	9	0.222	4	7	0.571	0.375	1.38	-1.14
1997	buf	2	9	0.222	4	7	0.571	0.375	1.38	-1.18
2014	cin	7	12	0.583	3.5	4	0.875	0.543	1.33	-0.73
1996	dal	5	9	0.556	5	7	0.714	0.525	1.33	-1.25
1991	phi	5	9	0.556	5	7	0.714	0.525	1.33	-1.26
2010	nwe	10	12	0.833	4	4	1.000	0.674	1.30	-0.14
2002	crd	2	11	0.182	3	5	0.600	0.341	1.30	2.43
1992	sfo	8	9	0.889	6	7	0.857	0.675	1.28	-2.30
2016	was	3	7	0.429	5.5	9	0.611	0.472	1.25	2.07
2010	atl	6	7	0.857	7	9	0.778	0.639	1.25	-0.02
2016	dal	6	7	0.857	7	9	0.778	0.639	1.25	-0.17
2012	atl	6	7	0.857	7	9	0.778	0.639	1.25	-0.82
1997	atl	2	7	0.286	5	9	0.556	0.417	1.25	1.70
2001	crd	2	7	0.286	5	9	0.556	0.417	1.25	1.30
2001	oti	2	7	0.286	5	9	0.556	0.417	1.25	0.43
2013	min	1	7	0.143	4.5	9	0.500	0.361	1.25	0.42
1994	atl	2	7	0.286	5	9	0.556	0.417	1.25	-0.59
2015	nor	2	7	0.286	5	9	0.556	0.417	1.25	-1.00
1995	crd	0	7	0.000	4	9	0.444	0.306	1.25	2.38
1996	buf	4	7	0.571	6	9	0.667	0.528	1.25	1.38
2007	oti	4	7	0.571	6	9	0.667	0.528	1.25	0.70
1991	atl	4	7	0.571	6	9	0.667	0.528	1.25	0.57
2016	ram	0	7	0.000	4	9	0.444	0.306	1.25	0.43
2009	cin	4	7	0.571	6	9	0.667	0.528	1.25	-1.75
1998	sdg	0	5	0.000	5	11	0.455	0.344	1.22	2.03
2002	pit	6	10	0.600	4.5	6	0.750	0.548	1.21	-1.33
2005	phi	1	6	0.167	5	10	0.500	0.382	1.18	-1.38
2010	sea	5	14	0.357	2	2	1.000	0.420	1.16	-1.68
1990	chi	7	11	0.636	4	5	0.800	0.568	1.16	1.71
1992	pit	7	11	0.636	4	5	0.800	0.568	1.16	1.00
2014	crd	7	11	0.636	4	5	0.800	0.568	1.16	0.70
2005	cin	7	11	0.636	4	5	0.800	0.568	1.16	-2.03
2003	phi	6	8	0.750	6	8	0.750	0.605	1.16	1.48
2008	pit	6	8	0.750	6	8	0.750	0.605	1.16	-3.22
2014	was	1	10	0.100	3	6	0.500	0.310	1.14	0.33
2006	tam	1	10	0.100	3	6	0.500	0.310	1.14	0.33
2007	gnb	8	10	0.800	5	6	0.833	0.643	1.14	-3.42
1998	cin	0	9	0.000	3	7	0.429	0.275	1.08	0.70
1991	ram	0	9	0.000	3	7	0.429	0.275	1.08	-0.71
2009	det	0	12	0.000	2	4	0.500	0.239	1.04	-0.41
2010	car	0	12	0.000	2	4	0.500	0.239	1.04	-2.00
1991	pit	3	9	0.333	4	7	0.571	0.425	1.03	1.16
2012	nor	3	9	0.333	4	7	0.571	0.425	1.03	-0.38
1996	sea	3	9	0.333	4	7	0.571	0.425	1.03	-1.59
1996	jax	2	4	0.500	7	12	0.583	0.500	1.00	-1.26
2000	nyj	4	8	0.500	5	8	0.625	0.500	1.00	2.84
2006	kan	4	8	0.500	5	8	0.625	0.500	1.00	0.73
1993	pit	6	12	0.500	3	4	0.750	0.500	1.00	0.63
2005	mia	4	8	0.500	5	8	0.625	0.500	1.00	0.02
1998	nwe	4	8	0.500	5	8	0.625	0.500	1.00	0.00
1993	mia	4	8	0.500	5	8	0.625	0.500	1.00	-0.25
2011	nyg	4	8	0.500	5	8	0.625	0.500	1.00	-1.03
1992	was	4	8	0.500	5	8	0.625	0.500	1.00	-1.75
2002	nwe	5	10	0.500	4	6	0.667	0.500	1.00	1.74
1994	det	3	6	0.500	6	10	0.600	0.500	1.00	0.58
2017	oti	3	6	0.500	6	10	0.600	0.500	1.00	0.33
1991	rai	3	6	0.500	6	10	0.600	0.500	1.00	0.17
2000	gnb	3	6	0.500	6	10	0.600	0.500	1.00	-1.14
2016	tam	3	6	0.500	6	10	0.600	0.500	1.00	-1.41
2008	nyj	5	10	0.500	4	6	0.667	0.500	1.00	-1.84
1997	pit	6	9	0.667	5	7	0.714	0.575	0.98	1.84
1998	jax	6	9	0.667	5	7	0.714	0.575	0.98	0.48
2000	den	6	9	0.667	5	7	0.714	0.575	0.98	-0.61
2001	mia	6	9	0.667	5	7	0.714	0.575	0.98	-0.84
2007	nwe	12	12	1.000	4	4	1.000	0.761	0.96	-0.07
2005	clt	11	13	0.846	3	3	1.000	0.688	0.94	1.47
2014	den	8	11	0.727	4	5	0.800	0.614	0.93	2.20
2014	dal	8	11	0.727	4	5	0.800	0.614	0.93	-1.16
2015	car	9	9	1.000	6	7	0.857	0.725	0.93	-2.00
2012	ram	3	8	0.375	4.5	8	0.563	0.447	0.92	-1.00
1998	den	9	10	0.900	5	6	0.833	0.690	0.86	-2.00
2010	crd	2	10	0.200	3	6	0.500	0.357	0.86	2.89
1993	tam	2	10	0.200	3	6	0.500	0.357	0.86	0.57
2004	oti	2	10	0.200	3	6	0.500	0.357	0.86	-0.93
2015	atl	2	5	0.400	6	11	0.545	0.469	0.84	-1.26
2016	rav	2	5	0.400	6	11	0.545	0.469	0.84	-1.57
2005	ram	2	8	0.250	4	8	0.500	0.395	0.84	1.42
1998	was	2	8	0.250	4	8	0.500	0.395	0.84	-0.02
1998	rav	2	8	0.250	4	8	0.500	0.395	0.84	-0.75
2013	buf	2	8	0.250	4	8	0.500	0.395	0.84	-1.03
2007	car	4	11	0.364	3	5	0.600	0.432	0.84	1.43
2007	det	4	11	0.364	3	5	0.600	0.432	0.84	-0.96
2010	nyg	7	12	0.583	3	4	0.750	0.543	0.83	1.00
2013	phi	7	12	0.583	3	4	0.750	0.543	0.83	-0.57
2003	clt	5	6	0.833	7	10	0.700	0.618	0.82	-0.30
1994	den	1	4	0.250	6	12	0.500	0.433	0.80	0.61
2008	cin	2	11	0.182	2.5	5	0.500	0.341	0.80	1.25
2002	chi	0	6	0.000	4	10	0.400	0.324	0.76	-0.33
2003	nor	3	7	0.429	5	9	0.556	0.472	0.75	2.25
2002	sdg	3	7	0.429	5	9	0.556	0.472	0.75	0.73
1990	nor	3	7	0.429	5	9	0.556	0.472	0.75	0.16
2002	atl	4	7	0.571	5.5	9	0.611	0.528	0.75	-0.16
2016	clt	3	7	0.429	5	9	0.556	0.472	0.75	-0.25
2008	htx	3	7	0.429	5	9	0.556	0.472	0.75	-0.59
2004	sfo	0	11	0.000	2	5	0.400	0.250	0.75	1.68
