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	<title>
	Comments on: Joint Post: Talking Wide Receiver Size With Matt Waldman	</title>
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	<description>NFL History and Stats</description>
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		<title>
		By: JWL		</title>
		<link>http://www.footballperspective.com/joint-post-talking-wide-receiver-size-with-matt-waldman/#comment-129026</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[JWL]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Jun 2014 11:27:55 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[I did not like Sylvester Morris being lumped in with those busts. He was a failure, sure, but only because he got injured. The other guys in that sentence do not have excuses. Morris was good when he played.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I did not like Sylvester Morris being lumped in with those busts. He was a failure, sure, but only because he got injured. The other guys in that sentence do not have excuses. Morris was good when he played.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Dan		</title>
		<link>http://www.footballperspective.com/joint-post-talking-wide-receiver-size-with-matt-waldman/#comment-128925</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Jun 2014 05:34:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.footballperspective.com/?p=20268#comment-128925</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[There are a few different hypotheses about WR size that seem plausible enough for it to be interesting to look at the data:

H1: If they are equal on other aspects of (physical &#038; mental) ability, a bigger WR prospect will probably have a better career than a smaller WR prospect.
H2: NFL teams undervalue WR size, so a bigger WR prospect will probably have a better career than a smaller WR prospect drafted at the same spot.
H3: Bigger WR prospects are more likely to have exceptional NFL careers (they tend to have a higher ceiling than smaller WR prospects).
H4: Bigger WR prospects tend to have more fantasy value than smaller WR prospects, holding constant where they are drafted.
H5: Smaller WR prospects are more dependent on their QB than bigger WR prospects: the dropoff in production as QB quality declines is greater for smaller WRs than for bigger WRs.

I believe that these are all distinct - for any pair of hypotheses, you could imagine one being true and the other being false.

For all of these, &quot;bigger&quot; could be defined in terms of height, weight, or BMI.

It looks like this analysis focuses on H2 (expected NFL production, controlling for draft spot), with &quot;bigger&quot; based on height.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There are a few different hypotheses about WR size that seem plausible enough for it to be interesting to look at the data:</p>
<p>H1: If they are equal on other aspects of (physical &amp; mental) ability, a bigger WR prospect will probably have a better career than a smaller WR prospect.<br />
H2: NFL teams undervalue WR size, so a bigger WR prospect will probably have a better career than a smaller WR prospect drafted at the same spot.<br />
H3: Bigger WR prospects are more likely to have exceptional NFL careers (they tend to have a higher ceiling than smaller WR prospects).<br />
H4: Bigger WR prospects tend to have more fantasy value than smaller WR prospects, holding constant where they are drafted.<br />
H5: Smaller WR prospects are more dependent on their QB than bigger WR prospects: the dropoff in production as QB quality declines is greater for smaller WRs than for bigger WRs.</p>
<p>I believe that these are all distinct &#8211; for any pair of hypotheses, you could imagine one being true and the other being false.</p>
<p>For all of these, &#8220;bigger&#8221; could be defined in terms of height, weight, or BMI.</p>
<p>It looks like this analysis focuses on H2 (expected NFL production, controlling for draft spot), with &#8220;bigger&#8221; based on height.</p>
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