Comments on: Up, Up, and Away: The Most Recent Vegas Futures Odds

By: Andrew Healy

Andrew Healy — Wed, 09 Jul 2014 15:45:00 +0000

I was staying at the Vdara. I did get the Caesar’s SB odds and they were so much worse than the other odds that I didn’t bother to go back to get the season win totals (the desk was closed when I was there). I’m not sure why, but they had the Eagles at 15/1, when the other books had them at 27/1 or 28/1. Other teams were similarly bad deals.

And that sounds like a good idea on the line movements. I like the marketing possibility, too (people getting excited about the number on their favorite team being so low).

By: Sunrise089

Sunrise089 — Wed, 09 Jul 2014 06:19:19 +0000

Wild post, Vegas is the best though.

Were you staying in one of the MGM-owned south strip properties? Just curious about why no lines from a Caesars sports book.

As to why the lines moved more up than down, while I hate ‘trying to balance the action’ as the answer to gambling questions, perhaps they tried to set fair lines but knew, at least early, fans would bet systemically on optimistic wagers (every team is Super Bowl bound in the offseason…) in aggregate, and used the early limited betting to better gauge where the optimism lay? Or it could be simple marketing…