1999	cle	0	11	0.000	2	5	0.400	0.250	0.75	0.71
2012	kan	0	11	0.000	2	5	0.400	0.250	0.75	-0.86
2006	crd	1	7	0.143	4	9	0.444	0.361	0.75	-0.84
2007	rav	1	7	0.143	4	9	0.444	0.361	0.75	-1.70
2005	tam	5	7	0.714	6	9	0.667	0.583	0.75	1.14
2011	sfo	7	8	0.875	6	8	0.750	0.658	0.74	-0.02
2005	sea	7	8	0.875	6	8	0.750	0.658	0.74	-0.42
1996	den	7	8	0.875	6	8	0.750	0.658	0.74	-0.70
1999	clt	7	8	0.875	6	8	0.750	0.658	0.74	-1.38
2003	sdg	1	9	0.111	3	7	0.429	0.325	0.73	0.25
1997	chi	1	9	0.111	3	7	0.429	0.325	0.73	-0.25
2007	kan	1	9	0.111	3	7	0.429	0.325	0.73	-1.74
2010	kan	6	10	0.600	4	6	0.667	0.548	0.71	2.18
2005	kan	6	10	0.600	4	6	0.667	0.548	0.71	1.00
2000	nor	6	10	0.600	4	6	0.667	0.548	0.71	0.29
1990	was	6	10	0.600	4	6	0.667	0.548	0.71	-0.07
2004	gnb	6	10	0.600	4	6	0.667	0.548	0.71	-2.41
2000	cle	2	15	0.133	1	1	1.000	0.288	0.71	-1.00
2008	oti	9	11	0.818	4	5	0.800	0.659	0.70	1.42
2011	nor	9	11	0.818	4	5	0.800	0.659	0.70	1.03
1990	buf	9	11	0.818	4	5	0.800	0.659	0.70	0.28
1997	sfo	9	11	0.818	4	5	0.800	0.659	0.70	0.14
2007	dal	9	11	0.818	4	5	0.800	0.659	0.70	-0.29
2006	chi	9	11	0.818	4	5	0.800	0.659	0.70	-0.33
2015	crd	9	11	0.818	4	5	0.800	0.659	0.70	-1.92
1999	cin	2	12	0.167	2	4	0.500	0.326	0.70	0.32
1998	phi	0	8	0.000	3	8	0.375	0.289	0.68	0.18
2009	nyg	4	9	0.444	4	7	0.571	0.475	0.68	0.83
2011	chi	4	9	0.444	4	7	0.571	0.475	0.68	-0.57
1992	den	4	9	0.444	4	7	0.571	0.475	0.68	-3.26
1992	sdg	8	12	0.667	3	4	0.750	0.587	0.65	-0.75
2013	car	7	9	0.778	5	7	0.714	0.625	0.63	1.53
2006	nwe	7	9	0.778	5	7	0.714	0.625	0.63	0.96
2003	oti	7	9	0.778	5	7	0.714	0.625	0.63	0.86
2010	pit	7	9	0.778	5	7	0.714	0.625	0.63	0.63
1994	pit	7	9	0.778	5	7	0.714	0.625	0.63	-0.07
2011	pit	7	9	0.778	5	7	0.714	0.625	0.63	-0.84
1998	nyg	5	11	0.455	3	5	0.600	0.477	0.61	2.86
2006	gnb	5	11	0.455	3	5	0.600	0.477	0.61	1.14
1995	den	5	11	0.455	3	5	0.600	0.477	0.61	0.74
2011	nyj	5	11	0.455	3	5	0.600	0.477	0.61	0.57
2009	den	5	11	0.455	3	5	0.600	0.477	0.61	-0.63
2006	pit	5	11	0.455	3	5	0.600	0.477	0.61	-2.73
2015	rav	0	4	0.000	5	12	0.417	0.367	0.60	0.84
2015	rai	2	6	0.333	5	10	0.500	0.441	0.59	3.25
2002	rav	2	6	0.333	5	10	0.500	0.441	0.59	0.16
2016	gnb	5	8	0.625	5	8	0.625	0.553	0.58	2.38
2013	crd	5	8	0.625	5	8	0.625	0.553	0.58	1.16
1997	nwe	5	8	0.625	5	8	0.625	0.553	0.58	1.00
2012	cin	5	8	0.625	5	8	0.625	0.553	0.58	0.16
2006	nyj	5	8	0.625	5	8	0.625	0.553	0.58	-0.82
1995	det	5	8	0.625	5	8	0.625	0.553	0.58	-0.98
2011	det	5	8	0.625	5	8	0.625	0.553	0.58	-1.47
2015	mia	3	10	0.300	3	6	0.500	0.405	0.57	3.59
2012	nyj	3	10	0.300	3	6	0.500	0.405	0.57	2.57
1994	tam	3	10	0.300	3	6	0.500	0.405	0.57	2.38
1994	nyj	3	10	0.300	3	6	0.500	0.405	0.57	-0.28
1992	atl	3	10	0.300	3	6	0.500	0.405	0.57	-0.58
2011	gnb	10	10	1.000	5	6	0.833	0.738	0.57	-0.86
1996	ram	3	10	0.300	3	6	0.500	0.405	0.57	-0.98
1990	tam	3	10	0.300	3	6	0.500	0.405	0.57	-1.63
2009	car	6	13	0.462	2	3	0.667	0.479	0.56	1.04
1999	chi	1	5	0.200	5	11	0.455	0.406	0.53	1.76
2015	chi	1	5	0.200	5	11	0.455	0.406	0.53	-1.63
2000	crd	1	11	0.091	2	5	0.400	0.295	0.52	1.25
1993	ram	3	12	0.250	2	4	0.500	0.370	0.52	-0.25
2009	min	9	12	0.750	3	4	0.750	0.630	0.48	0.02
2014	nwe	9	12	0.750	3	4	0.750	0.630	0.48	-0.26
1993	oti	9	12	0.750	3	4	0.750	0.630	0.48	-1.74
2016	nwe	10	11	0.909	4	5	0.800	0.705	0.48	-0.14
1999	jax	10	11	0.909	4	5	0.800	0.705	0.48	-1.68
1997	nyg	6	9	0.667	4.5	7	0.643	0.575	0.48	0.61
2014	clt	7	10	0.700	4	6	0.667	0.595	0.43	2.53
2016	pit	7	10	0.700	4	6	0.667	0.595	0.43	1.82
2017	ram	7	10	0.700	4	6	0.667	0.595	0.43	1.63
1992	buf	7	10	0.700	4	6	0.667	0.595	0.43	1.43
1999	buf	7	10	0.700	4	6	0.667	0.595	0.43	1.42
2002	oti	7	10	0.700	4	6	0.667	0.595	0.43	0.63
2007	jax	7	10	0.700	4	6	0.667	0.595	0.43	0.18
1991	dal	7	10	0.700	4	6	0.667	0.595	0.43	-0.14
2009	phi	7	10	0.700	4	6	0.667	0.595	0.43	-0.25
1993	kan	7	10	0.700	4	6	0.667	0.595	0.43	-0.29
1992	sea	0	10	0.000	2	6	0.333	0.262	0.43	-0.71
2015	min	7	10	0.700	4	6	0.667	0.595	0.43	-1.29
2002	car	3	8	0.375	4	8	0.500	0.447	0.42	3.00
2001	nyg	3	8	0.375	4	8	0.500	0.447	0.42	2.00
2015	det	3	8	0.375	4	8	0.500	0.447	0.42	1.96
2015	ram	3	8	0.375	4	8	0.500	0.447	0.42	1.25
2014	min	3	8	0.375	4	8	0.500	0.447	0.42	0.43
2002	sea	3	8	0.375	4	8	0.500	0.447	0.42	-0.25
1995	car	3	8	0.375	4	8	0.500	0.447	0.42	-0.30
2017	cin	3	8	0.375	4	8	0.500	0.447	0.42	-0.71
2014	cle	3	8	0.375	4	8	0.500	0.447	0.42	-1.14
2010	mia	3	8	0.375	4	8	0.500	0.447	0.42	-1.33
