≡ Menu

Non-FBS College Football Ratings Through 12 Weeks

Every week, I publish my college football ratings for FBS teams. To generate those ratings – using this methodology — my program also generates ratings for non-FBS team.  So let’s take a look at the ratings through twelve weeks for all non-FBS teams. After posting the ratings, I’m going to dip my toe into the Butler/Marist debate. As always, thanks to Dr. Peter Wolfe for providing the final scores for every college football game.

RkTeamGMOVSOSSRSREC
1North Dakota St1020.824.745.510-0
2Eastern Illinois1121.922.244.110-1
3NW Missouri St1125.212.938.111-0
4SE Louisiana St1115.820.2369-2
5Eastern Washington1113.221.134.39-2
6Towson1115.517.532.99-2
7Villanova108.524.232.75-5
8Northern Iowa116.424.6316-5
9McNeese St1113.317.230.69-2
10Maine1112.217.729.910-1
11Coastal Carolina1118.111.529.610-1
12Princeton918.810.829.68-1
13William & Mary117.221.728.97-4
14Montana1114.814.128.99-2
15Missouri St123.724.828.55-7
16South Dakota St114.124.328.57-4
17Youngstown St118.919.428.38-3
18Sam Houston St1112.115.8288-3
19Jacksonville St118.918.427.38-3
20Old Dominion1111.715.627.38-3
21Southern Illinois110.926.1276-5
22North Alabama1019.37.326.68-2
23New Hampshire107.618.4266-4
24Pittsburg St1119.86.125.99-2
25Bethune-Cookman11141225.99-2
26Tennessee St1210.615.225.89-3
27Cal Poly SLO113.222.525.65-6
28Chattanooga1110.514.825.38-3
29Harvard91213.325.38-1
30South Carolina St1113.41124.48-3
31Samford115.818.524.37-4
32Tennessee-Martin111.922.324.27-4
33Minn St-Mankato1124.7-0.524.211-0
34Colorado St-Pueblo1122.81.123.911-0
35West Texas A&M1119.64.123.79-2
36Fordham1112.411.223.710-1
37Montana St11914.423.47-4
38Northern Arizona103.619.823.48-2
39Henderson St1126.5-3.423.211-0
40Illinois St11-4.727.522.85-6
41Missouri Western1110.51222.58-3
42Ohio Dominican10211.522.510-0
43Central Arkansas114.317.8226-5
44Emporia St10165.821.79-1
45Eastern Kentucky11219.521.66-5
46James Madison115.116.521.66-5
47Central Missouri1012.19.421.46-4
48Minnesota-Duluth1123.5-2.221.210-1
49West Alabama1120.50.420.98-3
50Liberty1113.27.620.87-4
51UNC-Pembroke1018.22.320.59-1
52Murray St11-323.420.45-6
53Georgia Southern107.512.720.26-4
54Stony Brook10-1.621.820.24-6
55Richmond112.817.2205-6
56Washburn1115.14.619.78-3
57Dartmouth97.311.518.85-4
58Southern Utah111.916.818.78-3
59Winston-Salem St1021.1-2.418.69-1
60Brown95.712.818.55-4
61Midwestern St1011.96.518.47-3
62Portland St116.511.818.36-5
63Sacramento St11-2.520.818.25-6
64Furman11-0.518.718.26-5
65Delaware111.516.417.97-4
66Linfield933.3-15.817.69-0
67South Dakota11-5.923.517.54-7
68Wofford10-1.719.117.55-5
69Tarleton St105.211.8177-3
70Western Illinois11-3.119.916.84-7
71Yale92.214.616.85-4
72The Citadel110.815.916.75-6
73Ferris St119.27.416.68-3
74Saginaw Valley St119.3716.29-2
75Colorado Mines1115.40.916.28-3
76Slippery Rock1117.3-1.116.29-2
77Abilene Christian1114.81.316.26-5
