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	Comments on: Fantasy Football: A starting point for your running back projections (FBG)	</title>
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		<title>
		By: Chase Stuart		</title>
		<link>http://www.footballperspective.com/fantasy-football-a-starting-point-for-your-running-back-projections-fbg/#comment-19162</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Chase Stuart]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 May 2013 21:08:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.footballperspective.com/?p=6155#comment-19162</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In reply to &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.footballperspective.com/fantasy-football-a-starting-point-for-your-running-back-projections-fbg/#comment-19161&quot;&gt;mrh&lt;/a&gt;.

Good question.  

Yards per reception for RBs was nowhere near statistically significant, IIRC, so I chose to just use receiving yards.

As for yards/rush over rushing yards, whether I used both yards per rush and rush attempts or rushing yards, the correlation coefficient was roughly the same.  But it seemed preferable to split up rushing yards in this manner; even if it doesn&#039;t make a big difference when you look at hundreds of running backs, it felt like the right thing to do. 

For what it&#039;s worth, the formula spits out these projections:

300 carries for 100 yards = 988

200 carries for 100 yards = 915

I think that makes sense: I would imagine that extreme YPC averages on both sides are likely to regress to the mean, whereas number of carries is a very telling statistic.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In reply to <a href="http://www.footballperspective.com/fantasy-football-a-starting-point-for-your-running-back-projections-fbg/#comment-19161">mrh</a>.</p>
<p>Good question.  </p>
<p>Yards per reception for RBs was nowhere near statistically significant, IIRC, so I chose to just use receiving yards.</p>
<p>As for yards/rush over rushing yards, whether I used both yards per rush and rush attempts or rushing yards, the correlation coefficient was roughly the same.  But it seemed preferable to split up rushing yards in this manner; even if it doesn&#8217;t make a big difference when you look at hundreds of running backs, it felt like the right thing to do. </p>
<p>For what it&#8217;s worth, the formula spits out these projections:</p>
<p>300 carries for 100 yards = 988</p>
<p>200 carries for 100 yards = 915</p>
<p>I think that makes sense: I would imagine that extreme YPC averages on both sides are likely to regress to the mean, whereas number of carries is a very telling statistic.</p>
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		<title>
		By: mrh		</title>
		<link>http://www.footballperspective.com/fantasy-football-a-starting-point-for-your-running-back-projections-fbg/#comment-19161</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mrh]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 May 2013 21:03:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.footballperspective.com/?p=6155#comment-19161</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Why does the rushing yards formula include yards/rush but the receiving yards formula use total receiving yards?  Did you run two separate rushing yards regressions for yd/rush and total yards and find the R2 was higher when using yds/rush?  And similarly that total receiving yards yielded a higher R2 than using yds/reception?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Why does the rushing yards formula include yards/rush but the receiving yards formula use total receiving yards?  Did you run two separate rushing yards regressions for yd/rush and total yards and find the R2 was higher when using yds/rush?  And similarly that total receiving yards yielded a higher R2 than using yds/reception?</p>
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