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	<title>
	Comments on: Dear Pete Carroll	</title>
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		<title>
		By: Eran		</title>
		<link>http://www.footballperspective.com/dear-pete-carroll/#comment-64196</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Eran]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Dec 2013 14:48:15 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[A lot of examples to illustrate one point - A team can score on the last drive. Something even dumb old me knows.

I even know of teams that tied or won a game with a field goal in 30 sec. (Chicago and Atlanta did that last year against us...)

To decide what&#039;s the better choice statistically you need to work out what is your chance of success going either way and see if one gives you a much higher chance. Just considering the game against against the 9ers - we scored a TD on 2 of the previous 9 drives of the game without time restrictions so the chance to make it now starts at about 20%...in the last 2 games against the 9ers this year we blocked 1 of 5 field goal kicks - 20%. Sounds like it&#039;s not such a clear cut case anymore doesn&#039;t it?

In my mind - before you tell your D to let go and let them score it better be the SB or something like that. We can reach our regular season objectives without dropping our pants desperately on D in the hope we can pull a miracle and win. We are not that desperate.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A lot of examples to illustrate one point &#8211; A team can score on the last drive. Something even dumb old me knows.</p>
<p>I even know of teams that tied or won a game with a field goal in 30 sec. (Chicago and Atlanta did that last year against us&#8230;)</p>
<p>To decide what&#8217;s the better choice statistically you need to work out what is your chance of success going either way and see if one gives you a much higher chance. Just considering the game against against the 9ers &#8211; we scored a TD on 2 of the previous 9 drives of the game without time restrictions so the chance to make it now starts at about 20%&#8230;in the last 2 games against the 9ers this year we blocked 1 of 5 field goal kicks &#8211; 20%. Sounds like it&#8217;s not such a clear cut case anymore doesn&#8217;t it?</p>
<p>In my mind &#8211; before you tell your D to let go and let them score it better be the SB or something like that. We can reach our regular season objectives without dropping our pants desperately on D in the hope we can pull a miracle and win. We are not that desperate.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Duff Soviet Union		</title>
		<link>http://www.footballperspective.com/dear-pete-carroll/#comment-64092</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Duff Soviet Union]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Dec 2013 21:48:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.footballperspective.com/?p=15917#comment-64092</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I still don&#039;t agree with him, but none of these came after the team in question had actually let the other team score.

I think his point is that sort of mentality is counterproductive.  I still don&#039;t agree with him and absolutely think they should have let the 49ers score, but I&#039;m not sure any of those examples prove him wrong.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I still don&#8217;t agree with him, but none of these came after the team in question had actually let the other team score.</p>
<p>I think his point is that sort of mentality is counterproductive.  I still don&#8217;t agree with him and absolutely think they should have let the 49ers score, but I&#8217;m not sure any of those examples prove him wrong.</p>
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