78Sacred Heart1213.82.31610-2
79St Cloud St1119.2-3.315.910-1
80Lenoir-Rhyne1119.1-3.215.910-1
81Lafayette10-0.516.115.64-6
82UW-Whitewater1024.8-9.215.610-0
83Lehigh10510.615.68-2
84Grand Valley St1110.84.515.39-2
85Pennsylvania9-4.719.715.14-5
86Appalachian St11-621153-8
87Tennessee Tech11-6.421.214.84-7
88Lamar112.612.214.75-6
89Harding1016.5-1.914.68-2
90Carson-Newman1113.31.214.59-2
91Shepherd1023.2-914.210-0
92San Diego1111.52.714.28-3
93Missouri Southern108.95.113.97-3
94Bethel MN1022.5-8.613.810-0
95Charleston Southern126.37.313.610-2
96Northwestern St11-5.619.213.65-6
97Trinity CT815.3-1.913.46-2
98Chadron St1110.82.313.18-3
99UC-Davis11-6.11912.94-7
100Grand View1019.6-6.712.810-0
101Monmouth NJ1148.712.86-5
102North Central1026.7-14.112.610-0
103Wesleyan815.3-2.812.57-1
104Holy Cross11-2.815.212.43-8
105Bloomsburg1117-4.912.110-1
106Carroll MT1118.6-6.711.910-1
107Idaho St11-7.619.411.73-8
108John Carroll1029-17.311.79-1
109West Chester1116.9-5.211.610-1
110Morningside1027.5-15.911.69-1
111Valdosta St105.36.211.56-4
112Mount Union1027.4-1611.310-0
113Indiana PA1117.9-6.611.39-2
114North Carolina A&T1074.211.26-4
115Findlay119.61.511.18-3
116Alabama St116.93.710.67-4
117Mary Hardin-Baylor1028.8-18.110.610-0
118Newberry118.71.710.49-2
119Marist1113.2-2.910.38-3
120Ouachita Baptist1011.7-1.410.27-3
121Bucknell10-1.511.610.25-5
122Indianapolis1117.4-7.31010-1
123Middlebury812.5-2.89.77-1
124Butler128.619.69-3
125Stephen F. Austin11-8.818.49.63-8
126Delta St106.82.89.57-3
127SE Missouri St11-14.523.89.43-8
128Indiana St11-1322.29.31-10
129Tuskegee1014.9-5.89.18-2
130Hillsdale112.26.99.15-6
131Amherst89.6-0.697-1
132Eastern New Mexico105.53.48.97-3
133Southern Oregon1112.1-3.48.76-5
134California PA1110.2-1.98.27-4
135Hampton11-7.415.68.24-7
136Jackson St102.95.38.17-3
137Rocky Mountain1115.2-7.289-2
138West Georgia1125.87.86-5
139Gardner-Webb11-1.49.17.76-5
140Faulkner1123.8-16.17.79-2
141Nicholls St11-1219.67.64-7
142UW-Oshkosh1014.9-7.47.58-2
143Johns Hopkins1023.1-15.57.510-0
144Bryant11-310.57.54-7
145TAMU-Commerce1161.47.47-4
146Fort Hays St111.25.97.26-5
147Ashland1043.27.25-5
148UW-Platteville1014.7-7.679-1
149Western Carolina11-162372-9
150Drake114.62.476-5
151Elon11-11.3186.72-9
152St Thomas1016.3-9.66.68-2
153Alcorn St1210-3.46.59-3
154North Carolina Central11-6.512.96.45-6
155Dayton1160.36.37-4
156Angelo St11-1.67.86.25-6
157Northern Colorado11-10.216.46.21-10
158North Dakota11-10.716.96.23-8
159Sioux Falls1151.16.26-5
160Winona St105.50.76.26-4
161Shaw105.70.46.16-4
162Delaware St10-914.85.95-5
163Southern Arkansas106.8-15.86-4
164Cumberlands KY1023.7-17.95.810-0
165Virginia St1013.7-7.95.89-1
166Robert Morris PA10-0.96.65.75-5
167American Int'l1113.3-85.39-2
168SW Minnesota St115.4-0.15.37-4
169St Francis IN1011.2-5.95.28-2
170St Ambrose1015.6-10.45.27-3
171Florida A&M11-813.25.23-8
172Howard110.255.25-6
173Colgate11-7.512.654-7