2017	atl	4	6	0.667	6	10	0.600	0.559	0.41	0.42
2012	rav	4	6	0.667	6	10	0.600	0.559	0.41	0.00
1991	kan	4	6	0.667	6	10	0.600	0.559	0.41	-0.57
2010	rav	4	4	1.000	8	12	0.667	0.633	0.40	0.14
2009	atl	6	11	0.545	3	5	0.600	0.523	0.39	1.25
2008	crd	6	11	0.545	3	5	0.600	0.523	0.39	0.16
1994	chi	6	11	0.545	3	5	0.600	0.523	0.39	-1.53
2012	crd	2	9	0.222	3	7	0.429	0.375	0.38	0.58
1999	atl	2	9	0.222	3	7	0.429	0.375	0.38	0.30
2016	nyj	2	9	0.222	3	7	0.429	0.375	0.38	-0.16
1996	nyg	4	12	0.333	2	4	0.500	0.413	0.35	0.48
2015	was	5	9	0.556	4	7	0.571	0.525	0.33	1.25
2007	tam	5	9	0.556	4	7	0.571	0.525	0.33	-1.25
2000	cin	3	14	0.214	1	2	0.500	0.340	0.32	1.38
1996	pit	8	13	0.615	2	3	0.667	0.563	0.31	0.98
2000	atl	2	11	0.182	2	5	0.400	0.341	0.30	1.84
2012	rai	2	11	0.182	2	5	0.400	0.341	0.30	-0.14
2003	nyg	2	11	0.182	2	5	0.400	0.341	0.30	-0.58
1999	sfo	2	11	0.182	2	5	0.400	0.341	0.30	-0.83
2002	was	4	10	0.400	3	6	0.500	0.452	0.29	-0.47
2008	buf	4	10	0.400	3	6	0.500	0.452	0.29	-1.33
2013	nyg	4	10	0.400	3	6	0.500	0.452	0.29	-1.44
2001	nor	4	10	0.400	3	6	0.500	0.452	0.29	-2.18
2001	pit	8	9	0.889	5	7	0.714	0.675	0.28	1.21
1991	buf	8	9	0.889	5	7	0.714	0.675	0.28	0.43
1990	nyg	8	9	0.889	5	7	0.714	0.675	0.28	0.00
2007	atl	1	8	0.125	3	8	0.375	0.342	0.26	1.58
1995	jax	1	8	0.125	3	8	0.375	0.342	0.26	1.00
2010	buf	1	8	0.125	3	8	0.375	0.342	0.26	-0.58
2011	oti	4	7	0.571	5	9	0.556	0.528	0.25	1.38
1997	nyj	4	7	0.571	5	9	0.556	0.528	0.25	0.14
2016	sea	5	7	0.714	5.5	9	0.611	0.583	0.25	-1.25
2004	sdg	6	7	0.857	6	9	0.667	0.639	0.25	-2.38
2016	kan	6	7	0.857	6	9	0.667	0.639	0.25	-2.73
2005	cle	2	7	0.286	4	9	0.444	0.417	0.25	1.68
2001	buf	0	7	0.000	3	9	0.333	0.306	0.25	1.42
2001	kan	2	7	0.286	4	9	0.444	0.417	0.25	-2.53
2003	jax	1	6	0.167	4	10	0.400	0.382	0.18	3.53
2008	jax	1	6	0.167	4	10	0.400	0.382	0.18	2.18
2002	dal	1	6	0.167	4	10	0.400	0.382	0.18	2.00
2004	rai	1	6	0.167	4	10	0.400	0.382	0.18	-0.14
1999	phi	1	6	0.167	4	10	0.400	0.382	0.18	-0.38
2015	jax	1	6	0.167	4	10	0.400	0.382	0.18	-1.82
2006	was	1	6	0.167	4	10	0.400	0.382	0.18	-1.84
1992	rai	5	12	0.417	2	4	0.500	0.457	0.17	3.80
2007	nor	5	12	0.417	2	4	0.500	0.457	0.17	-2.25
1997	car	5	12	0.417	2	4	0.500	0.457	0.17	-3.16
2009	crd	7	11	0.636	3	5	0.600	0.568	0.16	0.86
2003	rav	7	11	0.636	3	5	0.600	0.568	0.16	-0.29
2003	den	7	11	0.636	3	5	0.600	0.568	0.16	-0.57
1992	min	6	8	0.750	5	8	0.625	0.605	0.16	2.42
2013	cin	6	8	0.750	5	8	0.625	0.605	0.16	1.33
2010	nyj	6	8	0.750	5	8	0.625	0.605	0.16	0.61
1991	nor	6	8	0.750	5	8	0.625	0.605	0.16	-1.68
1999	tam	6	8	0.750	5	8	0.625	0.605	0.16	-1.75
2005	dal	3	5	0.600	6	11	0.545	0.531	0.16	-0.17
1990	cle	1	10	0.100	2	6	0.333	0.310	0.14	-1.16
2000	rav	8	10	0.800	4	6	0.667	0.643	0.14	2.00
2008	nyg	8	10	0.800	4	6	0.667	0.643	0.14	0.68
2011	rav	8	10	0.800	4	6	0.667	0.643	0.14	0.41
1998	sfo	8	10	0.800	4	6	0.667	0.643	0.14	0.30
1998	nyj	8	10	0.800	4	6	0.667	0.643	0.14	-0.75
1993	dal	8	10	0.800	4	6	0.667	0.643	0.14	-2.08
2004	nwe	11	12	0.917	3	4	0.750	0.717	0.13	2.00
2012	jax	0	9	0.000	2	7	0.286	0.275	0.07	2.43
2008	rai	3	11	0.273	2	5	0.400	0.386	0.07	3.08
2017	den	3	11	0.273	2	5	0.400	0.386	0.07	-0.41
2014	jax	2	13	0.154	1	3	0.333	0.313	0.06	0.18
1991	clt	0	12	0.000	1	4	0.250	0.239	0.04	3.03
2014	ram	3	9	0.333	3	7	0.429	0.425	0.02	0.42
2006	htx	3	9	0.333	3	7	0.429	0.425	0.02	0.00
2005	rav	3	9	0.333	3	7	0.429	0.425	0.02	-0.14
1990	nyj	3	9	0.333	3	7	0.429	0.425	0.02	-0.84
2006	mia	3	9	0.333	3	7	0.429	0.425	0.02	-0.93
2010	min	3	9	0.333	3	7	0.429	0.425	0.02	-2.47
1996	cin	4	8	0.500	4	8	0.500	0.500	0.00	2.38
2006	nyg	5	10	0.500	3	6	0.500	0.500	0.00	2.00
1999	det	5	10	0.500	3	6	0.500	0.500	0.00	1.75
2004	min	3	6	0.500	5	10	0.500	0.500	0.00	1.61
1994	crd	3	6	0.500	5	10	0.500	0.500	0.00	1.25
2004	cin	4	8	0.500	4	8	0.500	0.500	0.00	1.16
1995	sea	4	8	0.500	4	8	0.500	0.500	0.00	1.03
1999	gnb	5	10	0.500	3	6	0.500	0.500	0.00	1.00
2013	dal	3	6	0.500	5	10	0.500	0.500	0.00	0.93
2006	car	4	8	0.500	4	8	0.500	0.500	0.00	0.84
2007	htx	6	12	0.500	2	4	0.500	0.500	0.00	0.75
2001	was	5	10	0.500	3	6	0.500	0.500	0.00	0.29
1991	min	4	8	0.500	4	8	0.500	0.500	0.00	0.16
1991	nyg	2	4	0.500	6	12	0.500	0.500	0.00	-0.92
1999	nwe	3	6	0.500	5	10	0.500	0.500	0.00	-1.41
2013	rav	3	6	0.500	5	10	0.500	0.500	0.00	-1.86
1999	car	5	10	0.500	3	6	0.500	0.500	0.00	-2.29
2015	buf	5	10	0.500	3	6	0.500	0.500	0.00	-2.42
2012	sfo	9	12	0.750	2.5	4	0.625	0.630	-0.02	-0.30
2011	atl	6	9	0.667	4	7	0.571	0.575	-0.02	1.25
