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The best fantasy QB ever

On Saturday, I looked at the top fantasy seasons by a running back since 1970. Today, let’s look at quarterbacks.

As a reminder, I am using the following scoring system throughout this series: 1 point per 20 yards passing, 1 point per 10 yards rushing/receiving, 5 points per passing TD, -2 points for each interception, 6 points per rushing/receiving TD, 0.5 points per reception. Let’s use Dan Marino 1984 as an example. That season, Marino threw for 5,084 yards and 48 TDs, while throwing 17 interceptions. He finished with no rushing touchdowns and -7 rushing yards, for a total of 459.5 fantasy points.

Now, Peyton Manning in 2013 threw for 5,477 yards, with 55 TDs and just 10 interceptions. Like Marino, he wasn’t doing much on the ground, with -31 rushing yards and 1 TD. That’s a total of 531.8 fantasy points, which remains the most fantasy points any single player has every produced in a season of fantasy football.

But in 2013, Manning was probably not even the most valuable player in fantasy football that season, even if he scored the most points of any player ever. That’s because in fantasy football, your value is based on how you perform relative to your peers, the bedrock of VBD, which measures a player’s value relative to the worst starter. When calculating VBD scores, in this series, I used the 12th-ranked quarterback, 24th-ranked running back, 30th-ranked wide receiver, and 12th-ranked tight end. This assumes that the average league starts 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2.5 WRs, and 1 TE.

In 2013, the 12th-ranked QB (after adjusting for games played) had 339.8 fantasy points, so Manning finished with 192.0 points of VBD.  In 1984, the 12th-ranked quarterback had 252.2 fantasy points.  Therefore, Marino had 207.3 points of VBD, making it a more valuable season than Manning.

The table below shows the top 200 fantasy seasons by a quarterback since 1970.  For a full description of the methodology, including how VBD incorporates missed games and non-16 game NFL seasons, click here.