174Prairie View A&M111.33.755-6
175Michigan Tech100.64.456-4
176Norfolk St11-8.413.24.83-8
177SW Oklahoma St1140.84.86-5
178St Francis PA10-2.374.74-6
179New Haven1112.2-7.64.68-3
180Duquesne10-0.654.46-4
181East Stroudsburg1111.4-7.14.37-4
182UNC-Charlotte10-3.884.24-6
183Rhode Island12-16.720.74.13-9
184Concord1111.5-7.54.18-3
185Shippensburg117.5-3.44.17-4
186Cornell9-10.414.33.82-7
187Mercyhurst119.7-6.13.77-4
188Albany NY11-13.617.23.61-10
189Morgan St11-9.612.93.34-7
190Weber St11-2427.23.31-10
191Colorado Mesa110.42.83.25-6
192Wittenberg1024.5-21.43.19-1
193Wheaton1019.2-16.22.98-2
194Southern U.11-0.53.22.77-4
195Heidelberg1020.5-17.92.58-2
196Fayetteville St102.30.22.56-4
197Urbana116.9-4.72.27-4
198Jacksonville FL115.1-3.21.95-6
199Presbyterian10-8.510.31.83-7
200Incarnate Word11-2.54.31.76-5
201St John Fisher1012-10.31.78-2
202Salisbury1011.8-10.11.66-4
203Colby83.4-1.91.54-4
204Wabash1026.6-25.21.49-1
205Thomas More1023.7-22.31.49-1
206Baker1117.4-16.50.910-1
207Austin Peay11-26.827.70.80-11
208Concordia-Moorhead1010.1-9.40.78-2
209Hobart922.4-21.80.69-0
210Albany St GA107.7-7.30.46-4
211Mary110.7-0.30.46-5
212Central Conn St11-5.75.90.24-7
213Western Oregon114.8-4.60.27-4
214Missouri Valley1015.7-15.50.28-2
215Hampden-Sydney1015.4-15.20.28-2
216Azusa Pacific116.5-6.30.19-2
217East Central OK100.5-0.40.15-5
218Western New Mexico10-3.83.804-6
219Augustana SD11-0.60.4-0.24-7
220Wingate10-4.64.2-0.44-6
221Miles100.5-0.9-0.46-4
222Catawba11-1.71.2-0.46-5
223VMI11-1312.5-0.52-9
224Gannon11-0.90.3-0.56-5
225Ottawa1117.1-17.7-0.58-3
226Northern Michigan10-10.19.5-0.63-7
227Lake Erie11-43.4-0.64-7
228Wesley109.7-10.3-0.68-2
229Stonehill115.5-6.2-0.78-3
230Upper Iowa11-2.51.8-0.76-5
231Western St CO10-8.37.2-12-8
232Charleston WV113.7-4.8-1.16-5
233Muhlenberg1017.7-18.9-1.28-2
234Georgetown KY1010.6-11.8-1.27-3
235North Greenville11-4.73.4-1.25-6
236Pacific OR1012.3-13.8-1.57-3
237Central Washington116.1-7.7-1.67-4
238Mercer119.9-11.5-1.69-2
239Franklin1022.7-24.5-1.87-3
240Central IA109.5-11.3-1.86-4
241Central Oklahoma10-16.214.3-1.92-8
242Gustavus Adolphus106.3-8.3-26-4
243Williams8-3.11.1-22-6
244Truman St114.2-6.3-27-4
245Benedictine KS1114.4-16.5-2.110-1
246Arkansas Tech11-2.60.5-2.15-6
247Wayne St MI11-8.56.2-2.33-8
248Nebraska-Kearney11-1310.7-2.33-8
249St Augustine's10-1.9-0.4-2.34-6
250Dubuque107.3-9.8-2.55-5
251Illinois Wesleyan1014-16.6-2.69-1
252Northeastern St OK11-16.613.9-2.82-9
253Merrimack116.1-8.9-2.87-4
254Wash & Jeff1015.7-18.6-38-2
255Eastern Oregon11-1.8-1.2-3.16-5
256Brockport St1010.2-13.2-3.17-3
257Coe108.8-12-3.27-3
258Willamette911.2-14.4-3.37-2
259Maryville1016.2-19.5-3.38-2
260Adams St110-3.3-3.37-4
261TAMU-Kingsville10-14.210.8-3.42-8
262Randolph-Macon108.8-12.4-3.67-3
263Alabama A&M11-6.32.8-3.64-7
264Pacific Lutheran97.7-11.3-3.68-1
265St Xavier111.1-4.7-3.67-4
266Johnson C. Smith102.3-6-3.75-5
267Mars Hill11-6.72.9-3.73-8