2006	nor	6	9	0.667	4	7	0.571	0.575	-0.02	0.17
1997	tam	6	9	0.667	4	7	0.571	0.575	-0.02	-0.68
1999	was	6	9	0.667	4	7	0.571	0.575	-0.02	-1.59
1998	min	12	12	1.000	3	4	0.750	0.761	-0.04	-1.60
1996	gnb	11	13	0.846	2	3	0.667	0.688	-0.06	-0.14
1995	pit	8	11	0.727	3	5	0.600	0.614	-0.07	0.31
2001	phi	8	11	0.727	3	5	0.600	0.614	-0.07	-1.14
2008	nwe	8	11	0.727	3	5	0.600	0.614	-0.07	-2.26
1991	was	9	9	1.000	5	7	0.714	0.725	-0.07	1.00
2006	sdg	9	9	1.000	5	7	0.714	0.725	-0.07	-0.52
2001	ram	9	9	1.000	5	7	0.714	0.725	-0.07	-1.00
1990	pit	8	14	0.571	1	2	0.500	0.540	-0.08	1.03
2002	htx	2	10	0.200	2	6	0.333	0.357	-0.14	1.76
2008	cle	2	10	0.200	2	6	0.333	0.357	-0.14	1.73
2006	rav	9	10	0.900	4	6	0.667	0.690	-0.14	0.75
2005	nyj	2	10	0.200	2	6	0.333	0.357	-0.14	0.58
2013	cle	2	10	0.200	2	6	0.333	0.357	-0.14	0.42
1992	dal	9	10	0.900	4	6	0.667	0.690	-0.14	0.14
2017	nwe	9	10	0.900	4	6	0.667	0.690	-0.14	-0.07
2013	rai	2	10	0.200	2	6	0.333	0.357	-0.14	-0.28
2005	den	9	10	0.900	4	6	0.667	0.690	-0.14	-0.29
1997	gnb	9	10	0.900	4	6	0.667	0.690	-0.14	-0.38
2005	rai	2	10	0.200	2	6	0.333	0.357	-0.14	-0.48
2017	phi	9	10	0.900	4	6	0.667	0.690	-0.14	-0.80
2011	nwe	9	10	0.900	4	6	0.667	0.690	-0.14	-1.68
2013	tam	2	10	0.200	2	6	0.333	0.357	-0.14	-2.25
2003	atl	2	8	0.250	3	8	0.375	0.395	-0.16	1.58
1992	tam	2	8	0.250	3	8	0.375	0.395	-0.16	0.86
2011	jax	2	8	0.250	3	8	0.375	0.395	-0.16	0.07
1998	det	2	8	0.250	3	8	0.375	0.395	-0.16	0.00
2012	cle	2	8	0.250	3	8	0.375	0.395	-0.16	-0.14
2011	was	2	8	0.250	3	8	0.375	0.395	-0.16	-0.25
2017	nyj	2	8	0.250	3	8	0.375	0.395	-0.16	-1.43
1995	nwe	4	11	0.364	2	5	0.400	0.432	-0.16	-0.38
1990	gnb	4	11	0.364	2	5	0.400	0.432	-0.16	-1.16
2017	dal	7	12	0.583	2	4	0.500	0.543	-0.17	3.59
2006	dal	7	12	0.583	2	4	0.500	0.543	-0.17	0.70
2009	sea	4	13	0.308	1	3	0.333	0.396	-0.19	1.16
2003	nyj	1	4	0.250	5	12	0.417	0.433	-0.20	-0.84
2013	nwe	5	5	1.000	7	11	0.636	0.656	-0.22	0.48
1994	cin	0	6	0.000	3	10	0.300	0.324	-0.24	1.53
2002	det	0	6	0.000	3	10	0.300	0.324	-0.24	-1.16
1990	nwe	0	11	0.000	1	5	0.200	0.250	-0.25	2.26
2009	ram	0	11	0.000	1	5	0.200	0.250	-0.25	-1.00
1994	ram	1	7	0.143	3	9	0.333	0.361	-0.25	2.86
1997	crd	1	7	0.143	3	9	0.333	0.361	-0.25	2.59
2003	sea	5	7	0.714	5	9	0.556	0.583	-0.25	2.42
2013	gnb	4	7	0.571	4.5	9	0.500	0.528	-0.25	2.16
2010	tam	5	7	0.714	5	9	0.556	0.583	-0.25	2.08
2004	mia	1	7	0.143	3	9	0.333	0.361	-0.25	1.00
1998	chi	1	7	0.143	3	9	0.333	0.361	-0.25	0.53
2000	kan	3	7	0.429	4	9	0.444	0.472	-0.25	0.25
2017	clt	1	7	0.143	3	9	0.333	0.361	-0.25	-0.02
2007	cle	5	7	0.714	5	9	0.556	0.583	-0.25	-0.14
2011	cle	1	7	0.143	3	9	0.333	0.361	-0.25	-0.16
1996	rav	1	7	0.143	3	9	0.333	0.361	-0.25	-0.66
2012	was	5	7	0.714	5	9	0.556	0.583	-0.25	-0.74
2010	clt	5	7	0.714	5	9	0.556	0.583	-0.25	-0.86
1994	mia	5	7	0.714	5	9	0.556	0.583	-0.25	-1.03
2014	nyj	1	7	0.143	3	9	0.333	0.361	-0.25	-1.75
2010	phi	5	7	0.714	5	9	0.556	0.583	-0.25	-2.03
2001	sfo	7	8	0.875	5	8	0.625	0.658	-0.26	2.75
2015	nwe	7	8	0.875	5	8	0.625	0.658	-0.26	0.48
2000	rai	7	8	0.875	5	8	0.625	0.658	-0.26	-2.22
2014	rai	1	9	0.111	2	7	0.286	0.325	-0.28	0.59
2005	nor	1	9	0.111	2	7	0.286	0.325	-0.28	-0.02
1993	cin	1	9	0.111	2	7	0.286	0.325	-0.28	-0.24
1995	nyj	1	9	0.111	2	7	0.286	0.325	-0.28	-2.28
2015	htx	6	10	0.600	3	6	0.500	0.548	-0.29	4.18
1994	kan	6	10	0.600	3	6	0.500	0.548	-0.29	2.16
2006	den	6	10	0.600	3	6	0.500	0.548	-0.29	1.57
2004	rav	6	10	0.600	3	6	0.500	0.548	-0.29	0.02
1999	sea	6	10	0.600	3	6	0.500	0.548	-0.29	-0.58
2008	dal	6	10	0.600	3	6	0.500	0.548	-0.29	-1.26
2013	sfo	9	11	0.818	3	5	0.600	0.659	-0.30	2.84
2004	clt	9	11	0.818	3	5	0.600	0.659	-0.30	0.94
1996	car	9	11	0.818	3	5	0.600	0.659	-0.30	0.17
2007	cin	4	9	0.444	3	7	0.429	0.475	-0.33	0.80
2003	chi	4	9	0.444	3	7	0.429	0.475	-0.33	-0.43
2007	chi	4	9	0.444	3	7	0.429	0.475	-0.33	-0.59
1993	nyg	7	9	0.778	4	7	0.571	0.625	-0.38	1.96
2001	nwe	7	9	0.778	4	7	0.571	0.625	-0.38	1.00
1996	nwe	7	9	0.778	4	7	0.571	0.625	-0.38	0.58
1990	kan	7	9	0.778	4	7	0.571	0.625	-0.38	0.41
2015	kan	7	9	0.778	4	7	0.571	0.625	-0.38	0.25
2005	car	7	9	0.778	4	7	0.571	0.625	-0.38	0.00
1998	gnb	7	9	0.778	4	7	0.571	0.625	-0.38	0.00
2000	phi	7	9	0.778	4	7	0.571	0.625	-0.38	-0.07
1994	cle	7	9	0.778	4	7	0.571	0.625	-0.38	-0.43
2014	pit	7	9	0.778	4	7	0.571	0.625	-0.38	-0.84
2013	nor	7	9	0.778	4	7	0.571	0.625	-0.38	-1.00
2006	atl	5	11	0.455	2	5	0.400	0.477	-0.39	0.26
2010	det	2	6	0.333	4	10	0.400	0.441	-0.41	0.58