RkQuarterbackYearTeamGPassYdPTDINTRshYdRshTDFPVBD
1Dan Marino1984MIA1650844817-70459.5207.3
2Aaron Rodgers2011GNB1546434562573488.9201
3Tom Brady2007NWE164806508982496.1199.6
4Peyton Manning2013DEN1654775510-311531.8192
5Drew Brees2011NOR1654764614861490.4185.6
6Steve Young1998SFO15417036124546445.9184
7Randall Cunningham1990PHI16346630139425421.5169
8Warren Moon1990HOU15468933132152407168.3
9Steve Young1994SFO16396935102937424.8162.2
10Daunte Culpepper2004MIN16471739114062461.5162.1
11Dan Marino1986MIA1647464423-30411158.7
12Peyton Manning2004IND1645574910380456.7157.3
13Tom Brady2011NWE16523539121093461.7156.9
14Patrick Mahomes2018KAN16509750122722520.1155.1
15Daunte Culpepper2000MIN16393733164707418.9149.5
16Kurt Warner1999STL1643534113921411.9145.3
17Jeff Garcia2000SFO16427831104144414.3144.9
18Brett Favre1996GNB16389939131362389.6140.5
19Steve Young1993SFO16402329164072368.1135.8
20Steve Young1992SFO1634652575374362135.8
21Brett Favre1995GNB16441338131813420.8133.4
22Ken Anderson1975CIN13316921111882272.3130.7
23Dan Fouts1982SDG92883171181214130.2
24Steve Beuerlein1999CAR16443636151242396.2129.6
25Peyton Manning2006IND164397319364384.5128.3
26Matthew Stafford2011DET1650384116780432.7127.9
27Dan Fouts1981SDG1648023317560376.7126.6
28Cam Newton2011CAR164051211770614431.4126.6
29Joe Montana1982SFO9261317111181211.5125.8
30Bert Jones1976BAL1431042492142290.6124.6
31Neil Lomax1984STL16461428161843375.1122.9
32Aaron Rodgers2016GNB1644284073694468.3122.5
33Michael Vick2010PHI1230182166769365.5122
34Don Majkowski1989GNB16431827203585376.7121.5
35Jim Kelly1991BUF1538443317451333.7121.4
36Ken Anderson1974CIN13266718103142246.8119.8
37Joe Montana1989SFO1335212682273330.8118.5
38Fran Tarkenton1975MIN14299425131082271.5117.7
39Vinny Testaverde1996BAL16417733191882366.7117.6
40Randall Cunningham1988PHI16380824166246376.8115.7
41Roman Gabriel1973PHI1432192312101259113.1
42Drew Brees2013NOR1651623912523452.3112.6
43John Brodie1970SFO1429412410292262111.3
44Greg Landry1972DET14206618175249265.7110.4
45Roger Staubach1978DAL15319025161821276.7105.7
46Cam Newton2015CAR163837351063610470.5105.6
47Kurt Warner2001STL1648303622600383.5105.5
48Aaron Rodgers2009GNB1644343073045418.1105.5
49Drew Brees2008NOR1650693417-10389.4105.1
50Andrew Luck2014IND16476140162733451.4105.1
51Ken Anderson1982CIN92495129854199.3104.1
52Peyton Manning2000IND16441333151161373.3103.9
53Drew Brees2012NOR165177431951442.4103.6
54Roger Staubach1973DAL14242823152503249.4102.2
55Warren Moon1991HOU1646902321682326.3100.9
56Brett Favre1994GNB16388233142022363.3100.7
57Ken Anderson1981CIN16375429103201350.7100.6
58Steve Young1991SFO1125171784154260.4100.6
59Scott Mitchell1995DET16433832121044387.3100
60Joe Montana1985SFO1536532713153332599
61Rich Gannon2000OAK16343028115294366.497
62Dan Fouts1980SDG1647153024152351.396.8
63Roger Staubach1975DAL13266617163164241.996
64Ken Stabler1976OAK1227372717-21243.795.8
65Ken Stabler1974OAK1424692612-21235.395.4
66Lynn Dickey1983GNB1644583229123344.194.6
67Aaron Rodgers2012GNB1642953982592432.193.3
68Greg Landry1971DET14223716135303236.992.8
69Randall Cunningham1998MIN15370434101321354.692.7
70Fran Tarkenton1970NYG14277719122362245.592.5
71Joe Montana1983SFO16391026122842341.992.4
72Aaron Rodgers2014GNB164381385269243891.7
73Bert Jones1975BAL1424831883213248.391.2
74Jeff Garcia2001SFO16353832122545368.390.3
75Donovan McNabb2004PHI1538753182203372.889.7
76John Elway1993DEN16403025101530321.889.6
77Daunte Culpepper2003MIN14347925114224343.289.6
78Matt Ryan2016ATL1649443871170434.989.1
79Joe Theismann1983WAS16371429112341338.188.6
80Steve Grogan1979NWE16328628203682313.187.7
81Russell Wilson2017SEA15376232115503399.187.7
82Drew Brees2009NOR1543883411332382.886.9
83Steve Grogan1976NWE141903182039712256.986
84Brian Sipe1980CLE1641323014551340.185.7
85Randall Cunningham1987PHI1227862312505329985.3
86Roger Staubach1979DAL16358627111720309.584.1
87Elvis Grbac2000KAN15416928141101337.583.8
88Tom Brady2012NWE164827348324422.683.8
89Drew Brees2016NOR1652083715202429.483.6
90Danny White1983DAL1639802923314333.183.6
91Randall Cunningham1992PHI15277519115495296.783.5
92Roger Staubach1977DAL1426201891713238.183.5
93Fran Tarkenton1974MIN13259817121202214.983.4
94Donovan McNabb2006PHI1026471862123249.683.3
95Jim Zorn1978SEA16328315202906264.282.7
96John Elway1996DEN15332826142494317.382.4
97Brian Sipe1979CLE16379328261782307.582.1
98Mark Brunell1996JAX1643671920396333181.9
99Dan Marino1994MIA1644533017-61344.181.4
100Brett Favre1997GNB16386735161871361.181.3
101Dan Marino1991MIA1639702513321306.781.3
102Tony Romo2007DAL16421136191292377.580.9
103Jim Everett1989RAM1643102917311335.680.4
104Dave Krieg1984SEA16367132241863332.280