268Bates8-3.3-0.6-3.94-4
269Bowie St102-6-45-5
270Assumption112.3-6.4-46-5
271Lindsey Wilson1112.4-16.4-4.18-3
272Ithaca107.2-11.5-4.38-2
273St Francis IL115.6-9.9-4.37-4
274Christopher Newport1012-16.6-4.68-2
275Doane108.5-13.1-4.65-5
276UW-Stevens Point101.3-6-4.75-5
277Arkansas-Pine Bluff10-10.25.4-4.82-8
278Alfred105.8-10.6-4.87-3
279Lindenwood9-12.37.5-4.83-6
280Augsburg105.7-10.5-4.85-5
281Tabor1113.9-18.8-4.99-2
282Chapman920.8-25.7-4.98-1
283New Mexico Highlands11-104.9-5.22-9
284Lane103.9-9.1-5.26-4
285Georgetown DC10-15.210-5.21-9
286Tusculum10-9.54.2-5.33-7
287Wartburg109.9-15.2-5.38-2
288William Penn112.6-7.9-5.35-6
289Wagner11-14.48.7-5.63-8
290Albright1012-17.7-5.77-3
291Friends1112.2-17.9-5.78-3
292St John's MN102.6-8.4-5.87-3
293Lincoln MO11-10.44.6-5.83-8
294Siena Heights104.5-10.3-5.95-5
295Northwood11-9.73.8-5.92-9
296Edinboro11-4.6-1.4-6.15-6
297Robert Morris IL116.2-12.3-6.17-4
298Kutztown11-3.2-3.1-6.24-7
299Taylor105.1-11.4-6.35-5
300Northwestern IA108.1-14.6-6.58-2
301Marian IN11-0.4-6.1-6.56-5
302Northern St SD11-6.90.3-6.64-7
303Brevard10-11.85.2-6.62-8
304Glenville St112.6-9.3-6.66-5
305Bowdoin8-7.81.1-6.73-5
306Elizabeth City St10-2.2-4.6-6.74-6
307Montana St-Northern10-4.5-2.4-6.94-6
308Buffalo St10-1.2-5.8-75-5
309Hope1014.3-21.2-77-3
310St Joseph's IN117-14-78-3
311SE Oklahoma St11-81-72-9
312Redlands911.9-19-7.17-2
313Rhodes1012.6-19.8-7.28-2
314Walsh11-9.62.3-7.33-8
315Nebraska Wesleyan105.3-12.7-7.46-4
316Concordia NE118.6-16.1-7.57-4
317Lebanon Valley1010.1-17.6-7.58-2
318Centre109.6-17.1-7.57-3
319Chowan10-3-4.6-7.64-6
320Widener108.4-16-7.66-4
321Illinois College1019.5-27.1-7.78-2
322Washington U.108.5-16.2-7.78-2
323Clarion11-7.5-0.2-7.84-7
324Rowan104.6-12.5-7.98-2
325Cortland St103.6-11.5-86-4
326Florida Tech11-7.4-0.6-84-7
327Reinhardt104.7-12.6-86-4
328MidAmerica Nazarene107-15.1-8.15-5
329Kentucky St102.6-10.8-8.25-5
330Montana Tech10-6.1-2.1-8.23-7
331Concordia-St Paul10-90.7-8.34-6
332Delaware Valley108.2-16.6-8.47-3
333Missouri S&T11-2.9-5.6-8.46-5
334Columbia9-26.417.9-8.50-9
335Savannah St12-22.413.8-8.61-11
336Franklin & Marshall106-14.6-8.66-4
337Notre Dame OH11-1.5-7.2-8.75-6
338Tiffin11-10.21.4-8.82-9
339Millsaps1010.9-19.7-8.89-1
340Minn St-Moorhead11-7.7-1.1-8.84-7
341Dixie St11-3.8-5-8.84-7
342Huntingdon AL109.2-18-8.87-3
343Fort Valley St10-1.5-7.3-8.84-6
344Arkansas-Monticello11-7.2-1.6-8.85-6
345Mississippi Valley St11-10.41.5-8.82-9
346Dakota Wesleyan116.2-15.1-8.98-3
347Texas Southern11-12.23.2-92-9
348Catholic108.6-17.6-9.16-4
349Shorter11-12.83.7-9.12-9
350Malone11-10.51.3-9.12-9
351Sterling1112-21.2-9.19-2
352Southern Conn St11-3-6.2-9.23-8
353Simpson105.8-15-9.37-3
354Bemidji St11-8.3-1-9.33-8
355Wayne St NE11-11.92.5-9.32-9
356Stillman91.8-11.2-9.45-4
357Buena Vista10-3.5-6.1-9.54-6
358WV Wesleyan10-1.8-7.9-9.75-5
359Ursinus105.5-15.2-9.77-3
360LIU Post113-12.7-9.75-6
361Lycoming106.2-16-9.87-3