1995	was	2	6	0.333	4	10	0.400	0.441	-0.41	-0.42
2002	den	5	8	0.625	4	8	0.500	0.553	-0.42	0.16
1999	kan	5	8	0.625	4	8	0.500	0.553	-0.42	-0.25
1993	gnb	5	8	0.625	4	8	0.500	0.553	-0.42	-0.42
2006	sea	5	8	0.625	4	8	0.500	0.553	-0.42	-0.84
1994	gnb	5	8	0.625	4	8	0.500	0.553	-0.42	-0.86
1996	was	5	8	0.625	4	8	0.500	0.553	-0.42	-0.92
2004	chi	3	10	0.300	2	6	0.333	0.405	-0.43	1.71
1995	cle	3	10	0.300	2	6	0.333	0.405	-0.43	-0.25
1992	cin	3	10	0.300	2	6	0.333	0.405	-0.43	-0.28
1990	crd	3	10	0.300	2	6	0.333	0.405	-0.43	-0.93
2001	min	3	10	0.300	2	6	0.333	0.405	-0.43	-1.16
2001	dal	1	5	0.200	4	11	0.364	0.406	-0.47	0.18
2003	was	1	5	0.200	4	11	0.364	0.406	-0.47	-1.16
2002	cin	1	11	0.091	1	5	0.200	0.295	-0.48	2.53
2014	oti	1	11	0.091	1	5	0.200	0.295	-0.48	-0.74
2006	rai	1	11	0.091	1	5	0.200	0.295	-0.48	-1.16
2007	sdg	9	12	0.750	2	4	0.500	0.630	-0.52	-3.75
2009	nor	10	11	0.909	3	5	0.600	0.705	-0.52	1.58
2017	min	10	11	0.909	3	5	0.600	0.705	-0.52	-0.11
1994	sfo	10	11	0.909	3	5	0.600	0.705	-0.52	-3.08
2008	min	4	5	0.800	6	11	0.545	0.594	-0.53	0.48
1994	nwe	4	5	0.800	6	11	0.545	0.594	-0.53	-0.16
2014	phi	7	10	0.700	3	6	0.500	0.595	-0.57	1.84
2012	chi	7	10	0.700	3	6	0.500	0.595	-0.57	1.59
1992	kan	7	10	0.700	3	6	0.500	0.595	-0.57	0.43
2000	ram	7	10	0.700	3	6	0.500	0.595	-0.57	-0.07
2004	den	7	10	0.700	3	6	0.500	0.595	-0.57	-0.14
1998	dal	7	10	0.700	3	6	0.500	0.595	-0.57	-3.38
2016	cle	0	10	0.000	1	6	0.167	0.262	-0.57	-1.57
2000	sea	3	8	0.375	3	8	0.375	0.447	-0.58	2.42
1990	det	3	8	0.375	3	8	0.375	0.447	-0.58	1.65
1993	atl	3	8	0.375	3	8	0.375	0.447	-0.58	1.25
1994	sea	3	8	0.375	3	8	0.375	0.447	-0.58	0.00
2011	buf	3	8	0.375	3	8	0.375	0.447	-0.58	-0.71
2010	htx	3	8	0.375	3	8	0.375	0.447	-0.58	-0.84
2004	nyg	3	8	0.375	3	8	0.375	0.447	-0.58	-0.86
2004	crd	3	8	0.375	3	8	0.375	0.447	-0.58	-0.98
2011	cin	4	6	0.667	5	10	0.500	0.559	-0.59	0.58
2009	htx	4	6	0.667	5	10	0.500	0.559	-0.59	-0.58
1995	atl	4	6	0.667	5	10	0.500	0.559	-0.59	-0.74
2008	chi	4	6	0.667	5	10	0.500	0.559	-0.59	-1.00
1997	mia	4	6	0.667	5	10	0.500	0.559	-0.59	-1.38
1990	sea	4	6	0.667	5	10	0.500	0.559	-0.59	-1.75
2014	mia	6	11	0.545	2	5	0.400	0.523	-0.61	0.57
2001	den	6	11	0.545	2	5	0.400	0.523	-0.61	-0.42
1997	rai	2	9	0.222	2	7	0.286	0.375	-0.63	2.84
2010	den	2	9	0.222	2	7	0.286	0.375	-0.63	2.53
1992	nyj	2	9	0.222	2	7	0.286	0.375	-0.63	-0.75
1992	chi	4	12	0.333	1	4	0.250	0.413	-0.65	-1.00
1997	rav	2	5	0.400	4.5	11	0.409	0.469	-0.66	0.84
1991	mia	5	9	0.556	3	7	0.429	0.525	-0.68	2.33
1998	oti	5	9	0.556	3	7	0.429	0.525	-0.68	2.16
1998	tam	5	9	0.556	3	7	0.429	0.525	-0.68	0.16
2005	atl	5	9	0.556	3	7	0.429	0.525	-0.68	-0.39
1996	mia	5	9	0.556	3	7	0.429	0.525	-0.68	-0.59
2007	clt	8	8	1.000	5	8	0.625	0.711	-0.68	3.25
2000	oti	8	8	1.000	5	8	0.625	0.711	-0.68	1.25
2013	sea	8	8	1.000	5	8	0.625	0.711	-0.68	-1.14
1997	den	10	12	0.833	2	4	0.500	0.674	-0.70	0.86
2002	tam	10	12	0.833	2	4	0.500	0.674	-0.70	-3.25
2009	tam	2	11	0.182	1	5	0.200	0.341	-0.70	-0.25
2007	ram	2	11	0.182	1	5	0.200	0.341	-0.70	-0.86
2014	atl	4	10	0.400	2	6	0.333	0.452	-0.71	0.84
2012	buf	4	10	0.400	2	6	0.333	0.452	-0.71	0.84
1992	ram	4	10	0.400	2	6	0.333	0.452	-0.71	0.52
1993	sea	4	10	0.400	2	6	0.333	0.452	-0.71	-0.58
1996	sfo	8	9	0.889	4	7	0.571	0.675	-0.73	0.70
2015	cin	8	9	0.889	4	7	0.571	0.675	-0.73	-2.18
2015	oti	1	8	0.125	2	8	0.250	0.342	-0.74	1.75
1996	nor	1	8	0.125	2	8	0.250	0.342	-0.74	1.38
1996	atl	1	8	0.125	2	8	0.250	0.342	-0.74	1.25
2013	was	1	8	0.125	2	8	0.250	0.342	-0.74	1.14
1991	cin	1	8	0.125	2	8	0.250	0.342	-0.74	-0.43
1991	oti	6	7	0.857	5	9	0.556	0.639	-0.75	-1.75
2011	dal	4	7	0.571	4	9	0.444	0.528	-0.75	1.80
1999	nyj	4	7	0.571	4	9	0.444	0.528	-0.75	1.00
1993	nyj	4	7	0.571	4	9	0.444	0.528	-0.75	0.57
1995	nyg	2	7	0.286	3	9	0.333	0.417	-0.75	0.35
1999	rav	4	7	0.571	4	9	0.444	0.528	-0.75	0.14
1993	sdg	4	7	0.571	4	9	0.444	0.528	-0.75	-1.26
1995	clt	3	4	0.750	6	12	0.500	0.567	-0.80	2.59
2001	tam	3	4	0.750	6	12	0.500	0.567	-0.80	-0.70
2007	nyj	1	6	0.167	3	10	0.300	0.382	-0.82	1.00
2013	atl	1	6	0.167	3	10	0.300	0.382	-0.82	-0.71
2001	clt	5	12	0.417	1	4	0.250	0.457	-0.83	2.68
2000	sfo	5	12	0.417	1	4	0.250	0.457	-0.83	-0.26
2016	den	7	11	0.636	2	5	0.400	0.568	-0.84	0.07
1997	det	7	11	0.636	2	5	0.400	0.568	-0.84	-0.16
2002	mia	7	11	0.636	2	5	0.400	0.568	-0.84	-1.38
1996	phi	6	8	0.750	4	8	0.500	0.605	-0.84	2.25
2011	htx	6	8	0.750	4	8	0.500	0.605	-0.84	2.16
2015	pit	6	8	0.750	4	8	0.500	0.605	-0.84	0.43
