JJ Watt

FootballPerspective.com

• Fantasy Football: Yearly Trends in VBD (FBG) May 19, 2013
  Over at Footballguys.com, I analyzed how the fantasy value of quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends have changed since 1990. The NFL is a very different beast than it was 23 years ago, but you might be surprised to see what that means for fantasy football. To measure value, I examined the VBD curves […]
• Longest Streaks without a 1,000-yard rusher May 18, 2013
  Two weeks ago, I looked at the longest streaks where a team failed to have a player rush for 100 yards. Richie asked me if I could run the numbers on the longest streaks without a 1,000-yard rusher. The longest active streak in the NFL belongs to the Detroit Lions, who have not boasted a […]
• Examining Previous Eddie Lacy/Johnathan Franklin pairs May 17, 2013
  Green Bay didn’t use a first round pick on a running back, but the Packers did spend a second round pick on Alabama’s Eddie Lacy and a fourth round pick on UCLA’s Johnathan Franklin.  How much weight should we put on draft status when one team drafts two running backs just a couple of rounds […]
• Are the Chiefs better than your average worst team? May 16, 2013
  How bad were the Chiefs last year? Kansas City went 2-14, tied for the worst record in the league with Jacksonville. Since the Chiefs faced an easier schedule, they received the first pick. With an Simple Rating System score of -14.0, Kansas City had the worst SRS rating in the league. They ranked 32nd in […]
• Quarterbacks Were Healthier Than Ever in 2012 May 15, 2013
  Twenty quarterbacks started all sixteen games last season: Eli Manning Tony Romo Andrew Luck Russell Wilson Peyton Manning Matthew Stafford Sam Bradford Aaron Rodgers Matt Schaub Ryan Tannehill Matt Ryan Christian Ponder Drew Brees Ryan Fitzpatrick Tom Brady Josh Freeman Cam Newton Philip Rivers Joe Flacco Andy Dalton Mark Sanchez started 15 games for the [. […]
• Placing Cecil Shorts’ Production in Context May 14, 2013
  One of the surprising success stories of the 2012 season was the breakout performance of second-year Jacksonville wide receiver Cecil Shorts. With a cap value of $729,000 in 2013, Shorts is probably the best value on the Jaguars roster. But he’s one of the more confusing players to project. The optimistic outlook on Shorts is […]
• Tempo in the NFL May 13, 2013
  It’s no secret that Bill Belichick’s Patriots ran an up-tempo offense last year: Tom Brady and crew ran 1,191 offensive plays in 2012, just eight shy of tying the record set by the Drew Bledsoe Patriots in 1994. With versatile players like Aaron Hernandez, Rob Gronkowski, and Danny Woodhead, New England was capable of running […]
• Time spent leading, tied, or trailing May 12, 2013
  Earlier this week, I posted the Game Scripts for each team this season and in each game. After spending the time to calculate the Game Scripts — i.e., the average margin of lead or deficit over the course of every game — it involved minimal extra effort to measure the percentage of time each team […]
• 2013 RSP Football Writers Project: My Picks in Rounds 12 through 17 May 11, 2013
  Previously on the 2013 RSP Football Writers Project… Introduction/My Picks in Rounds 1 and 2 My Pick in Round 3 My Picks in Rounds 4 and 5 My Picks in Rounds 6 through 11 You can also view every pick in this draft recap. Rounds 12/13 Already on team: QB Josh Freeman, WR Julio Jones, […]
• Implied SRS Ratings of each NFL Team May 10, 2013
  On Wednesday, Jason Lisk came up with a set of power rankings based on the point spread for nearly every game this season (spreads for the games in the final week of the season have not yet been released). We can use the SRS to come up with the implied ratings for each team (this […]