362Louisiana College108.5-18.4-9.97-3
363McKendree10-4.7-5.5-10.24-6
364Montana-Western10-8.5-1.8-10.24-6
365UW-La Crosse10-8.7-1.6-10.33-7
366Western Conn St920.6-30.9-10.47-2
367Washington and Lee100.4-10.8-10.45-5
368Framingham St1014.9-25.3-10.49-1
369Texas Lutheran915.3-25.8-10.58-1
370McMurry11-9.6-0.9-10.53-8
371Emory & Henry101.6-12.2-10.65-5
372Fort Lewis11-12.61.7-10.94-7
373Cornell IA1012.1-23-10.97-3
374Bentley11-2.5-8.5-11.16-5
375Trinity Int'l103.5-14.7-11.25-5
376Peru St117.2-18.5-11.37-4
377Hartwick103.6-14.9-11.36-4
378Juniata104.4-15.7-11.37-3
379Benedict10-5.4-6-11.44-6
380UW-Stout10-7.8-3.8-11.64-6
381Ave Maria910.7-22.4-11.87-2
382Baldwin Wallace105-16.9-11.96-4
383SW Baptist11-18.46.3-12.11-10
384Ohio Northern105.7-17.8-12.26-4
385South Dakota Tech9-4.8-7.4-12.35-4
386Monmouth IL1010.7-23.2-12.55-5
387Black Hills St10-15.73.1-12.62-8
388Menlo10-2.2-10.7-12.95-5
389Langston103.8-16.7-12.96-4
390Campbell11-11.8-1.3-132-9
391Cal Lutheran94.2-17.6-13.34-5
392Simon Fraser10-7.7-5.8-13.43-7
393Guilford100.7-14.3-13.66-4
394Grambling St10-16.42.7-13.71-9
395Methodist102.2-15.9-13.78-2
396UW-Eau Claire10-12-1.7-13.72-8
397Livingstone10-5.7-8.1-13.73-7
398St Norbert109-22.9-13.98-2
399LaGrange102.8-16.9-14.15-5
400Cumberland TN110-14.7-14.67-4
401Adrian106.9-21.5-14.66-4
402Virginia Union10-14.5-0.4-14.83-7
403Endicott1016.9-31.7-14.88-2
404Campbellsville10-7.4-7.5-14.94-6
405Waynesburg106.4-21.2-14.97-3
406Carleton10-4.1-10.9-14.95-5
407Augustana IL100.3-15.3-155-5
408Morehead St11-16.61.4-15.23-8
409Utica10-5.1-10.2-15.33-7
410Bridgewater VA101.3-16.6-15.34-6
411Birmingham-Southern90.2-15.5-15.35-4
412Albion101.5-17.1-15.78-2
413St Lawrence105.6-21.4-15.97-3
414Kean10-5.2-10.8-162-8
415Whitworth10-1-15.1-164-6
416Tufts8-20.64.2-16.50-8
417Montclair St10-3.9-12.7-16.54-6
418Minot St11-16.2-0.4-16.62-9
419West Liberty11-8.5-8.2-16.73-8
420Hamilton8-21.14.2-170-8
421Sewanee10-3-14.5-17.54-6
422NW Oklahoma St11-21.13.6-17.52-9
423Salve Regina1010-27.5-17.57-3
424Webber Int'l103.6-21.1-17.55-5
425Hardin-Simmons10-2.4-15.2-17.54-6
426New Jersey10-1.2-16.6-17.75-5
427Houston Baptist7-7.9-9.9-17.73-4
428Valley City St105.6-23.3-17.75-5
429Quincy11-11-6.8-17.82-9
430Pikeville111.1-19-17.97-4
431UW-River Falls10-16-1.9-17.90-10
432Springfield95-22.9-17.96-3
433King's PA10-0.7-17.3-17.96-4
434Fairmont St10-8.5-9.5-183-7
435Geneva102.5-20.6-18.15-5
436Stetson10-12.8-5.4-18.12-8
437Kalamazoo102-20.2-18.26-4
438Gettysburg10-2.3-15.9-18.24-6
439Wilkes10-1.5-16.8-18.34-6
440Olivet Nazarene11-8.2-10.3-18.53-8
441Chicago103.1-21.6-18.56-4
442Humboldt St11-16.2-2.6-18.80-11
443Elmhurst10-2.5-16.3-18.84-6
444Rose-Hulman108.5-27.4-18.97-3
445Central St OH11-20.81.8-19.12-9
446Stevenson10-1.9-17.3-19.24-6
447Trinity TX104.6-23.9-19.35-5
448Valparaiso11-19-0.4-19.41-10
449OK Panhandle St11-4.1-15.3-19.54-7
450Bethany WV10-3.4-16.3-19.74-6
451Minnesota-Crookston11-21.21.5-19.72-9