105Matt Ryan2018ATL1649243571253444.779.8
106Terry Bradshaw1978PIT1629152820931261.279.7
107Joe Montana1990SFO15394426161621317.478.8
108Donovan McNabb2000PHI16336521136296347.778.2
109Mark Rypien1991WAS163564281161302.877.4
110Billy Kilmer1975WAS1224402316341214.476.7
111Jim Hart1974STL142411208212218.776.5
112Aaron Rodgers2008GNB16403828132074360.676.4
113Bill Kenney1983KAN1643482418593325.876.2
114John Hadl1971SDG1430752125751222.376.1
115Drew Brees2006NOR1644182611320332.176
116Randall Cunningham1989PHI16340021156214331.175.9
117Dan Fouts1978SDG1529992420432246.375.3
118Aaron Rodgers2010GNB15392228113564373.775
119Carson Wentz2017PHI1332963372990345.774.4
120Archie Manning1972NOR14278118213512234.274.3
121Dan Marino1992MIA1641162416660300.474.3
122Dan Marino1985MIA1641373021-240312.573.3
123Joe Montana1984SFO16363028101182325.373.1
124Steve Young1995SFO1132002011250328172.8
125Steve Grogan1978NWE16282415235395254.172.7
126Philip Rivers2008SDG1640093411840356.972.6
127Rich Gannon2002OAK16468926101563378.172.6
128Joe Montana1987SFO13305431131411301.872.5
129Boomer Esiason1985CIN1534432712791297.171.1
130John Elway1987DEN12319819123044285.370.7
131Ken O'Brien1985NYJ163888258580309.270
132Warren Moon1995MIN1642283314820356.669.3
133Roger Staubach1971DAL1318821543432207.468.9
134Archie Manning1978NOR1634161716202125068.6
135John Hadl1970SDG14238822151881224.268.2
136Jeff Blake1996CIN16362424143172316.967.8
137Dan Fouts1979SDG164082242449229367.6
138Bobby Douglass1972CHI1412469129688228.167.4
139Marc Bulger2006STL164301248440323.567.3
140Tommy Kramer1982MIN920371512773178.667.3
141Bert Jones1977BAL14268617111462223.967.3
142Tom Brady2015NWE164770367533431.967.1
143Boomer Esiason1989CIN16352528112780322.166.9
144Kurt Warner2008ARI1645833014-2035166.7
145Jim Everett1988RAM16396431181040327.666.5
146Sonny Jurgensen1970WAS1423542310391222.666.3
147Joe Ferguson1975BUF1424262517821226.566.3
148Brian Sipe1978CLE162906211587324765.6
149Rich Gannon2001OAK1638282792312343.565.5
150Donovan McNabb2002PHI1022891764606269.565.3
151Fran Tarkenton1976MIN132961178451227.664.9
152Warren Moon1989HOU16363123142684319.464.2
153Dan Fouts1985SDG1436382720-10276.864.1
154Vinny Testaverde1998NYJ1432562971041310.264
155Carson Palmer2006CIN1640352813370319.563.3
156Jay Cutler2008DEN16452625182002347.363.1
157Drew Bledsoe1996NWE164086271527031262.9
158Brian Griese2000DEN1026881941021237.662.5
159Eli Manning2011NYG1649332916151367.262.4
160Andrew Luck2016IND15424031133412387.161.9
161Jim Zorn1979SEA1636612018279228761.6
162Brett Favre1998GNB16421231231331338.961.4
163Steve Bartkowski1980ATL1635443116352315.761.3
164Neil Lomax1987STL12338724121070276.160.8
165Boomer Esiason1988CIN16357228142481321.460.3
166Chris Miller1991ATL15310326182290272.159.7
167Carson Palmer2005CIN1638363212411337.959.7
168Brett Favre2001GNB1639213215561337.759.6
169Peyton Manning1999IND1641352615732326.159.5
170Rich Gannon1999OAK1638402414298232659.4
171Jim Kelly1989BUF13313025181372271.259
172Tom Brady2010NWE16390036430137658.8
173Fran Tarkenton1978MIN1634682532-61239.858.4
174Michael Vick2006ATL162474201310392314.258.1
175Dan Fouts1983SDG1029752015-51224.358
176Peyton Manning2012DEN164659371160396.657.8
177Ben Roethlisberger2018PIT1651293416983422.757.7
178Mark Rypien1989WAS143768221356128457.5
179Jim Plunkett1974NWE1424571922161220257.4
180Tommy Kramer1981MIN1439122624130278.957.4
181Roger Staubach1974DAL14255211153203201.857.2
182Steve McNair2001TEN15335021124145319.957.1
183Peyton Manning2003IND1642672910260341.357
184Tom Brady2016NWE123554282640320.156.5
185Jim Plunkett1973NWE14255013172095209.456.5
186Dan Marino1987MIA1232452613-51271.856.2
187Kordell Stewart1997PIT163020211747611335.655.9
188Dave Krieg1985SEA16360227201211293.254
189Tony Eason1984NWE1632282381545305.853.6
190Robert Griffin2012WAS1532002058157373.553.5
191Dan Marino1988MIA1644342823-17031452.9
192Peyton Manning2014DEN1647273915-24039952.7
193Jeff Blake1995CIN1638222817309234052.7
194Peyton Manning2001IND16413126231574330.352.2
195Boomer Esiason1986CIN16395924171461304.652.2
196Alex Smith2017KAN1540422653551363.652.2
197Daunte Culpepper2002MIN163853182360910357.652.1
198Fran Tarkenton1972MIN14265118131800214.651.9
199Steve McNair2003TEN1432152471384305.551.9
200Deshaun Watson2017HOU716991982692202.951.8

Peyton Manning has 9 seasons in the top 200, Dan Marino has 8, and then Roger Staubach, Aaron Rodgers, Joe Montana, Dan Fouts, and Drew Brees each have 7 such seasons. Steve Young, Fran Tarkenton, Brett Favre, Randall Cunningham, and Tom Brady each have 6 years in the top 200.

What stands out to you?

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