2004	nyj	6	8	0.750	4	8	0.500	0.605	-0.84	-0.14
2007	sea	6	8	0.750	4	8	0.500	0.605	-0.84	-1.43
2007	crd	3	5	0.600	5	11	0.455	0.531	-0.84	0.39
1991	nyj	3	5	0.600	5	11	0.455	0.531	-0.84	-0.63
2012	pit	3	5	0.600	5	11	0.455	0.531	-0.84	-2.03
2011	clt	1	10	0.100	1	6	0.167	0.310	-0.86	4.59
2011	ram	1	10	0.100	1	6	0.167	0.310	-0.86	0.92
2008	ram	1	10	0.100	1	6	0.167	0.310	-0.86	-0.25
1992	nwe	1	10	0.100	1	6	0.167	0.310	-0.86	-1.20
2016	sfo	1	10	0.100	1	6	0.167	0.310	-0.86	-1.33
2005	nyg	8	10	0.800	3	6	0.500	0.643	-0.86	0.00
1995	gnb	8	10	0.800	3	6	0.500	0.643	-0.86	-0.06
2012	gnb	8	10	0.800	3	6	0.500	0.643	-0.86	-0.25
2013	kan	8	10	0.800	3	6	0.500	0.643	-0.86	-1.03
2009	gnb	8	10	0.800	3	6	0.500	0.643	-0.86	-2.76
1992	nyg	6	14	0.429	0	2	0.000	0.460	-0.92	-0.38
1997	was	5	8	0.625	3.5	8	0.438	0.553	-0.92	0.84
2007	mia	0	9	0.000	1	7	0.143	0.275	-0.93	2.25
2000	sdg	0	9	0.000	1	7	0.143	0.275	-0.93	-3.75
2005	oti	3	11	0.273	1	5	0.200	0.386	-0.93	2.53
1997	sdg	3	11	0.273	1	5	0.200	0.386	-0.93	1.22
2004	cle	3	11	0.273	1	5	0.200	0.386	-0.93	0.25
1991	crd	3	11	0.273	1	5	0.200	0.386	-0.93	-1.16
2017	htx	3	11	0.273	1	5	0.200	0.386	-0.93	-1.22
2008	det	0	12	0.000	0	4	0.000	0.239	-0.96	1.04
2005	crd	3	9	0.333	2	7	0.286	0.425	-0.98	0.75
2000	dal	3	9	0.333	2	7	0.286	0.425	-0.98	-0.47
2017	chi	3	9	0.333	2	7	0.286	0.425	-0.98	-0.76
1996	det	3	9	0.333	2	7	0.286	0.425	-0.98	-0.84
1997	ram	3	9	0.333	2	7	0.286	0.425	-0.98	-1.98
2005	det	3	9	0.333	2	7	0.286	0.425	-0.98	-2.75
1993	chi	3	6	0.500	4	10	0.400	0.500	-1.00	0.39
2016	nor	2	4	0.500	5	12	0.417	0.500	-1.00	-1.70
1994	buf	5	10	0.500	2	6	0.333	0.500	-1.00	4.03
1994	phi	4	8	0.500	3	8	0.375	0.500	-1.00	2.00
2012	mia	4	8	0.500	3	8	0.375	0.500	-1.00	1.59
2006	buf	4	8	0.500	3	8	0.375	0.500	-1.00	1.57
2002	ram	4	8	0.500	3	8	0.375	0.500	-1.00	1.43
2009	chi	4	8	0.500	3	8	0.375	0.500	-1.00	1.41
2014	nor	4	8	0.500	3	8	0.375	0.500	-1.00	1.25
1996	chi	4	8	0.500	3	8	0.375	0.500	-1.00	0.73
2013	ram	6	12	0.500	1	4	0.250	0.500	-1.00	0.02
1993	cle	4	8	0.500	3	8	0.375	0.500	-1.00	-0.38
1998	kan	4	8	0.500	3	8	0.375	0.500	-1.00	-0.42
1995	nor	4	8	0.500	3	8	0.375	0.500	-1.00	-0.74
2010	ram	5	10	0.500	2	6	0.333	0.500	-1.00	-0.86
2004	htx	6	12	0.500	1	4	0.250	0.500	-1.00	-1.28
2001	cle	5	10	0.500	2	6	0.333	0.500	-1.00	-1.53
2017	sdg	6	9	0.667	3	7	0.429	0.575	-1.03	1.43
2012	nyg	6	9	0.667	3	7	0.429	0.575	-1.03	0.29
2014	buf	6	9	0.667	3	7	0.429	0.575	-1.03	0.00
2002	nyj	6	9	0.667	3	7	0.429	0.575	-1.03	-0.20
2014	kan	6	9	0.667	3	7	0.429	0.575	-1.03	-0.38
1995	mia	6	9	0.667	3	7	0.429	0.575	-1.03	-0.68
2017	det	6	9	0.667	3	7	0.429	0.575	-1.03	-1.39
2015	gnb	8	11	0.727	2	5	0.400	0.614	-1.07	0.58
2017	jax	8	11	0.727	2	5	0.400	0.614	-1.07	-1.58
2001	gnb	9	10	0.900	3	6	0.500	0.690	-1.14	2.16
2002	phi	9	10	0.900	3	6	0.500	0.690	-1.14	1.16
2014	sea	9	10	0.900	3	6	0.500	0.690	-1.14	-2.73
1999	nor	2	10	0.200	1	6	0.167	0.357	-1.14	0.71
2015	cle	2	10	0.200	1	6	0.167	0.357	-1.14	-0.57
2017	nyg	2	10	0.200	1	6	0.167	0.357	-1.14	-1.20
2004	was	2	5	0.400	4	11	0.364	0.469	-1.16	-1.18
2002	min	2	5	0.400	4	11	0.364	0.469	-1.16	-1.35
1991	cle	2	5	0.400	4	11	0.364	0.469	-1.16	-1.61
1991	gnb	2	8	0.250	2	8	0.250	0.395	-1.16	1.61
2015	dal	2	8	0.250	2	8	0.250	0.395	-1.16	1.25
2009	kan	2	8	0.250	2	8	0.250	0.395	-1.16	0.71
2007	rai	2	8	0.250	2	8	0.250	0.395	-1.16	0.07
1992	crd	2	8	0.250	2	8	0.250	0.395	-1.16	-4.18
2005	buf	4	11	0.364	1	5	0.200	0.432	-1.16	-1.00
2003	det	4	11	0.364	1	5	0.200	0.432	-1.16	-1.25
1998	buf	5	6	0.833	5	10	0.500	0.618	-1.18	0.43
2005	was	5	6	0.833	5	10	0.500	0.618	-1.18	0.18
2012	den	12	13	0.923	1	3	0.333	0.729	-1.19	-1.75
1993	nwe	1	4	0.250	4	12	0.333	0.433	-1.20	-0.53
2001	det	0	6	0.000	2	10	0.200	0.324	-1.24	-0.24
1998	clt	1	7	0.143	2	9	0.222	0.361	-1.25	0.74
1997	dal	3	7	0.429	3	9	0.333	0.472	-1.25	-0.57
2004	det	3	7	0.429	3	9	0.333	0.472	-1.25	-0.98
2006	min	3	7	0.429	3	9	0.333	0.472	-1.25	-1.42
2001	jax	3	7	0.429	3	9	0.333	0.472	-1.25	-2.84
2013	sdg	5	7	0.714	4	9	0.444	0.583	-1.25	1.68
2008	tam	5	7	0.714	4	9	0.444	0.583	-1.25	-0.70
2017	sea	5	7	0.714	4	9	0.444	0.583	-1.25	-1.18
1994	sdg	7	8	0.875	4	8	0.500	0.658	-1.26	1.68
1992	phi	7	8	0.875	4	8	0.500	0.658	-1.26	1.59
1997	jax	7	8	0.875	4	8	0.500	0.658	-1.26	0.98
2016	atl	7	8	0.875	4	8	0.500	0.658	-1.26	0.41
2009	dal	7	8	0.875	4	8	0.500	0.658	-1.26	-2.84
2005	htx	1	9	0.111	1	7	0.143	0.325	-1.28	0.02