452Union NY10-1.5-18.3-19.83-7
453Wooster100.5-20.4-19.97-3
454Lake Forest104.6-24.6-208-2
455Lock Haven11-13.3-6.8-20.13-8
456Morrisville St10-6.3-13.9-20.23-7
457Ohio Wesleyan103.2-23.4-20.25-5
458Luther10-8-12.3-20.32-8
459Southern Virginia1013.6-34.2-20.78-2
460Otterbein10-8.3-12.5-20.75-5
461William Jewell11-11.6-9.2-20.93-8
462Carroll WI104.9-25.8-20.96-4
463Denison103.6-24.7-21.17-3
464Bridgewater St MA104.7-26.1-21.46-4
465St Scholastica1017.1-38.5-21.49-1
466Trine10-3-18.7-21.64-6
467McPherson11-0.9-20.8-21.75-6
468Benedictine IL109.3-31-21.77-3
469RPI10-0.7-21.3-225-5
470Morehouse10-12.4-9.6-222-8
471Concordia WI1010.3-32.2-228-2
472Kentucky Christian11-9.8-12.2-223-8
473Midland U.10-8.3-13.7-224-6
474Shenandoah10-10.1-12-22.14-6
475St Anselm11-15.2-7.2-22.41-10
476Gallaudet1013-35.4-22.49-1
477Case Western Reserve9-2.6-19.9-22.55-4
478Lindenwood-Belleville11-2.6-19.9-22.64-7
479Moravian10-10.1-12.6-22.62-8
480Rochester9-1.1-21.6-22.75-4
481Bacone114.5-27.3-22.87-4
482Evangel10-7.2-15.8-22.94-6
483Carnegie Mellon10-1.5-21.5-233-7
484Hastings10-9.8-13.3-23.12-8
485Olivet102.2-25.3-23.16-4
486Occidental9-2.2-21-23.25-4
487Davidson10-23-0.3-23.20-10
488DePauw10-2-21.5-23.44-6
489St Olaf10-14.5-9-23.51-9
490Avila11-3.9-19.7-23.64-7
491Virginia U-Lynchburg10-15.3-8.4-23.72-8
492Briar Cliff11-10.8-12.9-23.74-7
493Alderson-Broaddus10-8.4-15.3-23.74-6
494Westfield St105.5-29.3-23.85-5
495Norwich109.2-33-23.97-3
496Susquehanna10-9.3-14.7-241-9
497Thiel10-5.9-18.1-243-7
498Mississippi College10-9.3-14.9-24.24-6
499Greenville1015.3-39.5-24.29-1
500William Paterson10-8-16.3-24.33-7
501Mt St Joseph101.4-25.7-24.36-4
502Union KY11-11.5-12.8-24.33-8
503Ripon101.3-25.8-24.57-3
504Carthage10-12-12.6-24.61-9
505Seton Hill11-23.9-1.2-25.11-10
506North Carolina Wesleyan10-8.4-16.8-25.22-8
507Dickinson St11-24.2-1.1-25.31-10
508Austin101.2-26.5-25.45-5
509Jamestown10-8.4-17.1-25.53-7
510MIT98-33.7-25.76-3
511Capital10-13.8-12-25.83-7
512St Mary KS11-7.4-18.5-25.94-7
513Clark Atlanta9-18.2-7.7-25.92-7
514Point U.10-13.1-12.8-25.93-7
515Dickinson10-14.2-11.8-263-7
516Muskingum10-12.5-13.6-262-8
517Virginia-Wise11-16.5-10-26.52-9
518Culver-Stockton11-12.1-14.5-26.52-9
519Grove City10-4.7-22-26.65-5
520Merchant Marine8-4.6-22.2-26.84-4
521Kansas Wesleyan11-7.5-19.6-27.14-7
522Southwestern KS11-7.6-19.5-27.15-6
523Southern Nazarene11-28.31.2-27.20-11
524East Texas Baptist10-8.5-18.9-27.43-7
525Greensboro10-10.1-17.5-27.62-8
526Millersville11-26.8-0.9-27.61-10
527Defiance10-0.8-27-27.73-7
528North Park10-15.3-12.6-27.93-7
529Hamline10-17.9-10.1-282-8
530Westminster PA10-7.8-20.3-284-6
531Fitchburg St100.3-28.6-28.36-4
532Millikin10-14.9-13.5-28.32-8
533Cheyney11-22.8-5.7-28.50-11
534Lakeland105-33.5-28.57-3
535Oberlin10-7.1-21.4-28.53-7
536Western New England100-28.7-28.74-6
537Hendrix10-7-22-28.93-7
538Bethel TN11-13.5-15.5-292-9
539Sul Ross St10-17.9-11.2-29.11-9
