Guys, gals, and nonbinary pals, Adam Steele is back with his quarterback recap. And we thank him for it.
I’m going to keep the commentary short and sweet today, so here are the week seven rankings:
| # | QB Week 7 | DYAR | QBR | zDYAR | zQBR | zAvg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthew Stafford | 122 | 85.8 | 1.58 | 1.41 | 1.50 |
| 2 | Tom Brady | 87 | 93.1 | 1.09 | 1.68 | 1.38 |
| 3 | Joe Burrow | 120 | 79.7 | 1.56 | 1.18 | 1.37 |
| 4 | Derek Carr | 112 | 77.6 | 1.44 | 1.10 | 1.27 |
| 5 | Aaron Rodgers | 86 | 76.7 | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| 6 | Ryan Tannehill | 54 | 87.8 | 0.62 | 1.48 | 1.05 |
| 7 | Mac Jones | 82 | 68.4 | 1.02 | 0.76 | 0.89 |
| 8 | Carson Wentz | 35 | 82.7 | 0.35 | 1.29 | 0.82 |
| 9 | Jalen Hurts | 39 | 58.5 | 0.41 | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| 10 | Chad Henne | 18 | 62.4 | 0.11 | 0.53 | 0.32 |
| 11 | Kyler Murray | 46 | 48.1 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| 12 | Tua Tagovailoa | 14 | 58.4 | 0.05 | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| 13 | Case Keenum | 44 | 46.6 | 0.48 | -0.06 | 0.21 |
| 14 | Jameis Winston | 25 | 46.2 | 0.21 | -0.07 | 0.07 |
| 15 | Lamar Jackson | 22 | 46.7 | 0.16 | -0.05 | 0.06 |
| 16 | Matt Ryan | 10 | 47.4 | -0.01 | -0.03 | -0.02 |
| 17 | Teddy Bridgewater | 31 | 34.7 | 0.29 | -0.50 | -0.10 |
| 18 | Daniel Jones | 6 | 43.0 | -0.06 | -0.19 | -0.13 |
| 19 | Mike White | -28 | 47.2 | -0.55 | -0.03 | -0.29 |
| 20 | Jared Goff | -14 | 39.5 | -0.35 | -0.32 | -0.33 |
| 21 | Taylor Heinicke | -11 | 32.3 | -0.30 | -0.59 | -0.45 |
| 22 | Geno Smith | -24 | 26.9 | -0.49 | -0.79 | -0.64 |
| 23 | Davis Mills | -45 | 27.6 | -0.79 | -0.76 | -0.78 |
| 24 | P.J. Walker | -66 | 2.8 | -1.09 | -1.69 | -1.39 |
| 25 | Sam Darnold | -98 | 10.7 | -1.54 | -1.39 | -1.47 |
| 26 | Patrick Mahomes | -98 | 6.0 | -1.54 | -1.57 | -1.55 |
| 27 | Jimmy Garoppolo | -121 | 7.7 | -1.87 | -1.51 | -1.69 |
| 28 | Justin Fields | -155 | 1.9 | -2.35 | -1.72 | -2.04 |
From now on I’m also going to post the updated season scores using my methodology. Since DYAR is a counting stat, quarterbacks who’ve already had their bye week will have their totals prorated to seven games.
| # | QB Season | DYAR | QBR | zDYAR | zQBR | zAvg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthew Stafford | 825 | 78.6 | 1.93 | 1.95 | 1.94 |
| 2 | Tom Brady | 799 | 69.4 | 1.85 | 1.28 | 1.56 |
| 3 | Dak Prescott | 816 | 57.0 | 1.90 | 0.38 | 1.14 |
| 4 | Kyler Murray | 608 | 65.0 | 1.27 | 0.96 | 1.11 |
| 5 | Aaron Rodgers | 470 | 66.3 | 0.85 | 1.05 | 0.95 |
| 6 | Patrick Mahomes | 437 | 63.9 | 0.75 | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| 7 | Josh Allen | 390 | 64.5 | 0.61 | 0.92 | 0.77 |
| 8 | Derek Carr | 446 | 60.9 | 0.78 | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| 9 | Kirk Cousins | 534 | 56.3 | 1.05 | 0.33 | 0.69 |
| 10 | Russell Wilson | 318 | 62.5 | 0.39 | 0.78 | 0.59 |
| 11 | Justin Herbert | 319 | 61.1 | 0.39 | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| 12 | Lamar Jackson | 269 | 60.3 | 0.24 | 0.62 | 0.43 |
| 13 | Joe Burrow | 184 | 59.5 | -0.01 | 0.56 | 0.27 |
| 14 | Carson Wentz | 159 | 58.7 | -0.09 | 0.50 | 0.21 |
| 15 | Jameis Winston | 168 | 58.3 | -0.06 | 0.47 | 0.21 |
| 16 | Ryan Tannehill | 45 | 61.7 | -0.43 | 0.72 | 0.14 |
| 17 | Teddy Bridgewater | 285 | 50.3 | 0.29 | -0.11 | 0.09 |
| 18 | Matt Ryan | 144 | 53.3 | -0.14 | 0.11 | -0.01 |
| 19 | Mac Jones | 83 | 53.5 | -0.32 | 0.13 | -0.10 |
| 20 | Jacoby Brissett | -68 | 58.1 | -0.78 | 0.46 | -0.16 |
| 21 | Baker Mayfield | 222 | 41.6 | 0.10 | -0.74 | -0.32 |
| 22 | Daniel Jones | 15 | 46.9 | -0.52 | -0.35 | -0.44 |
| 23 | Ben Roethlisberger | 118 | 42.1 | -0.21 | -0.70 | -0.46 |
| 24 | Taylor Heinicke | 47 | 45.0 | -0.43 | -0.49 | -0.46 |
| 25 | Jalen Hurts | 86 | 38.8 | -0.31 | -0.94 | -0.63 |
| 26 | Jimmy Garoppolo | 40 | 38.1 | -0.45 | -0.99 | -0.72 |
| 27 | Jared Goff | -15 | 33.0 | -0.62 | -1.36 | -0.99 |
| 28 | Trevor Lawrence | -175 | 36.6 | -1.10 | -1.10 | -1.10 |
| 29 | Sam Darnold | -321 | 41.9 | -1.54 | -0.72 | -1.13 |
| 30 | Davis Mills | -242 | 32.2 | -1.30 | -1.42 | -1.36 |
| 31 | Zach Wilson | -530 | 24.5 | -2.17 | -1.98 | -2.08 |
| 32 | Justin Fields | -448 | 16.7 | -1.93 | -2.54 | -2.23 |
Matthew Stafford ranks first in both DYAR and QBR and has a sizable lead over the league overall. Meanwhile, Jared Goff languishes way down in 27th. Of course Stafford may regress as the season goes on, but so far it looks as though the Rams were the clear winners in their trade with Detroit.
Quarterbacks who score significantly better in DYAR than QBR include Dak Prescott, Kirk Cousins, Baker Mayfield, Jalen Hurts, and Jared Goff.
Signal callers who are strongly favored by QBR include Joe Burrow, Carson Wentz, Jameis Winston, Ryan Tannehill, Jacoby Brissett, and Sam Darnold.
There doesn’t seem to be a discernable pattern in which type of QB is favored by each metric. What stands out to you?