2010	rai	6	10	0.600	2	6	0.333	0.548	-1.29	3.75
2016	min	6	10	0.600	2	6	0.333	0.548	-1.29	-0.52
1997	oti	6	10	0.600	2	6	0.333	0.548	-1.29	-0.68
1995	rai	6	10	0.600	2	6	0.333	0.548	-1.29	-4.75
2002	rai	9	11	0.818	2	5	0.400	0.659	-1.30	-1.75
2003	pit	4	9	0.444	2	7	0.286	0.475	-1.33	1.86
2017	sfo	4	9	0.444	2	7	0.286	0.475	-1.33	0.26
2009	buf	4	9	0.444	2	7	0.286	0.475	-1.33	0.26
1996	tam	4	9	0.444	2	7	0.286	0.475	-1.33	-0.02
2011	mia	4	9	0.444	2	7	0.286	0.475	-1.33	-1.00
1999	pit	4	9	0.444	2	7	0.286	0.475	-1.33	-1.57
2003	min	8	12	0.667	1	4	0.250	0.587	-1.35	0.00
1998	mia	7	9	0.778	3	7	0.429	0.625	-1.38	1.75
2003	mia	7	9	0.778	3	7	0.429	0.625	-1.38	-0.25
2000	clt	7	9	0.778	3	7	0.429	0.625	-1.38	-0.83
2006	phi	7	9	0.778	3	7	0.429	0.625	-1.38	-1.42
2010	sfo	5	11	0.455	1	5	0.200	0.477	-1.39	0.74
2010	oti	5	11	0.455	1	5	0.200	0.477	-1.39	0.25
2003	buf	5	11	0.455	1	5	0.200	0.477	-1.39	-1.57
2010	cle	2	6	0.333	3	10	0.300	0.441	-1.41	-0.25
2000	nwe	2	6	0.333	3	10	0.300	0.441	-1.41	-0.38
2017	tam	2	6	0.333	3	10	0.300	0.441	-1.41	-0.75
1995	min	5	8	0.625	3	8	0.375	0.553	-1.42	1.75
1998	sea	5	8	0.625	3	8	0.375	0.553	-1.42	-0.29
2007	min	5	8	0.625	3	8	0.375	0.553	-1.42	-0.53
1996	oti	5	8	0.625	3	8	0.375	0.553	-1.42	-1.29
2011	sdg	5	8	0.625	3	8	0.375	0.553	-1.42	-2.29
2007	phi	5	8	0.625	3	8	0.375	0.553	-1.42	-3.23
2008	sea	3	10	0.300	1	6	0.167	0.405	-1.43	-0.19
2014	nyg	6	13	0.462	0	3	0.000	0.479	-1.44	-2.84
2012	det	1	5	0.200	3	11	0.273	0.406	-1.47	-1.75
2015	sdg	1	5	0.200	3	11	0.273	0.406	-1.47	-3.75
1995	dal	10	11	0.909	2	5	0.400	0.705	-1.52	1.33
1995	chi	4	5	0.800	5	11	0.455	0.594	-1.53	-1.00
2002	cle	4	5	0.800	5	11	0.455	0.594	-1.53	-2.25
2000	pit	7	10	0.700	2	6	0.333	0.595	-1.57	0.28
2017	cle	0	10	0.000	0	6	0.000	0.262	-1.57	0.25
2014	htx	7	10	0.700	2	6	0.333	0.595	-1.57	-0.29
2004	buf	7	10	0.700	2	6	0.333	0.595	-1.57	-1.16
2010	sdg	7	10	0.700	2	6	0.333	0.595	-1.57	-1.42
2017	rav	7	10	0.700	2	6	0.333	0.595	-1.57	-1.86
2000	was	4	6	0.667	4	10	0.400	0.559	-1.59	0.00
1997	sea	4	6	0.667	4	10	0.400	0.559	-1.59	-1.42
1999	min	4	4	1.000	6	12	0.500	0.633	-1.60	1.58
1992	cle	6	11	0.545	1	5	0.200	0.523	-1.61	-1.00
1991	tam	2	9	0.222	1	7	0.143	0.375	-1.63	-0.16
2016	chi	2	9	0.222	1	7	0.143	0.375	-1.63	-0.98
2000	jax	5	9	0.556	2	7	0.286	0.525	-1.68	-1.25
2011	sea	5	9	0.556	2	7	0.286	0.525	-1.68	-1.76
1992	nor	8	8	1.000	4	8	0.500	0.711	-1.68	1.42
2012	nwe	8	8	1.000	4	8	0.500	0.711	-1.68	-0.22
2017	nor	10	12	0.833	1	4	0.250	0.674	-1.70	1.14
2008	rav	10	12	0.833	1	4	0.250	0.674	-1.70	-2.38
2000	mia	8	9	0.889	3	7	0.429	0.675	-1.73	0.98
2008	kan	1	8	0.125	1	8	0.125	0.342	-1.74	-1.16
1994	oti	1	8	0.125	1	8	0.125	0.342	-1.74	-3.84
1992	oti	6	7	0.857	4	9	0.444	0.639	-1.75	0.48
2015	nyj	6	7	0.857	4	9	0.444	0.639	-1.75	0.38
2000	tam	6	7	0.857	4	9	0.444	0.639	-1.75	-0.80
2013	den	11	11	1.000	2	5	0.400	0.750	-1.75	0.93
2013	det	4	7	0.571	3	9	0.333	0.528	-1.75	2.33
2009	was	2	7	0.286	2	9	0.222	0.417	-1.75	1.60
2004	kan	4	7	0.571	3	9	0.333	0.528	-1.75	0.71
1991	sea	4	7	0.571	3	9	0.333	0.528	-1.75	0.43
2003	rai	2	7	0.286	2	9	0.222	0.417	-1.75	0.18
2012	tam	4	7	0.571	3	9	0.333	0.528	-1.75	-0.14
2010	cin	2	7	0.286	2	9	0.222	0.417	-1.75	-0.59
1993	was	2	7	0.286	2	9	0.222	0.417	-1.75	-2.75
2012	sea	6	6	1.000	5	10	0.500	0.676	-1.76	-0.68
2013	htx	0	5	0.000	2	11	0.182	0.344	-1.78	-1.57
2016	jax	1	6	0.167	2	10	0.200	0.382	-1.82	-1.07
2014	chi	5	12	0.417	0	4	0.000	0.457	-1.83	0.53
2007	was	6	8	0.750	3	8	0.375	0.605	-1.84	2.53
2009	nyj	6	8	0.750	3	8	0.375	0.605	-1.84	0.16
2003	gnb	8	10	0.800	2	6	0.333	0.643	-1.86	0.71
2014	rav	8	10	0.800	2	6	0.333	0.643	-1.86	0.60
2016	crd	5	8	0.625	2.5	8	0.313	0.553	-1.92	2.84
1998	ram	3	9	0.333	1	7	0.143	0.425	-1.98	-2.31
2016	car	4	8	0.500	2	8	0.250	0.500	-2.00	3.00
1999	den	3	6	0.500	3	10	0.300	0.500	-2.00	0.98
1990	min	4	8	0.500	2	8	0.250	0.500	-2.00	0.00
2011	car	5	10	0.500	1	6	0.167	0.500	-2.00	-3.84
2011	phi	6	9	0.667	2	7	0.286	0.575	-2.03	1.68
2006	cin	6	9	0.667	2	7	0.286	0.575	-2.03	-0.33
2013	pit	6	9	0.667	2	7	0.286	0.575	-2.03	-0.38
1990	oti	8	11	0.727	1	5	0.200	0.614	-2.07	-0.75
1994	dal	9	9	1.000	3	7	0.429	0.725	-2.08	-1.52
2005	pit	9	10	0.900	2	6	0.333	0.690	-2.14	0.61
1997	clt	2	8	0.250	1	8	0.125	0.395	-2.16	-1.25
2016	cin	5	9	0.556	1.5	7	0.214	0.525	-2.18	0.42
2002	nor	5	6	0.833	4	10	0.400	0.618	-2.18	0.75
2001	rai	5	5	1.000	5	11	0.455	0.656	-2.22	-1.30
2014	tam	1	7	0.143	1	9	0.111	0.361	-2.25	2.26