540Lewis & Clark9-20.1-9.1-29.11-8
541Central Methodist11-12.5-16.9-29.44-7
542Macalester10-1.4-28.2-29.54-6
543Belhaven11-13.9-15.7-29.53-8
544Alma10-17.6-12.1-29.71-9
545Frostburg St10-20.4-9.5-29.81-9
546Mayville St101.6-31.5-29.96-4
547West Virginia St11-22-7.9-29.90-11
548WPI10-7.9-22.1-29.93-7
549Hanover10-5.7-24.3-305-5
550McDaniel10-17.8-12.3-30.12-8
551Aurora100.2-30.5-30.33-7
552Howard Payne10-10.2-20.2-30.34-6
553Averett10-18.7-11.8-30.51-9
554Wisconsin Lutheran100.6-31.2-30.74-6
555Lincoln PA10-25.6-5.3-30.81-9
556Manchester10-3.2-27.6-30.83-7
557Presentation90.3-31.1-30.84-5
558Kenyon10-7.3-23.7-314-6
559Graceland11-15.1-15.9-311-10
560Ferrum10-14.8-16.2-312-8
561Eureka108.5-39.5-318-2
562SW Assem of God100.8-32-31.26-4
563Husson101.2-32.7-31.55-5
564La Verne9-11.3-20.3-31.63-6
565Claremont-Mudd-Scripps9-10.6-21.1-31.73-6
566Coast Guard10-5.5-26.5-323-7
567Edward Waters10-12.6-19.7-32.31-9
568Misericordia10-17.7-15.2-32.91-9
569UMass-Dartmouth9-5.9-27-32.93-6
570Mass Maritime10-3.7-29.4-33.15-5
571Waldorf11-24.2-9.3-33.51-10
572Oklahoma Baptist11-6-27.8-33.73-8
573Kentucky Wesleyan11-27.6-6.4-340-11
574Bluffton10-7.7-26.5-34.24-6
575Dakota St10-13.8-20.5-34.22-8
576SUNY-Maritime10-0.8-33.6-34.35-5
577Curry9-3.9-30.9-34.84-5
578Puget Sound9-23.6-11.3-34.81-8
579Bethany KS11-15.4-19.6-352-9
580Knox10-13-22.2-35.21-9
581Marietta10-22-13.4-35.41-9
582Pomona-Pitzer9-14.6-20.9-35.52-7
583Northwestern MN102.4-37.9-35.56-4
584Mount Ida10-1.4-34.3-35.75-5
585Pace11-28.5-7.6-36.10-11
586Grinnell10-15.8-20.6-36.32-8
587Hiram10-15.2-21.2-36.42-8
588Warner U.11-25.3-11.2-36.51-10
589Berry9-25.9-10.9-36.80-9
590Dordt11-20.9-16.4-37.32-9
591Concordia AL8-32.4-5.4-37.80-8
592Worcester St10-10-28-37.93-7
593Whittier9-16-22-381-8
594Lawrence10-15.7-22.5-38.11-9
595St Vincent10-21.2-17.1-38.30-10
596Concordia MI10-29.8-9.1-38.91-9
597Becker10-7.8-31.2-393-7
598Bethel KS11-17.5-21.7-39.22-9
599FDU-Florham10-24.8-14.5-39.31-9
600Crown10-1.6-38.1-39.64-6
601Loras10-26.8-13.3-40.11-9
602Wilmington10-27.7-13-40.60-10
603Minnesota-Morris10-3.7-37.7-41.43-7
604Plymouth St10-13.5-28.5-422-8
605Bluefield11-25.7-16.7-42.40-11
606Beloit10-20.6-21.9-42.51-9
607Alfred St7-18.5-24.6-43.11-6
608Wayland Baptist10-20.5-22.7-43.20-10
609Allegheny10-24.5-19.9-44.40-10
610Westminster MO10-7-37.5-44.52-8
611Texas College10-22.8-22.6-45.41-9
612Apprentice9-23.6-21.9-45.50-9
613Concordia IL10-16-29.6-45.52-8
614Rockford10-16.5-30.9-47.31-9
615Earlham10-20.3-27.2-47.52-8
616Anna Maria10-13.9-33.8-47.72-8
617Iowa Wesleyan10-12.5-35.2-47.72-8
618Nichols9-21.6-26.7-48.31-8
619Southwestern TX10-25.7-23.3-490-10
620Martin Luther10-11.1-40.2-51.34-6
621Castleton St10-20.2-31.3-51.51-9
622Haskell8-20-31.8-51.81-7
623Anderson10-27.3-24.8-52.10-10
624Maine Maritime9-21.2-31.4-52.61-8
625MacMurray10-19.9-34.2-54.10-10
626Trinity Bible9-20.5-33.8-54.31-8
627Maranatha Baptist10-26.1-36.1-62.21-9

