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Yesterday, I looked at the NFL teams since 1970 that got the most (in terms of winning percentage) out of their passing games. These were teams that were dragged down by their passing offense. Today, the opposite: passing offenses that were dragged down by the rest of the team.

And let’s begin with Manning. Because no passing offense was ever let down more by the rest of his team than one of Manning’s dome teams. Of course, I am referring to Archie Manning and the 1980 Saints, who went 1-15 despite having an above-average passing offense. New Orleans finished 6th in completion percentage and 10th in ANY/A in 1980, but New Orleans allowed a then-record 6,218 yards of offense to opponents season. The Saints allowed 487 points, a mark that still ranks as the worst in franchise history.

Behind Manning, the Saints averaged 5.19 Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt, which was +0.33 better than league average. As a result, this means among all teams since 1970, the ’80 Saints were 0.28 standard deviations better than average at passing. However, with a 1-15 mark, those Saints were 2.27 standard deviations below average at winning. Using the methodology described yesterday, this means the 1980 Saints get a grade of -2.55, indicating an extreme lack of help for the passing offense. That is the worst result of any team since the merger.

The next 3 teams on the list are all 49ers teams. In 2000, Jeff Garcia, Terrell Owens, a 38-year-old Jerry Rice, and Charlie Garner powered one of the best offenses in the NFL. The 49ers ranked in the top 5 in yards per play and led the league in turnovers… and yet went 6-10, thanks to a defense and special teams that was just as bad as the 49ers offense was good. In 1982, the strike-shortened season, Joe Montana and Dwight Clark were a lethal combination, but the team won 3 games, blew 3 games in the 4th quarter, and lost another 3 games. Montana and the 49ers had the best passing attack in the NFC that season, but a defense that significantly regressed. And in 1979, in the first year of Bill Walsh, San Francisco had a similar situation: Steve DeBerg and the 49ers had an above-average passing offense, but the defense couldn’t stop a nosebleed, ranking in the bottom 3 in both ANY/A and points allowed.

The full results, below:

YearTeamWin %Z-Win%RANY/AZ-Pass EffGradeTop QBTop AV
1980NOR0.063-2.270.330.28-2.55Archie ManningArchie Manning
2000SFO0.375-0.652.081.79-2.44Jeff GarciaJeff Garcia
1982SFO0.333-0.861.621.40-2.26Joe MontanaJoe Montana
1979SFO0.125-1.940.330.28-2.22Steve DeBergSteve DeBerg
1997OAK0.250-1.291.050.90-2.20Jeff GeorgeNapoleon Kaufman
1996BAL0.250-1.291.040.90-2.20Vinny TestaverdeVinny Testaverde
2004IND0.7501.293.973.42-2.13Peyton ManningPeyton Manning
1973PHI0.393-0.551.711.48-2.03Roman GabrielRoman Gabriel
2008SDG0.5000.002.332.01-2.01Philip RiversPhilip Rivers
2004MIN0.5000.002.322.00-2.00Daunte CulpepperDaunte Culpepper
1985CIN0.438-0.321.851.60-1.92Boomer EsiasonAnthony Munoz
2010DEN0.250-1.290.720.62-1.91Kyle OrtonBrandon Lloyd
1988MIA0.375-0.651.451.25-1.90Dan MarinoDan Marino
1984HOU0.188-1.620.280.24-1.86Warren MoonWarren Moon
1982SDG0.6670.863.152.72-1.85Dan FoutsDan Fouts
1976KAN0.357-0.741.281.10-1.84Mike LivingstonMike Livingston
1971CIN0.286-1.110.840.72-1.83Virgil CarterLemar Parrish
1986MIA0.5000.002.091.80-1.80Dan MarinoDwight Stephenson
1992ATL0.375-0.651.271.10-1.74Chris MillerAndre Rison
1973STL0.321-0.920.930.80-1.73Jim HartDonny Anderson
1982RAM0.222-1.440.330.29-1.73Vince FerragamoWendell Tyler
1981BAL0.125-1.94-0.26-0.23-1.71Bert JonesBert Jones
1970WAS0.429-0.371.551.34-1.71Sonny JurgensenLarry Brown
1986BUF0.250-1.290.460.40-1.69Jim KellyJim Kelly
1974CIN0.5000.001.951.68-1.68Ken AndersonKen Anderson
1970SFO0.7501.293.452.98-1.68John BrodieJohn Brodie
1989ATL0.188-1.620.030.02-1.64Chris MillerChris Miller
1998CIN0.188-1.620.000.00-1.61Neil O'DonnellCorey Dillon
2000STL0.6250.652.622.26-1.61Kurt WarnerMarshall Faulk
2018TAM0.313-0.970.700.60-1.57Jameis WinstonMike Evans
2017TAM0.313-0.970.690.60-1.57Jameis WinstonJameis Winston
1990RAM0.313-0.970.690.59-1.56Jim EverettJim Everett
1976BAL0.7861.483.513.03-1.55Bert JonesLydell Mitchell
1981NWE0.125-1.94-0.46-0.39-1.55Matt CavanaughJohn Hannah
2006WAS0.313-0.970.670.58-1.55Mark BrunellLadell Betts
2004KAN0.438-0.321.421.22-1.55Trent GreenTrent Green
1972NYJ0.5000.001.781.54-1.54Joe NamathJoe Namath
2008NOR0.5000.001.761.52-1.52Drew BreesDrew Brees
2002KAN0.5000.001.761.52-1.52Trent GreenPriest Holmes
2010HOU0.375-0.651.010.87-1.52Matt SchaubArian Foster
1985TAM0.125-1.94-0.50-0.43-1.51Steve DeBergJames Wilder
2015SDG0.250-1.290.250.22-1.51Philip RiversPhilip Rivers
2000KAN0.438-0.321.371.19-1.51Elvis GrbacElvis Grbac
1991RAM0.188-1.62-0.13-0.11-1.51Jim EverettJim Everett
2018ATL0.438-0.321.351.17-1.49Matt RyanMatt Ryan
1978NOR0.438-0.321.341.16-1.48Archie ManningArchie Manning
2019DET0.219-1.460.010.01-1.46Matthew StaffordKenny Golladay
2008DET0.000-2.59-1.31-1.13-1.46Dan OrlovskyCalvin Johnson
2010SDG0.5630.322.061.78-1.45Philip RiversPhilip Rivers
2019DAL0.5000.001.671.44-1.44Dak PrescottDak Prescott
1983KAN0.375-0.650.920.79-1.44Bill KenneyBill Kenney
2016ATL0.6880.972.792.41-1.44Matt RyanMatt Ryan
1978BUF0.313-0.970.530.45-1.43Joe FergusonJoe DeLamielleure
1971DET0.5360.181.861.61-1.42Greg LandryGreg Landry
2008GNB0.375-0.650.880.76-1.41Aaron RodgersAaron Rodgers
1972BAL0.357-0.740.780.67-1.41Marty DomresTed Hendricks
1994RAM0.250-1.290.120.10-1.40Chris MillerFlipper Anderson
2012NOR0.438-0.321.241.07-1.40Drew BreesJahri Evans
2016CHI0.188-1.62-0.26-0.23-1.39Matt BarkleyJordan Howard
2014TEN0.125-1.94-0.64-0.56-1.39Charlie WhitehurstWesley Woodyard
1984MIA0.8751.943.853.32-1.38Dan MarinoDan Marino
1987CIN0.267-1.210.190.17-1.37Boomer EsiasonBoomer Esiason
1977BUF0.214-1.48-0.13-0.11-1.37Joe FergusonJoe DeLamielleure
1970NOR0.179-1.66-0.35-0.30-1.37Billy KilmerDanny Abramowicz
1982BAL0.056-2.30-1.10-0.95-1.35Mike PagelMike Pagel
1998CAR0.250-1.290.060.05-1.35Steve BeuerleinRocket Ismail
2012DET0.250-1.290.050.04-1.34Matthew StaffordCalvin Johnson
2003MIN0.5630.321.921.66-1.34Daunte CulpepperRandy Moss
2013SDG0.5630.321.921.66-1.33Philip RiversPhilip Rivers
2005TEN0.250-1.290.040.04-1.33Steve McNairTank Williams
1996NYJ0.063-2.27-1.08-0.94-1.33Frank ReichAdrian Murrell
1999CAR0.5000.001.541.33-1.33Steve BeuerleinSteve Beuerlein
1978STL0.375-0.650.780.67-1.32Jim HartDan Dierdorf
1986MIN0.5630.321.901.64-1.31Tommy KramerTommy Kramer
1990HOU0.5630.321.891.63-1.31Warren MoonWarren Moon
2016NOR0.438-0.321.140.99-1.31Drew BreesDrew Brees
2008KAN0.125-1.94-0.74-0.64-1.30Tyler ThigpenTyler Thigpen
2001BUF0.188-1.62-0.37-0.32-1.30Alex Van PeltRuben Brown
2001IND0.375-0.650.760.65-1.30Peyton ManningPeyton Manning
1998CHI0.250-1.290.000.00-1.30Erik KramerBobby Engram
1993SFO0.6250.652.251.94-1.29Steve YoungSteve Young
1991CLE0.375-0.650.750.65-1.29Bernie KosarBernie Kosar
1983ATL0.438-0.321.110.96-1.28Steve BartkowskiWilliam Andrews
