– I wonder, if you looked at just divisional games, whether the consistency would change at all, yr to yr the matchups in divisional game should have somewhat less turnover

– obviously there are two sides to the sack rate, some defenses are better at getting sacks, and some offenses are better at preventing sacks, how much of the variation is a function of last year our non divisional games were against the AFC South and NFC South, and they have a bunch of offenses with poor sack rates, and this year, we’re playing the AFC West and NFC West, and they have a bunch of offenses with good sack rates (just creating a random example)

just looking at divisional games might smooth that out a little

– staying with that theme, is the offensive sack rate more or less consistent than the defensive sack rate? How much of the sack rate is a function of the QB holding the ball and not making quick decisions, poor offensive line play, the OC being outschemed/calling poor plays, WR not running the right hot route, etc

sacks might be more of a function of capitalizing on offensive mistakes, than something the defense can generate at will

– I think some of these are questions that we’ll be better able to answer as the game gets tracked better in the future, a sack that happens 1.2 seconds after the snap has different implications of who deserves credit and fault than a sack that happens 3.7 seconds after the snap, same thing with when the defense rushed 6 vs when it rushed 3, when the offense kept both backs and the TE in blocking vs had 5 guys in the route, etc

there’s obviously a ton of noise that goes into the sack rate, and obviously, the offense will change tactics to attempt to manage going against the better pass rushing team (more screens/draws, quicker throws, keeping more guys in to block) which adds additional noise

The change for less concentrated teams is not statistically significant. The consistency here also makes sense: teams that fall here probably rely more on scheme to generate sacks (speculating); I would guess the biggest cause for the changes would be either inheriting a premier rusher, or a coaching change (especially the DC)