1990	den	3	7	0.429	2	9	0.222	0.472	-2.25	1.47
1990	atl	3	7	0.429	2	9	0.222	0.472	-2.25	1.25
2003	cle	3	7	0.429	2	9	0.222	0.472	-2.25	-0.93
2008	nor	5	7	0.714	3	9	0.333	0.583	-2.25	-0.52
2009	nwe	7	8	0.875	3	8	0.375	0.658	-2.26	1.30
1996	nyj	1	9	0.111	0	7	0.000	0.325	-2.28	0.25
2004	car	6	10	0.600	1	6	0.167	0.548	-2.29	-0.38
2012	sdg	6	10	0.600	1	6	0.167	0.548	-2.29	-1.25
2000	car	6	10	0.600	1	6	0.167	0.548	-2.29	-2.74
1993	sfo	9	11	0.818	1	5	0.200	0.659	-2.30	-0.52
1999	ram	13	13	1.000	0	3	0.000	0.771	-2.31	-0.57
1992	det	4	9	0.444	1	7	0.143	0.475	-2.33	2.68
1990	ram	4	9	0.444	1	7	0.143	0.475	-2.33	1.08
2009	rav	7	9	0.778	2	7	0.286	0.625	-2.38	0.40
2005	sdg	7	9	0.778	2	7	0.286	0.625	-2.38	-0.07
1991	sdg	2	6	0.333	2	10	0.200	0.441	-2.41	0.65
2005	gnb	2	6	0.333	2	10	0.200	0.441	-2.41	0.61
2016	buf	5	8	0.625	2	8	0.250	0.553	-2.42	1.68
2003	sfo	5	8	0.625	2	8	0.250	0.553	-2.42	0.75
2011	min	1	5	0.200	2	11	0.182	0.406	-2.47	2.00
2002	kan	4	5	0.800	4	11	0.364	0.594	-2.53	1.63
1990	sdg	6	11	0.545	0	5	0.000	0.523	-2.61	-2.41
2007	pit	8	9	0.889	2	7	0.286	0.675	-2.73	1.16
2015	sea	8	9	0.889	2	7	0.286	0.675	-2.73	0.25
2017	kan	8	9	0.889	2	7	0.286	0.675	-2.73	-1.25
2001	car	1	8	0.125	0	8	0.000	0.342	-2.74	0.42
2006	det	2	7	0.286	1	9	0.111	0.417	-2.75	0.84
1994	was	2	7	0.286	1	9	0.111	0.417	-2.75	-0.41
1990	phi	6	6	1.000	4	10	0.400	0.676	-2.76	1.33
2010	gnb	6	6	1.000	4	10	0.400	0.676	-2.76	0.57
2009	sfo	6	8	0.750	2	8	0.250	0.605	-2.84	-1.39
2015	nyg	3	5	0.600	3	11	0.273	0.531	-2.84	2.16
2002	jax	3	5	0.600	3	11	0.273	0.531	-2.84	0.18
2010	dal	3	5	0.600	3	11	0.273	0.531	-2.84	-0.75
1999	rai	3	3	1.000	5	13	0.385	0.607	-2.89	-0.26
2004	tam	3	6	0.500	2	10	0.200	0.500	-3.00	0.75
2016	phi	6	9	0.667	1	7	0.143	0.575	-3.03	-0.14
1995	sfo	9	9	1.000	2	7	0.286	0.725	-3.08	-0.73
1998	car	2	5	0.400	2	11	0.182	0.469	-3.16	0.00
2009	pit	5	5	1.000	4	11	0.364	0.656	-3.22	0.63
2008	phi	8	9	0.889	1.5	7	0.214	0.675	-3.23	0.43
2003	tam	5	7	0.714	2	9	0.222	0.583	-3.25	-3.00
1993	den	7	8	0.875	2	8	0.250	0.658	-3.26	0.80
1999	dal	7	9	0.778	1	7	0.143	0.625	-3.38	-0.98
2008	gnb	5	8	0.625	1	8	0.125	0.553	-3.42	-0.86
1991	sfo	8	8	1.000	2	8	0.250	0.711	-3.68	1.28
2008	sdg	6	7	0.857	2	9	0.222	0.639	-3.75	1.63
2006	jax	6	7	0.857	2	9	0.222	0.639	-3.75	0.43
2001	sdg	4	7	0.571	1	9	0.111	0.528	-3.75	0.75
2016	sdg	4	7	0.571	1	9	0.111	0.528	-3.75	-1.03
2012	car	6	8	0.750	1	8	0.125	0.605	-3.84	0.63
1995	oti	6	8	0.750	1	8	0.125	0.605	-3.84	-1.42
1993	crd	5	6	0.833	2	10	0.200	0.618	-4.18	0.00
1996	rai	6	7	0.857	1	9	0.111	0.639	-4.75	-0.63

Finally, here is the 2018 data: The Cowboys had 2 non-close wins last year in 6 games, for a 0.333 winning percentage in non-close games. But in close games, Dallas won 8 out of 10 games, a 0.800 winning percentage. We would have expected Dallas to win about 44.1% of their non-close games, so by going 8-2, Dallas finished 3.59 wins above expectation, most in the league last year.

Year	Team	NCG Wins	NCG	NCG W%	CG Wins	CG	CG W%	Exp CG W%	Diff
2018	dal	2	6	0.333	8	10	0.800	0.441	3.59
2018	mia	2	10	0.200	5	6	0.833	0.357	2.86
2018	was	3	11	0.273	4	5	0.800	0.386	2.07
2018	ram	7	9	0.778	6	7	0.857	0.625	1.63
2018	rai	1	11	0.091	3	5	0.600	0.295	1.52
2018	sdg	7	10	0.700	5	6	0.833	0.595	1.43
2018	nor	8	10	0.800	5	6	0.833	0.643	1.14
2018	buf	3	10	0.300	3	6	0.500	0.405	0.57
2018	atl	3	8	0.375	4	8	0.500	0.447	0.42
2018	oti	5	9	0.556	4	7	0.571	0.525	0.33
2018	sfo	1	8	0.125	3	8	0.375	0.342	0.26
2018	cle	3	7	0.429	4.5	9	0.500	0.472	0.25
2018	crd	1	10	0.100	2	6	0.333	0.310	0.14
2018	clt	6	9	0.667	4	7	0.571	0.575	-0.02
2018	nwe	8	11	0.727	3	5	0.600	0.614	-0.07
2018	min	6	11	0.545	2.5	5	0.500	0.523	-0.11
2018	pit	3	4	0.750	6.5	12	0.542	0.567	-0.30
2018	den	2	6	0.333	4	10	0.400	0.441	-0.41
2018	cin	4	10	0.400	2	6	0.333	0.452	-0.71
2018	gnb	3	7	0.429	3.5	9	0.389	0.472	-0.75
2018	tam	2	7	0.286	3	9	0.333	0.417	-0.75
2018	chi	6	6	1.000	6	10	0.600	0.676	-0.76
2018	phi	3	4	0.750	6	12	0.500	0.567	-0.80
2018	sea	5	6	0.833	5	10	0.500	0.618	-1.18
2018	nyg	1	4	0.250	4	12	0.333	0.433	-1.20
2018	htx	5	5	1.000	6	11	0.545	0.656	-1.22
2018	kan	7	7	1.000	5	9	0.556	0.694	-1.25
2018	det	5	11	0.455	1	5	0.200	0.477	-1.39
2018	nyj	3	10	0.300	1	6	0.167	0.405	-1.43
2018	jax	3	8	0.375	2	8	0.250	0.447	-1.58
2018	rav	8	10	0.800	2	6	0.333	0.643	-1.86
2018	car	5	7	0.714	2	9	0.222	0.583	-3.25

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