1985SDG0.5000.001.491.28-1.28Dan FoutsLionel James
1971SDG0.429-0.371.050.90-1.27John HadlJohn Hadl
2019OAK0.438-0.321.100.95-1.27Derek CarrDerek Carr
1972NYG0.5710.371.891.63-1.26Norm SneadRon Johnson
1991SFO0.6250.652.211.91-1.26Steve YoungSteve Young
2005OAK0.250-1.29-0.04-0.04-1.26Kerry CollinsKerry Collins
2006PHI0.6250.652.201.90-1.25Donovan McNabbShawn Andrews
2006CIN0.5000.001.431.24-1.24Carson PalmerCarson Palmer
1973NYG0.179-1.66-0.50-0.43-1.24Norm SneadRon Johnson
2006DET0.188-1.62-0.45-0.39-1.23Jon KitnaJon Kitna
1976BUF0.143-1.85-0.72-0.62-1.23Gary MarangiO.J. Simpson
2012OAK0.250-1.29-0.07-0.07-1.23Carson PalmerCarson Palmer
1988DAL0.188-1.62-0.46-0.39-1.22Steve PelluerHerschel Walker
1983TAM0.125-1.94-0.83-0.72-1.22Jack ThompsonHugh Green
1995CHI0.5630.321.791.54-1.22Erik KramerErik Kramer
1981SEA0.375-0.650.660.57-1.21Jim ZornSteve Largent
1972NOR0.179-1.66-0.52-0.45-1.21Archie ManningArchie Manning
2003NYJ0.375-0.650.650.56-1.21Chad PenningtonKevin Mawae
2002CIN0.125-1.94-0.85-0.73-1.21Jon KitnaCorey Dillon
1998IND0.188-1.62-0.48-0.41-1.21Peyton ManningMarshall Faulk
2016SFO0.125-1.94-0.86-0.74-1.20Colin KaepernickColin Kaepernick
1989CIN0.5000.001.391.20-1.20Boomer EsiasonAnthony Munoz
1984SDG0.438-0.321.010.87-1.19Dan FoutsDan Fouts
1975BUF0.5710.371.811.56-1.19Joe FergusonO.J. Simpson
1981SDG0.6250.652.121.83-1.18Dan FoutsDan Fouts
2015NOR0.438-0.320.990.85-1.18Drew BreesDrew Brees
2009WAS0.250-1.29-0.14-0.12-1.17Jason CampbellJason Campbell
2007MIA0.063-2.27-1.26-1.09-1.17Cleo LemonJason Taylor
1972MIN0.5000.001.361.17-1.17Fran TarkentonFran Tarkenton
1983SDG0.375-0.650.610.52-1.17Dan FoutsKellen Winslow
1970PHI0.250-1.29-0.15-0.13-1.17Norm SneadNorm Snead
1992CLE0.438-0.320.960.83-1.15Mike TomczakMike Johnson
2006ARI0.313-0.970.200.17-1.14Matt LeinartAnquan Boldin
1997IND0.188-1.62-0.55-0.48-1.14Jim HarbaughMarshall Faulk
1996MIA0.5000.001.321.14-1.14Dan MarinoRichmond Webb
1979BUF0.438-0.320.940.81-1.14Joe FergusonJoe Ferguson
2001DET0.125-1.94-0.93-0.81-1.14Charlie BatchRobert Porcher
2019LAC0.313-0.970.190.16-1.14Philip RiversPhilip Rivers
1988WAS0.438-0.320.940.81-1.13Doug WilliamsMark May
2013ATL0.250-1.29-0.19-0.16-1.13Matt RyanMatt Ryan
1983GNB0.5000.001.311.13-1.13Lynn DickeyLynn Dickey
2015NYG0.375-0.650.560.48-1.13Eli ManningEli Manning
2014WAS0.250-1.29-0.19-0.16-1.13Robert GriffinTrent Williams
2014ATL0.375-0.650.560.48-1.13Matt RyanMatt Ryan
1976MIA0.429-0.370.880.76-1.13Bob GrieseJim Langer
1977KAN0.143-1.85-0.84-0.72-1.13Mike LivingstonMike Livingston
1974NYG0.143-1.85-0.85-0.74-1.11Jim Del GaizoJoe Dawkins
1984STL0.5630.321.661.43-1.11Neil LomaxNeil Lomax
1994CIN0.188-1.62-0.60-0.52-1.10Jeff BlakeCarl Pickens
2014NYG0.375-0.650.520.45-1.10Eli ManningEli Manning
1997CIN0.438-0.320.890.77-1.09Jeff BlakeCorey Dillon
1977STL0.5000.001.271.09-1.09Jim HartJim Hart
1999CLE0.125-1.94-0.98-0.85-1.09Tim CouchTim Couch
1972DEN0.357-0.740.410.35-1.09Charley JohnsonFloyd Little
2006NOR0.6250.652.011.74-1.09Drew BreesDrew Brees
2000IND0.6250.652.011.74-1.09Peyton ManningEdgerrin James
2016SDG0.313-0.970.140.12-1.09Philip RiversPhilip Rivers
2005ARI0.313-0.970.130.11-1.08Kurt WarnerAnquan Boldin
2010CIN0.250-1.29-0.25-0.22-1.08Carson PalmerCarson Palmer
2013CHI0.5000.001.251.08-1.08Jay CutlerMatt Forte
1988CIN0.7501.292.752.37-1.07Boomer EsiasonBoomer Esiason
2018OAK0.250-1.29-0.27-0.23-1.06Derek CarrDerek Carr
2009NYG0.5000.001.231.06-1.06Eli ManningEli Manning
1980TAM0.344-0.810.290.25-1.06Doug WilliamsLee Roy Selmon
2010DAL0.375-0.650.470.41-1.06Jon KitnaDeMarcus Ware
2013PHI0.6250.651.971.70-1.05Nick FolesLeSean McCoy
1998DET0.313-0.970.090.08-1.05Charlie BatchBarry Sanders
1991MIA0.5000.001.211.04-1.04Dan MarinoDan Marino
2009HOU0.5630.321.581.37-1.04Matt SchaubMatt Schaub
2017LAC0.5630.321.571.36-1.04Philip RiversCasey Hayward
1992RAM0.375-0.650.450.39-1.03Jim EverettJim Everett
1999ATL0.313-0.970.070.06-1.03Chris ChandlerTerance Mathis
2011DAL0.5000.001.201.03-1.03Tony RomoDeMarcus Ware
1996NOR0.188-1.62-0.68-0.59-1.03Jim EverettWayne Martin
1993MIA0.5630.321.571.35-1.03Scott MitchellRichmond Webb
1994WAS0.188-1.62-0.68-0.59-1.03Heath ShulerHenry Ellard
1991CIN0.188-1.62-0.68-0.59-1.03Boomer EsiasonAnthony Munoz
2018SFO0.250-1.29-0.31-0.27-1.03Nick MullensGeorge Kittle
2003JAX0.313-0.970.060.05-1.03Byron LeftwichFred Taylor
1983PHI0.313-0.970.060.05-1.02Ron JaworskiMike Quick
1990ATL0.313-0.970.060.05-1.02Chris MillerAndre Rison
2001SDG0.313-0.970.050.04-1.01Doug FlutieMarcellus Wiley
2011NYG0.5630.321.551.33-1.01Eli ManningEli Manning
2003SFO0.438-0.320.790.69-1.01Jeff GarciaJulian Peterson
1987TAM0.267-1.21-0.23-0.20-1.01Steve DeBergSteve DeBerg

