Comments on: Playoff Picture: Who needs what in week 17 http://www.footballperspective.com/playoff-picture-who-needs-what-in-week-17/ NFL History and Stats Fri, 28 Dec 2012 21:55:17 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.4 By: Jamison.M http://www.footballperspective.com/playoff-picture-who-needs-what-in-week-17/#comment-5707 Fri, 28 Dec 2012 21:55:17 +0000 http://www.footballperspective.com/?p=5514#comment-5707 In reply to broseph.

He meant IF they lose to Arizona, they’d get what they deserve as the fifth seed. If they win, they deserve the #2 or #3 seed.

]]> By: George http://www.footballperspective.com/playoff-picture-who-needs-what-in-week-17/#comment-5502 Wed, 26 Dec 2012 17:56:45 +0000 http://www.footballperspective.com/?p=5514#comment-5502 I went away and did the weighted (95%) results, with exactly the same criteria as above (Homefield Advantage was a little higher at 3.36, variance was generally under 2% for all teams now). The biggest changes are that it seems that there will be a better than average chance that we will have a Denver vs Seattle Superbowl which Seattle will win;

To win the AFC
HOUSTON 10.54%
DENVER 55.80%
NEW ENGLAND 15.78%
BALTIMORE 10.34%
INDIANAPOLIS 0.24%
CINCINNATI 7.30%

To win the NFC
ATLANTA 10.04%
GREEN BAY 16.68%
SAN FRANCISCO 5.58%
WASHINGTON 0.32%
SEATTLE 64.56%
MINNESOTA 2.82%

To win the Superbowl
HOUSTON 0.66%
DENVER 13.28%
NEW ENGLAND 3.00%
BALTIMORE 1.38%
INDIANAPOLIS 0.00%
CINCINNATI 1.14%
ATLANTA 4.46%
GREEN BAY 11.06%
SAN FRANCISCO 3.34%
WASHINGTON 0.28%
SEATTLE 59.70%
MINNESOTA 1.70%

Again I hope this helpful to someone, I expect the weighting may be putting to much emphasis on Seattle’s last 3 games but I also found it interesting that it is clearly putting Denver out in front in the AFC. It will be interesting to see how it stands after the final games.

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