I received the following e-mail Sunday morning from a Marist fan:

Hi Chase. I’ve got a question about the SRS that you publish every week on your site. Is this the official SRS used by the NCAA, one that is often used in tiebreaker situations. I’m asking because the SRS was proposed as the tiebreaker for the Pioneer Football League, but they seemingly changed this at the last minute because they said that a) it wasn’t publicly available, and b) it rewarded teams for playing more games (those that played 10 games were almost by default ahead of those that played 9).

In looking at your site and rankings, this does not seem to be the case. And as they have shifted this at the last minute to something that I don’t believe is relevant (or in any way statistically valid), I think this will effectively steal a playoff spot from Marist and give it to Butler. [Chase note: In last week’s rankings, Butler was two slots ahead of Marist, but in the week 12 rankings, Marist is now slightly ahead of Butler.]

Any clarification on this (and the methodology) would be incredibly helpful, and could actually effect some decision making.

Let’s be clear: there is nothing “official” about the SRS that I publish. I have no idea if certain levels of football use a similar version to the SRS in an official capacity, but I have nothing to do with it. And as for the 9/10 games question, no, the SRS is not biased in favor of teams that play more games.

Now about that specific Marist/Butler problem? I’ll let the Pioner Football League’s website frame the issue:

ST. LOUIS, Mo. – Butler University and Marist College each claimed a share of the 2013 Pioneer Football League title, Saturday. However, the league’s automatic qualifier to the Division I Football Championship will be determined later under the tiebreaking criteria.

For the first time, the PFL will receive an automatic qualifying spot to the Division I Football Championship, which starts Nov. 30 at eight school sites to be determined. However, Butler and Marist will have to wait to see which team will receive the league’s berth under the tiebreaking criteria.

The league will announce its automatic qualifier through a release that also will be posted on the league’s website, http://www.pioneer-football.org.

Both teams went 7-1 in conference this year, with Butler finishing 9-3 and Marist 8-3. Out of conference, Butler lost to Dartmouth and South Dakota State, while Marist lost to Bucknell and Sacred Heart (Butler also beat Wittenberg and Franklin out of conference, while Marist beat Georgetown). The two teams are practically tied in the SRS, with Marist at 119 (thanks to a 13.2 MOV and a -2.9 SOS) and Butler at 124 (8.6 MOV and 1.0 SOS, thanks to facing South Dakota State).

Here is a look at the single-game SRS scores for each school:

DateTm_ConfPFOppPAH/RW/LDiffMOVOpp_ConfSOSSRS
09-07-2013Butler_fcs49Wittenberg24HomeWin2522fcs3.125.1
09-28-2013Butler_fcs45Jacksonville FL27RoadWin1821fcs1.922.9
11-09-2013Butler_fcs72Valparaiso12HomeWin6040.5fcs-19.421.1
10-19-2013Butler_fcs24Drake14HomeWin107fcs714
11-16-2013Butler_fcs58Morehead St27RoadWin3129fcs-15.213.8
11-02-2013Butler_fcs33Dayton30RoadWin37fcs6.313.3
09-21-2013Butler_fcs23Dartmouth30HomeLoss-7-10fcs18.88.8
09-14-2013Butler_fcs31Franklin28RoadWin37fcs-1.85.2
10-12-2013Butler_fcs35Campbell14HomeWin2118fcs-135
10-05-2013Butler_fcs35Stetson15HomeWin2017fcs-18.1-1.1
08-31-2013Butler_fcs14South Dakota St55RoadLoss-41-31fcs28.5-2.5
10-26-2013Butler_fcs14San Diego42RoadLoss-28-24.5fcs14.2-10.3
11-16-2013Marist_fcs33Mercer7HomeWin2623fcs-1.621.4
09-28-2013Marist_fcs31Dayton20RoadWin1114fcs6.320.3
09-14-2013Marist_fcs43Georgetown DC23RoadWin2023fcs-5.217.8
10-12-2013Marist_fcs33San Diego35RoadLoss-20fcs14.214.2
11-09-2013Marist_fcs55Campbell28RoadWin2727fcs-1314
10-05-2013Marist_fcs37Valparaiso0HomeWin3729fcs-19.49.6
11-02-2013Marist_fcs42Jacksonville FL35HomeWin77fcs1.98.9
10-26-2013Marist_fcs27Stetson0HomeWin2724fcs-18.15.9
10-19-2013Marist_fcs42Davidson14RoadWin2827.5fcs-23.24.3
09-07-2013Marist_fcs14Bucknell27RoadLoss-13-10fcs10.20.2
08-31-2013Marist_fcs21Sacred Heart37HomeLoss-16-19fcs16-3

Both Marist and Butler lost to San Diego, the best team in the PFL. However, the Toreros are ineligible due to offering improper scholarships, placing us in our current predicament. So how do we break the 7-1 deadlock at the top of the conference?

There is no fair way, of course. Ideally, the two teams would play each other to determine the winner. But since we must split hairs, which way should the dominoes fall? In conference games, Marist had an average SRS of 12.3, while Butler’s rating drops to just 8.3. That leans in favor of Marist. On the other hand, the higher SRS rating is entirely due to Marist’s big edge in Margin of Victory, as Butler had the harder SOS (-4.5 to -6.6).

Both teams played San Diego, Dayton, Jacksonville, Campbell, Stetson, and Valparaiso. That means the only non-common in-conference games were Butler facing Drake and Morehead State, and Marist facing Mercer and Davidson. Drake is the best team of that bunch, and Davidson the worst, so if you want to break the tie in favor of SOS, Butler should get the nod.

On the other hand, if you want to break the tie in favor of SRS — especially in-conference SRS — then you’d have to pick Marist as champion. Against the three best conference teams both teams faced — San Diego, Drayton, and Jacksonville — Marist fared better. Against San Diego, Marist lost by 2 on the road, compared to the 42-14 shellacking Butler experienced.

There’s no right answer, but I’d say SOS narrowly favors Butler, while Marist has probably been the better team.

{ 7 comments }