The next 3 seasons on the list are three of my personal favorites.

1) In 1997, Jeff George had a most unusual season.  Playing under OC Ray Perkins with an in his prime Tim Brown, deep threat James Jett, and super athletic TE Rickey Dudley, the veteran quarterback led the NFL in both passing yards and sacks.   George ranked 2nd in the NFL in yards per completion and coupled that with the 4th best INT rate in the league.  George ranked 3rd in AY/A and 6th in ANY/A, and the Raiders went …. 4-12. That’s because the Raiders ranked last in the NFL in both yards per pass allowed, rushing yards allowed, passing yards allowed, and of course total yards allowed.

2) In 1996, while with the new Baltimore Ravens, Vinny Testaverde ranked 4th in the NFL in ANY/A and 2nd in both passing yards and passing touchdowns.  He was throwing to a pair of deep threats in Michael Jackson and Derrick Alexander and played under a new head coach in Ted Marchibroda. But for the only time in Ravens history, the team coupled a great offense with an awful defense: Baltimore ranked in the bottom 3 in points allowed, yards allowed, and yards per attempt allowed, and finished 4-12.

3) The 2004 Colts went 12-4…. and rank super high on this list because the passing offense was a remarkable 3.42 standard deviations above average. The Colts lost games where they scored 24, 24, and 35 points and allowed 27, 27, and 45 points, in addition to a meaningless season finale. Peyton Manning had one of the greatest seasons in NFL history, and jacked up his team’s passing offense so much that a 12-4 record is an underachievement. He lost a game where he threw for 472 yards and 5 touchdowns with no interceptions and no sacks on 43 dropbacks until an interception on the final play of the game.  It was a magical year for the Colts offense.

What stands out to you?

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