Comments on: Andrew Luck and Quarterback Help http://www.footballperspective.com/andrew-luck-and-quarterback-help/ NFL History and Stats Sat, 14 Jun 2014 18:32:42 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=7.0.2 By: Jason Drake http://www.footballperspective.com/andrew-luck-and-quarterback-help/#comment-129151 Sat, 14 Jun 2014 18:32:42 +0000 http://www.footballperspective.com/?p=20151#comment-129151 Fun stuff.
It seems like measuring wins and accounting for points allowed invites more noise into the results. If Andrew Luck led his offense to 28 points against the Bengals, does it matter that Cincinatti scored 42 instead of 35? Arguably, the bigger gap would’ve invited more prevent defense and made Luck’s job easier. Russell Wilson had 300+ yards and 3 TD’s against the Saints in the regular season, with the Saints scoring just 7 points. Would his performance have been more difficult if the Saints had scored 14? Or 21?

I think it would be interesting to do this using just the quarterback efficiency and quarterback help. I did something similar, using per-play stats instead of standard deviations. I started with a quarterback efficiency similar to ANY/A (but accounting for quarterback runs and carefully excluding kneel-downs). Then I calculated quarterback production per EVERY PLAY that his team ran. That figure is basically proportional to the QB’s total production (but adjusted for teams which run more or fewer plays).

Then I simply calculated a geometric mean between the two.

For basic efficiency (production per quarterback play), Wilson came out ahead of Kaepernick and both were ahead of Andrew Luck.

But the geometric mean, which accounted for Luck’s greater play percentage, gave Luck a (very, very) slight lead over Wilson with Kaepernick just a little behind both.

]]> By: Nick http://www.footballperspective.com/andrew-luck-and-quarterback-help/#comment-126570 Mon, 09 Jun 2014 01:09:33 +0000 http://www.footballperspective.com/?p=20151#comment-126570 I think it would be quite interesting if you could somehow combine the top table with the efficiency stats… basically, efficiency controlled for how help they got.

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